TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Wallet 0x6c74…c217

Rebuilt .

Summary

Qualified picks
48
Categories scored
4
Categories below 50
2

Best Category: Dota2, grading 63 out of 100 (+0.11 per pick).

Best Category Dota2 at 63 out of 100; worst CS2 at 45.

What is a Tail Score?

A mark out of 100, per Category. 50 means no edge at all — this wallet did about what the prices it paid implied it would. Above 50 it beat those prices; below 50 it did worse than them.

The scale does not move. 100 is a wallet beating the prices it paid by 0.45 per pick and 0 is losing to them by the same, on every wallet, on every page, in every month. So a grade you screenshot today still means what it meant when you took it, and two wallets can be put side by side.

Nobody reaches either end. Across every wallet TailMyPicks has scored, the marks run from roughly 5 to 87 — which is what a fixed ruler costs, and what buys the sentence above.

It is not a win rate. A wallet can win four Picks in five and still grade below 50, if the market was already pricing those outcomes at 90c — it paid for the wins rather than finding them. The vs expected and Avg entry columns below are what separate the two.

The mark is deliberately pulled toward 50 when there is little evidence. Three lucky Picks do not produce a high grade; several hundred consistent ones do. So a modest grade on thousands of Picks means something a high grade on twelve does not.

Because it is shrunk this way, a Category grade is a conservative reading. The headline figure for a wallet is its best Category, so it always understates how badly the wallet does in its worst one — which is why the table below is per Category and not one blended number.

Record by Category

Ordered by how much this wallet actually traded in each Category, not by score — so the Categories it plays most appear first whether they went well or badly. Open any row to see the picks its numbers were computed from — all of them.

CategoryQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
CS2 Inactivelast resolved Apr 4, 2026, EDT3240.6%13 W · 19 L-2.3wins-0.07per pick48cpaid-20.5%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
CS2 — the 32 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in CS2, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Counter-Strike: FlyQuest vs Chinggis Warriors (BO3) - GangKui Cup Playoffsbacked Chinggis Warriors · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)21c$102Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 4, 2026, EDT-100%-$102.02
Counter-Strike: BESTIA vs BIG Academy - Map 1 Winnerbacked BESTIA · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$406Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 3, 2026, EDT+42.9%+$173.81
Counter-Strike: 100 Thieves vs Lavked - Map 1 Winnerbacked Lavked · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)36c$183Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 2, 2026, EDT-100%-$183.47
Counter-Strike: ECSTATIC vs Johnny Speeds (BO3) - NODWIN Clutch Series Playoffsbacked Johnny Speeds · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)41c$198Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 1, 2026, EDT+143.9%+$284.56
Counter-Strike: Omega vs Ursa - Map 1 Winnerbacked Omega · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)42c$215Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 30, 2026, EDT-100%-$215.21
Counter-Strike: Infinite vs BIG Academy (BO3) - United21 Playoffsbacked Infinite · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$285Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 27, 2026, EDT+75.4%+$215
Counter-Strike: Rune Eaters vs CSDIILIT - Map 1 Winnerbacked Rune Eaters · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$260Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 24, 2026, EDT-100%-$260
Counter-Strike: ASTRAL vs Leo Team (BO3) - NODWIN Clutch Series Group Stagebacked ASTRAL · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)39c$234Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 23, 2026, EDT-100%-$234
Counter-Strike: PARIVISION vs Spirit - Map 1 Winnerbacked PARIVISION · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)32c$192Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 21, 2026, EDT+212.5%+$407.99
Counter-Strike: Rune Eaters vs The Last Resort (BO3) - NODWIN Clutch Series Group Stagebacked Rune Eaters · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$255Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$255
Counter-Strike: Lilmix vs BIG Academy (BO3) - CCT Europe Closed Qualifier: Series #19 Group Cbacked Lilmix · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)41c$205Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 18, 2026, EDT+143.9%+$295
Games Total: O/U 2.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$265Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 17, 2026, EDT+88.7%+$235
Counter-Strike: Players vs Guara Esports - Map 1 Winnerbacked Guara Esports · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)35c$175Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 16, 2026, EDT-100%-$175
Counter-Strike: Liquid vs OG - Map 2 Winnerbacked OG · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)41c$193Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 15, 2026, EDT-100%-$192.7
Counter-Strike: 100 Thieves vs FOKUS - Map 1 Winnerbacked FOKUS · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)39c$203Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 9, 2026, EDT-100%-$202.8
Counter-Strike: paiN vs Aurora Gaming - Map 2 Winnerbacked Aurora Gaming · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$281Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 8, 2026, EDT+63.9%+$179.4
Counter-Strike: Monte vs Legacy - Map 2 Winnerbacked Legacy · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$314Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 7, 2026, EST+75.4%+$236.5
Counter-Strike: G2 vs NIP - Map 1 Winnerbacked G2 · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$249Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 5, 2026, EST+66.7%+$166
Counter-Strike: Rune Eaters vs Eternal Fire - Map 1 Winnerbacked Eternal Fire · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$316Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 5, 2026, EST-100%-$316.2
Counter-Strike: PARIVISION vs Monte - Map 2 Winnerbacked Monte · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)32c$166Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 4, 2026, EST-100%-$166.4
Games Total: O/U 2.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$224Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 3, 2026, EST-100%-$224.4
Counter-Strike: ReThink vs Imperial Academy - Map 2 Winnerbacked ReThink · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$283Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 3, 2026, EST+69.5%+$196.8
Counter-Strike: Passion UA vs FUT Esports - Map 2 Winnerbacked FUT Esports · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$271Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 2, 2026, EST-100%-$270.6
Games Total: O/U 2.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$221Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 2, 2026, EST-100%-$220.5
Counter-Strike: Omega vs Acend (BO3) - European Pro League Series 5 Group Dbacked Omega · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)31c$124Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 1, 2026, EST-100%-$124
Showing 25 of 32 picks, newest first.
Dota2 Inactivelast resolved Mar 28, 2026, EDT1478.6%11 W · 3 L+4.4wins+0.31per pick47cpaid+67.6%equal weight63+0.11 edge/pick
Dota2 — the 14 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Dota2, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Games Total: O/U 2.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$278Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 28, 2026, EDT+96.1%+$267.05
Dota 2: Aurora vs Tundra Esports - Game 1 Winnerbacked Aurora · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$255Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 26, 2026, EDT-100%-$255
Games Total: O/U 2.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$224Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 14, 2026, EDT+92.3%+$206.4
Dota 2: Heroic vs Vici Gaming - Game 2 Winnerbacked Vici Gaming · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)42c$235Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 13, 2026, EDT+138.1%+$324.8
Games Total: O/U 2.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$275Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 12, 2026, EDT+100%+$275
Games Total: O/U 2.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$254Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 11, 2026, EDT+108.3%+$275.6
Dota 2: PARIVISION vs Team Yandex - Game 2 Winnerbacked Team Yandex · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$226Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 10, 2026, EDT+112.8%+$254.4
Dota 2: OG vs MOUZ - Game 1 Winnerbacked OG · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$208Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 9, 2026, EDT+92.3%+$192
Dota 2: Xtreme Gaming vs Team Falcons - Game 1 Winnerbacked Team Falcons · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)43c$159Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 27, 2026, EST+132.6%+$210.9
Dota 2: Team Liquid vs PARIVISION - Game 2 Winnerbacked PARIVISION · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)35c$105Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 25, 2026, EST-100%-$105
Dota 2: BetBoom Team vs PARIVISION - Game 2 Winnerbacked BetBoom Team · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)42c$88Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 24, 2026, EST+138.1%+$121.8
Dota 2: PARIVISION vs Xtreme Gaming - Game 2 Winnerbacked Xtreme Gaming · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)38c$80Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 23, 2026, EST+163.2%+$130.2
Dota 2: Tundra Esports vs Natus Vincere (BO2) - DreamLeague Stage 1 Group Bbacked Tundra Esports · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$17Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 20, 2026, EST+72.4%+$12.6
Dota 2: Natus Vincere vs MOUZ - Game 2 Winnerbacked Natus Vincere · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$16Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 19, 2026, EST-100%-$15.6
All 14 picks, newest first.
Valorant Inactivelast resolved Mar 20, 2026, EDT1100%1 W · 0 L+0.6wins+0.58per pick42cpaid+138.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
Valorant — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Valorant, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Valorant: Rival Esports vs TrinitY - Map 1 Winnerbacked TrinitY · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)42c$214Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 20, 2026, EDT+138.1%+$295.8
All 1 picks, newest first.
Lol Inactivelast resolved Feb 26, 2026, EST10%0 W · 1 L-0.3wins-0.30per pick30cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Lol — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Lol, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Games Total: O/U 3.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)30c$89Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 26, 2026, EST-100%-$88.5
All 1 picks, newest first.

vs expected is how many more (or fewer) Picks this wallet won than the prices it paid implied it would. It is the column that tells a real edge apart from a record bought by backing favourites. Realizable edge is what that comes to per Pick for somebody copying the wallet, after the cost of getting in behind it. Avg entry is the average price it paid, so a strong record built on heavy favourites shows as one. ROI per pick counts every Pick equally rather than by size, which is how a record earned across many Picks is told apart from one carried by a few large ones. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in — an American night game settles after midnight UTC, so any other zone would name the day after the one it was played on. Inactive means nothing has resolved in that Category recently. The score is kept and the wallet stays reachable here; it only leaves the default leaderboard.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.