CS2 · resolved market
Counter-Strike: Omega vs Acend (BO3) - European Pro League Series 5 Group D
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x3ae23f714e7c6c8ac2aafa01f8f19f0d60643ea8b040896daf448731fd8a6390
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Acendof Omega, Acend
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- CS2every record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $7,761
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $9,254
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $7,761 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 36 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in CS2 is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in CS2 | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xfd14…2267backed Omega | 34c | 511.47$174 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$173.85 | 5,810 | 37.8%2,196 W · 3,614 L | +78.9wins | +0.01per pick | 36cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7bf9…be26backed Omega | 69c | 498.97$345 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$344.51 | 32 | 53.1%17 W · 15 L | -4.2wins | -0.13per pick | 66cpaid | -14.7%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x7a73…a9c8backed Omega | 22c | 444.46$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 696 | 35.3%246 W · 450 L | -49.3wins | -0.07per pick | 42cpaid | -17.3%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x6c74…c217backed Omega | 31c | 400$124 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$124 | 32 | 40.6%13 W · 19 L | -2.3wins | -0.07per pick | 48cpaid | -20.5%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc28f…9185backed Acend | 69c | 400$276 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$124 | 30 | 30%9 W · 21 L | -5.5wins | -0.18per pick | 48cpaid | -47.2%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x3952…c2b4backed Omega | 31c | 355$110 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$110.05 | 27 | 40.7%11 W · 16 L | -0.5wins | -0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -5.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x95f0…67c9backed Acend | 69c | 355$245 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$110.05 | 23 | 47.8%11 W · 12 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf3f9…d587backed Acend | 28c | 314.98$87 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$228.31 | 350 | 33.4%117 W · 233 L | +22.4wins | +0.06per pick | 27cpaid | +44.7%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xde04…fa37backed Omega | 15c | 305.23$46 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$46.21 | 380 | 37.4%142 W · 238 L | -14.8wins | -0.04per pick | 41cpaid | -26.7%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf310…ff80backed Omega | 53c | 230$123 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$122.5 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.53per pick | 53cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0a32…9875backed Acend | 56c | 194.53$109 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$85.25 | 34 | 41.2%14 W · 20 L | +0.9wins | +0.03per pick | 39cpaid | -29.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4cf4…b11abacked Acend | 57c | 174.5$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$74.29 | 49 | 61.2%30 W · 19 L | -0.3wins | -0.01per pick | 62cpaid | -2%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6aa7…db93backed Acend | 71c | 145.07$103 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$42.07 | 218 | 67%146 W · 72 L | +0.7wins | 0.00per pick | 67cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa097…8795backed Omega | 29c | 145.07$42 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$42.07 | 173 | 47.4%82 W · 91 L | -1.7wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcb5b…f243backed Omega | 16c | 104.05$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.65 | 4,038 | 48.1%1,943 W · 2,095 L | -23.9wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc155…d550backed Omega | 40c | 101.25$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 81 | 49.4%40 W · 41 L | -9.1wins | -0.11per pick | 61cpaid | -27.9%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xced8…221ebacked Acend | 66c | 100$66 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$34 | 700 | 38.9%272 W · 428 L | -29.5wins | -0.04per pick | 43cpaid | -18.9%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2ecb…7645backed Acend | 56c | 98.54$55 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$43.59 | 1,546 | 33.8%523 W · 1,023 L | -73.9wins | -0.05per pick | 39cpaid | -33.2%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xdf08…dea4backed Acend | 45c | 98.2$44 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$53.95 | 33 | 48.5%16 W · 17 L | +1.2wins | +0.04per pick | 45cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xebff…70e5backed Acend | 52c | 70.41$37 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$33.81 | 2,774 | 24.5%681 W · 2,093 L | -295.8wins | -0.11per pick | 35cpaid | -50.7%equal weight | 38-0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x1813…4dfebacked Acend | 77c | 67.6$52 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.77 | 193 | 50.3%97 W · 96 L | -2.9wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -5.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf4f8…5bf1backed Omega | 39c | 58$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.62 | 1,303 | 26.5%345 W · 958 L | -89.1wins | -0.07per pick | 33cpaid | -29.1%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x249a…4917backed Acend | 80c | 55.14$44 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.29 | 25 | 80%20 W · 5 L | +2.3wins | +0.09per pick | 71cpaid | +13.9%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x5aa9…febebacked Omega | 22c | 53$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.47 | 1,040 | 44%458 W · 582 L | -22.2wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -22.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1963…8122backed Acend | 54c | 46.3$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.3 | 91 | 60.4%55 W · 36 L | +3.4wins | +0.04per pick | 57cpaid | +5.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x76bb…4548backed Acend | 58c | 43.1$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.1 | 223 | 55.6%124 W · 99 L | -11.4wins | -0.05per pick | 61cpaid | -10.9%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x95cc…3533backed Omega | 69c | 40.62$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.03 | 86 | 64%55 W · 31 L | -2.3wins | -0.03per pick | 67cpaid | -5.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x29f8…ffa9backed Omega | 39c | 39.64$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.46 | 432 | 39.1%169 W · 263 L | -6.1wins | -0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -5.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0386…2b1abacked Omega | 39c | 38.44$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.99 | 700 | 36.1%253 W · 447 L | +18.4wins | +0.03per pick | 34cpaid | +26.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa9f5…937fbacked Acend | 41c | 36.63$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.61 | 3,888 | 36.6%1,423 W · 2,465 L | -197.3wins | -0.05per pick | 42cpaid | -29.2%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x3abf…b143backed Acend | 66c | 29.85$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.15 | 193 | 42%81 W · 112 L | -12.1wins | -0.06per pick | 48cpaid | -22.7%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked Acend | 66c | 28.48$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.77 | 7,892 | 50.5%3,983 W · 3,909 L | +182.0wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7f07…b10abacked Acend | 61c | 26.08$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.08 | 9 | 77.8%7 W · 2 L | +2.5wins | +0.28per pick | 50cpaid | +70%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xf740…cf50backed Omega | 80c | 25$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 139 | 43.9%61 W · 78 L | -9.6wins | -0.07per pick | 51cpaid | -16.9%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xc512…7fdfbacked Omega | 64c | 23.44$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 17 | 52.9%9 W · 8 L | -1.0wins | -0.06per pick | 59cpaid | -14%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x534d…627cbacked Acend | 62c | 20.49$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.72 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | -0.7wins | -0.11per pick | 44cpaid | -45.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in CS2 and say nothing about this market.
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.