TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Wallet 0x61b2…d3c9

Rebuilt .

Summary

Qualified picks
225
Categories scored
15
Categories below 50
8

Best Category: Bundesliga, grading 59 out of 100 (+0.08 per pick).

Best Category Bundesliga at 59 out of 100; worst La Liga at 43.

What is a Tail Score?

A mark out of 100, per Category. 50 means no edge at all — this wallet did about what the prices it paid implied it would. Above 50 it beat those prices; below 50 it did worse than them.

The scale does not move. 100 is a wallet beating the prices it paid by 0.45 per pick and 0 is losing to them by the same, on every wallet, on every page, in every month. So a grade you screenshot today still means what it meant when you took it, and two wallets can be put side by side.

Nobody reaches either end. Across every wallet TailMyPicks has scored, the marks run from roughly 5 to 87 — which is what a fixed ruler costs, and what buys the sentence above.

It is not a win rate. A wallet can win four Picks in five and still grade below 50, if the market was already pricing those outcomes at 90c — it paid for the wins rather than finding them. The vs expected and Avg entry columns below are what separate the two.

The mark is deliberately pulled toward 50 when there is little evidence. Three lucky Picks do not produce a high grade; several hundred consistent ones do. So a modest grade on thousands of Picks means something a high grade on twelve does not.

Because it is shrunk this way, a Category grade is a conservative reading. The headline figure for a wallet is its best Category, so it always understates how badly the wallet does in its worst one — which is why the table below is per Category and not one blended number.

Record by Category

Ordered by how much this wallet actually traded in each Category, not by score — so the Categories it plays most appear first whether they went well or badly. Open any row to see the picks its numbers were computed from — all of them.

CategoryQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
Premier League Inactivelast resolved May 10, 2026, EDT4665.2%30 W · 16 L+2.6wins+0.06per pick60cpaid+10.4%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
Premier League — the 46 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Premier League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Aston Villa FC win on 2026-05-10?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$299Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 10, 2026, EDT-100%-$299.08
Will Manchester City FC win on 2026-05-09?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)71c$176Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 9, 2026, EDT+40.8%+$72.07
Will Brighton & Hove Albion FC win on 2026-05-09?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)77c$68Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 9, 2026, EDT+29.9%+$20.21
Will Liverpool FC win on 2026-05-09?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$109Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 9, 2026, EDT-100%-$109.17
Will Arsenal FC win on 2026-05-02?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$220Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 2, 2026, EDT+49.3%+$108.36
Spread: Arsenal FC (-1.5)backed Newcastle United FC · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$97Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 25, 2026, EDT+75.4%+$73.25
Will Liverpool FC win on 2026-04-11?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$42Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 11, 2026, EDT+69.5%+$29.07
Will Arsenal FC win on 2026-04-11?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$167Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 11, 2026, EDT-100%-$166.74
Will Manchester City FC win on 2026-02-28?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$146Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 28, 2026, EST+75.4%+$110.46
Will Liverpool FC win on 2026-02-28?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)71c$104Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 28, 2026, EST+40.8%+$42.48
Will Arsenal FC win on 2026-02-12?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$286Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 12, 2026, EST-100%-$285.87
Will Manchester City FC win on 2026-02-11?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)72c$206Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 11, 2026, EST+38.9%+$80.04
Will Chelsea FC vs. Leeds United FC end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)22c$45Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 10, 2026, EST+354.5%+$159.55
Will Liverpool FC win on 2026-01-31?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$10Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 31, 2026, EST+78.6%+$7.97
Will Arsenal FC vs. Manchester United FC end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)32c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 25, 2026, EST-100%-$10
Will Aston Villa FC win on 2026-01-18?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$98Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 18, 2026, EST-100%-$97.65
Nottingham Forest FC vs. Arsenal FC: Both Teams to Scorebacked Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$170Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 17, 2026, EST-100%-$170
Will Chelsea FC win on 2026-01-17?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$90Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 17, 2026, EST+88.7%+$79.99
Manchester United FC vs. Manchester City FC: O/U 2.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$180Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 17, 2026, EST-100%-$180.04
Will Manchester City FC win on 2026-01-07?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$199Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 7, 2026, EST-100%-$198.59
Will Manchester City FC win on 2026-01-04?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$221Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 4, 2026, EST-100%-$221.2
Will Arsenal FC win on 2026-01-03?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$61Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 3, 2026, EST+56.3%+$34.23
Will Brighton & Hove Albion FC win on 2026-01-03?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$41Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 3, 2026, EST+49.3%+$20.11
Will Aston Villa FC win on 2026-01-03?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$21Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 3, 2026, EST+92.3%+$19.62
Will Chelsea FC win on 2025-12-30?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$91Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 30, 2025, EST-100%-$90.99
Showing 25 of 46 picks, newest first.
Serie A Inactivelast resolved May 11, 2026, EDT4158.5%24 W · 17 L+0.8wins+0.02per pick57cpaid+5.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
Serie A — the 41 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Serie A, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will SSC Napoli win on 2026-05-11?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$240Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 11, 2026, EDT-100%-$239.7
Will Como 1907 win on 2026-05-10?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$200Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 10, 2026, EDT+42.9%+$85.71
Will Juventus FC win on 2026-05-09?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)69c$244Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 9, 2026, EDT+44.9%+$109.62
Will Atalanta BC win on 2026-05-02?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$340Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 2, 2026, EDT-100%-$340
Will Como 1907 vs. SSC Napoli end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 2, 2026, EDT+80.2%+$80.24
Will Atalanta BC win on 2026-04-27?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$25Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 27, 2026, EDT-100%-$25.33
Will FC Internazionale Milano win on 2026-04-26?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)71c$282Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 26, 2026, EDT-100%-$282.01
Will Atalanta BC vs. Juventus FC end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)28c$69Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 11, 2026, EDT-100%-$68.63
Will Genoa CFC vs. AS Roma end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)31c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 8, 2026, EDT-100%-$50
Will Genoa CFC win on 2026-03-08?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)21c$28Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 8, 2026, EDT+376.2%+$106.65
Will AS Roma win on 2026-03-08?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 8, 2026, EDT-100%-$100
Will Bologna FC 1909 win on 2026-03-08?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$50Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 8, 2026, EDT+88.7%+$44.34
Will AS Roma vs. Juventus FC end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)32c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 1, 2026, EST+212.5%+$30.88
Will US Cremonese vs. AC Milan end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$55Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 1, 2026, EST-100%-$54.74
Will AC Milan win on 2026-03-01?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$126Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 1, 2026, EST+47.1%+$59.2
Will FC Internazionale Milano win on 2026-02-28?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)73c$166Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 28, 2026, EST+37%+$61.56
Will Como 1907 win on 2026-02-28?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)72c$120Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 28, 2026, EST+38.9%+$46.48
Will Atalanta BC vs. SSC Napoli end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)28c$27Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 22, 2026, EST-100%-$26.68
Will AC Milan win on 2026-02-13?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$152Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 13, 2026, EST+56.3%+$85.23
Will AS Roma win on 2026-02-09?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$210Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 9, 2026, EST+51.5%+$108.18
Will Atalanta BC win on 2026-02-09?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)73c$155Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 9, 2026, EST+37%+$57.33
Will FC Internazionale Milano win on 2026-02-08?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)69c$217Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 8, 2026, EST+44.9%+$97.34
Will AS Roma win on 2026-02-02?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$99Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 2, 2026, EST-100%-$99.34
AS Roma vs. AC Milan: O/U 1.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$36Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 25, 2026, EST+85.2%+$30.35
Will Juventus FC win on 2026-01-17?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 17, 2026, EST-100%-$49.59
Showing 25 of 41 picks, newest first.
Fifa International Inactivelast resolved Jun 29, 2026, EDT3560%21 W · 14 L-1.8wins-0.05per pick65cpaid-11%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
Fifa International — the 35 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Fifa International, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Spread: Germany (-1.5)backed Germany · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$107Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 29, 2026, EDT-100%-$107.28
Will Uruguay win on 2026-06-21?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$200Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 21, 2026, EDT-100%-$200
Will Belgium win on 2026-06-21?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$150Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 21, 2026, EDT-100%-$150
Belgium vs. IR Iran: O/U 2.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 21, 2026, EDT-100%-$100
Spread: Spain (-1.5)backed Spain · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)76c$270Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 21, 2026, EDT+31.6%+$85.26
Spread: Brazil (-2.5)backed Brazil · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$195Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 19, 2026, EDT+92.3%+$179.58
Will Canada win on 2026-06-18?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)75c$225Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 18, 2026, EDT+33.3%+$74.98
Spread: Switzerland (-1.5)backed Bosnia and Herzegovina · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$200Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 18, 2026, EDT-100%-$200
Will Czechia win on 2026-06-18?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$110Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 18, 2026, EDT-100%-$110
Will Colombia win on 2026-06-17?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)71c$110Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 18, 2026, EDT+40.8%+$44.93
Will England win on 2026-06-17?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$218Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 17, 2026, EDT+69.5%+$151.19
Spread: Portugal (-1.5)backed DR Congo · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$106Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 17, 2026, EDT+108.3%+$114.75
Spread: Spain (-1.5)backed Spain · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)77c$113Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 15, 2026, EDT-100%-$112.69
Spread: Netherlands (-1.5)backed Japan · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)78c$88Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 14, 2026, EDT+28.2%+$24.82
Spread: Germany (-2.5)backed Germany · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$63Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 14, 2026, EDT+42.9%+$27.06
Will Scotland win on 2026-06-13?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$41Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 14, 2026, EDT+56.3%+$22.94
Will Canada win on 2026-06-12?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$83Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 12, 2026, EDT-100%-$83.1
Will Mexico win on 2026-06-11?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$60Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 11, 2026, EDT+43.8%+$26.29
Will Portugal win on 2026-06-10?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)75c$21Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 10, 2026, EDT+33.3%+$7
Will Italy win on 2026-03-31?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$156Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 31, 2026, EDT-100%-$156.06
Will Italy win on 2026-03-26?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)79c$220Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 26, 2026, EDT+26.6%+$58.59
Will Algeria win on 2026-01-06?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$51Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 6, 2026, EST-100%-$51.32
Will Tunisia win on 2025-12-30?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$291Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 30, 2025, EST-100%-$290.86
Will Angola win on 2025-12-26?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$498Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 26, 2025, EST-100%-$498.16
Will Cameroon win on 2025-12-24?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$150Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 24, 2025, EST+100%+$150
Showing 25 of 35 picks, newest first.
La Liga Inactivelast resolved May 13, 2026, EDT2853.6%15 W · 13 L-3.5wins-0.12per pick66cpaid-20.8%equal weight43-0.07 edge/pick
La Liga — the 28 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in La Liga, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Villarreal CF win on 2026-05-13?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$110Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 13, 2026, EDT-100%-$109.67
Will RC Celta de Vigo win on 2026-05-12?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$92Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 12, 2026, EDT-100%-$91.88
Will Athletic Club win on 2026-05-10?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$186Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 10, 2026, EDT-100%-$186.05
Spread: Villarreal CF (-1.5)backed Levante UD · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)69c$107Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 2, 2026, EDT-100%-$106.95
Will Real Madrid CF win on 2026-04-10?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)74c$67Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 10, 2026, EDT-100%-$67.05
Will Villarreal CF win on 2026-03-08?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$90Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 8, 2026, EDT+49.3%+$44.3
Will Rayo Vallecano de Madrid win on 2026-02-14?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)74c$353Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 15, 2026, EST+35.1%+$124.11
Will Real Madrid CF win on 2026-02-14?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)75c$302Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 14, 2026, EST+33.3%+$100.81
Will Real Madrid CF win on 2026-02-08?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$150Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 8, 2026, EST+63.9%+$95.9
Will Club Atlético de Madrid win on 2026-02-08?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$200Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 8, 2026, EST-100%-$200
Will Athletic Club win on 2026-02-08?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$200Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 8, 2026, EST+63.9%+$127.87
Will FC Barcelona win on 2026-01-25?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)75c$30Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 25, 2026, EST+33.3%+$10.01
Will Club Atlético de Madrid win on 2026-01-25?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)73c$11Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 25, 2026, EST+37%+$4.07
Will Real Madrid CF win on 2026-01-24?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$13Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 24, 2026, EST+92.3%+$12.2
Will Club Atlético de Madrid win on 2026-01-18?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)72c$70Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 18, 2026, EST+38.9%+$27.37
Will Real Madrid CF win on 2026-01-04?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$146Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 4, 2026, EST+51.5%+$75.28
Will FC Barcelona win on 2026-01-03?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$95Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 3, 2026, EST+53.8%+$51.15
Real Betis Balompié vs. Getafe CF: O/U 2.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 21, 2025, EST-100%-$100
Villarreal CF vs. FC Barcelona: O/U 2.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)71c$150Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 21, 2025, EST-100%-$150
Girona FC vs. Club Atlético de Madrid: O/U 2.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$150Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 21, 2025, EST-100%-$150
Will Real Madrid CF win on 2025-12-14?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$395Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 14, 2025, EST+61.3%+$242.24
Will Club Atlético de Madrid win on 2025-12-13?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)74c$358Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 13, 2025, EST+35.1%+$125.65
Will Real Sociedad de Fútbol win on 2025-12-12?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$200Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 12, 2025, EST-100%-$200
Will Real Madrid win on 2025-12-07?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)77c$249Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 7, 2025, EST-100%-$249.27
Will Real Madrid win on 2025-11-30?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)69c$167Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 30, 2025, EST-100%-$167.22
Showing 25 of 28 picks, newest first.
Champions League Inactivelast resolved Apr 8, 2026, EDT1662.5%10 W · 6 L-0.7wins-0.04per pick67cpaid-4.9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
Champions League — the 16 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Champions League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will FC Barcelona win on 2026-04-08?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$37Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 8, 2026, EDT-100%-$37.18
Real Madrid CF vs. Manchester City FC: Both Teams to Scorebacked Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$36Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 11, 2026, EDT-100%-$35.72
Will Club Atlético de Madrid win on 2026-03-10?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$33Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 10, 2026, EDT+72.4%+$24.22
FK Bodø/Glimt vs. FC Internazionale Milano: O/U 2.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$165Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 18, 2026, EST+58.7%+$96.9
Will Newcastle United FC win on 2026-02-18?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)71c$121Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 18, 2026, EST+40.8%+$49.3
Will Real Madrid CF win on 2026-02-17?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$102Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 17, 2026, EST+117.4%+$120.14
Will FC Barcelona win on 2026-01-28?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)69c$45Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 28, 2026, EST+44.9%+$20.32
Bayer 04 Leverkusen vs. Villarreal CF: Both Teams to Scorebacked Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$52Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 28, 2026, EST-100%-$51.66
Will FC Barcelona win on 2026-01-21?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)75c$140Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 21, 2026, EST+33.3%+$46.64
Will BV Borussia 09 Dortmund win on 2025-12-10?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)73c$730Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 10, 2025, EST-100%-$730.47
Will Villarreal CF win on 2025-12-10?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$204Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 10, 2025, EST-100%-$204
Will Tottenham Hotspur FC win on 2025-12-09?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$375Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 9, 2025, EST+42.9%+$160.73
Will FC Bayern München win on 2025-12-09?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)78c$295Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 9, 2025, EST+28.2%+$83.34
Will Paris Saint-Germain FC win on 2025-11-26?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$189Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 26, 2025, EST+47.4%+$89.4
Will FC København win on 2025-11-26?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)74c$140Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 26, 2025, EST+35.1%+$49.12
Will Manchester City FC win on 2025-11-25?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$299Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 25, 2025, EST-100%-$299.5
All 16 picks, newest first.
Bundesliga Inactivelast resolved May 9, 2026, EDT1580%12 W · 3 L+3.2wins+0.21per pick59cpaid+37.8%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
Bundesliga — the 15 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Bundesliga, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will RB Leipzig win on 2026-05-09?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)74c$30Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 9, 2026, EDT+35.1%+$10.46
Will RB Leipzig win on 2026-02-15?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$471Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 15, 2026, EST-100%-$471.2
Will FC Bayern München win on 2026-02-14?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)76c$237Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 14, 2026, EST+31.6%+$74.76
Will BV Borussia 09 Dortmund win on 2026-02-13?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$103Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 13, 2026, EST+63.9%+$65.66
Will RB Leipzig win on 2026-01-31?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$51Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 31, 2026, EST-100%-$51
Will Bayer 04 Leverkusen win on 2026-01-24?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$21Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 24, 2026, EST+61.3%+$12.64
SV Werder Bremen vs. Eintracht Frankfurt: O/U 2.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$106Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 16, 2026, EST+69.5%+$73.66
Spread: FC Bayern München (-2.5)backed FC Bayern München · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$150Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 21, 2025, EST+112.8%+$169.15
1. FSV Mainz 05 vs. FC St. Pauli 1910: O/U 2.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$150Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 21, 2025, EST+75.5%+$113.25
RB Leipzig vs. Bayer 04 Leverkusen: O/U 2.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$150Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 20, 2025, EST+58.7%+$88.1
Will BV Borussia 09 Dortmund win on 2025-12-19?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$203Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 19, 2025, EST+53.8%+$109.41
Will Bayer 04 Leverkusen win on 2025-12-13?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$278Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 13, 2025, EST+75.4%+$210.06
Will RB Leipzig win on 2025-12-12?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)42c$200Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 12, 2025, EST-100%-$200
Will RB Leipzig win on 2025-12-06?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$197Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 6, 2025, EST+78.6%+$155.05
Will Eintracht Frankfurt win on 2025-11-22?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)40c$130Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 22, 2025, EST+150%+$195
All 15 picks, newest first.
NBA Inactivelast resolved Apr 25, 2026, EDT1353.8%7 W · 6 L-1.1wins-0.09per pick62cpaid-21.1%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
NBA — the 13 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NBA, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Thunder vs. Sunsbacked Thunder · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)75c$279Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 25, 2026, EDT+33.3%+$92.89
Kings vs. Raptorsbacked Raptors · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)69c$67Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 2, 2026, EDT-100%-$67.41
Hawks vs. Magicbacked Hawks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$70Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 1, 2026, EDT+75.4%+$52.75
Cavaliers vs. Lakersbacked Cavaliers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)41c$140Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$139.64
Trail Blazers vs. Clippersbacked Clippers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$210Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$209.52
Knicks vs. Rocketsbacked Knicks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)5c$94Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$94.3
Knicks vs. Thunderbacked Thunder · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)76c$152Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 30, 2026, EDT+31.6%+$48
Heat vs. Cavaliersbacked Cavaliers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$107Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 28, 2026, EDT+49.3%+$52.8
Hawks vs. Celticsbacked Celtics · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$101Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 28, 2026, EDT+49.3%+$49.5
Pelicans vs. Pistonsbacked Pistons · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$95Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 26, 2026, EDT+58.7%+$55.5
Mavericks vs. Raptorsbacked Raptors · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)78c$130Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 8, 2026, EDT+28.2%+$36.86
Spurs vs. Thunderbacked Thunder · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)76c$299Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 25, 2025, EST-100%-$299.24
Kings vs. Nuggetsbacked Nuggets · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)75c$70Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 23, 2025, EST-100%-$70
All 13 picks, newest first.
Europa Conference League Inactivelast resolved Feb 19, 2026, EST966.7%6 W · 3 L+0.2wins+0.02per pick65cpaid+5.7%equal weight510.00 edge/pick
Europa Conference League — the 9 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Europa Conference League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Lille OSC win on 2026-02-19?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$46Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 19, 2026, EST-100%-$46.27
Will Crystal Palace FC win on 2026-02-19?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)74c$215Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 19, 2026, EST-100%-$215
Panathinaikós AO vs. AS Roma: Both Teams to Scorebacked Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$49Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 29, 2026, EST+108.3%+$53.08
Will Rangers FC win on 2026-01-22?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$104Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 22, 2026, EST+92.3%+$96
Will Feyenoord Rotterdam win on 2026-01-22?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)69c$187Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 22, 2026, EST+44.9%+$83.82
Will FK Shakhtar Donetsk win on 2025-12-18?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$304Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 18, 2025, EST-100%-$304.23
Will Olympique Lyonnais win on 2025-12-11?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)79c$354Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 11, 2025, EST+26.6%+$94.16
Will Real Betis Balompié win on 2025-11-27?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)74c$183Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 27, 2025, EST+35.1%+$64.25
Will Bologna FC 1909 win on 2025-11-27?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)69c$250Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 27, 2025, EST+43.9%+$109.85
All 9 picks, newest first.
Ligue 1 Inactivelast resolved May 3, 2026, EDT944.4%4 W · 5 L-1.6wins-0.17per pick62cpaid-8.6%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
Ligue 1 — the 9 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Ligue 1, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Lille OSC win on 2026-05-03?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)69c$265Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 3, 2026, EDT-100%-$265
Will AS Monaco FC win on 2026-04-25?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$168Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 25, 2026, EDT-100%-$167.76
Will Olympique Lyonnais win on 2026-03-08?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$105Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 8, 2026, EDT-100%-$104.73
Will Olympique Lyonnais vs. Paris FC end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)24c$31Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 8, 2026, EDT+316.7%+$99.26
Will Paris Saint-Germain FC win on 2026-02-28?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)76c$217Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 28, 2026, EST+31.6%+$68.48
Will Paris Saint-Germain FC win on 2026-02-13?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$170Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 13, 2026, EST-100%-$170
Will Racing Club de Lens win on 2026-01-30?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$41Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 30, 2026, EST+42.9%+$17.55
AJ Auxerre vs. Lille OSC: O/U 2.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$175Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 14, 2025, EST-100%-$175
Will Paris Saint-Germain FC win on 2025-12-06?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)76c$106Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 6, 2025, EST+31.6%+$33.51
All 9 picks, newest first.
Euroleague Inactivelast resolved Apr 9, 2026, EDT757.1%4 W · 3 L-0.8wins-0.12per pick69cpaid-19.5%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
Euroleague — the 7 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Euroleague, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Asian Leaguelast resolved Aug 15, 2026, EDT2100%2 W · 0 L+0.7wins+0.37per pick63cpaid+63.8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
Asian League — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Asian League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Kashima Antlers win on 2026-08-15?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$105Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 15, 2026, EDT+96.1%+$100.74
Will FC Anyang win on 2026-04-26?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)76c$99Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 26, 2026, EDT+31.6%+$31.12
All 2 picks, newest first.
NFL Inactivelast resolved Nov 27, 2025, EST1100%1 W · 0 L+0.6wins+0.59per pick41cpaid+143.9%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
NFL — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NFL, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Packers vs. Lionsbacked Packers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)41c$62Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 27, 2025, EST+143.9%+$88.5
All 1 picks, newest first.
Lol Inactivelast resolved Jan 27, 2026, EST1100%1 W · 0 L+0.3wins+0.26per pick74cpaid+35.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
Lol — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Lol, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
LoL: Anyone's Legend vs Invictus Gaming (BO3) - LPL Group Ascendbacked Anyone's Legend · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)74c$38Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 27, 2026, EST+35.1%+$13.45
All 1 picks, newest first.
Tennis Inactivelast resolved Mar 9, 2026, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.7wins-0.69per pick69cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
Tennis — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Tennis, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Set Handicap: Djokovic (-1.5) vs Kovacevic (+1.5)backed Djokovic · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)69c$101Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 9, 2026, EDT-100%-$100.68
All 1 picks, newest first.
South American Leagues Inactivelast resolved Nov 19, 2025, EST10%0 W · 1 L-0.8wins-0.76per pick76cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
South American Leagues — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in South American Leagues, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will SE Palmeiras win on 2025-11-19?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)76c$33Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 19, 2025, EST-100%-$33
All 1 picks, newest first.

vs expected is how many more (or fewer) Picks this wallet won than the prices it paid implied it would. It is the column that tells a real edge apart from a record bought by backing favourites. Realizable edge is what that comes to per Pick for somebody copying the wallet, after the cost of getting in behind it. Avg entry is the average price it paid, so a strong record built on heavy favourites shows as one. ROI per pick counts every Pick equally rather than by size, which is how a record earned across many Picks is told apart from one carried by a few large ones. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in — an American night game settles after midnight UTC, so any other zone would name the day after the one it was played on. Inactive means nothing has resolved in that Category recently. The score is kept and the wallet stays reachable here; it only leaves the default leaderboard.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.