CS2 · resolved market
Counter-Strike: 100 Thieves vs FOKUS - Map 2 Winner
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xb633c260613183104860bb1e4ffc4be8178ddb5f06683318b1e506f011a96856
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- FOKUSof 100 Thieves, FOKUS
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- CS2every record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- Polymarket published no figure
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $72,517
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $72,517 — TailMyPicks’s own total, because the venue published none.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 58 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in CS2 is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in CS2 | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x30f4…8c1ebacked FOKUS | 26c | 5,055$1,313 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,742.31 | 279 | 47.7%133 W · 146 L | -1.2wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked 100 Thieves | 72c | 4,873$3,491 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,490.73 | 3,096 | 48.5%1,501 W · 1,595 L | +135.0wins | +0.04per pick | 44cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xdab8…1bc7backed FOKUS | 28c | 3,250$924 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,325.95 | 108 | 41.7%45 W · 63 L | -2.3wins | -0.02per pick | 44cpaid | +0.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2529…548abacked 100 Thieves | 66c | 2,898$1,923 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,922.94 | 3,236 | 51.2%1,657 W · 1,579 L | +88.9wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -6.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x506b…3f70backed FOKUS | 36c | 1,687$601 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,086.21 | 68 | 58.8%40 W · 28 L | +6.2wins | +0.09per pick | 50cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x5e38…de0fbacked 100 Thieves | 71c | 1,268$898 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$898.43 | 157 | 60.5%95 W · 62 L | +15.8wins | +0.10per pick | 50cpaid | +10.8%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xa9f5…937fbacked 100 Thieves | 56c | 1,201$667 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$666.61 | 3,949 | 36.5%1,443 W · 2,506 L | -201.4wins | -0.05per pick | 42cpaid | -29.2%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xbc67…5286backed 100 Thieves | 77c | 1,060$815 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$814.54 | 1,033 | 61.6%636 W · 397 L | +87.2wins | +0.08per pick | 53cpaid | +11.1%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x72aa…90e0backed 100 Thieves | 71c | 965.29$690 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$690.13 | 4,238 | 49.2%2,085 W · 2,153 L | +60.6wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -10.7%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x51db…f9b3backed FOKUS | 24c | 955.9$229 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$727.16 | 6,501 | 42.9%2,791 W · 3,710 L | -79.3wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -21.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2652…2a1dbacked 100 Thieves | 70c | 818.66$574 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$574.06 | 2,326 | 55.7%1,296 W · 1,030 L | +44.8wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -9.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0d42…f124backed FOKUS | 15c | 734.42$112 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$622.41 | 179 | 45.3%81 W · 98 L | +10.2wins | +0.06per pick | 40cpaid | +9.9%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xdc5a…bf71backed FOKUS | 48c | 534.17$258 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$276.22 | 807 | 44.6%360 W · 447 L | -5.2wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -15.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4713…4d21backed FOKUS | 23c | 524.21$122 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$402.52 | 5,341 | 31.3%1,674 W · 3,667 L | -390.7wins | -0.07per pick | 39cpaid | -37.2%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x6dc0…699abacked FOKUS | 13c | 510$66 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$444.2 | 1,181 | 22.5%266 W · 915 L | +3.6wins | 0.00per pick | 22cpaid | -15%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xcb5b…f243backed 100 Thieves | 76c | 458.47$347 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$346.57 | 4,038 | 48.1%1,943 W · 2,095 L | -23.9wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe911…3d4ebacked 100 Thieves | 42c | 435$183 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$182.51 | 2,798 | 37.6%1,051 W · 1,747 L | -138.2wins | -0.05per pick | 43cpaid | -20.6%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xbfd7…f0bfbacked 100 Thieves | 69c | 365.91$253 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$252.83 | 5,580 | 47.2%2,632 W · 2,948 L | +47.0wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -4.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5aa9…febebacked FOKUS | 67c | 354$238 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$115.62 | 1,040 | 44%458 W · 582 L | -22.2wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -22.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x54e0…b02cbacked 100 Thieves | 53c | 287$151 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$150.78 | 1,659 | 32.7%542 W · 1,117 L | -49.4wins | -0.03per pick | 36cpaid | -12.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x079f…a9d1backed 100 Thieves | 47c | 252$119 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$119.04 | 274 | 43.1%118 W · 156 L | -10.4wins | -0.04per pick | 47cpaid | -20.4%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa5a8…bf60backed FOKUS | 42c | 240.37$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$140.37 | 988 | 56.1%554 W · 434 L | +21.8wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | +4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x344b…f7fcbacked 100 Thieves | 50c | 240$119 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$119.49 | 543 | 46.2%251 W · 292 L | -9.5wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -13.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe2e1…c20abacked 100 Thieves | 49c | 220$108 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$108.35 | 497 | 45.9%228 W · 269 L | -10.0wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -16.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xaea0…0decbacked 100 Thieves | 48c | 202$97 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$96.63 | 489 | 48.7%238 W · 251 L | -0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -12.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4328…11d2backed 100 Thieves | 60c | 200$120 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$120 | 189 | 43.4%82 W · 107 L | -0.7wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | -11.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf4f8…5bf1backed FOKUS | 24c | 187$46 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$141.36 | 1,305 | 26.4%345 W · 960 L | -89.7wins | -0.07per pick | 33cpaid | -29.2%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x5aa4…16e3backed FOKUS | 29c | 182.67$53 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$129.97 | 765 | 46.7%357 W · 408 L | -13.2wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -5.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1341…0853backed FOKUS | 13c | 171.98$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$149.03 | 330 | 43.3%143 W · 187 L | +1.5wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x21c2…6749backed 100 Thieves | 52c | 157$81 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$80.94 | 463 | 44.5%206 W · 257 L | -14.8wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -20.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2f57…3e7abacked FOKUS | 70c | 142.71$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$42.71 | 661 | 62.6%414 W · 247 L | +29.2wins | +0.04per pick | 58cpaid | +8.7%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf2ae…0864backed 100 Thieves | 77c | 140$108 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$107.6 | 932 | 61.7%575 W · 357 L | -4.0wins | 0.00per pick | 62cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6b23…04a3backed FOKUS | 19c | 138.15$26 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$112.54 | 967 | 43.5%421 W · 546 L | -20.3wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -15.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9d94…017dbacked 100 Thieves | 68c | 126.93$86 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$86.28 | 2,221 | 41.3%917 W · 1,304 L | -22.6wins | -0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -19.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7d7f…86d2backed FOKUS | 18c | 125.13$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$102.79 | 178 | 36.5%65 W · 113 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 36cpaid | -16.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa07d…a037backed FOKUS | 23c | 113.24$26 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$87.45 | 2,102 | 16.8%353 W · 1,749 L | -286.5wins | -0.14per pick | 30cpaid | -47.2%equal weight | 35-0.13 edge/pick |
| 0x8450…ae44backed 100 Thieves | 61c | 102.08$62 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$61.97 | 8 | 25%2 W · 6 L | -2.3wins | -0.29per pick | 54cpaid | -47.1%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xf026…8df7backed 100 Thieves | 42c | 100$42 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$42 | 292 | 44.5%130 W · 162 L | -10.6wins | -0.04per pick | 48cpaid | -18.9%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0386…2b1abacked FOKUS | 15c | 100$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$85 | 700 | 36.1%253 W · 447 L | +18.4wins | +0.03per pick | 34cpaid | +26.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0867…c3f4backed 100 Thieves | 20c | 100$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.4wins | -0.20per pick | 20cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe239…1761backed FOKUS | 28c | 96.43$27 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$69.43 | 87 | 48.3%42 W · 45 L | +1.6wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | +5.2%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7f2d…fbf5backed 100 Thieves | 77c | 80$61 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$61.2 | 527 | 55.8%294 W · 233 L | +23.0wins | +0.04per pick | 51cpaid | 0%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2a0c…3ccebacked FOKUS | 33c | 75.33$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$50.47 | 416 | 40.6%169 W · 247 L | +11.4wins | +0.03per pick | 38cpaid | +6.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfa02…8b07backed FOKUS | 31c | 63.83$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$43.83 | 498 | 66.9%333 W · 165 L | +16.1wins | +0.03per pick | 64cpaid | +6.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1cdd…e595backed 100 Thieves | 69c | 61.13$42 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$41.9 | 2,474 | 24.7%611 W · 1,863 L | -316.9wins | -0.13per pick | 38cpaid | -51.6%equal weight | 36-0.13 edge/pick |
| 0xf0b0…8cabbacked FOKUS | 37c | 57.16$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$35.94 | 295 | 47.8%141 W · 154 L | +10.7wins | +0.04per pick | 44cpaid | -11.7%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3938…c6cbbacked 100 Thieves | 64c | 54.96$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35 | 62 | 56.5%35 W · 27 L | -2.9wins | -0.05per pick | 61cpaid | -10.5%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8381…a304backed 100 Thieves | 74c | 51.05$38 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$37.78 | 122 | 73.8%90 W · 32 L | +10.0wins | +0.08per pick | 66cpaid | +11.7%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x61fe…0956backed FOKUS | 39c | 50$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30.5 | 106 | 63.2%67 W · 39 L | +10.5wins | +0.10per pick | 53cpaid | +7%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x4177…a2b4backed FOKUS | 32c | 46.88$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31.88 | 1,248 | 41.3%516 W · 732 L | +5.1wins | 0.00per pick | 41cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7b67…e889backed 100 Thieves | 33c | 43.09$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.11 | 79 | 39.2%31 W · 48 L | -5.2wins | -0.07per pick | 46cpaid | -26.1%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xbce0…d031backed FOKUS | 43c | 35.16$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.16 | 38 | 50%19 W · 19 L | +2.0wins | +0.05per pick | 45cpaid | +9.3%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x806c…d4fbbacked 100 Thieves | 79c | 29.11$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23 | 36 | 55.6%20 W · 16 L | -2.8wins | -0.08per pick | 63cpaid | -13.3%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x43e8…af56backed 100 Thieves | 74c | 27.21$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 199 | 35.7%71 W · 128 L | -13.7wins | -0.07per pick | 43cpaid | -17.7%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x6153…75b6backed 100 Thieves | 72c | 24.9$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.93 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.11per pick | 61cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6bbb…2948backed 100 Thieves | 72c | 20$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.4 | 170 | 70%119 W · 51 L | -2.3wins | -0.01per pick | 71cpaid | -0.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0c69…2b8dbacked 100 Thieves | 68c | 17.66$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.97 | 275 | 56.7%156 W · 119 L | +14.5wins | +0.05per pick | 51cpaid | +4.9%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xdd34…830cbacked 100 Thieves | 77c | 15$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.55 | 30 | 50%15 W · 15 L | -0.3wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -11.7%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in CS2 and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 5 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Counter-Strike: 100 Thieves vs FOKUS - Map 2 Winnerthis page
- Counter-Strike: 100 Thieves vs FOKUS (BO3) - Parken Challenger Championship Playoffs100 Thieves won
- Counter-Strike: 100 Thieves vs FOKUS - Map 1 Winner100 Thieves won
- Games Total: O/U 2.5Over won
- Map Handicap: 100T (-1.5) vs FOKUS (+1.5)FOKUS won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.