TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Wallet 0xe4e7…6c34

Rebuilt .

Summary

Qualified picks
60
Categories scored
14
Categories below 50
6

Best Category: UFC, grading 53 out of 100 (+0.03 per pick).

Best Category UFC at 53 out of 100; worst College Football at 48.

What is a Tail Score?

A mark out of 100, per Category. 50 means no edge at all — this wallet did about what the prices it paid implied it would. Above 50 it beat those prices; below 50 it did worse than them.

The scale does not move. 100 is a wallet beating the prices it paid by 0.45 per pick and 0 is losing to them by the same, on every wallet, on every page, in every month. So a grade you screenshot today still means what it meant when you took it, and two wallets can be put side by side.

Nobody reaches either end. Across every wallet TailMyPicks has scored, the marks run from roughly 5 to 87 — which is what a fixed ruler costs, and what buys the sentence above.

It is not a win rate. A wallet can win four Picks in five and still grade below 50, if the market was already pricing those outcomes at 90c — it paid for the wins rather than finding them. The vs expected and Avg entry columns below are what separate the two.

The mark is deliberately pulled toward 50 when there is little evidence. Three lucky Picks do not produce a high grade; several hundred consistent ones do. So a modest grade on thousands of Picks means something a high grade on twelve does not.

Because it is shrunk this way, a Category grade is a conservative reading. The headline figure for a wallet is its best Category, so it always understates how badly the wallet does in its worst one — which is why the table below is per Category and not one blended number.

Record by Category

Ordered by how much this wallet actually traded in each Category, not by score — so the Categories it plays most appear first whether they went well or badly. Open any row to see the picks its numbers were computed from — all of them.

CategoryQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
Fifa International Inactivelast resolved Jul 19, 2026, EDT1822.2%4 W · 14 L+0.5wins+0.03per pick20cpaid+14.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
Fifa International — the 18 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Fifa International, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Spain vs. Argentina: Will the Match Go to a Penalty Shootout?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)21c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$10.5
France vs. England: Team to Winbacked England · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)30c$30Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 18, 2026, EDT+233.3%+$70
Will England win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)14c$29Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 15, 2026, EDT-100%-$28.6
France vs. Spain: Will the Match Go to a Penalty Shootout?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)15c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$15
Will Switzerland win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)2c$16Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 12, 2026, EDT-100%-$16
Argentina vs. Switzerland: Team to Advancebacked Switzerland · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)25c$12Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 11, 2026, EDT-100%-$12.38
Will Argentina win on 2026-07-07?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)25c$13Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 7, 2026, EDT+300%+$37.5
Spread: England (-1.5)backed England · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)16c$16Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 5, 2026, EDT-100%-$16
Mexico vs. England: England O/U 2.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)11c$11Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 5, 2026, EDT+809.1%+$89
Belgium vs. Senegal: O/U 3.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)24c$12Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 1, 2026, EDT+316.7%+$38
England vs. DR Congo: England O/U 2.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)22c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$11.05
Mexico vs. Ecuador: Team to Advancebacked Ecuador · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)37c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$14.8
Czechia vs. Mexico: Czechia O/U 1.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)24c$12Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 24, 2026, EDT-100%-$12
Will Panama win on 2026-06-23?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)11c$22Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 23, 2026, EDT-100%-$22
Will Côte d'Ivoire win on 2026-06-20?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)12c$12Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 20, 2026, EDT-100%-$12
Spain vs. Cabo Verde: Spain O/U 2.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)20c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 15, 2026, EDT-100%-$10
Will Türkiye win on 2026-06-14?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)12c$12Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$12
Will Denmark win on 2026-03-31?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)31c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 31, 2026, EDT-100%-$14.86
All 18 picks, newest first.
NHL Inactivelast resolved Feb 28, 2026, EST1855.6%10 W · 8 L+0.4wins+0.02per pick54cpaid-5.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
NHL — the 18 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NHL, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Blackhawks vs. Avalanchebacked Blackhawks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)24c$64Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 28, 2026, EST-100%-$64.39
Bruins vs. Wildbacked Wild · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$1,620Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 14, 2025, EST+85.2%+$1,379.99
Utah vs. Penguinsbacked Penguins · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$855Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 14, 2025, EST-100%-$855
Kraken vs. Utahbacked Kraken · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)36c$1,080Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 13, 2025, EST-100%-$1,080
Blackhawks vs. Bluesbacked Blues · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$1,530Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 13, 2025, EST+96.1%+$1,469.92
Avalanche vs. Predatorsbacked Avalanche · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$2,660Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 10, 2025, EST-100%-$2,659.97
Ducks vs. Penguinsbacked Penguins · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$1,040Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 10, 2025, EST-100%-$1,040
Blue Jackets vs. Hurricanesbacked Hurricanes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$1,280Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 10, 2025, EST+56.2%+$719.96
Wild vs. Krakenbacked Wild · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$53Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 9, 2025, EST+78.6%+$41.8
Kings vs. Utahbacked Kings · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$853Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 9, 2025, EST+106.7%+$910.37
Blue Jackets vs. Capitalsbacked Capitals · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$1,260Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 7, 2025, EST+58.7%+$739.83
Penguins vs. Starsbacked Stars · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$349Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 7, 2025, EST+64.5%+$225.18
Jets vs. Oilersbacked Oilers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$1,259Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 7, 2025, EST+58.7%+$739.63
Blackhawks vs. Kingsbacked Kings · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$170Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 7, 2025, EST+57.6%+$97.81
Utah vs. Flamesbacked Utah · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$483Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 7, 2025, EST-100%-$482.54
Sharks vs. Starsbacked Stars · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)71c$1,302Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 6, 2025, EST+40.8%+$531.92
Golden Knights vs. Devilsbacked Devils · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$890Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 5, 2025, EST-100%-$890
Rangers vs. Senatorsbacked Senators · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$840Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 4, 2025, EST-100%-$840
All 18 picks, newest first.
NFL Inactivelast resolved Dec 15, 2025, EST560%3 W · 2 L+0.7wins+0.14per pick46cpaid+50.7%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
NFL — the 5 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NFL, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Vikings vs. Cowboysbacked Vikings · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)31c$775Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 15, 2025, EST+222.6%+$1,725
Ravens vs. Bengalsbacked Bengals · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)39c$975Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 14, 2025, EST-100%-$975
Texans vs. Chiefsbacked Texans · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)34c$1,020Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 8, 2025, EST+194.1%+$1,980.01
Seahawks vs. Falconsbacked Seahawks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)73c$2,190Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 7, 2025, EST+37%+$810
Commanders vs. Vikingsbacked Commanders · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$1,530Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 7, 2025, EST-100%-$1,530
All 5 picks, newest first.
Champions League Inactivelast resolved Dec 10, 2025, EST560%3 W · 2 L+0.3wins+0.06per pick54cpaid+4.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
Champions League — the 5 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Champions League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Premier League Inactivelast resolved Dec 8, 2025, EST250%1 W · 1 L+0.2wins+0.10per pick40cpaid+28.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
Premier League — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Premier League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Manchester United win on 2025-12-08?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)41c$820Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 8, 2025, EST-100%-$819.99
Will Tottenham win on 2025-12-06?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)39c$780Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 6, 2025, EST+156.4%+$1,220
All 2 picks, newest first.
NBA Inactivelast resolved Dec 6, 2025, EST250%1 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.05per pick55cpaid-19.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
NBA — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NBA, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
76ers vs. Bucksbacked Bucks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$483Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 6, 2025, EST-100%-$483.3
Spurs vs. Cavaliersbacked Cavaliers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$1,240Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 6, 2025, EST+61.3%+$760
All 2 picks, newest first.
F1 Inactivelast resolved Jul 19, 2026, EDT20%0 W · 2 L-0.1wins-0.06per pick6cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
F1 — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in F1, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

La Liga Inactivelast resolved May 9, 2026, EDT20%0 W · 2 L-0.5wins-0.26per pick26cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
La Liga — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in La Liga, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Club Atlético de Madrid win on 2026-05-09?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)10c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 9, 2026, EDT-100%-$10
Will Osasuna win on 2025-12-08?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)42c$175Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 8, 2025, EST-100%-$175.28
All 2 picks, newest first.
UFC Inactivelast resolved May 10, 2026, EDT1100%1 W · 0 L+0.8wins+0.81per pick19cpaid+426.3%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
UFC — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in UFC, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
UFC 328: Sean Strickland vs. Khamzat Chimaev (Middleweight, Main Card)backed Sean Strickland · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)19c$10Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 10, 2026, EDT+426.3%+$44.54
All 1 picks, newest first.
Serie A Inactivelast resolved Dec 14, 2025, EST1100%1 W · 0 L+0.7wins+0.65per pick35cpaid+185.7%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
Serie A — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Serie A, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will AC Milan win on 2025-12-14?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)35c$350Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 14, 2025, EST+185.7%+$650
All 1 picks, newest first.
Bundesliga Inactivelast resolved Dec 7, 2025, EST1100%1 W · 0 L+0.4wins+0.42per pick58cpaid+72.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
Bundesliga — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Bundesliga, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Borussia Dortmund win on 2025-12-07?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$580Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 7, 2025, EST+72.4%+$420
All 1 picks, newest first.
Europa Conference League Inactivelast resolved Jul 23, 2026, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.10per pick10cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
Europa Conference League — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Europa Conference League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will FC København win on 2026-07-23?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)10c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 23, 2026, EDT-100%-$10
All 1 picks, newest first.
Tennis Inactivelast resolved Jul 12, 2026, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.2wins-0.19per pick19cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Tennis — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Tennis, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Wimbledon ATP: Jannik Sinner vs Alexander Zverevbacked Alexander Zverev · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)19c$19Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 12, 2026, EDT-100%-$19
All 1 picks, newest first.
College Football Inactivelast resolved Dec 6, 2025, EST10%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.54per pick54cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
College Football — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in College Football, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
North Texas vs. Tulanebacked North Texas · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$1,070Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 6, 2025, EST-100%-$1,069.98
All 1 picks, newest first.

vs expected is how many more (or fewer) Picks this wallet won than the prices it paid implied it would. It is the column that tells a real edge apart from a record bought by backing favourites. Realizable edge is what that comes to per Pick for somebody copying the wallet, after the cost of getting in behind it. Avg entry is the average price it paid, so a strong record built on heavy favourites shows as one. ROI per pick counts every Pick equally rather than by size, which is how a record earned across many Picks is told apart from one carried by a few large ones. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in — an American night game settles after midnight UTC, so any other zone would name the day after the one it was played on. Inactive means nothing has resolved in that Category recently. The score is kept and the wallet stays reachable here; it only leaves the default leaderboard.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.