Bundesliga · resolved market
Will Borussia Dortmund win on 2025-12-07?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x0ff11d6b9f2048d223d4bef008fa64c34745f60e3117e11c3ee78c9cb7b13d5c
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Yesof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Bundesligaevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $239,382
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $239,960
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $239,382 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 227 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Bundesliga is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Bundesliga | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xc8b4…f05dbacked Yes | 57c | 30,300$17,271 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13,029.01 | 50 | 52%26 W · 24 L | +2.6wins | +0.05per pick | 47cpaid | +3.9%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc3c3…eec8backed No | 43c | 30,000$12,900 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12,900 | 114 | 45.6%52 W · 62 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -5.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xad94…85b1backed No | 41c | 22,090$9,036 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$9,035.99 | 22 | 22.7%5 W · 17 L | -2.7wins | -0.12per pick | 35cpaid | -37.7%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x1433…56a0backed Yes | 59c | 18,408$10,861 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7,547.47 | 14 | 64.3%9 W · 5 L | +2.4wins | +0.17per pick | 47cpaid | +25.5%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x37e4…c991backed No | 41c | 17,224$7,062 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$7,061.87 | 40 | 42.5%17 W · 23 L | -1.5wins | -0.04per pick | 46cpaid | +28.7%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x057a…3bacbacked No | 36c | 14,504$5,196 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,195.64 | 76 | 48.7%37 W · 39 L | -1.6wins | -0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -3.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x73c5…2f80backed No | 5c | 11,520$549 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$548.92 | 60 | 51.7%31 W · 29 L | +4.4wins | +0.07per pick | 44cpaid | -6%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x4133…5e70backed No | 32c | 6,715$2,124 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,124.47 | 751 | 42.5%319 W · 432 L | -26.7wins | -0.04per pick | 46cpaid | -14.2%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked No | 18c | 5,575$996 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$996.38 | 2,538 | 39.8%1,009 W · 1,529 L | -8.1wins | 0.00per pick | 40cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed No | 20c | 4,607$938 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$937.56 | 3,284 | 42.6%1,399 W · 1,885 L | -74.0wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -18.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8245…4f87backed Yes | 75c | 4,500$3,366 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,134.05 | 11 | 81.8%9 W · 2 L | +1.7wins | +0.16per pick | 66cpaid | +13.5%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xe60a…6a47backed Yes | 58c | 3,706$2,166 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,539.55 | 151 | 34.4%52 W · 99 L | -2.5wins | -0.02per pick | 36cpaid | -7.7%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd6a3…9489backed No | 21c | 3,372$712 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$711.88 | 536 | 45.9%246 W · 290 L | +6.7wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb7f5…c669backed Yes | 59c | 2,747$1,618 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,129.33 | 15 | 26.7%4 W · 11 L | -3.3wins | -0.22per pick | 49cpaid | -50.8%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x33c2…9818backed No | 50c | 2,478$1,239 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,239.18 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -1.9wins | -0.64per pick | 64cpaid | -100%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xcef7…e7d7backed Yes | 52c | 2,368$1,242 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,126.36 | 40 | 62.5%25 W · 15 L | +7.2wins | +0.18per pick | 44cpaid | +98.1%equal weight | 62+0.11 edge/pick |
| 0xe045…c149backed No | 39c | 2,035$794 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$793.78 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | -0.3wins | -0.05per pick | 55cpaid | -32.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1e33…afb3backed Yes | 52c | 1,923$1,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$923.08 | 51 | 47.1%24 W · 27 L | -1.3wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x37e0…024ebacked No | 40c | 1,787$715 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$714.84 | 35 | 34.3%12 W · 23 L | -2.2wins | -0.06per pick | 41cpaid | -7.6%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1c16…1e6bbacked Yes | 62c | 1,683$1,040 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$642.65 | 5 | 80%4 W · 1 L | +0.7wins | +0.14per pick | 66cpaid | +21.4%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8b90…30b6backed Yes | 55c | 1,632$900 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$732.08 | 52 | 50%26 W · 26 L | +3.2wins | +0.06per pick | 44cpaid | +11.6%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xfefb…4b5dbacked No | 7c | 1,600$111 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$111.35 | 238 | 42.9%102 W · 136 L | +2.7wins | +0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -13.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x13fa…3facbacked No | 41c | 1,500$615 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$615 | 277 | 26.4%73 W · 204 L | -1.9wins | -0.01per pick | 27cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe071…f836backed Yes | 59c | 1,420$842 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$577.97 | 100 | 57%57 W · 43 L | +2.4wins | +0.02per pick | 55cpaid | +11.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1d94…9100backed No | 6c | 1,395$79 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$79.42 | 762 | 34.8%265 W · 497 L | +9.4wins | +0.01per pick | 34cpaid | +2.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd1ed…d7cbbacked No | 4c | 1,288$58 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$57.62 | 63 | 47.6%30 W · 33 L | +1.1wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -3.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd3d3…bb8ebacked Yes | 54c | 1,236$666 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$569.81 | 58 | 51.7%30 W · 28 L | -1.5wins | -0.03per pick | 54cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xaa6c…4b49backed Yes | 61c | 1,230$750 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$479.51 | 28 | 42.9%12 W · 16 L | +1.4wins | +0.05per pick | 38cpaid | +8.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1e46…5737backed Yes | 58c | 1,200$696 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$504 | 44 | 61.4%27 W · 17 L | +1.8wins | +0.04per pick | 57cpaid | +4.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x13a1…d9bcbacked Yes | 69c | 1,149$793 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$356.18 | 160 | 60.6%97 W · 63 L | +9.1wins | +0.06per pick | 55cpaid | +3.9%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xf699…07e1backed Yes | 70c | 1,034$720 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$313.97 | 104 | 63.5%66 W · 38 L | +9.8wins | +0.09per pick | 54cpaid | +22.5%equal weight | 58+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x5ba6…0f07backed Yes | 60c | 1,000$600 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$400 | 33 | 57.6%19 W · 14 L | +1.6wins | +0.05per pick | 53cpaid | +14.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7253…89edbacked No | 41c | 1,000$410 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$410 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.41per pick | 41cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0ba4…c08bbacked No | 41c | 1,000$410 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$409.99 | 56 | 35.7%20 W · 36 L | -6.2wins | -0.11per pick | 47cpaid | -25.8%equal weight | 42-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x5e10…70f4backed Yes | 59c | 1,000$590 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$410 | 90 | 53.3%48 W · 42 L | +2.9wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe4e7…6c34backed Yes | 58c | 1,000$580 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$420 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.42per pick | 58cpaid | +72.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked No | 42c | 954.86$402 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$401.65 | 1,355 | 50.9%690 W · 665 L | +12.7wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6b59…6445backed Yes | 61c | 833$508 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$324.87 | 16 | 81.3%13 W · 3 L | +2.5wins | +0.15per pick | 66cpaid | +21%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xfd2f…37ddbacked No | 42c | 800$336 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$336 | 65 | 43.1%28 W · 37 L | +2.9wins | +0.04per pick | 39cpaid | +8.8%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0d16…85f3backed No | 42c | 745.24$313 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$313 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -0.4wins | -0.08per pick | 48cpaid | -28.2%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8fe7…4f20backed No | 40c | 744.98$298 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$297.99 | 126 | 51.6%65 W · 61 L | -1.3wins | -0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -10.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x781c…db68backed No | 4c | 740.96$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32.63 | 223 | 32.3%72 W · 151 L | -7.6wins | -0.03per pick | 36cpaid | -24%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x908a…ad16backed Yes | 74c | 683.97$506 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$177.52 | 511 | 36.8%188 W · 323 L | -28.0wins | -0.05per pick | 42cpaid | -24.2%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x865f…e88ebacked Yes | 59c | 605.23$355 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$250.24 | 343 | 42%144 W · 199 L | -0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 42cpaid | -5.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3a09…f9f7backed Yes | 60c | 585.25$351 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$234.1 | 100 | 40%40 W · 60 L | -3.8wins | -0.04per pick | 44cpaid | -12%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6695…6f1abacked Yes | 50c | 529.22$265 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$264.61 | 10 | 20%2 W · 8 L | -3.7wins | -0.37per pick | 57cpaid | -67.5%equal weight | 38-0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x3a83…195bbacked Yes | 57c | 528.51$301 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$227.26 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +0.6wins | +0.15per pick | 60cpaid | +16.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcb5b…eca0backed Yes | 61c | 508.2$310 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$198.2 | 25 | 48%12 W · 13 L | +0.4wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | +5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6d01…0ab1backed No | 41c | 500$205 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$205 | 110 | 36.4%40 W · 70 L | -2.7wins | -0.02per pick | 39cpaid | -4.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe18a…fd87backed Yes | 60c | 500$300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$200 | 240 | 50.4%121 W · 119 L | +18.5wins | +0.08per pick | 43cpaid | +15.9%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xe671…a682backed Yes | 60c | 500$300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$200 | 158 | 47.5%75 W · 83 L | +10.5wins | +0.07per pick | 41cpaid | +18.9%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xff69…1981backed Yes | 63c | 500$315 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$185 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | -0.8wins | -0.17per pick | 37cpaid | -68.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1677…1126backed Yes | 57c | 491$280 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$211.13 | 142 | 54.2%77 W · 65 L | +7.6wins | +0.05per pick | 49cpaid | +7.7%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x426a…128bbacked No | 15c | 454.63$69 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$69.46 | 33 | 45.5%15 W · 18 L | +2.3wins | +0.07per pick | 39cpaid | +3.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf4fe…7365backed Yes | 54c | 450.69$244 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$206.69 | 12 | 33.3%4 W · 8 L | -0.9wins | -0.07per pick | 41cpaid | -23.2%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd903…bf9dbacked Yes | 73c | 439.83$319 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$120.4 | 25 | 56%14 W · 11 L | -1.3wins | -0.05per pick | 61cpaid | -15.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc40f…1950backed Yes | 70c | 429.96$300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$129.96 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.4wins | +0.14per pick | 52cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4a8d…31eabacked Yes | 58c | 424.14$246 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$178.14 | 345 | 47.5%164 W · 181 L | +0.8wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdb12…f057backed No | 39c | 413.43$161 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$161.24 | 154 | 53.9%83 W · 71 L | +3.0wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5fa9…a36dbacked Yes | 61c | 409.84$250 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$159.84 | 28 | 53.6%15 W · 13 L | +2.8wins | +0.10per pick | 44cpaid | +35.5%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x9678…b4bfbacked Yes | 50c | 396.08$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$196.08 | 28 | 32.1%9 W · 19 L | +0.5wins | +0.02per pick | 30cpaid | +26.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2076…bf0dbacked Yes | 59c | 367.68$217 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$150.75 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +0.4wins | +0.08per pick | 52cpaid | +6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfcca…c460backed No | 41c | 364.25$149 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$149.26 | 17 | 29.4%5 W · 12 L | -1.7wins | -0.10per pick | 39cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7256…30c9backed No | 44c | 356.52$157 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$156.77 | 22 | 45.5%10 W · 12 L | +0.4wins | +0.02per pick | 44cpaid | +25.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe20a…e469backed No | 38c | 352.97$135 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$135.3 | 147 | 56.5%83 W · 64 L | +3.4wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x154b…4917backed No | 41c | 339.86$140 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$140.22 | 21 | 42.9%9 W · 12 L | -1.0wins | -0.05per pick | 48cpaid | +18.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x87ea…f625backed No | 42c | 333$140 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$139.86 | 23 | 26.1%6 W · 17 L | -3.2wins | -0.14per pick | 40cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x7705…a442backed No | 15c | 288.89$43 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$43 | 158 | 29.1%46 W · 112 L | -5.7wins | -0.04per pick | 33cpaid | -19.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb9ed…617ebacked Yes | 59c | 254.85$150 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$104.49 | 14 | 50%7 W · 7 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +9.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9776…fc56backed Yes | 57c | 246.36$140 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$106.36 | 16 | 31.3%5 W · 11 L | -0.6wins | -0.03per pick | 35cpaid | -28.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0180…b8cdbacked Yes | 58c | 241.38$140 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$101.38 | 54 | 44.4%24 W · 30 L | +0.5wins | +0.01per pick | 43cpaid | +5.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x70b0…b71fbacked No | 11c | 239.26$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.25 | 29 | 24.1%7 W · 22 L | -2.2wins | -0.08per pick | 32cpaid | -38.5%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7c85…77c6backed Yes | 59c | 237.29$140 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$97.29 | 84 | 59.5%50 W · 34 L | +2.9wins | +0.03per pick | 56cpaid | +3.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc23d…82c8backed Yes | 77c | 231.22$178 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$52.81 | 17 | 64.7%11 W · 6 L | +0.5wins | +0.03per pick | 62cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7795…1db8backed Yes | 51c | 229.12$117 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$112.27 | 17 | 64.7%11 W · 6 L | +1.5wins | +0.09per pick | 56cpaid | +13.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc504…8cfebacked Yes | 60c | 207.65$125 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$82.65 | 6 | 66.7%4 W · 2 L | +0.4wins | +0.07per pick | 60cpaid | +5.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1244…c851backed No | 39c | 206.1$80 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$80.38 | 64 | 59.4%38 W · 26 L | +5.8wins | +0.09per pick | 50cpaid | +15.3%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xead1…c76abacked Yes | 61c | 200$121 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$78.95 | 339 | 45.7%155 W · 184 L | +1.9wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xaacf…5f84backed Yes | 59c | 200$118 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$82 | 91 | 73.6%67 W · 24 L | +5.9wins | +0.07per pick | 67cpaid | +10.4%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x9a6e…35b4backed No | 41c | 200$83 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$82.67 | 97 | 46.4%45 W · 52 L | +1.1wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | +7.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4f6b…075fbacked Yes | 60c | 200$120 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$80 | 99 | 51.5%51 W · 48 L | -3.0wins | -0.03per pick | 55cpaid | -9.3%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x031d…db9dbacked Yes | 61c | 200$122 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$78 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +0.9wins | +0.22per pick | 53cpaid | +26.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdf68…8682backed Yes | 52c | 192.31$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$92.31 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -3.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa198…9601backed Yes | 52c | 192.31$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$92.31 | 12 | 50%6 W · 6 L | +0.4wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -6.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x23fe…9788backed No | 19c | 192.03$37 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$37.31 | 195 | 44.6%87 W · 108 L | -5.2wins | -0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -16.5%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc556…958dbacked Yes | 53c | 188.68$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$88.68 | 31 | 45.2%14 W · 17 L | +1.1wins | +0.03per pick | 42cpaid | +3.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb0a6…fa77backed No | 27c | 185.19$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 8 | 37.5%3 W · 5 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 38cpaid | -18.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xbd6e…7a2bbacked Yes | 59c | 177.97$105 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$72.97 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.7wins | +0.35per pick | 65cpaid | +54.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3fbc…9cf6backed Yes | 57c | 175.44$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$75.44 | 22 | 36.4%8 W · 14 L | -2.5wins | -0.11per pick | 48cpaid | -24.8%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x4781…336dbacked Yes | 52c | 175$91 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$84 | 38 | 76.3%29 W · 9 L | +4.6wins | +0.12per pick | 64cpaid | +17.9%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x26ab…41c1backed Yes | 58c | 172.41$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$72.41 | 31 | 61.3%19 W · 12 L | +3.8wins | +0.12per pick | 49cpaid | +27.9%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x813e…5ed9backed Yes | 58c | 172.41$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$72.41 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 35cpaid | -42.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7d33…e208backed Yes | 58c | 172.41$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$72.41 | 47 | 36.2%17 W · 30 L | -4.1wins | -0.09per pick | 45cpaid | -18.5%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x0c44…a1aabacked Yes | 60c | 170.97$103 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$68.39 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.40per pick | 60cpaid | +66.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x57ba…d369backed Yes | 59c | 170$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$69.7 | 4 | 100%4 W · 0 L | +1.8wins | +0.46per pick | 54cpaid | +86.1%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x5b1a…8480backed Yes | 60c | 166.67$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$66.67 | 9 | 77.8%7 W · 2 L | +2.2wins | +0.24per pick | 54cpaid | +43%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x4411…985ebacked Yes | 62c | 161.29$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$61.29 | 30 | 63.3%19 W · 11 L | +1.2wins | +0.04per pick | 59cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5137…1556backed No | 40c | 156.03$62 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$61.8 | 110 | 40.9%45 W · 65 L | -4.0wins | -0.04per pick | 45cpaid | -13.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc07d…5bd8backed No | 27c | 150$41 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40.5 | 11 | 36.4%4 W · 7 L | -1.9wins | -0.18per pick | 54cpaid | -29.5%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x86fe…025cbacked Yes | 74c | 138.33$103 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$35.33 | 6 | 66.7%4 W · 2 L | +0.4wins | +0.07per pick | 60cpaid | -5.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Bundesliga and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will Borussia Dortmund win on 2025-12-07?this page
- Will 1899 Hoffenheim win on 2025-12-07?No won
- Will Borussia Dortmund vs. 1899 Hoffenheim end in a draw?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.