TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Wallet 0xa96d…aa92

Rebuilt .

Summary

Qualified picks
61
Categories scored
9
Categories below 50
6

Best Category: Champions League, grading 55 out of 100 (+0.04 per pick).

Best Category Champions League at 55 out of 100; worst La Liga at 47.

What is a Tail Score?

A mark out of 100, per Category. 50 means no edge at all — this wallet did about what the prices it paid implied it would. Above 50 it beat those prices; below 50 it did worse than them.

The scale does not move. 100 is a wallet beating the prices it paid by 0.45 per pick and 0 is losing to them by the same, on every wallet, on every page, in every month. So a grade you screenshot today still means what it meant when you took it, and two wallets can be put side by side.

Nobody reaches either end. Across every wallet TailMyPicks has scored, the marks run from roughly 5 to 87 — which is what a fixed ruler costs, and what buys the sentence above.

It is not a win rate. A wallet can win four Picks in five and still grade below 50, if the market was already pricing those outcomes at 90c — it paid for the wins rather than finding them. The vs expected and Avg entry columns below are what separate the two.

The mark is deliberately pulled toward 50 when there is little evidence. Three lucky Picks do not produce a high grade; several hundred consistent ones do. So a modest grade on thousands of Picks means something a high grade on twelve does not.

Because it is shrunk this way, a Category grade is a conservative reading. The headline figure for a wallet is its best Category, so it always understates how badly the wallet does in its worst one — which is why the table below is per Category and not one blended number.

Record by Category

Ordered by how much this wallet actually traded in each Category, not by score — so the Categories it plays most appear first whether they went well or badly. Open any row to see the picks its numbers were computed from — all of them.

CategoryQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
CS2 Inactivelast resolved Apr 9, 2026, EDT2748.1%13 W · 14 L-0.3wins-0.01per pick49cpaid+4.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
CS2 — the 27 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in CS2, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Counter-Strike: TheMongolz vs PARIVISION - Map 2 Winnerbacked TheMongolz · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$30Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 9, 2026, EDT+88.7%+$26.32
Counter-Strike: Aurora Gaming vs Astralis (BO3) - ESL Pro League Playoffsbacked Aurora Gaming · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 14, 2026, EDT+81.8%+$16.36
Games Total: O/U 2.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$50Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 14, 2026, EDT+104.1%+$52.04
Counter-Strike: Legacy vs Aurora Gaming - Map 2 Winnerbacked Legacy · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)42c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 13, 2026, EDT+138.1%+$27.62
Counter-Strike: FUT Esports vs 3DMAX (BO3) - ESL Pro League Stage 2backed FUT Esports · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$30Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 8, 2026, EDT-100%-$30
Counter-Strike: MOUZ vs Astralis (BO3) - ESL Pro League Stage 2backed MOUZ · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 7, 2026, EST+49.3%+$49.25
Counter-Strike: Natus Vincere vs G2 (BO3) - ESL Pro League Stage 2backed Natus Vincere · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)37c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 7, 2026, EST-100%-$20
Counter-Strike: paiN vs FaZe (BO3) - ESL Pro League Stage 2backed FaZe · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)34c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 7, 2026, EST-100%-$20
Counter-Strike: M80 vs Liquid (BO3) - ESL Pro League Stage 1backed Liquid · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)25c$40Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 4, 2026, EST+300%+$120
Counter-Strike: NIP vs NRG - Map 2 Winnerbacked NIP · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)42c$45Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 3, 2026, EST-100%-$45
Counter-Strike: FUT Esports vs Astralis - Map 1 Winnerbacked FUT Esports · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)69c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 3, 2026, EST+45.9%+$45.88
Counter-Strike: FUT Esports vs M80 - Map 1 Winnerbacked FUT Esports · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 1, 2026, EST-100%-$100
Counter-Strike: Vitality vs PARIVISION - Map 3 Winnerbacked PARIVISION · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 22, 2026, EST-100%-$20
Counter-Strike: Vitality vs TheMongolz - Map 1 Winnerbacked Vitality · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)31c$30Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 21, 2026, EST+222.6%+$66.77
Counter-Strike: PARIVISION vs MOUZ - Map 2 Winnerbacked MOUZ · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 21, 2026, EST-100%-$100
Counter-Strike: PARIVISION vs MOUZ - Map 1 Winnerbacked MOUZ · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$68Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 21, 2026, EST-100%-$68.21
Counter-Strike: FURIA vs TheMongolz (BO3) - PGL Cluj-Napoca Playoffsbacked FURIA · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 20, 2026, EST-100%-$20
Counter-Strike: MOUZ vs Natus Vincere - Map 1 Winnerbacked Natus Vincere · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$88Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 20, 2026, EST+100.6%+$88.52
Counter-Strike: FURIA vs Vitality (BO5) - IEM Krakow Playoffsbacked Vitality · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$239Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 8, 2026, EST+96.1%+$229.54
Counter-Strike: FURIA vs Vitality - Map 1 Winnerbacked Vitality · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)76c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 8, 2026, EST-100%-$100
Counter-Strike: Spirit vs FURIA - Map 2 Winnerbacked Spirit · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$200Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 7, 2026, EST+69.5%+$138.96
Counter-Strike: Spirit vs FURIA - Map 1 Winnerbacked Spirit · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 7, 2026, EST-100%-$100
Counter-Strike: G2 vs MOUZ - Map 2 Winnerbacked G2 · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)42c$30Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 6, 2026, EST-100%-$30
Counter-Strike: MOUZ vs FaZe - Map 2 Winnerbacked FaZe · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)35c$30Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 3, 2026, EST-100%-$30
Counter-Strike: BC.Game Esports vs FaZe - Map 2 Winnerbacked BC.Game Esports · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)41c$50Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 2, 2026, EST+143.9%+$71.95
Showing 25 of 27 picks, newest first.
Tennis Inactivelast resolved Apr 11, 2026, EDT2544%11 W · 14 L-1.2wins-0.05per pick49cpaid-21.7%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
Tennis — the 25 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Tennis, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Barcelona Open, Qualification: Hamad Medjedovic vs Vilius Gaubasbacked Vilius Gaubas · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)34c$44Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 11, 2026, EDT-100%-$44
US Men's Clay Court Championships: Roman Andres Burruchaga vs Tommy Paulbacked Tommy Paul · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$21Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 5, 2026, EDT+69.5%+$14.39
Miami Open: Jiri Lehecka vs Jannik Sinnerbacked Jiri Lehecka · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)4c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 29, 2026, EDT-100%-$10
Miami Open: Alexander Zverev vs Jannik Sinnerbacked Alexander Zverev · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)16c$12Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 27, 2026, EDT-100%-$12
Miami Open: Jiri Lehecka vs Taylor Fritzbacked Taylor Fritz · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$60Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 24, 2026, EDT-100%-$60
Miami Open: Frances Tiafoe vs Jakub Mensikbacked Frances Tiafoe · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$30Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 23, 2026, EDT+108.3%+$32.5
Miami Open: Carlos Alcaraz vs Sebastian Kordabacked Carlos Alcaraz · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$97Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 22, 2026, EDT-100%-$97.31
Miami Open: Rei Sakamoto vs Daniil Medvedevbacked Daniil Medvedev · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$58Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 21, 2026, EDT+57.1%+$33.12
Miami Open: Kamil Majchrzak vs Learner Tienbacked Learner Tien · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 21, 2026, EDT-100%-$50
Miami Open: Luciano Darderi vs Martin Landalucebacked Luciano Darderi · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$30Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 21, 2026, EDT-100%-$30
Miami Open: Botic van de Zandschulp vs Taylor Fritzbacked Taylor Fritz · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$160Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 20, 2026, EDT+49.3%+$78.9
Miami Open: Raphael Collignon vs Grigor Dimitrovbacked Grigor Dimitrov · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$50
BNP Paribas Open: Valentin Vacherot vs Casper Ruudbacked Casper Ruud · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)28c$40Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 9, 2026, EDT+257.7%+$103.1
BNP Paribas Open: Alex Michelsen vs Taylor Fritzbacked Taylor Fritz · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)32c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 9, 2026, EDT-100%-$50
BNP Paribas Open: Alexander Bublik vs Rinky Hijikatabacked Alexander Bublik · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)10c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 9, 2026, EDT-100%-$10
BNP Paribas Open: Cameron Norrie vs Alex de Minaurbacked Alex de Minaur · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$60Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 9, 2026, EDT-100%-$60
BNP Paribas Open: Ben Shelton vs Learner Tienbacked Ben Shelton · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)27c$30Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 8, 2026, EDT-100%-$30
Qatar Open: Carlos Alcaraz vs Andrey Rublevbacked Alcaraz · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)78c$76Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 20, 2026, EST+28.2%+$21.57
Qatar Open: Jakub Mensik vs Jannik Sinnerbacked Sinner · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$68Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 19, 2026, EST-100%-$67.6
Australian Open Men's: Carlos Alcaraz vs Novak Djokovicbacked Alcaraz · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$50Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 1, 2026, EST+81.8%+$40.91
Australian Open Women's: Aryna Sabalenka vs Elena Rybakinabacked Sabalenka · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 31, 2026, EST-100%-$50
Australian Open Men's: Carlos Alcaraz vs Alexander Zverevbacked Alcaraz · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$50Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 30, 2026, EST+100%+$50
Australian Open Men's: Alexander Zverev vs Learner Tienbacked Zverev · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)75c$126Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 27, 2026, EST+33.3%+$41.93
Australian Open Men's: Ben Shelton vs Casper Ruudbacked Shelton · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)74c$93Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 26, 2026, EST+35.1%+$32.74
Australian Open Men's: Eliot Spizzirri vs Jannik Sinnerbacked Sinner · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)73c$68Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 24, 2026, EST+36.9%+$25.08
All 25 picks, newest first.
Champions League Inactivelast resolved Feb 25, 2026, EST3100%3 W · 0 L+1.2wins+0.41per pick59cpaid+77.1%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
Champions League — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Champions League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

NBA Inactivelast resolved Feb 22, 2026, EST1100%1 W · 0 L+0.4wins+0.37per pick63cpaid+58.7%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
NBA — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NBA, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Cavaliers vs. Thunderbacked Thunder · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$90Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 22, 2026, EST+58.7%+$52.86
All 1 picks, newest first.
NFL Inactivelast resolved Jan 19, 2026, EST1100%1 W · 0 L+0.3wins+0.34per pick66cpaid+51.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
NFL — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NFL, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Rams vs. Bearsbacked Rams · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$32Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 19, 2026, EST+51.5%+$16.31
All 1 picks, newest first.
Euroleague Inactivelast resolved Jan 6, 2026, EST10%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.48per pick48cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
Euroleague — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Euroleague, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Virtus Bologna vs. Zalgiris Kaunasbacked Zalgiris Kaunas · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 6, 2026, EST-100%-$20
All 1 picks, newest first.
Ncaa Basketball Inactivelast resolved Jan 10, 2026, EST10%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.51per pick51cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
Ncaa Basketball — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Ncaa Basketball, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Maine Black Bears vs. NJIT Highlanders: O/U 130.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 10, 2026, EST-100%-$20
All 1 picks, newest first.
Ligue 1 Inactivelast resolved Feb 6, 2026, EST10%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.52per pick52cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
Ligue 1 — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Ligue 1, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Lille OSC win on 2026-02-06?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$46Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 6, 2026, EST-100%-$46.13
All 1 picks, newest first.
La Liga Inactivelast resolved Mar 1, 2026, EST10%0 W · 1 L-0.7wins-0.67per pick67cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
La Liga — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in La Liga, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will RCD Espanyol de Barcelona win on 2026-03-01?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 1, 2026, EST-100%-$14.87
All 1 picks, newest first.

vs expected is how many more (or fewer) Picks this wallet won than the prices it paid implied it would. It is the column that tells a real edge apart from a record bought by backing favourites. Realizable edge is what that comes to per Pick for somebody copying the wallet, after the cost of getting in behind it. Avg entry is the average price it paid, so a strong record built on heavy favourites shows as one. ROI per pick counts every Pick equally rather than by size, which is how a record earned across many Picks is told apart from one carried by a few large ones. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in — an American night game settles after midnight UTC, so any other zone would name the day after the one it was played on. Inactive means nothing has resolved in that Category recently. The score is kept and the wallet stays reachable here; it only leaves the default leaderboard.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.