TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Champions League · resolved market

Will BV Borussia 09 Dortmund win on 2025-12-10?

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Noof Yes, No
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Champions Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$858,743
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$840,042

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $858,743 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 571 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Champions League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Champions League
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0xc3c3…eec8backed No23c135,000$31,050 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$103,949.9110443.3%45 W · 59 L+4.5wins+0.04per pick39cpaid+6.1%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x387c…57b3backed Yes76c130,705$99,970 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$99,969.9910%0 W · 1 L-0.8wins-0.76per pick76cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x507e…beaebacked No24c72,399$17,068 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$55,331.346048.5%223 W · 237 L-7.0wins-0.02per pick50cpaid-11.5%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0xe90b…5da2backed Yes78c64,794$50,552 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$50,552.117146.5%33 W · 38 L-2.9wins-0.04per pick51cpaid+4.3%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x8b32…5950backed No25c55,679$13,724 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$41,955.8115442.9%66 W · 88 L+7.3wins+0.05per pick38cpaid+14.3%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xead1…c76abacked Yes74c34,495$25,615 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$25,614.8329846.3%138 W · 160 L+4.2wins+0.01per pick45cpaid+6.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xc8b4…f05dbacked Yes73c27,314$19,939 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$19,939.4217853.9%96 W · 82 L+2.6wins+0.01per pick52cpaid+2.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xc2c8…5471backed No26c26,793$6,966 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$19,826.568040%32 W · 48 L+2.2wins+0.03per pick37cpaid+0.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x3eac…4c8cbacked No28c25,855$7,123 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$18,732.188241.5%34 W · 48 L-4.4wins-0.05per pick47cpaid-9.5%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x9cb9…32f2backed No28c25,236$6,969 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$18,266.667742.9%33 W · 44 L+2.3wins+0.03per pick40cpaid-0.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x7865…4af9backed No27c23,520$6,351 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$17,169.968836.4%32 W · 56 L+3.5wins+0.04per pick32cpaid-0.5%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xe60a…6a47backed Yes75c23,447$17,551 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$17,551.138043.9%167 W · 213 L-2.6wins-0.01per pick45cpaid+4.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x78ad…45ccbacked No29c21,020$6,016 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$15,003.632948.3%14 W · 15 L-0.5wins-0.02per pick50cpaid-11.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xeb4a…4ef5backed No27c20,250$5,467 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$14,782.46742.9%3 W · 4 L+0.1wins+0.01per pick42cpaid+5.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xb2ab…f2c3backed Yes72c20,139$14,500 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$14,500650%3 W · 3 L-0.5wins-0.08per pick58cpaid-22.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x64b5…7543backed No28c20,000$5,600 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$14,399.9614235.2%50 W · 92 L+2.9wins+0.02per pick33cpaid+5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x204f…5e14backed No26c17,262$4,441 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$12,821.351,95944.1%863 W · 1,096 L+2.3wins0.00per pick44cpaid-9.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x38c2…d3a7backed Yes72c17,260$12,500 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$12,500933.3%3 W · 6 L-2.2wins-0.25per pick58cpaid-34.4%equal weight43-0.07 edge/pick
0xd7e4…f06fbacked No28c15,000$4,200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$10,799.981030%3 W · 7 L+0.2wins+0.02per pick28cpaid+8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x7104…afefbacked Yes75c13,333$10,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10,0001258.3%7 W · 5 L-0.5wins-0.04per pick62cpaid-1.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xad94…85b1backed No29c13,000$3,770 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$9,23010040%40 W · 60 L+1.1wins+0.01per pick39cpaid-2.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xdb27…c56ebacked No28c11,785$3,300 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$8,485.3710443.3%45 W · 59 L+1.9wins+0.02per pick41cpaid+8.9%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x9e5c…d8e6backed No24c10,000$2,350 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$7,65039842.2%168 W · 230 L+1.7wins0.00per pick42cpaid-6.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x1867…92cabacked Yes73c10,000$7,300 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$7,30018160.8%110 W · 71 L+18.5wins+0.10per pick51cpaid+31.1%equal weight60+0.09 edge/pick
0xd903…bf9dbacked No24c8,985$2,142 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$6,842.464254.8%23 W · 19 L-1.1wins-0.03per pick57cpaid-10.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x9665…e721backed No25c8,467$2,105 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$6,361.684540%18 W · 27 L0.0wins0.00per pick40cpaid+2.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x2652…2a1dbacked No24c7,560$1,789 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5,771.2433851.5%174 W · 164 L-8.8wins-0.03per pick54cpaid-8.4%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x7b2c…af48backed Yes73c7,197$5,231 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5,230.8938748.3%187 W · 200 L-0.4wins0.00per pick48cpaid-0.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x1d94…9100backed No26c7,034$1,837 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5,197.1743427.4%119 W · 315 L-6.7wins-0.02per pick29cpaid-7.6%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x2005…75eabacked Yes42c6,731$2,833 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,833.081,48740.3%599 W · 888 L-7.1wins0.00per pick41cpaid-16.1%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0x1e33…afb3backed Yes75c6,664$4,998 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4,9982365.2%15 W · 8 L+1.9wins+0.08per pick57cpaid+19.5%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x8245…4f87backed Yes70c5,481$3,810 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,810.463256.3%18 W · 14 L-1.5wins-0.05per pick61cpaid-7.9%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x14ac…cb21backed Yes71c5,364$3,808 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,808.386451.6%33 W · 31 L-2.0wins-0.03per pick55cpaid-11.2%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x4b62…2e59backed No23c5,000$1,150 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,849.974238.1%16 W · 26 L-0.9wins-0.02per pick40cpaid-2.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x3a09…f9f7backed Yes72c4,917$3,555 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,555.265453.7%29 W · 25 L+2.1wins+0.04per pick50cpaid+3.9%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x44a1…bd21backed Yes77c4,478$3,448 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,448.176221%13 W · 49 L-4.3wins-0.07per pick28cpaid-33.7%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x9731…9b35backed No24c4,207$995 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,211.4939746.9%186 W · 211 L+9.7wins+0.02per pick44cpaid+10.4%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x6e85…1f81backed Yes74c4,054$3,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,0001020%2 W · 8 L-2.8wins-0.28per pick48cpaid-72%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0xfcca…c460backed Yes71c3,986$2,843 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,842.939341.9%39 W · 54 L-2.0wins-0.02per pick44cpaid-3.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x16d5…5e0cbacked Yes74c3,945$2,900 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,900.25366.7%2 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.02per pick68cpaid+2.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x7216…16a4backed Yes73c3,588$2,619 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,619.2610%0 W · 1 L-0.7wins-0.73per pick73cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x447e…9710backed No36c3,580$1,291 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,289.245350.9%27 W · 26 L+1.8wins+0.03per pick47cpaid+16.8%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xd698…9a28backed Yes74c3,303$2,447 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,446.73475%3 W · 1 L0.0wins+0.01per pick74cpaid+1.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x6d3c…d294backed Yes73c3,217$2,348 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,348.4361447.2%290 W · 324 L-14.6wins-0.02per pick50cpaid-9.6%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x2ec2…aebbbacked Yes72c3,056$2,200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,2002040%8 W · 12 L-2.5wins-0.13per pick53cpaid-26.1%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0xf142…57e7backed No23c3,000$690 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,31022147.5%105 W · 116 L-4.6wins-0.02per pick50cpaid-8.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x5543…e1f5backed No26c3,000$780 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,219.982030%6 W · 14 L-0.5wins-0.03per pick33cpaid-18.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xe4e7…6c34backed Yes72c3,000$2,170 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,169.65560%3 W · 2 L+0.3wins+0.06per pick54cpaid+4.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xdf43…ae9abacked Yes78c2,988$2,331 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,330.642770.4%19 W · 8 L-0.6wins-0.02per pick73cpaid-4.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xb726…4d2bbacked Yes64c2,811$1,799 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,799.1812.5%1 W · 7 L-2.4wins-0.30per pick43cpaid-69.5%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x0a7e…fce4backed No25c2,400$610 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,789.9929136.8%107 W · 184 L+5.3wins+0.02per pick35cpaid-3.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x4133…5e70backed Yes70c2,185$1,522 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,522.3358248.8%284 W · 298 L+2.9wins0.00per pick48cpaid-5.5%equal weight510.00 edge/pick
0xff0e…2991backed No26c2,041$538 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,503.081070%7 W · 3 L+3.5wins+0.35per pick35cpaid+123.1%equal weight61+0.10 edge/pick
0xc71b…00c6backed Yes74c2,027$1,500 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,5001741.2%7 W · 10 L-2.8wins-0.17per pick58cpaid-37.6%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x8224…e28abacked Yes74c2,026$1,500 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,500580%4 W · 1 L+0.9wins+0.18per pick62cpaid+50.7%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x8dcf…146ebacked Yes76c2,008$1,517 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,517.31723.5%4 W · 13 L-4.1wins-0.24per pick48cpaid-64.6%equal weight39-0.10 edge/pick
0x7b45…41e3backed Yes73c2,000$1,450 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,4501338.5%5 W · 8 L-0.3wins-0.02per pick40cpaid-3.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x5eb0…5012backed Yes72c2,000$1,440 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,4402236.4%8 W · 14 L-1.4wins-0.07per pick43cpaid-39.5%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x4d3e…783bbacked Yes42c2,000$840 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$8405646.4%26 W · 30 L-4.3wins-0.08per pick54cpaid-17.7%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0xc922…2618backed Yes73c2,000$1,460 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,46019755.3%109 W · 88 L+6.7wins+0.03per pick52cpaid+17%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x97e0…8194backed No23c2,000$460 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,539.9916349.1%80 W · 83 L+4.7wins+0.03per pick46cpaid+19%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xe8a1…2b76backed Yes74c1,964$1,444 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,443.84633.3%2 W · 4 L-1.6wins-0.27per pick60cpaid-44.2%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x8ddb…420bbacked Yes80c1,937$1,549 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,549.143342.4%14 W · 19 L-5.5wins-0.17per pick59cpaid-31.1%equal weight39-0.09 edge/pick
0xc16b…8404backed Yes73c1,923$1,404 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,403.98333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.9wins-0.31per pick64cpaid-40.5%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x3a90…7bf8backed Yes73c1,900$1,387 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,386.99825%2 W · 6 L-1.0wins-0.12per pick37cpaid-6.2%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xb786…b18dbacked No24c1,798$432 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,366.8136851.1%188 W · 180 L+15.7wins+0.04per pick47cpaid+4%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xc8b4…1081backed Yes64c1,600$1,024 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,0244153.7%22 W · 19 L-0.4wins-0.01per pick55cpaid+0.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x13fa…3facbacked No25c1,500$375 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,12524327.2%66 W · 177 L+3.5wins+0.01per pick26cpaid+10.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x1c16…1e6bbacked Yes77c1,497$1,152 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,151.85728.6%2 W · 5 L-0.7wins-0.09per pick38cpaid-47.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xdcfe…44b5backed Yes71c1,497$1,063 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,063.219043.3%39 W · 51 L-4.5wins-0.05per pick48cpaid-7.8%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xd218…b5c9backed Yes27c1,471$403 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$403.2743333.5%145 W · 288 L-12.9wins-0.03per pick36cpaid-39.8%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x6d3b…6ba5backed Yes33c1,437$477 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$476.82650%13 W · 13 L+1.6wins+0.06per pick44cpaid0%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x4446…1fd0backed Yes72c1,389$1,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,0002864.3%18 W · 10 L-0.4wins-0.01per pick66cpaid+0.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xf1ed…6d3cbacked Yes73c1,370$1,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,000944.4%4 W · 5 L-1.7wins-0.18per pick63cpaid-28.7%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0xba26…23c9backed No26c1,354$355 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$999.142744.4%12 W · 15 L-1.5wins-0.06per pick50cpaid-5.4%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xbe71…bd57backed Yes74c1,305$970 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$970.03650%3 W · 3 L-0.2wins-0.03per pick53cpaid+17.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x8c81…dcd3backed No26c1,220$317 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$902.7910850%54 W · 54 L+9.1wins+0.08per pick42cpaid+80.7%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x0d9d…992bbacked Yes41c1,220$500 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5003050%15 W · 15 L+1.9wins+0.06per pick44cpaid+7.6%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xabbd…f261backed Yes62c1,121$700 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$7003943.6%17 W · 22 L-0.7wins-0.02per pick45cpaid-19.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x8e2f…2785backed Yes71c1,045$743 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$743.131225%3 W · 9 L-3.4wins-0.28per pick53cpaid-64.8%equal weight40-0.09 edge/pick
0xd0a0…35cdbacked Yes70c1,004$700 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$7002454.2%13 W · 11 L-0.4wins-0.02per pick56cpaid-6.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x61b2…d3c9backed Yes73c1,002$730 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$730.471662.5%10 W · 6 L-0.7wins-0.04per pick67cpaid-4.9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xca40…6deabacked No27c1,000$270 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$7301346.2%6 W · 7 L+1.6wins+0.12per pick34cpaid+34.6%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xa3d3…f2bcbacked Yes73c1,000$730 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$73013644.1%60 W · 76 L-7.5wins-0.06per pick50cpaid-9.8%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x34a2…b10bbacked No29c1,000$290 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$7101060%6 W · 4 L+1.0wins+0.10per pick50cpaid+38.3%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xc190…02aebacked Yes72c1,000$720 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$720650%3 W · 3 L-0.1wins-0.02per pick52cpaid-0.9%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0x87ea…f625backed No22c999.94$223 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$776.956139.3%24 W · 37 L-3.4wins-0.06per pick45cpaid-13.3%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xe18a…fd87backed Yes70c994.94$700 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$70011438.6%44 W · 70 L+3.2wins+0.03per pick36cpaid0%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xf085…8882backed Yes73c958.9$700 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$70020%0 W · 2 L-0.8wins-0.38per pick38cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x2269…6304backed Yes77c947.39$732 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$7325851.7%30 W · 28 L-1.9wins-0.03per pick55cpaid-10.3%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xa1d7…a70cbacked Yes42c904.9$380 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3807240.3%29 W · 43 L+1.7wins+0.02per pick38cpaid+3.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x7c41…3f93backed Yes70c856.7$600 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$599.69540%2 W · 3 L-0.4wins-0.07per pick47cpaid-28.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xe83c…5e8fbacked No24c833$200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$633.0817658.5%103 W · 73 L+10.3wins+0.06per pick53cpaid+15.3%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xc17f…50aabacked No26c816$212 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$603.847100%7 W · 0 L+2.3wins+0.33per pick67cpaid+70.8%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x5ad5…37b9backed No17c802.9$136 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$666.435729.8%17 W · 40 L+6.5wins+0.11per pick18cpaid+162.5%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0xec92…98f5backed Yes73c777$567 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$567.216060%36 W · 24 L-2.0wins-0.03per pick63cpaid+0.2%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x53ab…65aabacked Yes64c777$497 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$497.2811950.4%60 W · 59 L+3.3wins+0.03per pick48cpaid+3.2%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x0113…6f26backed Yes71c726.61$516 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$515.891643.8%7 W · 9 L-1.0wins-0.06per pick50cpaid-23%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x478a…2deabacked Yes62c722.99$448 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$448.254555.6%25 W · 20 L-1.3wins-0.03per pick58cpaid-5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x1d3a…7b63backed Yes73c721.93$527 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$527.0120%0 W · 2 L-0.9wins-0.46per pick46cpaid-100%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Champions League and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.