CS2 · resolved market
Counter-Strike: Rune Eaters vs CSDIILIT - Map 1 Winner
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x5fc672b9cf25f5d14b19f751d53557b82335e28d97975290a7fd1eb8c2661c8d
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- CSDIILITof Rune Eaters, CSDIILIT
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- CS2every record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- Polymarket published no figure
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $35,003
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $35,003 — TailMyPicks’s own total, because the venue published none.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 73 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in CS2 is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in CS2 | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x2652…2a1dbacked CSDIILIT | 53c | 2,304$1,216 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,088.24 | 2,326 | 55.7%1,296 W · 1,030 L | +44.8wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -9.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked Rune Eaters | 61c | 1,964$1,201 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,201.21 | 3,096 | 48.5%1,501 W · 1,595 L | +135.0wins | +0.04per pick | 44cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x861f…a189backed CSDIILIT | 27c | 1,826$487 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,338.44 | 921 | 52.6%484 W · 437 L | +16.3wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x51db…f9b3backed CSDIILIT | 45c | 1,549$703 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$845.97 | 6,480 | 42.9%2,782 W · 3,698 L | -79.1wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -21.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbc67…5286backed CSDIILIT | 40c | 1,368$546 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$821.63 | 1,033 | 61.6%636 W · 397 L | +87.2wins | +0.08per pick | 53cpaid | +11.1%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x0c99…0c88backed CSDIILIT | 41c | 1,006$410 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$595.78 | 2,434 | 44.6%1,085 W · 1,349 L | -64.0wins | -0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -13.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0656…4d9bbacked Rune Eaters | 1c | 1,000$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13 | 194 | 3.6%7 W · 187 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 4cpaid | -48.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe4a4…ebccbacked Rune Eaters | 1c | 1,000$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13 | 11 | 0%0 W · 11 L | -0.5wins | -0.04per pick | 4cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdc5a…bf71backed Rune Eaters | 54c | 886.32$475 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$474.81 | 807 | 44.6%360 W · 447 L | -5.2wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -15.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcb5b…f243backed Rune Eaters | 55c | 704.15$388 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$387.65 | 4,038 | 48.1%1,943 W · 2,095 L | -23.9wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa557…5e8abacked Rune Eaters | 2c | 700$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13 | 197 | 3.6%7 W · 190 L | -1.3wins | -0.01per pick | 4cpaid | -91.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked Rune Eaters | 62c | 564.25$351 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$350.8 | 7,925 | 50.4%3,997 W · 3,928 L | +179.4wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0e1b…ecafbacked CSDIILIT | 19c | 544.95$106 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$438.95 | 2,328 | 51.1%1,189 W · 1,139 L | +92.3wins | +0.04per pick | 47cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xdf76…db81backed CSDIILIT | 49c | 520$255 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$265.2 | 21 | 33.3%7 W · 14 L | -4.4wins | -0.21per pick | 54cpaid | -38.1%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x6c74…c217backed Rune Eaters | 50c | 520$260 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$260 | 32 | 40.6%13 W · 19 L | -2.3wins | -0.07per pick | 48cpaid | -20.5%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3952…c2b4backed Rune Eaters | 50c | 500$250 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$250 | 27 | 40.7%11 W · 16 L | -0.5wins | -0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -5.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5e2b…2de7backed CSDIILIT | 49c | 500$245 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$255 | 16 | 37.5%6 W · 10 L | -1.9wins | -0.12per pick | 50cpaid | -31.5%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xf743…1811backed CSDIILIT | 52c | 473$246 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$227.16 | 298 | 31.5%94 W · 204 L | -16.1wins | -0.05per pick | 37cpaid | -29.3%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x8929…733ebacked Rune Eaters | 45c | 397.61$178 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$177.52 | 157 | 32.5%51 W · 106 L | -11.8wins | -0.07per pick | 40cpaid | -30.4%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xc14d…f137backed Rune Eaters | 59c | 397.08$234 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$233.85 | 81 | 46.9%38 W · 43 L | -8.7wins | -0.11per pick | 58cpaid | -24.9%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x6c64…89babacked Rune Eaters | 53c | 380$202 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$202 | 345 | 42.3%146 W · 199 L | -8.0wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -5.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x21ec…7307backed CSDIILIT | 65c | 307.41$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$107.41 | 132 | 67.4%89 W · 43 L | +1.1wins | +0.01per pick | 67cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x42b8…5379backed CSDIILIT | 66c | 302.4$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$102.4 | 314 | 52.2%164 W · 150 L | -10.8wins | -0.03per pick | 56cpaid | -6.2%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc4db…7e0cbacked CSDIILIT | 41c | 297.36$122 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$175.3 | 1,573 | 35.3%556 W · 1,017 L | +22.5wins | +0.01per pick | 34cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2a09…daf2backed CSDIILIT | 66c | 267.33$178 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$89.58 | 25 | 40%10 W · 15 L | +1.6wins | +0.06per pick | 34cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xea9e…4925backed CSDIILIT | 46c | 195.65$90 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$105.65 | 9 | 55.6%5 W · 4 L | +1.1wins | +0.12per pick | 44cpaid | +28.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6cc8…67f7backed CSDIILIT | 59c | 191.88$112 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$79.39 | 24 | 70.8%17 W · 7 L | +2.9wins | +0.12per pick | 59cpaid | +23.2%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x8d85…c436backed CSDIILIT | 37c | 186.3$68 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$118.01 | 219 | 56.2%123 W · 96 L | +14.7wins | +0.07per pick | 49cpaid | +10%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xf301…4ce1backed Rune Eaters | 55c | 182.18$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 55 | 43.6%24 W · 31 L | +6.5wins | +0.12per pick | 32cpaid | +27.4%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xdc33…aa3ebacked CSDIILIT | 39c | 167.67$65 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$102.67 | 21 | 47.6%10 W · 11 L | +1.1wins | +0.05per pick | 42cpaid | +8%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa07d…a037backed CSDIILIT | 17c | 157.66$27 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$130.65 | 2,102 | 16.8%353 W · 1,749 L | -286.5wins | -0.14per pick | 30cpaid | -47.2%equal weight | 35-0.13 edge/pick |
| 0x5010…3bdabacked Rune Eaters | 57c | 123.21$70 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$70 | 50 | 48%24 W · 26 L | -1.3wins | -0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2ecb…7645backed Rune Eaters | 47c | 117.65$56 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$55.67 | 1,547 | 33.9%524 W · 1,023 L | -73.4wins | -0.05per pick | 39cpaid | -33.1%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xb69f…d51cbacked Rune Eaters | 47c | 115.4$54 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$54.08 | 56 | 41.1%23 W · 33 L | -2.9wins | -0.05per pick | 46cpaid | -18%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6ac5…4b6ebacked CSDIILIT | 43c | 108.08$47 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$61.28 | 1,714 | 46.7%801 W · 913 L | +1.1wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa9f5…937fbacked Rune Eaters | 46c | 105$49 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48.71 | 3,910 | 36.6%1,431 W · 2,479 L | -197.6wins | -0.05per pick | 42cpaid | -29.1%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x9d94…017dbacked Rune Eaters | 58c | 100.77$59 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$58.72 | 2,221 | 41.3%917 W · 1,304 L | -22.6wins | -0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -19.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x953f…15e6backed Rune Eaters | 48c | 100$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48 | 275 | 56.4%155 W · 120 L | -0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 57cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x91ac…5ff3backed CSDIILIT | 43c | 99.99$43 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$57 | 771 | 46%355 W · 416 L | +0.8wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -2.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7300…e52cbacked Rune Eaters | 65c | 99.99$65 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$64.99 | 224 | 47.8%107 W · 117 L | +9.2wins | +0.04per pick | 44cpaid | +12.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0ac5…f963backed Rune Eaters | 57c | 98.24$56 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$56 | 517 | 55.9%289 W · 228 L | +20.3wins | +0.04per pick | 52cpaid | +5.6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xbbdf…b8a0backed CSDIILIT | 46c | 93$43 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$50.22 | 68 | 58.8%40 W · 28 L | -3.0wins | -0.04per pick | 63cpaid | -7.9%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6dd5…11bbbacked Rune Eaters | 53c | 93$49 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48.87 | 86 | 47.7%41 W · 45 L | -2.4wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -4.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0b95…07e5backed Rune Eaters | 58c | 87.5$51 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50.83 | 324 | 43.5%141 W · 183 L | -15.0wins | -0.05per pick | 48cpaid | -19.4%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x24bb…3e49backed CSDIILIT | 38c | 87$33 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$54.03 | 452 | 24.3%110 W · 342 L | -52.4wins | -0.12per pick | 36cpaid | -45.7%equal weight | 38-0.11 edge/pick |
| 0xb897…e44ebacked Rune Eaters | 53c | 84.91$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45 | 149 | 39.6%59 W · 90 L | -6.5wins | -0.04per pick | 44cpaid | -19.7%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4ec3…34a7backed Rune Eaters | 64c | 83.56$53 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$53.22 | 1,109 | 50.5%560 W · 549 L | -3.0wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x37c1…8de1backed Rune Eaters | 51c | 78.43$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 1,319 | 44.2%583 W · 736 L | +45.8wins | +0.03per pick | 41cpaid | +8.6%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x079f…a9d1backed CSDIILIT | 35c | 78$28 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$50.46 | 274 | 43.1%118 W · 156 L | -10.4wins | -0.04per pick | 47cpaid | -20.4%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x097c…630abacked CSDIILIT | 34c | 73.53$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$48.53 | 21 | 57.1%12 W · 9 L | -0.7wins | -0.03per pick | 60cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf6c8…a184backed CSDIILIT | 38c | 66.65$26 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$41.12 | 644 | 39.8%256 W · 388 L | +6.8wins | +0.01per pick | 39cpaid | -7.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf3c8…e340backed CSDIILIT | 34c | 65$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$43.03 | 223 | 24.7%55 W · 168 L | -21.2wins | -0.09per pick | 34cpaid | -39.5%equal weight | 41-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xa073…a3babacked Rune Eaters | 76c | 64.95$49 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49.4 | 1,117 | 68.6%766 W · 351 L | +20.3wins | +0.02per pick | 67cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x13e5…1ea5backed Rune Eaters | 64c | 60.05$38 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38.26 | 470 | 53.2%250 W · 220 L | -5.6wins | -0.01per pick | 54cpaid | -6.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2b7f…6e16backed CSDIILIT | 52c | 59.28$31 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.4 | 23 | 43.5%10 W · 13 L | -0.9wins | -0.04per pick | 47cpaid | -8.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x93c8…adffbacked Rune Eaters | 69c | 58.35$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 140 | 46.4%65 W · 75 L | -4.8wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xeca1…57e4backed CSDIILIT | 52c | 55.16$28 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.66 | 134 | 36.6%49 W · 85 L | -0.9wins | -0.01per pick | 37cpaid | -5.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf39a…fe47backed Rune Eaters | 53c | 52.49$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.88 | 2,061 | 50.7%1,045 W · 1,016 L | -18.7wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -8.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0e0a…745dbacked CSDIILIT | 48c | 52$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27.04 | 114 | 50%57 W · 57 L | +0.7wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x574b…023cbacked CSDIILIT | 36c | 50.66$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$32.52 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +1.6wins | +0.41per pick | 34cpaid | +89.4%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xff63…1255backed CSDIILIT | 36c | 50.61$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$32.44 | 9 | 66.7%6 W · 3 L | +1.8wins | +0.20per pick | 47cpaid | +37.8%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x4713…4d21backed Rune Eaters | 36c | 46$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.49 | 5,287 | 31.3%1,657 W · 3,630 L | -383.3wins | -0.07per pick | 39cpaid | -37.1%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x485f…5bdabacked Rune Eaters | 54c | 40$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.52 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.54per pick | 54cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbfe8…6d0abacked Rune Eaters | 52c | 38.46$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 39 | 43.6%17 W · 22 L | -2.4wins | -0.06per pick | 50cpaid | -13.1%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0386…2b1abacked Rune Eaters | 41c | 36.65$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.99 | 700 | 36.1%253 W · 447 L | +18.4wins | +0.03per pick | 34cpaid | +26.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb6d2…d67bbacked Rune Eaters | 67c | 33.01$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.12 | 1,315 | 51.1%672 W · 643 L | -99.5wins | -0.08per pick | 59cpaid | -18.5%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xacc1…3ce0backed CSDIILIT | 45c | 30$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.5 | 8 | 62.5%5 W · 3 L | +0.9wins | +0.11per pick | 52cpaid | +24.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5454…ceadbacked Rune Eaters | 49c | 26.36$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.97 | 95 | 52.6%50 W · 45 L | +3.5wins | +0.04per pick | 49cpaid | +5.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf02f…1ed8backed CSDIILIT | 48c | 26.19$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.62 | 456 | 39.3%179 W · 277 L | -29.2wins | -0.06per pick | 46cpaid | -20.1%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x505f…645ebacked Rune Eaters | 53c | 20$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.7 | 2,604 | 52.6%1,371 W · 1,233 L | +98.0wins | +0.04per pick | 49cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa74a…4893backed Rune Eaters | 52c | 19.99$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.3 | 1,216 | 40.1%488 W · 728 L | -65.0wins | -0.05per pick | 45cpaid | -28.3%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x7f2d…fbf5backed CSDIILIT | 60c | 19.87$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.88 | 527 | 55.8%294 W · 233 L | +23.0wins | +0.04per pick | 51cpaid | 0%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x73a2…3b68backed Rune Eaters | 64c | 19.37$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.42 | 958 | 49.8%477 W · 481 L | -17.7wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -10.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in CS2 and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Counter-Strike: Rune Eaters vs CSDIILIT - Map 1 Winnerthis page
- Counter-Strike: Rune Eaters vs CSDIILIT (BO3) - CCT Europe Series #19 Group Stage CSDIILIT won
- Counter-Strike: Rune Eaters vs CSDIILIT - Map 2 WinnerRune Eaters won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.