TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

CS2 · resolved market

Counter-Strike: PARIVISION vs MOUZ - Map 2 Winner

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
PARIVISIONof PARIVISION, MOUZ
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
CS2every record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$739,568
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$924,593

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $739,568 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 354 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in CS2 is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in CS2
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x56c9…0d9ebacked PARIVISION61c73,314$45,075 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$28,238.5822468.8%154 W · 70 L-8.2wins-0.04per pick72cpaid-6.9%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x3833…33d1backed MOUZ65c35,938$23,282 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$23,281.9221048.1%101 W · 109 L-5.0wins-0.02per pick50cpaid-6.8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x88d1…18dabacked MOUZ68c33,750$22,950 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$22,949.9522354.7%122 W · 101 L-9.5wins-0.04per pick59cpaid-9%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x5877…d894backed PARIVISION35c28,560$9,996 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$18,563.997943%34 W · 45 L+1.6wins+0.02per pick41cpaid+1.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x2529…548abacked PARIVISION50c23,778$11,867 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$11,910.913,22551.2%1,651 W · 1,574 L+88.0wins+0.03per pick48cpaid-6.2%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x72aa…90e0backed PARIVISION45c17,858$8,113 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$9,744.734,22849.2%2,080 W · 2,148 L+59.9wins+0.01per pick48cpaid-10.7%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0xa69d…509bbacked MOUZ67c16,000$10,720 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10,719.9619757.4%113 W · 84 L+4.5wins+0.02per pick55cpaid+3.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xb726…0664backed MOUZ41c15,815$6,512 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$6,511.6612649.2%62 W · 64 L-3.5wins-0.03per pick52cpaid-7.8%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x7a78…add7backed PARIVISION47c13,489$6,370 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$7,118.331,96946.7%919 W · 1,050 L+12.4wins+0.01per pick46cpaid-14.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x3993…cdedbacked PARIVISION54c12,532$6,822 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5,710.0483652.5%439 W · 397 L+10.1wins+0.01per pick51cpaid+0.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x67ac…edf1backed MOUZ27c12,221$3,349 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,348.5512353.7%66 W · 57 L+2.1wins+0.02per pick52cpaid-2.6%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x52ec…a6f3backed PARIVISION32c11,356$3,634 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$7,721.9946949.7%233 W · 236 L-14.1wins-0.03per pick53cpaid-8.2%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x9d93…2cf1backed MOUZ30c11,267$3,400 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,400.3111643.1%50 W · 66 L-13.6wins-0.12per pick55cpaid-27.9%equal weight39-0.10 edge/pick
0xc49f…9e05backed MOUZ65c10,078$6,550 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$6,549.9635153.8%189 W · 162 L+12.5wins+0.04per pick50cpaid+6.1%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x1867…92cabacked MOUZ61c10,000$6,100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$6,099.996555.4%36 W · 29 L+1.0wins+0.01per pick54cpaid+1.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x0bb9…9dd0backed MOUZ71c9,134$6,477 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$6,477.324173.2%30 W · 11 L+4.9wins+0.12per pick61cpaid+16.9%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x8375…ba1dbacked MOUZ24c9,000$2,168 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,168.076848.5%33 W · 35 L+0.5wins+0.01per pick48cpaid-6.1%equal weight510.00 edge/pick
0xf053…3939backed PARIVISION62c8,750$5,439 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,311.285867.2%39 W · 19 L+5.4wins+0.09per pick58cpaid+11.6%equal weight57+0.07 edge/pick
0x2005…75eabacked MOUZ43c8,669$3,759 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,758.933,25750.3%1,638 W · 1,619 L+98.0wins+0.03per pick47cpaid-6.8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xf988…d63bbacked PARIVISION33c8,640$2,851 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5,788.835850.8%182 W · 176 L+11.1wins+0.03per pick48cpaid-1.5%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x12c0…692bbacked MOUZ64c8,486$5,431 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5,430.776048.3%29 W · 31 L+0.6wins+0.01per pick47cpaid-2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x336b…1233backed PARIVISION36c8,304$2,963 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5,340.512653.2%67 W · 59 L+8.7wins+0.07per pick46cpaid+18.2%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0x9ae8…c2a8backed MOUZ45c7,665$3,443 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,443.3124846.8%116 W · 132 L-1.4wins-0.01per pick47cpaid-0.8%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0x5aa9…febebacked PARIVISION54c6,746$3,623 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,123.191,04044%458 W · 582 L-22.2wins-0.02per pick46cpaid-22.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x1d99…5591backed MOUZ50c6,130$3,067 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,066.871442.9%6 W · 8 L-1.6wins-0.11per pick54cpaid-29.8%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x54b5…4b31backed MOUZ67c6,000$3,990 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,989.9444648.4%216 W · 230 L-15.2wins-0.03per pick52cpaid-14.7%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x5b75…f8fabacked PARIVISION70c5,510$3,863 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,647.532955.2%16 W · 13 L+0.4wins+0.01per pick54cpaid+1.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xef26…05babacked PARIVISION51c5,479$2,795 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,683.6659839.6%237 W · 361 L-15.9wins-0.03per pick42cpaid-9.4%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xfe8a…23cebacked PARIVISION42c5,393$2,248 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,144.962,21447.5%1,052 W · 1,162 L-5.6wins0.00per pick48cpaid-14.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x983c…ac7cbacked PARIVISION40c5,134$2,036 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,097.871952.6%10 W · 9 L+2.6wins+0.14per pick39cpaid+11.8%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x93bc…8ca3backed PARIVISION37c5,000$1,860 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,139.981,25942.5%535 W · 724 L+20.6wins+0.02per pick41cpaid+3.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xf31b…241bbacked MOUZ46c4,089$1,879 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,879.3122927.5%63 W · 166 L-2.9wins-0.01per pick29cpaid-9.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x11e5…337ebacked MOUZ65c4,000$2,600 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,60022550.7%114 W · 111 L+0.6wins0.00per pick50cpaid0%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x99e4…e4c4backed PARIVISION33c4,000$1,320 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,679.9622142.5%94 W · 127 L-2.4wins-0.01per pick44cpaid-2.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x3b63…4acdbacked PARIVISION39c3,922$1,534 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,388.0413952.5%73 W · 66 L+9.5wins+0.07per pick46cpaid+17.5%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0x8c0b…7aa5backed PARIVISION54c3,905$2,113 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,791.5981843.2%353 W · 465 L+23.0wins+0.03per pick40cpaid+2.5%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x1765…17febacked MOUZ44c3,656$1,600 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,6002748.1%13 W · 14 L-1.7wins-0.06per pick54cpaid-16.4%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xc49b…a5b8backed PARIVISION52c3,382$1,758 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,623.7213347.4%63 W · 70 L-8.8wins-0.07per pick54cpaid-19.6%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0x2765…7ee4backed MOUZ65c3,158$2,050 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,049.5664552.9%341 W · 304 L+27.2wins+0.04per pick49cpaid+9.7%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xcd87…ac38backed PARIVISION32c3,137$1,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,136.5310047%47 W · 53 L+5.0wins+0.05per pick42cpaid-5.6%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xb7e2…826cbacked PARIVISION48c3,128$1,500 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,627.568342.2%35 W · 48 L-1.1wins-0.01per pick44cpaid-15.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xe41f…d9dcbacked PARIVISION70c2,853$1,986 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$866.6665650.3%330 W · 326 L-15.4wins-0.02per pick53cpaid-7.5%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x9cb0…3c1fbacked MOUZ35c2,826$996 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$996.254346.5%20 W · 23 L+1.7wins+0.04per pick43cpaid+10.2%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x500f…94bfbacked PARIVISION60c2,751$1,651 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,100.462060%12 W · 8 L0.0wins0.00per pick60cpaid-1.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xfdc0…4b85backed PARIVISION56c2,725$1,535 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,189.082,06641.5%858 W · 1,208 L-49.5wins-0.02per pick44cpaid-16.6%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x87da…53d1backed PARIVISION35c2,586$900 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,685.7537646.3%174 W · 202 L-17.2wins-0.05per pick51cpaid-9.9%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xe2a6…9837backed MOUZ25c2,538$637 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$637.44643.5%20 W · 26 L-0.7wins-0.02per pick45cpaid+21.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x757f…311dbacked MOUZ65c2,500$1,625 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,6253754.1%20 W · 17 L-1.5wins-0.04per pick58cpaid-6.5%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xe167…03a1backed MOUZ37c2,156$806 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$806.4641850%209 W · 209 L+9.0wins+0.02per pick48cpaid+3.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x4a0d…6d2ebacked MOUZ1c2,000$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$202524%6 W · 19 L-2.0wins-0.08per pick32cpaid-46.4%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x8f14…1e77backed MOUZ58c2,000$1,167 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,167.2811166.7%74 W · 37 L+6.8wins+0.06per pick61cpaid+3.7%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x1eb0…d25bbacked PARIVISION31c1,986$624 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,361.7627133.2%90 W · 181 L-12.8wins-0.05per pick38cpaid-23.8%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x85f9…51b1backed PARIVISION33c1,976$642 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,333.810753.3%57 W · 50 L+5.8wins+0.05per pick48cpaid+5.3%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xe3d4…2bacbacked MOUZ63c1,940$1,222 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,221.5744957.5%258 W · 191 L-19.7wins-0.04per pick62cpaid-5.5%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xb917…02c6backed MOUZ28c1,779$500 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$50011343.4%49 W · 64 L-1.8wins-0.02per pick45cpaid-12.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x9c4b…8a81backed PARIVISION34c1,695$576 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,118.4922554.2%122 W · 103 L+7.3wins+0.03per pick51cpaid-7.5%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xf7c7…620cbacked PARIVISION41c1,691$689 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,001.8414144%62 W · 79 L+0.3wins0.00per pick44cpaid+4.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x51db…f9b3backed MOUZ42c1,590$667 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$666.746,48042.9%2,782 W · 3,698 L-79.1wins-0.01per pick44cpaid-21.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x0659…d74dbacked MOUZ66c1,587$1,048 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,048.2898052.4%514 W · 466 L+26.9wins+0.03per pick50cpaid+3.9%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x0785…81c3backed MOUZ64c1,572$1,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,00015970.4%112 W · 47 L-0.9wins-0.01per pick71cpaid-0.6%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0x12d9…01bbbacked PARIVISION32c1,500$480 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,02061228.9%177 W · 435 L-9.2wins-0.01per pick30cpaid-13.9%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x2a8c…fd3dbacked PARIVISION44c1,302$570 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$732.2152837.1%196 W · 332 L+4.2wins+0.01per pick36cpaid-3.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x2a71…e454backed PARIVISION36c1,250$450 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$80024944.6%111 W · 138 L+6.0wins+0.02per pick42cpaid+7.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xebff…70e5backed MOUZ39c1,214$468 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$467.862,77424.5%681 W · 2,093 L-295.8wins-0.11per pick35cpaid-50.7%equal weight38-0.11 edge/pick
0x0cd9…2a08backed PARIVISION35c1,203$421 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$782.221528.8%62 W · 153 L-10.1wins-0.05per pick34cpaid-19.7%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xe911…3d4ebacked MOUZ54c1,173$633 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$633.112,77637.4%1,038 W · 1,738 L-140.2wins-0.05per pick42cpaid-20.7%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0xec0e…672cbacked PARIVISION64c1,133$729 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$404.1247738.4%183 W · 294 L-26.7wins-0.06per pick44cpaid-31.2%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x538e…c195backed MOUZ68c1,126$766 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$765.6516349.7%81 W · 82 L-19.7wins-0.12per pick62cpaid-21.5%equal weight38-0.11 edge/pick
0xebba…383cbacked MOUZ60c1,113$672 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$671.692259.1%13 W · 9 L+1.6wins+0.07per pick52cpaid+23.7%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x994d…3d8dbacked PARIVISION34c1,077$371 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$705.9152834.3%181 W · 347 L-6.4wins-0.01per pick35cpaid-13.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xcb5b…f243backed MOUZ50c1,072$533 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$533.354,03848.1%1,943 W · 2,095 L-23.9wins-0.01per pick49cpaid-11.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xe8c9…dfeabacked MOUZ68c1,047$712 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$712.21747.1%8 W · 9 L-1.7wins-0.10per pick57cpaid-17.3%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x3ae1…befbbacked MOUZ32c1,030$335 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$334.5540950.6%207 W · 202 L-3.8wins-0.01per pick52cpaid-7.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x40a2…19c9backed PARIVISION55c1,000$550 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4509340.9%38 W · 55 L-7.7wins-0.08per pick49cpaid-23%equal weight43-0.07 edge/pick
0x22ae…af00backed MOUZ46c1,000$460 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$46026451.5%136 W · 128 L-0.1wins0.00per pick52cpaid-5.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xb48b…04ebbacked MOUZ47c1,000$470 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4702231.8%7 W · 15 L-3.6wins-0.16per pick48cpaid-42.7%equal weight42-0.08 edge/pick
0x996c…b6ecbacked PARIVISION50c1,000$500 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$50018860.1%113 W · 75 L+6.7wins+0.04per pick57cpaid-2.8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xd92d…e560backed MOUZ23c999.99$230 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$23058651%299 W · 287 L+3.8wins+0.01per pick50cpaid-2.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x1b97…4d93backed MOUZ57c999.99$567 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$566.998151.9%42 W · 39 L-1.1wins-0.01per pick53cpaid-6.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xcd43…88d7backed PARIVISION38c998.24$377 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$621.2414532.4%47 W · 98 L-4.0wins-0.03per pick35cpaid-9.9%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x4ec4…6529backed PARIVISION21c938.1$195 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$743.18944.9%40 W · 49 L-1.1wins-0.01per pick46cpaid-4.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x7767…4fb2backed PARIVISION74c883.35$654 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$229.0912259.8%73 W · 49 L+7.0wins+0.06per pick54cpaid+11.7%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x6c47…7a9fbacked MOUZ49c810$397 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$396.8514137.6%53 W · 88 L-3.0wins-0.02per pick40cpaid-3.9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xcd5f…8a9bbacked MOUZ50c800$400 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$40013540.7%55 W · 80 L-5.8wins-0.04per pick45cpaid-15.1%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x35ea…99bcbacked PARIVISION36c799.99$291 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$508.9913657.4%78 W · 58 L+0.6wins0.00per pick57cpaid-5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x1a8d…ab7ebacked PARIVISION34c799.98$274 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$525.9916846.4%78 W · 90 L+6.9wins+0.04per pick42cpaid+4.2%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xf2ca…b467backed MOUZ63c791.95$500 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5009769.1%67 W · 30 L+8.9wins+0.09per pick60cpaid+36.1%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0xe203…1b53backed MOUZ65c763.13$499 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$499.4535344.8%158 W · 195 L-1.4wins0.00per pick45cpaid-2.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x9d94…017dbacked PARIVISION49c760.6$371 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$389.782,22141.3%917 W · 1,304 L-22.6wins-0.01per pick42cpaid-19.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x6df5…6430backed MOUZ30c750$225 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2251,27821.9%280 W · 998 L-24.3wins-0.02per pick24cpaid-16.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x8b14…2d9bbacked PARIVISION75c749.73$559 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$190.465453.7%29 W · 25 L-0.9wins-0.02per pick55cpaid-5.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x1f13…3a2dbacked PARIVISION69c729.56$507 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$222.781764.7%11 W · 6 L+1.4wins+0.08per pick56cpaid+6.1%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x661d…4dc6backed MOUZ49c715.81$350 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$349.9361837.9%234 W · 384 L-22.5wins-0.04per pick41cpaid-25.7%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x5454…ceadbacked PARIVISION38c699.98$266 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$433.999552.6%50 W · 45 L+3.5wins+0.04per pick49cpaid+5.6%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xbc67…5286backed PARIVISION58c671.89$389 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$282.751,03361.6%636 W · 397 L+87.2wins+0.08per pick53cpaid+11.1%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0x064e…4347backed PARIVISION32c625$200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4258537.6%32 W · 53 L-3.4wins-0.04per pick42cpaid-15.7%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x3f97…4059backed MOUZ62c613.13$383 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$383.1446149.9%230 W · 231 L-1.1wins0.00per pick50cpaid+0.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x21ec…5348backed MOUZ62c610.77$378 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$377.7772453.7%389 W · 335 L+11.9wins+0.02per pick52cpaid+3.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x0694…4a4ebacked MOUZ41c600$246 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$24614355.9%80 W · 63 L+9.5wins+0.07per pick49cpaid+9.1%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0xda32…04a1backed MOUZ42c600$254 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$253.7931444.9%141 W · 173 L+9.0wins+0.03per pick42cpaid-0.4%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in CS2 and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 6 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.