TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

CS2 · resolved market

Counter-Strike: NIP vs NRG - Map 2 Winner

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
NRGof NIP, NRG
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
CS2every record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$140,580
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$148,677

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $140,580 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 126 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in CS2 is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in CS2
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0xfd6f…f7e1backed NIP0c18,000$18 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1830%0 W · 3 L-0.2wins-0.07per pick7cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xf988…d63bbacked NRG36c12,046$4,337 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$7,709.4335850.8%182 W · 176 L+11.1wins+0.03per pick48cpaid-1.5%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x4572…83ffbacked NIP46c8,193$3,730 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,73032348.9%158 W · 165 L-11.5wins-0.04per pick52cpaid-6.7%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xe41f…d9dcbacked NIP64c7,288$4,667 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4,667.4465650.3%330 W · 326 L-15.4wins-0.02per pick53cpaid-7.5%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x507e…beaebacked NIP1c5,201$68 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$67.643,09648.5%1,501 W · 1,595 L+135.0wins+0.04per pick44cpaid-5.7%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xa7ea…bbb3backed NIP45c4,978$2,234 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,233.719153.8%49 W · 42 L+6.8wins+0.07per pick46cpaid+11.4%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0x0d4d…fe4abacked NIP76c4,627$3,516 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,516.411346.2%6 W · 7 L-2.4wins-0.19per pick65cpaid-34.4%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0xd92d…e560backed NIP31c3,486$1,091 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,090.7858651%299 W · 287 L+3.8wins+0.01per pick50cpaid-2.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xdbdd…a5debacked NRG42c2,893$1,207 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,686.097,92550.4%3,997 W · 3,928 L+179.4wins+0.02per pick48cpaid-2.1%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xa661…eb28backed NIP64c2,460$1,574 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,574.412742.5%54 W · 73 L-7.0wins-0.06per pick48cpaid-10.3%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0xb077…8fe8backed NRG51c2,436$1,249 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,186.9417249.4%85 W · 87 L-4.2wins-0.02per pick52cpaid-2.9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x17e9…fcc9backed NIP64c2,343$1,500 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,5005954.2%32 W · 27 L-1.9wins-0.03per pick57cpaid-9.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xec98…afcdbacked NIP23c2,255$528 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$527.621,61145.4%731 W · 880 L+30.0wins+0.02per pick44cpaid-14.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x718d…2b46backed NIP65c2,143$1,400 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,40025352.2%132 W · 121 L-2.7wins-0.01per pick53cpaid-6.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x22ae…af00backed NIP62c2,003$1,242 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,241.8926451.5%136 W · 128 L-0.1wins0.00per pick52cpaid-5.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x18bb…e5cdbacked NRG24c2,000$480 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,52030726.4%81 W · 226 L+8.8wins+0.03per pick24cpaid+6.7%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xf679…16acbacked NRG36c2,000$720 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,279.9817042.9%73 W · 97 L-8.2wins-0.05per pick48cpaid-10.9%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x2b12…43c8backed NRG61c1,869$1,136 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$733.56836.8%25 W · 43 L-4.7wins-0.07per pick44cpaid-22.2%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0xe167…03a1backed NRG61c1,855$1,137 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$718.0641850%209 W · 209 L+9.0wins+0.02per pick48cpaid+3.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x3471…f17ebacked NIP29c1,483$436 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$436.51,05449%516 W · 538 L+38.1wins+0.04per pick45cpaid-10.3%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xcd43…88d7backed NRG34c1,469$501 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$968.214532.4%47 W · 98 L-4.0wins-0.03per pick35cpaid-9.9%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xdff0…f573backed NIP65c1,379$901 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$900.6934146.6%159 W · 182 L-6.8wins-0.02per pick49cpaid-4.9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xe283…7190backed NIP26c1,312$335 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$335.1596545.7%441 W · 524 L+10.9wins+0.01per pick45cpaid-2.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x00a1…5062backed NIP65c1,298$842 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$841.684429.5%13 W · 31 L-7.1wins-0.16per pick46cpaid-40.3%equal weight39-0.10 edge/pick
0x4713…4d21backed NIP27c1,097$297 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$296.845,28731.3%1,657 W · 3,630 L-383.3wins-0.07per pick39cpaid-37.1%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x21ec…5348backed NRG35c1,056$370 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$686.372453.7%389 W · 335 L+11.9wins+0.02per pick52cpaid+3.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x4687…8d42backed NRG48c1,049$500 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$549.1652947.1%249 W · 280 L-14.5wins-0.03per pick50cpaid-8.7%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xd4d1…086ebacked NIP66c1,037$683 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$683.372634.6%9 W · 17 L-3.9wins-0.15per pick50cpaid-36.9%equal weight42-0.08 edge/pick
0x370d…a9e0backed NIP25c1,000$250 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2506028.3%17 W · 43 L-2.5wins-0.04per pick32cpaid-8.4%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x2418…66c8backed NIP77c1,000$770 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$77060853.3%324 W · 284 L+20.1wins+0.03per pick50cpaid+9.6%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x2b26…57e9backed NIP58c930$539 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$539.41,48558%862 W · 623 L+66.5wins+0.04per pick54cpaid+6.3%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x6df5…6430backed NIP19c801.66$148 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$148.331,27821.9%280 W · 998 L-24.3wins-0.02per pick24cpaid-16.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xc8b5…20f5backed NIP50c800$400 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$400850%4 W · 4 L-0.1wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-8.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xbc76…3af1backed NIP64c781.34$500 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$500.065048%24 W · 26 L+2.1wins+0.04per pick44cpaid+50.1%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xcb5b…f243backed NRG53c761.18$401 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$359.854,03848.1%1,943 W · 2,095 L-23.9wins-0.01per pick49cpaid-11.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x52b7…0aa1backed NRG35c750$265 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4851,41133.7%475 W · 936 L+42.1wins+0.03per pick31cpaid+8.1%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x0856…2d20backed NIP64c728.92$467 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$466.511631.3%5 W · 11 L-2.8wins-0.17per pick49cpaid-38%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x3993…cdedbacked NRG34c724.49$248 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$476.2283652.5%439 W · 397 L+10.1wins+0.01per pick51cpaid+0.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x472d…942cbacked NRG53c720.78$381 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$340.02862.5%5 W · 3 L+0.2wins+0.02per pick60cpaid-4.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x1f04…1d79backed NRG37c699.99$259 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$440.9912021.7%26 W · 94 L-1.8wins-0.02per pick23cpaid-10.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x33bc…37dcbacked NRG34c658.03$222 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$435.8881244.3%360 W · 452 L-0.3wins0.00per pick44cpaid+2.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xee4b…43dcbacked NIP64c650$415 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$414.638051.3%195 W · 185 L+12.5wins+0.03per pick48cpaid+3.2%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xd0ad…bce9backed NRG38c631.58$240 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$391.589552.6%50 W · 45 L-5.4wins-0.06per pick58cpaid-11.4%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x5aa4…16e3backed NRG36c600$216 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$38476546.7%357 W · 408 L-13.2wins-0.02per pick48cpaid-5.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xda32…04a1backed NIP61c599.99$366 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$365.9931444.9%141 W · 173 L+9.0wins+0.03per pick42cpaid-0.4%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xfb87…0335backed NIP38c553.78$211 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$210.8936554.8%200 W · 165 L+23.9wins+0.07per pick48cpaid+11.9%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x7a73…a9c8backed NRG38c526.32$200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$326.3269635.3%246 W · 450 L-49.3wins-0.07per pick42cpaid-17.3%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x1aee…8796backed NIP80c503.65$400 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$400.4228254.6%154 W · 128 L-9.0wins-0.03per pick58cpaid-4.7%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x2ad5…f764backed NIP64c415.63$266 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2663754.1%20 W · 17 L+0.6wins+0.02per pick52cpaid+1.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x9f43…843abacked NIP50c400$200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20010236.3%37 W · 65 L-10.4wins-0.10per pick46cpaid-22.5%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0xb752…cabcbacked NRG25c400$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3008445.2%38 W · 46 L-3.2wins-0.04per pick49cpaid-9.9%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x1c5e…269bbacked NIP51c392.16$200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20042050%210 W · 210 L-10.5wins-0.02per pick52cpaid-3.1%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x6814…a9e7backed NIP3c387$11 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11.2956732.5%184 W · 383 L-30.0wins-0.05per pick38cpaid-36.7%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x0599…3c6abacked NRG53c377.36$200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$177.3661754.8%338 W · 279 L-18.6wins-0.03per pick58cpaid-6%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x5aa9…febebacked NRG50c372$185 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$186.771,04044%458 W · 582 L-22.2wins-0.02per pick46cpaid-22.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x022d…d8cebacked NIP64c367.3$235 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$235.0717050%85 W · 85 L+1.5wins+0.01per pick49cpaid+3.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x51db…f9b3backed NIP28c348.71$98 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$97.86,48042.9%2,782 W · 3,698 L-79.1wins-0.01per pick44cpaid-21.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x42b8…5379backed NIP57c333.33$190 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$19031452.2%164 W · 150 L-10.8wins-0.03per pick56cpaid-6.2%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x4ffe…9f71backed NIP5c331.99$18 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$17.961,5009.9%148 W · 1,352 L-15.8wins-0.01per pick11cpaid-55.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x0659…d74dbacked NRG35c285$101 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$184.398052.4%514 W · 466 L+26.9wins+0.03per pick50cpaid+3.9%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xf898…e720backed NRG43c267$116 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$150.971,37845.2%623 W · 755 L+17.9wins+0.01per pick44cpaid-7.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xc155…d550backed NRG60c250$150 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1008149.4%40 W · 41 L-9.1wins-0.11per pick61cpaid-27.9%equal weight40-0.09 edge/pick
0x3cfb…f786backed NIP13c238.46$31 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3113119.8%26 W · 105 L-10.7wins-0.08per pick28cpaid-31.8%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x2a8c…fd3dbacked NRG60c232.38$140 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$92.3852837.1%196 W · 332 L+4.2wins+0.01per pick36cpaid-3.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x60b8…d47dbacked NIP68c219.9$150 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15060857.2%348 W · 260 L-7.4wins-0.01per pick58cpaid-4.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x1386…a692backed NRG67c214.63$144 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$70.83250%1 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-25.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x10e0…c736backed NIP71c212.43$150 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15014362.9%90 W · 53 L+11.2wins+0.08per pick55cpaid+16.2%equal weight57+0.07 edge/pick
0x9d94…017dbacked NIP32c210.49$67 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$66.832,22141.3%917 W · 1,304 L-22.6wins-0.01per pick42cpaid-19.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x7681…ac03backed NRG37c200$74 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1266033.3%20 W · 40 L+0.5wins+0.01per pick33cpaid-15.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x6c43…fb9bbacked NRG43c200$85 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$11524943.8%109 W · 140 L-1.1wins0.00per pick44cpaid-8.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x7a78…add7backed NRG47c196.83$92 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$105.261,96946.7%919 W · 1,050 L+12.4wins+0.01per pick46cpaid-14.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xd055…28d0backed NRG50c192.86$96 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$96.4365546.9%307 W · 348 L+18.4wins+0.03per pick44cpaid+6.7%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xa2e9…a86ebacked NRG66c168$111 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$57.3319355.4%107 W · 86 L+1.8wins+0.01per pick54cpaid+1.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xc0c2…b14dbacked NRG44c158.47$70 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$88.5559647.3%282 W · 314 L+8.9wins+0.01per pick46cpaid-7.6%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x084b…3de6backed NIP36c155.74$57 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$56.5524550.2%123 W · 122 L+9.4wins+0.04per pick46cpaid-3.7%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xb649…e988backed NIP25c149.74$37 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$377847.4%37 W · 41 L-1.8wins-0.02per pick50cpaid-12.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xa76e…dcb6backed NIP57c148$84 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$84.121,31053.7%703 W · 607 L+32.0wins+0.02per pick51cpaid+3.7%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x29b5…cc6cbacked NIP57c137.78$79 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$79.015,05055.1%2,781 W · 2,269 L+117.2wins+0.02per pick53cpaid+5.1%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x4177…a2b4backed NIP58c136.92$80 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$801,24841.3%516 W · 732 L+5.1wins0.00per pick41cpaid-0.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x49df…f885backed NIP34c133.27$46 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$45.851346.2%6 W · 7 L+1.3wins+0.10per pick36cpaid+26.7%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x7cbc…b637backed NRG43c127.78$54 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$73.3162538.6%241 W · 384 L-16.0wins-0.03per pick41cpaid-12.1%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xc935…2579backed NIP51c123.03$63 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$62.755248.1%25 W · 27 L+0.3wins+0.01per pick48cpaid-8.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x7712…155abacked NIP28c111.99$32 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$31.637749.4%38 W · 39 L+5.4wins+0.07per pick42cpaid+0.1%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x8be7…bf37backed NIP24c110$27 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$26.73040%12 W · 18 L-2.2wins-0.07per pick47cpaid-27.9%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xa96d…aa92backed NIP42c107.14$45 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$452748.1%13 W · 14 L-0.3wins-0.01per pick49cpaid+4.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x6556…f5b4backed NRG59c101.69$60 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$41.692544%11 W · 14 L+0.2wins+0.01per pick43cpaid+15.8%equal weight510.00 edge/pick
0x820b…d27abacked NIP63c101$64 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$63.6326046.2%120 W · 140 L+6.9wins+0.03per pick43cpaid+7%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xaf9d…821fbacked NIP64c100$64 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$64771.4%5 W · 2 L+1.2wins+0.18per pick54cpaid+55.3%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xdd23…387ebacked NRG37c100$37 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$6329154%157 W · 134 L+17.3wins+0.06per pick48cpaid+12.3%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x54e0…b02cbacked NIP30c100$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$29.511,65032.7%540 W · 1,110 L-49.1wins-0.03per pick36cpaid-12.5%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x7cc7…a2a4backed NIP54c98.92$53 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5312162.8%76 W · 45 L+1.2wins+0.01per pick62cpaid+0.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x6fcd…42f2backed NIP35c96.36$34 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$33.7363541.1%261 W · 374 L-4.0wins-0.01per pick42cpaid-4.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xb423…04abbacked NIP64c95.78$61 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$61.31040%4 W · 6 L-1.4wins-0.14per pick54cpaid-36.2%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x9c83…fceabacked NIP48c90.57$43 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$43.441643.8%7 W · 9 L-1.0wins-0.06per pick50cpaid-36.7%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x72aa…90e0backed NRG48c88.77$43 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$45.984,22849.2%2,080 W · 2,148 L+59.9wins+0.01per pick48cpaid-10.7%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x5b0c…d43abacked NRG43c82.94$36 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$46.9346447.6%221 W · 243 L-3.6wins-0.01per pick48cpaid-1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x5d9e…e0e3backed NRG43c82.7$36 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$46.9238844.6%173 W · 215 L-3.5wins-0.01per pick45cpaid-17.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x34f9…12ebbacked NIP45c75.82$34 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$34.0626836.6%98 W · 170 L-2.8wins-0.01per pick38cpaid-5.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xefff…2d98backed NIP50c70$35 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$358045%36 W · 44 L-6.2wins-0.08per pick53cpaid-15.1%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x97c7…37adbacked NRG44c67.87$30 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$37.8766753.1%354 W · 313 L+1.9wins0.00per pick53cpaid+0.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in CS2 and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 5 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.