TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Wallet 0xc512…7fdf

Rebuilt .

Summary

Qualified picks
458
Categories scored
37
Categories below 50
21

Best Category: AI, grading 57 out of 100 (+0.06 per pick).

Best Category AI at 57 out of 100; worst Premier League at 41.

What is a Tail Score?

A mark out of 100, per Category. 50 means no edge at all — this wallet did about what the prices it paid implied it would. Above 50 it beat those prices; below 50 it did worse than them.

The scale does not move. 100 is a wallet beating the prices it paid by 0.45 per pick and 0 is losing to them by the same, on every wallet, on every page, in every month. So a grade you screenshot today still means what it meant when you took it, and two wallets can be put side by side.

Nobody reaches either end. Across every wallet TailMyPicks has scored, the marks run from roughly 5 to 87 — which is what a fixed ruler costs, and what buys the sentence above.

It is not a win rate. A wallet can win four Picks in five and still grade below 50, if the market was already pricing those outcomes at 90c — it paid for the wins rather than finding them. The vs expected and Avg entry columns below are what separate the two.

The mark is deliberately pulled toward 50 when there is little evidence. Three lucky Picks do not produce a high grade; several hundred consistent ones do. So a modest grade on thousands of Picks means something a high grade on twelve does not.

Because it is shrunk this way, a Category grade is a conservative reading. The headline figure for a wallet is its best Category, so it always understates how badly the wallet does in its worst one — which is why the table below is per Category and not one blended number.

Record by Category

Ordered by how much this wallet actually traded in each Category, not by score — so the Categories it plays most appear first whether they went well or badly. Open any row to see the picks its numbers were computed from — all of them.

CategoryQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
Fifa International Inactivelast resolved Jul 25, 2026, EDT12951.2%66 W · 63 L+6.9wins+0.05per pick46cpaid+4.4%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
Fifa International — the 129 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Fifa International, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will U.S. viewership of the 2026 FIFA World Cup Final be at least 58 million?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)20c$10Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 25, 2026, EDT+400%+$40
Will Donald Trump be shown 3-5 times at the World Cup Final?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)40c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 21, 2026, EDT+150%+$29.99
Will the announcers say "Vertical" or "Verticality" during the Argentina vs Spain FIFA World Cup Match?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$27Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 19, 2026, EDT+122.2%+$33
Will Drake attend the 2026 FIFA World Cup Final?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$26Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$26.4
Will Like a Prayer be the first song performed by Madonna at the 2026 FIFA World Cup Final Halftime Show?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)75c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 19, 2026, EDT+33.3%+$5
Will France win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)19c$37Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$37
Will the announcers say "USA" during the Spain vs Belgium FIFA World Cup Match?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)77c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 10, 2026, EDT+29.9%+$4.6
Will Switzerland vs. Colombia end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)32c$64Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 7, 2026, EDT+212.5%+$136
Will Colombia win on 2026-07-07?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)42c$84Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 7, 2026, EDT-100%-$84
Will Argentina win on 2026-07-07?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)74c$148Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 7, 2026, EDT+35.1%+$52
Will Argentina vs. Egypt end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)20c$38Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 7, 2026, EDT-100%-$38
Will Belgium win on 2026-07-06?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)35c$70Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 6, 2026, EDT+185.7%+$130
Will United States vs. Belgium end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)28c$56Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 6, 2026, EDT-100%-$56
Will Spain win on 2026-07-06?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$50Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 6, 2026, EDT+100%+$50
Will Portugal win on 2026-07-06?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)24c$30Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 6, 2026, EDT-100%-$30
Will Portugal vs. Spain end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)28c$35Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 6, 2026, EDT-100%-$35
Will Mexico win on 2026-07-05?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)32c$18Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 5, 2026, EDT-100%-$18
England-Mexico game rescheduled to different time?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)76c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 5, 2026, EDT-100%-$15.23
Will Brazil vs. Norway end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)27c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 5, 2026, EDT-100%-$50
Will Brazil win on 2026-07-05?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$150Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 5, 2026, EDT-100%-$150
Will Paraguay vs. France end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)27c$57Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 4, 2026, EDT-100%-$57
Will Morocco win on 2026-07-04?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)39c$50Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 4, 2026, EDT+156.4%+$78.21
Will Canada vs. Morocco end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)37c$71Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 4, 2026, EDT-100%-$71
Canada vs. Morocco: O/U 2.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)29c$58Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 4, 2026, EDT+244.8%+$142
Will Australia vs. Egypt end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)34c$51Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 3, 2026, EDT+194.1%+$99
Showing 25 of 129 picks, newest first.
Tennislast resolved Aug 21, 2026, EDT7864.1%50 W · 28 L-5.0wins-0.06per pick70cpaid-9.7%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
Tennis — the 78 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Tennis, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Cincinnati Open (Doubles): Bolelli/Vavassori vs Luz/Matosbacked Bolelli/Vavassori · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$13Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 21, 2026, EDT-100%-$13.4
Tampere: Diego Dedura-Palomero vs Gauthier Onclinbacked Diego Dedura-Palomero · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)69c$10Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 25, 2026, EDT+45.6%+$4.7
ITF Cluj Napoca: Teodora Miron vs Ioana Maria Sandrubacked Teodora Miron · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)74c$10Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 25, 2026, EDT+35.1%+$3.64
ITF Cordenons: Nuria Brancaccio vs Carlota Martinez Cirezbacked Nuria Brancaccio · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)78c$12Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 23, 2026, EDT+28.2%+$3.3
Bloomfield Hills (Doubles): Jung/King vs Puttergill/Sweenybacked Jung/King · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)78c$12Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 22, 2026, EDT-100%-$11.7
Winnipeg: James McCabe vs Duncan Chanbacked James McCabe · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)69c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 21, 2026, EDT-100%-$10.35
Bloomfield Hills: Mark Lajal vs Darwin Blanchbacked Darwin Blanch · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$17Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 21, 2026, EDT-100%-$16.74
Winnipeg: Yuta Shimizu vs Liam Broadybacked Liam Broady · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)71c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 21, 2026, EDT-100%-$10.62
Bloomfield Hills: Sebastian Gorzny vs Borna Gojobacked Borna Gojo · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)71c$11Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 21, 2026, EDT+40.8%+$4.35
Bloomfield Hills: Spencer Johnson vs Coleman Wongbacked Coleman Wong · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)79c$19Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 21, 2026, EDT+26.3%+$5
Winnipeg: Tyler Zink vs Zhizhen Zhangbacked Zhizhen Zhang · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)79c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 21, 2026, EDT+26.6%+$5.25
Winnipeg: Rio Noguchi vs Braden Shickbacked Rio Noguchi · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)75c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 21, 2026, EDT+33.6%+$6.8
Tampere: Igor Ribeiro Marcondes vs Linus Lagerbohmbacked Igor Ribeiro Marcondes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)78c$12Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 21, 2026, EDT+28.2%+$3.3
Estoril Open (Doubles): Johnson/Zielinski vs Droguet/Jacquetbacked Johnson/Zielinski · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)78c$12Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 20, 2026, EDT-100%-$11.7
Livesport Prague Open: Alycia Parks vs Lucie Havlickovabacked Alycia Parks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 20, 2026, EDT-100%-$10.05
Livesport Prague Open: Marie Bouzkova vs Jessica Bouzas Maneirobacked Marie Bouzkova · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)72c$11Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 20, 2026, EDT+38.9%+$4.2
Generali Open: Lukas Neumayer vs Yannick Hanfmannbacked Yannick Hanfmann · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$11Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 20, 2026, EDT+42.9%+$4.5
Iasi Open: Mayar Sherif vs Paula Badosabacked Paula Badosa · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$32Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 20, 2026, EDT-100%-$32
Lincoln: Bernard Tomic vs Mark Lajalbacked Mark Lajal · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$13Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$12.8
Cordenons: Federico Bondioli vs Max Alcala Gurribacked Max Alcala Gurri · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)73c$11Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 19, 2026, EDT+37%+$4.05
Granby: Aleksandar Vukic vs August Holmgrenbacked Aleksandar Vukic · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 19, 2026, EDT+42.9%+$8.4
Generali Open, Qualification: Federico Cina vs Lorenzo Giustinobacked Federico Cina · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)73c$11Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 19, 2026, EDT+37%+$4.05
Swiss Open: Stefanos Tsitsipas vs Raphael Collignonbacked Stefanos Tsitsipas · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$12Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 19, 2026, EDT+72.4%+$8.4
ITF Granby: Sara Saito vs Sakura Hosogibacked Sara Saito · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$13Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 18, 2026, EDT+56.3%+$7.31
Granby: Murphy Cassone vs Arthur Geabacked Arthur Gea · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)71c$11Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 18, 2026, EDT+40.8%+$4.35
Showing 25 of 78 picks, newest first.
Weatherlast resolved Aug 22, 2026, EDT6744.8%30 W · 37 L+1.2wins+0.02per pick43cpaid+13.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
Weather — the 67 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Weather, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will the highest temperature in Wellington be 15°C on August 22?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)24c$24Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 22, 2026, EDT+316.7%+$76
Will the lowest temperature in Shanghai be 27°C on August 21?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)79c$47Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 21, 2026, EDT-100%-$47.4
Will the highest temperature in Los Angeles be between 76-77°F on August 17?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)19c$23Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 18, 2026, EDT-100%-$23.39
Will the highest temperature in Austin be between 98-99°F on August 14?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$24Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 15, 2026, EDT-100%-$23.86
Will the highest temperature in Madrid be 38°C on August 14?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)35c$14Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 14, 2026, EDT+189.9%+$26.2
Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 76-77°F on July 30?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$25Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 31, 2026, EDT-100%-$25
Will the lowest temperature in Hong Kong be 26°C on July 30?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)16c$16Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 30, 2026, EDT+525%+$84
Will the highest temperature in Chengdu be 28°C on July 30?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$44Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 30, 2026, EDT-100%-$43.5
Will the lowest temperature in Tokyo be 27°C on July 30?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)4c$12Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 30, 2026, EDT-100%-$12
Will the highest temperature in Wellington be 13°C on July 30?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$33Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 30, 2026, EDT+116.4%+$38.5
Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 80-81°F on July 28?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)7c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 29, 2026, EDT-100%-$10.73
Will the lowest temperature in Seoul be 26°C on July 27?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$28Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 27, 2026, EDT-100%-$27.5
Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 30°C on July 20?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$10Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 20, 2026, EDT+92.3%+$9.6
Will the lowest temperature in Hong Kong be 26°C on July 20?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)71c$14Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 20, 2026, EDT+40.8%+$5.8
Will the lowest temperature in Shanghai be 27°C on July 20?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)16c$34Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 20, 2026, EDT-100%-$33.54
Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 82-83°F on July 19?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$28Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 20, 2026, EDT+43.9%+$12.2
Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 80-81°F on July 18?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$26Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$26
Will the lowest temperature in Seoul be 23°C on July 17?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)28c$43Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 17, 2026, EDT-100%-$42.75
Will the highest temperature in Miami be between 94-95°F on July 16?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$139Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 17, 2026, EDT-100%-$139.43
Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 27°C on July 15?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)27c$14Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 15, 2026, EDT-100%-$13.5
Will the highest temperature in Los Angeles be between 76-77°F on July 10?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)20c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 11, 2026, EDT-100%-$20.15
Will the lowest temperature in Shanghai be 24°C on July 10?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)13c$19Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 10, 2026, EDT-100%-$18.85
Will the lowest temperature in Seoul be 24°C on July 10?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)23c$12Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 10, 2026, EDT-100%-$12.24
Will the highest temperature in Los Angeles be between 74-75°F on July 9?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)69c$23Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 10, 2026, EDT+44.9%+$10.23
Will the highest temperature in Dallas be between 100-101°F on July 8?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)32c$92Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 9, 2026, EDT-100%-$92.06
Showing 25 of 67 picks, newest first.
Commoditieslast resolved Aug 18, 2026, EDT2729.6%8 W · 19 L-3.1wins-0.12per pick41cpaid-42.5%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
Commodities — the 27 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Commodities, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
WTI Crude Oil (WTI) Up or Down on August 18?backed Down · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$46Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 18, 2026, EDT-100%-$46
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)40c$158Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 4, 2026, EDT-100%-$158
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $65 in July?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)28c$56Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 31, 2026, EDT-100%-$56
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $85 in July?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)23c$45Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 26, 2026, EDT-100%-$45
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $85 in July?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$47Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 21, 2026, EDT-100%-$47
WTI Crude Oil (WTI) Up or Down on July 20?backed Down · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$22Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 20, 2026, EDT-100%-$21.6
Will Silver (XAGUSD) hit (LOW) $56 Week of July 13 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$12Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 16, 2026, EDT-100%-$12
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $80 in July?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$27Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 13, 2026, EDT-100%-$26.5
Will Gold (XAUUSD) hit (LOW) $4,000 Week of July 13 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$12Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 13, 2026, EDT+69.5%+$8.2
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)27c$440Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 7, 2026, EDT-100%-$439.5
WTI Crude Oil (WTI) Up or Down on July 6?backed Up · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)40c$80Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 6, 2026, EDT+150%+$120
WTI Crude Oil (WTI) Up or Down on June 17?backed Up · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$136Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 17, 2026, EDT-100%-$136.5
WTI Crude Oil (WTI) Up or Down on June 10?backed Down · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)14c$26Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 10, 2026, EDT-100%-$25.87
WTI Crude Oil (WTI) Up or Down on June 4?backed Up · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)39c$39Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 4, 2026, EDT-100%-$39
WTI Crude Oil (WTI) Up or Down on June 2?backed Down · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)28c$28Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 2, 2026, EDT-100%-$27.92
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of May?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)16c$68Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 2, 2026, EDT-100%-$68.48
Will Gold (XAUUSD) hit (HIGH) $4,600 in May?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)35c$30Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 29, 2026, EDT+189.7%+$56.43
Will Natural Gas (NG) hit (LOW) $2.90 in May?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$161Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 29, 2026, EDT-100%-$160.5
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $110 in May?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$940Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 29, 2026, EDT-100%-$939.9
Will Silver (XAGUSD) hit (LOW) $72 in May?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$461Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 28, 2026, EDT+80.7%+$371.82
WTI Crude Oil (WTI) Up or Down on May 26?backed Down · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$65Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 26, 2026, EDT+53.8%+$35
WTI Crude Oil (WTI) Up or Down on May 22?backed Up · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)3c$19Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 22, 2026, EDT-100%-$19
WTI Crude Oil (WTI) closes above $101 on May 18?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$244Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 18, 2026, EDT+64.3%+$156.47
WTI Crude Oil (WTI) Up or Down on May 13?backed Up · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)10c$19Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 13, 2026, EDT-100%-$19.38
WTI Crude Oil (WTI) closes above $100 on May 11?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)76c$50Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 11, 2026, EDT+31.6%+$15.79
Showing 25 of 27 picks, newest first.
World Politics Inactivelast resolved Jul 17, 2026, EDT1855.6%10 W · 8 L+1.1wins+0.06per pick49cpaid+15.3%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
World Politics — the 18 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in World Politics, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will the highest temperature in Mexico City be 25°C on July 16?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$45Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 17, 2026, EDT-100%-$45
Will the highest temperature in Paris be 33°C on July 8?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)41c$56Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 8, 2026, EDT-100%-$56.37
Will Keiko Fujimori win the 2026 Peruvian presidential election?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)73c$455Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 6, 2026, EDT+37.9%+$172.3
Will the highest temperature in Paris be 30°C on July 5?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)8c$13Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 5, 2026, EDT-100%-$12.6
Will the highest temperature in Paris be 29°C on June 30?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)9c$22Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 30, 2026, EDT-100%-$21.84
Will Ivan Cepeda Castro win the 2026 Colombian presidential election?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)34c$34Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 24, 2026, EDT-100%-$34
Will Abelardo de la Espriella win the 2026 Colombian presidential election?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$88Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 24, 2026, EDT+48.2%+$42.3
Starmer out by June 30, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)40c$298Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 22, 2026, EDT+148.1%+$441.22
Will Iván Cepeda Castro win the 1st round of the 2026 Colombian presidential election?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)15c$17Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 8, 2026, EDT+566.7%+$96.05
Starmer out by May 31, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)10c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$20
Will Caroline Elliott win the 2026 Conservative Party of British Columbia leadership election?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)78c$99Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 31, 2026, EDT-100%-$98.8
Will DISY win the most seats at the Cyprus House of Representatives election?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)78c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 24, 2026, EDT+28.2%+$5.64
Will Plaid Cymru win the most seats in the 2026 Welsh Senedd election?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)76c$50Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 8, 2026, EDT+31.6%+$15.79
Will Juan Pablo Velasco win the 2026 Santa Cruz gubernatorial election?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)71c$42Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 20, 2026, EDT+41.4%+$17.3
Will Tatiana Auguste win the by-election for the seat of Terrebone in the House of Commons of Canada?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$13Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 14, 2026, EDT+54.4%+$7.29
Will TISZA – Respect and Freedom Party (TISZA) win the most seats in the next Hungarian parliamentary election?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)73c$27Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 12, 2026, EDT+36.7%+$9.92
Will Luís Marques Mendes win the 2026 Portugal presidential election?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$47Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 8, 2026, EST-100%-$46.57
Will Ciprian Ciucu be the next Mayor of Bucharest?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$11Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 7, 2025, EST+82.8%+$9.06
All 18 picks, newest first.
CS2 Inactivelast resolved Jul 29, 2026, EDT1752.9%9 W · 8 L-1.0wins-0.06per pick59cpaid-14%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
CS2 — the 17 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in CS2, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Counter-Strike: regain vs Voca (BO3) - StarLadder StarSeries North American Qualifier Playoffsbacked Voca · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)74c$11Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 29, 2026, EDT+35.1%+$3.9
Counter-Strike: Grêmio Esports vs ALKA (BO3) - CCT South America Series 4 Group Stagebacked ALKA · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)41c$62Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 19, 2026, EDT+143.9%+$88.5
Will G2 Esports Make a Roster Change before September?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$29Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 27, 2026, EDT-100%-$29.4
Counter-Strike: Sashi Esport vs AM Gaming (BO3) - Super DraculaN Group Abacked AM Gaming · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)41c$407Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 25, 2026, EDT-100%-$407
Counter-Strike: Monte vs Legacy (BO1) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 2backed Legacy · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)79c$198Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 7, 2026, EDT-100%-$197.5
Games Total: O/U 2.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)8c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 12, 2026, EDT-100%-$19.65
Counter-Strike: Inner Circle Esports vs FriendlyCampers (BO3) - Stake Ranked Episode 1: Closed Qualifier Playoffsbacked Inner Circle Esports · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 5, 2026, EST-100%-$10
Counter-Strike: Players vs R2 Esports Club (BO3) - CCT South America Series #9 Group Stagebacked Players · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$14Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 1, 2026, EST-100%-$14.15
Counter-Strike: KOLESIE vs Nemiga (BO3) - A1 Gaming League Playoffsbacked Nemiga · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)73c$18Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 1, 2026, EST+37%+$6.66
Counter-Strike: Omega vs Acend (BO3) - European Pro League Series 5 Group Dbacked Omega · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 1, 2026, EST-100%-$15
Counter-Strike: Vasco Esports vs Isurus (BO3) - CCT South America Series #9 Group Stagebacked Isurus · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)76c$41Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 28, 2026, EST+32.2%+$13.12
Counter-Strike: Fluxo W7M vs ODDIK (BO3) - BetBoom RUSH B! Summit Playoffsbacked Fluxo W7M · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$37Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 28, 2026, EST+51.5%+$19.04
Counter-Strike: Yawara Esports vs Bounty Hunters Esports (BO3) - PGL Bucharest: South American Closed Qualifier Playoffsbacked Bounty Hunters Esports · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$44Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 27, 2026, EST+50%+$22.02
Counter-Strike: Passion UA vs FaZe (BO1)backed FaZe · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$12Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 29, 2025, EST+66.7%+$8
Counter-Strike: PARIVISION vs TYLOO (BO1)backed PARIVISION · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 29, 2025, EST-100%-$15
Counter-Strike: PARIVISION vs Legacy (BO3)backed PARIVISION · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 27, 2025, EST+88.7%+$17.74
Counter-Strike: NRG vs Imperial (BO3)backed Imperial · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$10Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 27, 2025, EST+56.3%+$5.63
All 17 picks, newest first.
Premier League Inactivelast resolved May 17, 2026, EDT1233.3%4 W · 8 L-2.8wins-0.24per pick57cpaid-38.2%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
Premier League — the 12 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Premier League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Manchester United FC win on 2026-05-17?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)76c$485Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 17, 2026, EDT+30.9%+$149.82
Will Everton FC vs. Sunderland AFC end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 17, 2026, EDT-100%-$15
Will Aston Villa FC win on 2026-05-17?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)40c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 15, 2026, EDT+152.7%+$22.91
Will Arsenal FC win on 2026-02-12?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 12, 2026, EST-100%-$20
Will Chelsea FC win on 2026-02-10?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 10, 2026, EST-100%-$15
Will Arsenal FC win on 2026-01-08?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$13Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 8, 2026, EST-100%-$12.54
Will Chelsea FC win on 2025-12-30?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 30, 2025, EST-100%-$10
Will Manchester United FC win on 2025-12-26?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 26, 2025, EST+53.8%+$10.77
Will Manchester United FC win on 2025-12-15?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$16Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 15, 2025, EST-100%-$16.2
Will Aston Villa FC win on 2025-12-14?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$11Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 14, 2025, EST+104.1%+$11.45
Will Chelsea win on 2025-12-06?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 6, 2025, EST-100%-$20
Will Chelsea win on 2025-12-03?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 3, 2025, EST-100%-$11.2
All 12 picks, newest first.
AI Inactivelast resolved Jul 25, 2026, EDT1163.6%7 W · 4 L+2.3wins+0.21per pick43cpaid+39.8%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
AI — the 11 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in AI, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will SpaceX Starship Flight Test 13 Superheavy explode?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)27c$27Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 25, 2026, EDT-100%-$27
Will the next Claude Opus model be released by July 24, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)30c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 24, 2026, EDT+233.3%+$35
Will the next Claude Opus model be released by July 23, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)9c$18Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 24, 2026, EDT-100%-$18
Intel (INTC) Q2 adjusted gross margin (non-GAAP) 38%-40%?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)69c$27Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 23, 2026, EDT+46%+$12.6
Will the next Claude Opus model be released by July 22, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$19Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 23, 2026, EDT+58.2%+$11.03
Will GPT-5.6 be released on July 9, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)78c$78Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 9, 2026, EDT+28.6%+$22.25
Will GPT-5.6 be released on July 7, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$26Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 8, 2026, EDT-100%-$26.25
Will Claude Fable 5 be restored for US customers by July 1?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$114Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 1, 2026, EDT+78.6%+$89.61
Will a Claude Mythos model be released by June 9, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$14Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 9, 2026, EDT+93.4%+$12.67
Will Figure's F.03 robots push at least 250,000 packages by 10:00 PM on May 21?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)25c$60Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 21, 2026, EDT+300%+$180
Will Gemini 3.2 be released on May 19?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)11c$14Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$13.84
All 11 picks, newest first.
La Liga Inactivelast resolved May 24, 2026, EDT1163.6%7 W · 4 L+0.9wins+0.09per pick55cpaid+19.6%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
La Liga — the 11 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in La Liga, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will FC Andorra win on 2026-05-24?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)69c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 24, 2026, EDT-100%-$10.35
Will Albacete Balompié win on 2026-05-15?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 15, 2026, EDT+49.3%+$7.39
Will Villarreal CF win on 2026-05-13?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 13, 2026, EDT-100%-$15
Will Club Atlético de Madrid win on 2026-05-12?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$122Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 12, 2026, EDT+63.9%+$78
Will Real Zaragoza vs. AD Ceuta FC end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)41c$44Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 18, 2026, EDT+146.4%+$64.68
Will Villarreal CF win on 2025-12-14?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$16Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 18, 2026, EST+97.7%+$15.34
Will FC Barcelona win on 2026-02-12?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$25Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 12, 2026, EST-100%-$25
Will RC Celta de Vigo win on 2026-02-06?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 6, 2026, EST-100%-$15
Will Real Sociedad de Fútbol win on 2026-02-04?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)38c$12Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 4, 2026, EST+163.2%+$19.58
Will Club Atlético de Madrid win on 2025-12-13?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)76c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 13, 2025, EST+31.6%+$4.8
Will Villarreal win on 2025-12-06?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$16Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 6, 2025, EST+63.9%+$10.29
All 11 picks, newest first.
Middle East Inactivelast resolved Aug 1, 2026, EDT1136.4%4 W · 7 L+0.9wins+0.08per pick28cpaid+6.5%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
Middle East — the 11 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Middle East, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Iran announce withdrawal from MOU negotiations by July 31?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)17c$102Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$102.46
Iran military action against a Gulf State on July 15?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)37c$22Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 19, 2026, EDT+170.3%+$37.8
Iran military action against a Gulf State on July 13?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)43c$35Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 18, 2026, EDT+131%+$45.4
Iran military action against a Gulf State on July 9?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$92Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 17, 2026, EDT-100%-$92.07
Iran military action against a Gulf State on July 14?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)12c$77Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 15, 2026, EDT-100%-$77
Iran closes its airspace by June 30?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)19c$38Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 11, 2026, EDT+423.6%+$161.8
US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)22c$685Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$685.4
US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 26, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$272Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 27, 2026, EDT+46.8%+$127.51
US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by May 24?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)29c$46Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 25, 2026, EDT-100%-$45.98
US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by May 23?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)17c$27Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 24, 2026, EDT-100%-$27.02
Sharjah ruler Sultan bin Muhammad Al-Qasimi arrested by May 31?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)2c$110Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 5, 2026, EDT-100%-$110.08
All 11 picks, newest first.
Tweetslast resolved Aug 14, 2026, EDT955.6%5 W · 4 L-0.7wins-0.08per pick63cpaid-7.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
Tweets — the 9 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Tweets, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Donald Trump post 180-199 Truth Social posts from August 7 to August 14, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$25Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 14, 2026, EDT+57.5%+$14.6
Will Elon Musk post 40-64 tweets from July 25 to July 27, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$37Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 27, 2026, EDT-100%-$36.8
Will NYC Mayor post 20-39 posts from June 9 to June 16, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)80c$12Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 13, 2026, EDT-100%-$11.94
Will Elon Musk post 40-64 tweets from June 8 to June 10, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$11Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 10, 2026, EDT+78.6%+$8.8
Will Elon Musk post 65-89 tweets from June 6 to June 8, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 8, 2026, EDT-100%-$10.6
Will Elon Musk post 65-89 tweets from June 1 to June 3, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$23Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 3, 2026, EDT+56.3%+$12.96
Will Elon Musk post 220-239 tweets from May 12 to May 19, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$52Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 19, 2026, EDT+91.6%+$47.82
Will Elon Musk post <40 tweets from May 11 to May 13, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)71c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 13, 2026, EDT-100%-$20
Will Elon Musk post 160-179 tweets from May 1 to May 8, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$10Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 8, 2026, EDT+49.3%+$4.95
All 9 picks, newest first.
Lol Inactivelast resolved May 25, 2026, EDT862.5%5 W · 3 L0.0wins0.00per pick63cpaid-1.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
Lol — the 8 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Lol, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
LoL: G2 Esports vs Movistar KOI (BO5) - LEC Playoffsbacked Movistar KOI · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)69c$25Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 25, 2026, EDT-100%-$25
LoL: Movistar KOI vs Karmine Corp (BO5) - LEC Versus Playoffsbacked Karmine Corp · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$25Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 28, 2026, EST+61.3%+$15.32
LoL: BNK FEARX vs Dplus KIA (BO5) - LCK Cup Playoffsbacked Dplus KIA · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$25Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 28, 2026, EST-100%-$25
LoL: LYON vs Team Liquid (BO5) - LCS Lock In Playoffsbacked LYON · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 28, 2026, EST+85.2%+$17.04
LoL: Fukuoka SoftBank Hawks Gaming vs Ground Zero Gaming (BO5) - LCP Playoffsbacked Ground Zero Gaming · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$55Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 27, 2026, EST-100%-$55.31
LoL: ZeroZone Gaming vs Elegance (BO3) - LPLOL Playoffsbacked ZeroZone Gaming · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)72c$35Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 26, 2026, EST+39.3%+$13.84
LoL: Berlin International Gaming vs Team Orange Gaming (BO3) - Prime League 1st Division Playoffsbacked Berlin International Gaming · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$24Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 26, 2026, EST+49.3%+$11.64
LoL: S2G Esports vs Bushido Wildcats (BO5) - TCL Playoffsbacked S2G Esports · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 26, 2026, EST+53.8%+$8.28
All 8 picks, newest first.
Europa Conference League Inactivelast resolved Jul 23, 2026, EDT742.9%3 W · 4 L-0.8wins-0.11per pick54cpaid-32.8%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
Europa Conference League — the 7 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Europa Conference League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

UFC Inactivelast resolved Jul 18, 2026, EDT666.7%4 W · 2 L-0.1wins-0.02per pick69cpaid-5.8%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
UFC — the 6 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in UFC, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Other European Leagues Inactivelast resolved Jul 18, 2026, EDT650%3 W · 3 L-1.5wins-0.26per pick76cpaid-34.4%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
Other European Leagues — the 6 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Other European Leagues, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Bundesliga Inactivelast resolved May 9, 2026, EDT475%3 W · 1 L+0.4wins+0.09per pick66cpaid+7.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
Bundesliga — the 4 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Bundesliga, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Serie A Inactivelast resolved May 17, 2026, EDT425%1 W · 3 L-1.4wins-0.35per pick60cpaid-37.5%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
Serie A — the 4 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Serie A, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

NBA Inactivelast resolved Jul 26, 2026, EDT425%1 W · 3 L-1.4wins-0.35per pick60cpaid-63.8%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
NBA — the 4 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NBA, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MLB Inactivelast resolved Jul 19, 2026, EDT366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.1wins+0.02per pick64cpaid+13.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
MLB — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in MLB, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Pittsburgh Pirates vs. Cleveland Guardiansbacked Pittsburgh Pirates · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)69c$10Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 19, 2026, EDT+44.2%+$4.6
Tampa Bay Rays vs. Boston Red Soxbacked Tampa Bay Rays · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)73c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 18, 2026, EDT-100%-$10.95
New York Yankees vs. Toronto Blue Jaysbacked New York Yankees · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$10Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 13, 2026, EDT+96.1%+$9.8
All 3 picks, newest first.
Asian League Inactivelast resolved Jul 19, 2026, EDT30%0 W · 3 L-0.7wins-0.25per pick25cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
Asian League — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Asian League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Champions League Inactivelast resolved May 30, 2026, EDT333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.8wins-0.27per pick60cpaid-57.9%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
Champions League — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Champions League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Ligue 1 Inactivelast resolved May 27, 2026, EDT2100%2 W · 0 L+1.1wins+0.56per pick44cpaid+280.1%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
Ligue 1 — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Ligue 1, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will FC Nantes vs. Toulouse FC end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)16c$332Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 27, 2026, EDT+519.4%+$1,726.08
Will Paris Saint-Germain FC win on 2026-05-13?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)71c$12Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 13, 2026, EDT+40.8%+$4.9
All 2 picks, newest first.
Macro Indicatorslast resolved Aug 13, 2026, EDT250%1 W · 1 L+0.4wins+0.18per pick33cpaid-2.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
Macro Indicators — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Macro Indicators, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Cricketlast resolved Aug 16, 2026, EDT250%1 W · 1 L-0.4wins-0.18per pick68cpaid-23.4%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
Cricket — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Cricket, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Australia win?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)71c$14Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 16, 2026, EDT-100%-$14.24
ODI Series West Indies vs. New Zealand: West Indies vs New Zealandbacked New Zealand · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$13Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 19, 2026, EDT+53.3%+$6.95
All 2 picks, newest first.
Movies Inactivelast resolved Jul 20, 2026, EDT250%1 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.23per pick73cpaid-32.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
Movies — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Movies, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Valorant Inactivelast resolved Feb 27, 2026, EST1100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.50per pick50cpaid+100%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
Valorant — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Valorant, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Valorant: Leviatán GC vs Looking For Laburo (BO3) - VCT Game Changers Latin America South Group Stagebacked Looking For Laburo · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$24Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 27, 2026, EST+100%+$24
All 1 picks, newest first.
Us Midterms Inactivelast resolved Aug 5, 2026, EDT1100%1 W · 0 L+0.4wins+0.44per pick56cpaid+77%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
Us Midterms — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Us Midterms, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Callie Barr be the MI-01 Democratic nominee?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$23Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 5, 2026, EDT+77%+$17.4
All 1 picks, newest first.
Chesslast resolved Aug 15, 2026, EDT1100%1 W · 0 L+0.4wins+0.41per pick59cpaid+69.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
Chess — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Chess, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Magnus Carlsen Win EWC 2026 Chess?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$12Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 15, 2026, EDT+69.5%+$8.2
All 1 picks, newest first.
Stocks Inactivelast resolved Jun 1, 2026, EDT1100%1 W · 0 L+0.3wins+0.35per pick65cpaid+52.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
Stocks — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Stocks, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by June 30, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$203Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 1, 2026, EDT+52.8%+$107.34
All 1 picks, newest first.
F1 Inactivelast resolved Dec 7, 2025, EST1100%1 W · 0 L+0.3wins+0.27per pick73cpaid+37%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
F1 — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in F1, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Lando Norris be the 2025 Drivers Champion?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)73c$22Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 7, 2025, EST+37%+$8.1
All 1 picks, newest first.
South American Leagues Inactivelast resolved Nov 20, 2025, EST1100%1 W · 0 L+0.2wins+0.21per pick79cpaid+26.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
South American Leagues — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in South American Leagues, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Fluminense FC win on 2025-11-19?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)79c$12Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 20, 2025, EST+26.6%+$3.15
All 1 picks, newest first.
IPO Inactivelast resolved May 24, 2026, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.06per pick6cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
IPO — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in IPO, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will OpenAI file for an IPO by May 22, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)6c$14Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 24, 2026, EDT-100%-$14
All 1 picks, newest first.
China Taiwan Inactivelast resolved Jul 31, 2026, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.07per pick7cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
China Taiwan — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in China Taiwan, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Alibaba have the best Chinese AI model at the end of July 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)7c$12Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 31, 2026, EDT-100%-$11.83
All 1 picks, newest first.
Fed Rates Inactivelast resolved Jul 29, 2026, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.3wins-0.25per pick25cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Fed Rates — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Fed Rates, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the July 2026 meeting?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)25c$30Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 29, 2026, EDT-100%-$30.2
All 1 picks, newest first.
Golf Inactivelast resolved Aug 4, 2026, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.50per pick50cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
Golf — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Golf, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
The Polymarket Classic: Winnerbacked JR/Claire · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 4, 2026, EDT-100%-$10
All 1 picks, newest first.
Earnings Inactivelast resolved Jul 22, 2026, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.7wins-0.69per pick69cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
Earnings — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Earnings, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Tesla (TSLA) beat quarterly earnings?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)69c$14Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 22, 2026, EDT-100%-$13.8
All 1 picks, newest first.
Music Inactivelast resolved May 16, 2026, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.8wins-0.78per pick78cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
Music — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Music, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Finland be in the top 3 at Eurovision 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)78c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 16, 2026, EDT-100%-$50
All 1 picks, newest first.

vs expected is how many more (or fewer) Picks this wallet won than the prices it paid implied it would. It is the column that tells a real edge apart from a record bought by backing favourites. Realizable edge is what that comes to per Pick for somebody copying the wallet, after the cost of getting in behind it. Avg entry is the average price it paid, so a strong record built on heavy favourites shows as one. ROI per pick counts every Pick equally rather than by size, which is how a record earned across many Picks is told apart from one carried by a few large ones. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in — an American night game settles after midnight UTC, so any other zone would name the day after the one it was played on. Inactive means nothing has resolved in that Category recently. The score is kept and the wallet stays reachable here; it only leaves the default leaderboard.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.