TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

CS2 · resolved market

Games Total: O/U 2.5

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Underof Over, Under
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
CS2every record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$340,836
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$347,737

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $340,836 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 151 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in CS2 is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in CS2
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0xc257…358ebacked Over50c250,000$125,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$125,00039249%192 W · 200 L+0.9wins0.00per pick49cpaid-2.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xe90b…5da2backed Under50c247,594$123,797 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$123,796.821051%107 W · 103 L0.0wins0.00per pick51cpaid-4.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xc68d…2fe8backed Over51c13,500$6,825 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$6,824.975129.4%15 W · 36 L-8.2wins-0.16per pick46cpaid-45.1%equal weight38-0.11 edge/pick
0x72aa…90e0backed Under50c7,234$3,583 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,651.544,23849.2%2,085 W · 2,153 L+60.6wins+0.01per pick48cpaid-10.7%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x3993…cdedbacked Under48c7,222$3,466 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,755.3683652.5%439 W · 397 L+10.1wins+0.01per pick51cpaid+0.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xcccc…dbddbacked Under49c7,134$3,521 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,612.9517148%82 W · 89 L-5.5wins-0.03per pick51cpaid-6.9%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x4c8c…d09dbacked Over50c5,137$2,577 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,577.253246.9%15 W · 17 L+0.1wins0.00per pick46cpaid-6.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x7a78…add7backed Over52c5,113$2,644 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,643.921,96946.7%919 W · 1,050 L+12.4wins+0.01per pick46cpaid-14.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xfe8a…23cebacked Over55c4,663$2,585 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,585.492,22347.5%1,056 W · 1,167 L-5.7wins0.00per pick48cpaid-14.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xfd3f…44f1backed Under49c4,593$2,270 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,322.9517847.2%84 W · 94 L+2.1wins+0.01per pick46cpaid+5.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xf7c2…9b8dbacked Under48c4,283$2,048 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,234.8947347.1%223 W · 250 L+9.8wins+0.02per pick45cpaid+2.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x2005…75eabacked Over41c4,223$1,736 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,735.693,25950.3%1,639 W · 1,620 L+98.1wins+0.03per pick47cpaid-6.8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xbf5e…4189backed Over51c4,060$2,083 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,083.1133452.1%174 W · 160 L+10.7wins+0.03per pick49cpaid+1.9%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xc622…bbedbacked Over52c3,308$1,720 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,719.9550%0 W · 5 L-2.3wins-0.45per pick45cpaid-100%equal weight42-0.08 edge/pick
0xab4e…c4a0backed Under51c3,137$1,600 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,537.252832.1%9 W · 19 L-2.9wins-0.10per pick43cpaid-33.1%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0xe2a6…9837backed Over50c2,700$1,350 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,3504643.5%20 W · 26 L-0.7wins-0.02per pick45cpaid+21.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x2529…548abacked Under47c2,095$987 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,108.393,23651.2%1,657 W · 1,579 L+88.9wins+0.03per pick48cpaid-6.1%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x99a3…9fffbacked Under50c2,040$1,020 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,020366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.7wins+0.23per pick44cpaid+33.3%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x6e12…20e9backed Under50c2,000$1,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,00010947.7%52 W · 57 L+4.5wins+0.04per pick44cpaid+10.1%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x8738…222bbacked Under52c2,000$1,040 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$959.924548.9%22 W · 23 L-2.5wins-0.05per pick54cpaid-15.8%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x6ac5…4b6ebacked Over50c1,804$898 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$898.481,72346.8%807 W · 916 L+1.1wins0.00per pick47cpaid-1.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xbf5e…4e1abacked Under49c1,365$669 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$696.0812038.3%46 W · 74 L-8.1wins-0.07per pick45cpaid-18.4%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0x3704…0e84backed Under50c1,248$624 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$62421043.8%92 W · 118 L-12.6wins-0.06per pick50cpaid-14.5%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x617b…a499backed Under48c1,225$588 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$637.185947.5%28 W · 31 L-3.6wins-0.06per pick54cpaid-11.9%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xc4c4…6dfdbacked Over62c1,187$736 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$736.4116853.6%90 W · 78 L-6.3wins-0.04per pick57cpaid-13.9%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x4ec4…6529backed Over52c1,142$598 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$598.238944.9%40 W · 49 L-1.1wins-0.01per pick46cpaid-4.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x24a5…b3bbbacked Under34c1,090$372 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$718.6629127.5%80 W · 211 L+3.5wins+0.01per pick26cpaid-2.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xa097…8795backed Over51c1,057$539 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$539.0717347.4%82 W · 91 L-1.7wins-0.01per pick48cpaid-3.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x66b1…340fbacked Under49c1,020$500 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$520.21,16748.2%562 W · 605 L+1.8wins0.00per pick48cpaid+0.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x7da6…4ff3backed Over51c1,000$510 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$51010053%53 W · 47 L+5.0wins+0.05per pick48cpaid+7.2%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xddd3…dba6backed Under50c960$480 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$48011252.7%59 W · 53 L+5.5wins+0.05per pick48cpaid+10.9%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x3b63…4acdbacked Under47c905.4$426 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$479.8613952.5%73 W · 66 L+9.5wins+0.07per pick46cpaid+17.5%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0xf988…d63bbacked Under50c812.31$406 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$406.1635850.8%182 W · 176 L+11.1wins+0.03per pick48cpaid-1.5%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xd9f8…e913backed Under49c700$343 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3573948.7%19 W · 20 L-2.7wins-0.07per pick56cpaid-8.2%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xc4db…7e0cbacked Under47c665.26$315 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$350.591,57335.3%556 W · 1,017 L+22.5wins+0.01per pick34cpaid+3.5%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x9592…a85bbacked Over51c600$306 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$30636245.3%164 W · 198 L+12.6wins+0.03per pick42cpaid-4.6%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xef21…3dc9backed Under49c591.84$290 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$301.8419843.4%86 W · 112 L+3.3wins+0.02per pick42cpaid+1.1%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0xbd0c…bca8backed Over52c589.56$307 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$306.57666.7%4 W · 2 L+0.9wins+0.15per pick51cpaid+26.3%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x6bdd…1b11backed Under49c583$286 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$297.3322045.5%100 W · 120 L+4.7wins+0.02per pick43cpaid-0.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x0438…9d98backed Over52c574.22$300 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$30024346.9%114 W · 129 L-7.1wins-0.03per pick50cpaid-11.5%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xa4fd…0095backed Under53c566.04$300 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$266.041258.3%7 W · 5 L+0.1wins0.00per pick58cpaid+1.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xa632…4c96backed Under49c530.61$260 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$270.617149.3%35 W · 36 L-1.1wins-0.02per pick51cpaid-5.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x8052…1124backed Under50c524$261 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$262.5514454.2%78 W · 66 L+9.5wins+0.07per pick48cpaid+13.6%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0x8912…1712backed Over54c522.08$283 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$283.2827735.7%99 W · 178 L-5.0wins-0.02per pick38cpaid-15.8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xc7c2…190bbacked Over61c452.94$276 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$275.656643.9%29 W · 37 L+6.7wins+0.10per pick34cpaid+43.4%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0xdc86…7e77backed Under52c449.6$234 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$215.7426336.5%96 W · 167 L-17.7wins-0.07per pick43cpaid-31.3%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x1ab6…078ebacked Under49c430.31$211 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$219.7623952.3%125 W · 114 L+14.6wins+0.06per pick46cpaid+10.8%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0xf171…85febacked Over52c403.85$210 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2107350.7%37 W · 36 L+3.3wins+0.05per pick46cpaid+11.8%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x285a…0126backed Over50c400$200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20013857.2%79 W · 59 L-3.7wins-0.03per pick60cpaid-5.3%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x1c5e…269bbacked Over51c392.16$200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20042050%210 W · 210 L-10.5wins-0.02per pick52cpaid-3.1%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x492c…16d1backed Over35c387$137 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$136.59366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.9wins+0.29per pick38cpaid+70.9%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x6267…e11bbacked Over52c384.62$200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2001136.4%4 W · 7 L-1.8wins-0.16per pick52cpaid-49.5%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x552b…604bbacked Over53c377.36$200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2001741.2%7 W · 10 L-1.2wins-0.07per pick48cpaid-20.4%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xf9d1…70cebacked Under50c304.29$152 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$152.311100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.50per pick50cpaid+100.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x99a2…feedbacked Over51c300$153 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15312232%39 W · 83 L-4.7wins-0.04per pick36cpaid-9.4%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x4a2b…3377backed Over52c288.46$150 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1504165.9%27 W · 14 L+6.4wins+0.16per pick50cpaid+20.7%equal weight61+0.10 edge/pick
0x8380…375ebacked Over68c267.64$182 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$182.396851.5%35 W · 33 L-6.6wins-0.10per pick61cpaid-19.9%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0xf82d…0e4bbacked Under49c262.31$129 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$133.7650%3 W · 3 L-0.4wins-0.07per pick57cpaid-9.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x634a…6de3backed Over52c251.75$130 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$13042751.5%220 W · 207 L-12.8wins-0.03per pick55cpaid-7.2%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x17cd…7423backed Under49c251.2$123 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$128.1146343.2%200 W · 263 L+1.7wins0.00per pick43cpaid+0.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x4a87…fb21backed Under50c244.99$122 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$122.516644.6%74 W · 92 L-11.6wins-0.07per pick52cpaid-17%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0xd68d…1f62backed Over53c242.18$128 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$128.0625446.1%117 W · 137 L-11.7wins-0.05per pick51cpaid-15.5%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x41a3…017dbacked Over50c201.29$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10045162.3%281 W · 170 L+4.0wins+0.01per pick61cpaid+1.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x2e7c…164dbacked Under49c200.95$98 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$102.535043.1%151 W · 199 L+8.0wins+0.02per pick41cpaid+3.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xd2e5…ebeabacked Over50c200$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1009550.5%48 W · 47 L-2.0wins-0.02per pick53cpaid-8.8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xa76e…dcb6backed Under50c200$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1001,31053.7%703 W · 607 L+32.0wins+0.02per pick51cpaid+3.7%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xa45d…b413backed Over62c199.09$124 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$123.575261.5%32 W · 20 L+2.0wins+0.04per pick58cpaid+7.9%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xc8aa…20f6backed Over52c198$103 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$102.96333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.4wins-0.15per pick48cpaid+54.8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x80d8…b703backed Under48c195.63$94 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$101.271,67651.1%857 W · 819 L+21.2wins+0.01per pick50cpaid-2.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x6a18…2ef0backed Under52c192.44$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$92.4424055.8%134 W · 106 L+2.0wins+0.01per pick55cpaid-2.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x3488…54c2backed Over53c188.57$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10014856.1%83 W · 65 L+6.1wins+0.04per pick52cpaid+8.5%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x6c74…c217backed Under49c184.27$90 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$94.033240.6%13 W · 19 L-2.3wins-0.07per pick48cpaid-20.5%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xb7e4…2a20backed Over51c180$92 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$91.82334.8%8 W · 15 L-2.8wins-0.12per pick47cpaid-16%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0xe911…3d4ebacked Under53c160$85 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$74.82,79837.6%1,051 W · 1,747 L-138.2wins-0.05per pick43cpaid-20.6%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0xe660…2ac1backed Over51c152.7$78 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$7814654.8%80 W · 66 L+2.8wins+0.02per pick53cpaid+2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x6df8…5332backed Over66c151.59$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10010%0 W · 1 L-0.7wins-0.66per pick66cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xff85…4d83backed Under36c139.81$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$89.881338.5%5 W · 8 L+1.1wins+0.09per pick30cpaid-7.3%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x2344…6ba3backed Under51c131.76$67 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$64.5610849.1%53 W · 55 L-1.7wins-0.02per pick51cpaid-7.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x9e04…28a9backed Under32c128.42$41 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$87.3336845.1%166 W · 202 L+5.0wins+0.01per pick44cpaid+4.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x6b1a…16b7backed Over48c120.46$58 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$57.821844.4%8 W · 10 L-1.5wins-0.08per pick53cpaid-22.6%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xb8a7…203fbacked Over51c117.65$60 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$604770.2%33 W · 14 L+3.8wins+0.08per pick62cpaid+18.8%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xc82a…cc74backed Over52c115.38$60 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$60425%1 W · 3 L-1.1wins-0.28per pick53cpaid-68.8%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xf8a8…48c0backed Over51c110$56 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$56.125251.2%129 W · 123 L+0.6wins0.00per pick51cpaid-6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x819a…4b03backed Over62c101$63 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$62.622166.7%14 W · 7 L+1.5wins+0.07per pick59cpaid+17.8%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xd574…3152backed Over50c100$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$508444%37 W · 47 L-7.1wins-0.08per pick53cpaid-20.9%equal weight43-0.07 edge/pick
0xaadb…85f9backed Over50c100$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5025941.3%107 W · 152 L-6.0wins-0.02per pick44cpaid-8.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x648a…6af9backed Over56c100$56 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5610%0 W · 1 L-0.6wins-0.56per pick56cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x04db…7703backed Over51c100$51 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5141645.9%191 W · 225 L+22.3wins+0.05per pick41cpaid+2.3%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x6684…2985backed Over50c99.41$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$501030%3 W · 7 L-1.5wins-0.15per pick45cpaid-37.5%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x1448…b30bbacked Over51c98.04$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$509546.3%44 W · 51 L+6.8wins+0.07per pick39cpaid+3.9%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0x5981…36f3backed Over52c96.15$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$504158.5%24 W · 17 L+0.8wins+0.02per pick57cpaid-2.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x1b2c…5e10backed Over52c96.15$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5033456.6%189 W · 145 L-9.7wins-0.03per pick60cpaid-5.3%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xa5a8…bf60backed Over52c96.15$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5098856.1%554 W · 434 L+21.8wins+0.02per pick54cpaid+4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x5541…f1e3backed Over52c96.15$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5019150.8%97 W · 94 L-0.5wins0.00per pick51cpaid-4.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x0483…483bbacked Over53c94.34$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$502035%7 W · 13 L-3.3wins-0.17per pick52cpaid-43.6%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0xc0af…5490backed Over53c94.34$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$509260.9%56 W · 36 L+5.5wins+0.06per pick55cpaid+14.1%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0xc67e…b892backed Over53c94.34$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$501145.5%5 W · 6 L-1.4wins-0.13per pick59cpaid-7%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x2de8…1121backed Over54c93.02$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$503961.5%24 W · 15 L-0.9wins-0.02per pick64cpaid-2.7%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x4238…3233backed Over55c90.96$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$501844.4%8 W · 10 L+0.6wins+0.03per pick41cpaid+0.1%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0xd265…a7ecbacked Under47c86.87$41 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$46.047651.3%39 W · 37 L+5.0wins+0.07per pick45cpaid+11.7%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in CS2 and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 6 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.