CS2 · resolved market
Counter-Strike: 100 Thieves vs FOKUS - Map 1 Winner
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x884c293e9eeeda6065f05e75fca16fd4d67b5fb911ee854b1bed58c785d3b33d
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- 100 Thievesof 100 Thieves, FOKUS
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- CS2every record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- Polymarket published no figure
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $35,998
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $35,998 — TailMyPicks’s own total, because the venue published none.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 49 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in CS2 is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in CS2 | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xbc67…5286backed FOKUS | 40c | 2,937$1,171 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,170.58 | 1,033 | 61.6%636 W · 397 L | +87.2wins | +0.08per pick | 53cpaid | +11.1%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x5e38…de0fbacked FOKUS | 28c | 2,591$725 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$724.65 | 157 | 60.5%95 W · 62 L | +15.8wins | +0.10per pick | 50cpaid | +10.8%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x37f8…b5e5backed FOKUS | 2c | 2,081$49 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48.65 | 447 | 43.8%196 W · 251 L | -3.0wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -12.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked 100 Thieves | 58c | 1,741$1,005 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$736.24 | 7,925 | 50.4%3,997 W · 3,928 L | +179.4wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x72aa…90e0backed FOKUS | 35c | 1,387$483 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$483.18 | 4,228 | 49.2%2,080 W · 2,148 L | +59.9wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -10.7%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked 100 Thieves | 59c | 1,198$712 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$486.41 | 3,096 | 48.5%1,501 W · 1,595 L | +135.0wins | +0.04per pick | 44cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x506b…3f70backed FOKUS | 41c | 1,107$454 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$454.14 | 68 | 58.8%40 W · 28 L | +6.2wins | +0.09per pick | 50cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xa9f5…937fbacked FOKUS | 19c | 691.99$133 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$133.08 | 3,910 | 36.6%1,431 W · 2,479 L | -197.6wins | -0.05per pick | 42cpaid | -29.1%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xdc5a…bf71backed FOKUS | 42c | 641.34$269 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$269.15 | 807 | 44.6%360 W · 447 L | -5.2wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -15.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x51db…f9b3backed FOKUS | 37c | 561.92$208 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$207.91 | 6,480 | 42.9%2,782 W · 3,698 L | -79.1wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -21.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4713…4d21backed 100 Thieves | 76c | 548.99$418 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$130.98 | 5,287 | 31.3%1,657 W · 3,630 L | -383.3wins | -0.07per pick | 39cpaid | -37.1%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x6c74…c217backed FOKUS | 39c | 520$203 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$202.8 | 32 | 40.6%13 W · 19 L | -2.3wins | -0.07per pick | 48cpaid | -20.5%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0fd8…2213backed 100 Thieves | 61c | 520$317 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$202.8 | 16 | 75%12 W · 4 L | +2.6wins | +0.16per pick | 59cpaid | +36.5%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x1b51…2b54backed 100 Thieves | 61c | 510$311 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$198.9 | 13 | 61.5%8 W · 5 L | +1.0wins | +0.08per pick | 54cpaid | +11.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x31e6…a23ebacked FOKUS | 39c | 510$199 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$198.9 | 28 | 57.1%16 W · 12 L | +2.3wins | +0.08per pick | 49cpaid | +25.7%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc28f…9185backed FOKUS | 37c | 490$181 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$181.3 | 30 | 30%9 W · 21 L | -5.5wins | -0.18per pick | 48cpaid | -47.2%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0xe524…0efcbacked 100 Thieves | 62c | 490$304 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$186.2 | 25 | 48%12 W · 13 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7f35…ed78backed 100 Thieves | 61c | 440$268 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$171.6 | 34 | 58.8%20 W · 14 L | +6.1wins | +0.18per pick | 41cpaid | +54.8%equal weight | 62+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0xc42e…0fd9backed FOKUS | 39c | 440$172 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$171.6 | 23 | 52.2%12 W · 11 L | +1.0wins | +0.04per pick | 48cpaid | +7.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x338c…1b33backed 100 Thieves | 64c | 399.84$257 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$143.04 | 169 | 47.9%81 W · 88 L | -6.7wins | -0.04per pick | 52cpaid | -11.8%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc4db…7e0cbacked FOKUS | 36c | 375.41$135 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$135.15 | 1,573 | 35.3%556 W · 1,017 L | +22.5wins | +0.01per pick | 34cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcb5b…f243backed 100 Thieves | 61c | 374.16$229 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$145.16 | 4,038 | 48.1%1,943 W · 2,095 L | -23.9wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6dc0…699abacked FOKUS | 22c | 328.27$72 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$72.22 | 1,181 | 22.5%266 W · 915 L | +3.6wins | 0.00per pick | 22cpaid | -15%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2652…2a1dbacked 100 Thieves | 75c | 306.4$228 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$78.02 | 2,326 | 55.7%1,296 W · 1,030 L | +44.8wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -9.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4328…11d2backed 100 Thieves | 56c | 300$168 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$132 | 189 | 43.4%82 W · 107 L | -0.7wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | -11.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6dea…e294backed FOKUS | 35c | 220$77 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$77 | 358 | 48.3%173 W · 185 L | +9.1wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5aa4…16e3backed FOKUS | 43c | 200$86 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$86 | 765 | 46.7%357 W · 408 L | -13.2wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -5.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6ac5…4b6ebacked FOKUS | 35c | 121$43 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$42.66 | 1,714 | 46.7%801 W · 913 L | +1.1wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xfe9b…cbe5backed 100 Thieves | 71c | 112.98$80 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$32.76 | 442 | 44.1%195 W · 247 L | +12.3wins | +0.03per pick | 41cpaid | +7.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4baa…fd17backed 100 Thieves | 64c | 101.56$65 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$36.56 | 19 | 57.9%11 W · 8 L | +0.3wins | +0.01per pick | 56cpaid | +3.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x28ad…4b19backed FOKUS | 37c | 100$37 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$37 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -0.7wins | -0.15per pick | 55cpaid | -42.2%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe911…3d4ebacked FOKUS | 18c | 99$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.46 | 2,776 | 37.4%1,038 W · 1,738 L | -140.2wins | -0.05per pick | 42cpaid | -20.7%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x7a73…a9c8backed 100 Thieves | 58c | 92.97$54 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$38.89 | 696 | 35.3%246 W · 450 L | -49.3wins | -0.07per pick | 42cpaid | -17.3%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xf026…8df7backed 100 Thieves | 48c | 88$42 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$45.74 | 292 | 44.5%130 W · 162 L | -10.6wins | -0.04per pick | 48cpaid | -18.9%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xabfb…12e5backed FOKUS | 14c | 86.65$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.32 | 54 | 27.8%15 W · 39 L | +1.3wins | +0.02per pick | 25cpaid | -16.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb6fc…b24ebacked 100 Thieves | 57c | 66.18$38 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.46 | 719 | 51%367 W · 352 L | +28.8wins | +0.04per pick | 47cpaid | +7.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf4f8…5bf1backed FOKUS | 19c | 65$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.35 | 1,304 | 26.5%345 W · 959 L | -89.4wins | -0.07per pick | 33cpaid | -29.2%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xa07d…a037backed FOKUS | 24c | 61$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.65 | 2,102 | 16.8%353 W · 1,749 L | -286.5wins | -0.14per pick | 30cpaid | -47.2%equal weight | 35-0.13 edge/pick |
| 0x4177…a2b4backed FOKUS | 42c | 54.76$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23 | 1,248 | 41.3%516 W · 732 L | +5.1wins | 0.00per pick | 41cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8d85…c436backed FOKUS | 35c | 53.85$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.72 | 219 | 56.2%123 W · 96 L | +14.7wins | +0.07per pick | 49cpaid | +10%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x21c2…6749backed 100 Thieves | 49c | 50$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.5 | 463 | 44.5%206 W · 257 L | -14.8wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -20.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7f2d…fbf5backed 100 Thieves | 57c | 47.81$27 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.56 | 527 | 55.8%294 W · 233 L | +23.0wins | +0.04per pick | 51cpaid | 0%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7d7f…86d2backed FOKUS | 36c | 45.02$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.16 | 178 | 36.5%65 W · 113 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 36cpaid | -16.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x21d3…6c27backed 100 Thieves | 56c | 41.02$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.05 | 44 | 50%22 W · 22 L | -5.0wins | -0.11per pick | 61cpaid | -22.1%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xbce0…d031backed 100 Thieves | 69c | 36.23$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.23 | 38 | 50%19 W · 19 L | +2.0wins | +0.05per pick | 45cpaid | +9.3%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1cdd…e595backed 100 Thieves | 62c | 35.46$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.55 | 2,468 | 24.6%607 W · 1,861 L | -317.8wins | -0.13per pick | 37cpaid | -51.7%equal weight | 36-0.13 edge/pick |
| 0xdd34…830cbacked 100 Thieves | 56c | 30$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.35 | 30 | 50%15 W · 15 L | -0.3wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -11.7%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xbfd7…f0bfbacked 100 Thieves | 70c | 28.61$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.62 | 5,511 | 47%2,590 W · 2,921 L | +42.0wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -4.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb51f…b7dbbacked 100 Thieves | 65c | 20$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7 | 23 | 52.2%12 W · 11 L | +0.7wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -9.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in CS2 and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 5 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Counter-Strike: 100 Thieves vs FOKUS - Map 1 Winnerthis page
- Counter-Strike: 100 Thieves vs FOKUS (BO3) - Parken Challenger Championship Playoffs100 Thieves won
- Counter-Strike: 100 Thieves vs FOKUS - Map 2 WinnerFOKUS won
- Games Total: O/U 2.5Over won
- Map Handicap: 100T (-1.5) vs FOKUS (+1.5)FOKUS won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.