Serie A · resolved market
AS Roma vs. AC Milan: O/U 1.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xaa4fd8f401d54cb75a0980ac9103e5df1659a870531d01c9946f58ca691ce25b
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Overof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Serie Aevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $140,122
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $159,374
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $140,122 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 133 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Serie A is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Serie A | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x771c…18f2backed Under | 0c | 79,507$87 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$87.48 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Under | 42c | 14,134$5,868 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,868.49 | 2,538 | 45.9%1,164 W · 1,374 L | +13.8wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -12.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Under | 44c | 8,576$3,748 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,748.07 | 1,981 | 39.8%788 W · 1,193 L | -7.5wins | 0.00per pick | 40cpaid | -23.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x160b…4296backed Over | 70c | 3,621$2,534 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,086.2 | 404 | 47.3%191 W · 213 L | +0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9e16…a795backed Under | 30c | 3,333$1,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,000 | 8 | 25%2 W · 6 L | -2.2wins | -0.28per pick | 53cpaid | -65.7%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x714a…9dacbacked Over | 71c | 2,312$1,650 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$661.53 | 13 | 76.9%10 W · 3 L | +2.4wins | +0.18per pick | 59cpaid | +33.9%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x700f…62d8backed Over | 57c | 1,767$1,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$766.53 | 91 | 54.9%50 W · 41 L | +8.0wins | +0.09per pick | 46cpaid | +27.5%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x1414…ae7bbacked Over | 70c | 1,715$1,200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$514.49 | 34 | 64.7%22 W · 12 L | -2.4wins | -0.07per pick | 72cpaid | -11.4%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7ea5…de7bbacked Under | 30c | 1,633$485 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$485.26 | 985 | 44.9%442 W · 543 L | -17.3wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -3.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfc97…7d32backed Over | 67c | 1,626$1,089 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$536.53 | 12 | 66.7%8 W · 4 L | +1.4wins | +0.11per pick | 55cpaid | +13%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x13a5…b620backed Over | 72c | 1,500$1,080 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$420 | 12 | 66.7%8 W · 4 L | -0.4wins | -0.03per pick | 70cpaid | -4.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xff79…a52abacked Over | 57c | 1,500$850 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$649.98 | 147 | 48.3%71 W · 76 L | +3.4wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x74dc…cc04backed Over | 71c | 1,446$1,027 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$419.28 | 49 | 69.4%34 W · 15 L | +1.6wins | +0.03per pick | 66cpaid | +2.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x21c2…6749backed Over | 43c | 1,213$526 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$687.02 | 188 | 58.5%110 W · 78 L | +16.6wins | +0.09per pick | 50cpaid | +12.7%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x854d…deb0backed Over | 40c | 1,000$400 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$600 | 23 | 43.5%10 W · 13 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | -5.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x79fd…78cebacked Under | 46c | 979.22$450 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$450.29 | 27 | 37%10 W · 17 L | -3.7wins | -0.14per pick | 51cpaid | -31.4%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x33a7…960dbacked Over | 27c | 918.89$248 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$670.89 | 72 | 20.8%15 W · 57 L | -7.1wins | -0.10per pick | 31cpaid | -32.8%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x8c0d…b612backed Over | 59c | 918.85$538 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$380.85 | 154 | 59.7%92 W · 62 L | +1.4wins | +0.01per pick | 59cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdd94…c56cbacked Over | 70c | 877.3$610 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$267.3 | 24 | 50%12 W · 12 L | -0.7wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -10.6%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked Under | 44c | 867.28$385 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$385.27 | 932 | 52%485 W · 447 L | +11.4wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -4.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd6a3…9489backed Under | 50c | 810.6$405 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$405.3 | 346 | 43.4%150 W · 196 L | +0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2496…50a5backed Over | 32c | 625$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$425 | 27 | 29.6%8 W · 19 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 30cpaid | -21.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4c16…a5e3backed Over | 45c | 599.98$270 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$329.99 | 38 | 60.5%23 W · 15 L | +4.8wins | +0.13per pick | 48cpaid | +29.7%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x84f7…ade1backed Over | 51c | 588$302 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$285.62 | 176 | 51.7%91 W · 85 L | +9.2wins | +0.05per pick | 46cpaid | +2.3%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xce2b…08fabacked Over | 67c | 550$369 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$181.5 | 89 | 57.3%51 W · 38 L | +0.5wins | +0.01per pick | 57cpaid | -3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0176…ff71backed Over | 47c | 499.99$235 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$265 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | +0.6wins | +0.10per pick | 40cpaid | +52.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd0e1…99dbbacked Under | 55c | 452.73$249 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$249 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.08per pick | 58cpaid | -18%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa47f…dfb1backed Over | 45c | 444.56$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$244.56 | 12 | 25%3 W · 9 L | -0.2wins | -0.01per pick | 26cpaid | +41.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x69dd…1964backed Over | 71c | 420.5$300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$120.5 | 80 | 52.5%42 W · 38 L | -4.4wins | -0.05per pick | 58cpaid | -8.9%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x20ad…307dbacked Over | 72c | 416.67$300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$116.67 | 21 | 71.4%15 W · 6 L | +2.6wins | +0.12per pick | 59cpaid | +15.3%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xe3c0…c158backed Over | 72c | 416.67$300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$116.67 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.5wins | -0.16per pick | 50cpaid | -53.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4a86…d3e0backed Under | 28c | 400$112 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$112 | 405 | 49.6%201 W · 204 L | -3.9wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -2.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfcb5…9bf1backed Over | 70c | 400$280 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$120 | 314 | 41.4%130 W · 184 L | -11.2wins | -0.04per pick | 45cpaid | -11.6%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5fb0…c4efbacked Over | 66c | 400$264 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$136 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.6wins | +0.32per pick | 68cpaid | +47.2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3a8e…b505backed Under | 34c | 388.65$133 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$132.92 | 64 | 39.1%25 W · 39 L | -4.7wins | -0.07per pick | 46cpaid | -21.5%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x0666…d31abacked Over | 68c | 356.24$241 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$115.24 | 13 | 53.8%7 W · 6 L | -0.2wins | -0.02per pick | 55cpaid | -8.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8e5a…154cbacked Over | 45c | 352.73$159 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$194 | 75 | 52%39 W · 36 L | +2.3wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +5.3%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbe3c…a835backed Over | 59c | 349.99$205 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$145 | 154 | 50%77 W · 77 L | -1.3wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -2.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x77bc…b91bbacked Under | 45c | 344.23$155 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$155.4 | 910 | 43.3%394 W · 516 L | -14.1wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -18.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2dad…a040backed Over | 45c | 333.33$150 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$183.33 | 112 | 68.8%77 W · 35 L | +4.0wins | +0.04per pick | 65cpaid | +6.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd382…8885backed Under | 46c | 303.3$140 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$139.52 | 12 | 58.3%7 W · 5 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 58cpaid | -14.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb7fd…6c23backed Over | 51c | 294.12$150 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$144.12 | 16 | 31.3%5 W · 11 L | -1.5wins | -0.09per pick | 41cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xbfa6…4eb6backed Over | 71c | 281.69$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$81.69 | 38 | 63.2%24 W · 14 L | +3.3wins | +0.09per pick | 55cpaid | +14%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2c2e…a948backed Over | 36c | 266.17$96 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$170.4 | 50 | 46%23 W · 27 L | +2.0wins | +0.04per pick | 42cpaid | +10.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfe78…db98backed Over | 40c | 250$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$150 | 19 | 36.8%7 W · 12 L | -1.0wins | -0.05per pick | 42cpaid | +2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf588…2b81backed Over | 54c | 226.59$123 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$103.49 | 168 | 38.1%64 W · 104 L | -4.4wins | -0.03per pick | 41cpaid | -29.2%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x832c…c46ebacked Over | 46c | 218.13$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$117.84 | 60 | 43.3%26 W · 34 L | +4.7wins | +0.08per pick | 35cpaid | +20%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xf292…1cc7backed Over | 52c | 206.92$108 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$99.32 | 48 | 58.3%28 W · 20 L | +6.2wins | +0.13per pick | 45cpaid | +24.8%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x0040…9eb8backed Over | 49c | 205.68$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$105.68 | 111 | 61.3%68 W · 43 L | +2.1wins | +0.02per pick | 59cpaid | +3.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6008…a80bbacked Under | 30c | 196.72$59 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$59.02 | 331 | 44.7%148 W · 183 L | -8.7wins | -0.03per pick | 47cpaid | +2.1%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2652…2a1dbacked Under | 50c | 191.18$96 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$96.44 | 527 | 48%253 W · 274 L | -35.4wins | -0.07per pick | 55cpaid | -18.2%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x4157…04f9backed Over | 54c | 185.19$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$85.19 | 80 | 42.5%34 W · 46 L | -3.3wins | -0.04per pick | 47cpaid | -9.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfcf1…99d3backed Over | 68c | 180.06$123 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$57.06 | 10 | 70%7 W · 3 L | +0.2wins | +0.02per pick | 68cpaid | -3.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe48c…163abacked Over | 58c | 172.41$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$72.41 | 156 | 48.7%76 W · 80 L | -0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x026c…8d76backed Over | 70c | 171.43$120 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$51.43 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.3wins | +0.08per pick | 58cpaid | -9.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x380c…1099backed Over | 72c | 167.45$120 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$47.45 | 152 | 53.9%82 W · 70 L | -14.7wins | -0.10per pick | 64cpaid | -17.6%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xb1ef…9fadbacked Over | 72c | 163.54$118 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$45.79 | 35 | 65.7%23 W · 12 L | +1.7wins | +0.05per pick | 61cpaid | +8.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xcd76…b935backed Over | 56c | 149.99$84 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$66 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.4wins | -0.13per pick | 46cpaid | -40.5%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1809…0d24backed Over | 70c | 142.86$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$42.86 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.03per pick | 70cpaid | -5.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb581…1b9cbacked Over | 70c | 142.86$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$42.86 | 55 | 54.5%30 W · 25 L | -0.4wins | -0.01per pick | 55cpaid | -4.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb856…a9bcbacked Over | 71c | 140.85$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$40.85 | 33 | 54.5%18 W · 15 L | +0.7wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -9.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7205…3377backed Over | 63c | 140.08$89 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$51.43 | 30 | 56.7%17 W · 13 L | +2.0wins | +0.07per pick | 50cpaid | +20.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa936…3b90backed Over | 64c | 140$90 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$50.4 | 16 | 75%12 W · 4 L | +2.7wins | +0.17per pick | 58cpaid | +24.3%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x1036…fb48backed Over | 72c | 138.89$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$38.89 | 28 | 60.7%17 W · 11 L | +0.9wins | +0.03per pick | 57cpaid | +7.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4a4b…bbcabacked Over | 60c | 137.35$82 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$55.47 | 345 | 53.9%186 W · 159 L | +7.0wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9a6d…b3febacked Over | 25c | 134.99$34 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$101.24 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | +0.6wins | +0.11per pick | 23cpaid | +33.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa9a3…790fbacked Under | 30c | 128.12$38 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38.44 | 11 | 36.4%4 W · 7 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 37cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xbd16…07bbbacked Over | 67c | 124.99$83 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$41.5 | 15 | 53.3%8 W · 7 L | -1.2wins | -0.08per pick | 61cpaid | -10.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc417…ec0ebacked Over | 39c | 122.41$48 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$74.67 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.7wins | +0.23per pick | 44cpaid | +48.4%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf38c…d9f2backed Over | 62c | 122.37$76 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$46.47 | 115 | 47.8%55 W · 60 L | -1.8wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3fc8…6875backed Under | 57c | 119.3$68 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$68 | 6 | 66.7%4 W · 2 L | +1.0wins | +0.16per pick | 51cpaid | +44.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb13f…75cebacked Over | 66c | 118.27$78 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$40.21 | 6 | 66.7%4 W · 2 L | +0.4wins | +0.07per pick | 60cpaid | +11.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4060…c6a8backed Over | 72c | 110.86$80 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31.09 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.28per pick | 72cpaid | +39%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1543…623cbacked Over | 45c | 100$45 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$55 | 27 | 40.7%11 W · 16 L | -4.4wins | -0.16per pick | 57cpaid | -30.1%equal weight | 41-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xd235…6eebbacked Over | 45c | 88.89$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$48.89 | 152 | 38.8%59 W · 93 L | +3.1wins | +0.02per pick | 37cpaid | +3.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x418b…a741backed Over | 69c | 86.96$60 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.96 | 179 | 58.7%105 W · 74 L | -6.9wins | -0.04per pick | 63cpaid | -8.5%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9dd9…08bdbacked Over | 31c | 85$26 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$59 | 284 | 45.4%129 W · 155 L | +4.9wins | +0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -10.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf775…9c53backed Under | 40c | 75$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.40per pick | 40cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3d7e…6be6backed Over | 70c | 70$49 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21 | 72 | 40.3%29 W · 43 L | -2.8wins | -0.04per pick | 44cpaid | -8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc2b0…e756backed Over | 55c | 69.97$38 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31.49 | 25 | 44%11 W · 14 L | +2.6wins | +0.10per pick | 34cpaid | +10.2%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xfc87…d938backed Over | 29c | 68.97$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$48.97 | 51 | 56.9%29 W · 22 L | +1.4wins | +0.03per pick | 54cpaid | +5.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdc32…00bfbacked Over | 58c | 68.96$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.96 | 81 | 58%47 W · 34 L | +6.3wins | +0.08per pick | 50cpaid | +14.4%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x3b1c…c864backed Over | 67c | 68.35$46 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.55 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.2wins | +0.05per pick | 61cpaid | +2.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x61b2…d3c9backed Over | 54c | 65.98$36 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30.35 | 41 | 58.5%24 W · 17 L | +0.8wins | +0.02per pick | 57cpaid | +5.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9075…cfe8backed Over | 38c | 65.79$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$40.79 | 180 | 55%99 W · 81 L | +15.9wins | +0.09per pick | 46cpaid | +20.2%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xe911…3d4ebacked Over | 35c | 63$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$40.93 | 467 | 42.8%200 W · 267 L | -1.1wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | -12.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8ce8…2f9ebacked Over | 57c | 61.19$35 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.31 | 48 | 47.9%23 W · 25 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -24%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3bbf…f4e6backed Over | 66c | 60$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.4 | 27 | 44.4%12 W · 15 L | -3.9wins | -0.14per pick | 59cpaid | -26.6%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xf5f2…d72dbacked Over | 70c | 57.14$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.14 | 20 | 40%8 W · 12 L | -2.7wins | -0.13per pick | 53cpaid | -40.4%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x8e34…4480backed Over | 31c | 55.16$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$38.16 | 17 | 23.5%4 W · 13 L | -1.1wins | -0.06per pick | 30cpaid | -20.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x628e…1d80backed Under | 30c | 54.6$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.43 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.3wins | -0.09per pick | 42cpaid | -52.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6a1f…5ea8backed Over | 58c | 51.86$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.86 | 54 | 48.1%26 W · 28 L | -1.8wins | -0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -6.6%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdd71…6714backed Under | 58c | 51.72$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 17 | 58.8%10 W · 7 L | -1.8wins | -0.11per pick | 70cpaid | -17.4%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9310…5e55backed Under | 56c | 50.8$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.25 | 113 | 37.2%42 W · 71 L | -8.6wins | -0.08per pick | 45cpaid | -20.9%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x4d5f…91fdbacked Over | 44c | 50$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28 | 40 | 25%10 W · 30 L | -5.7wins | -0.14per pick | 39cpaid | -47.4%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x9073…13b3backed Under | 56c | 50$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28 | 53 | 64.2%34 W · 19 L | +7.9wins | +0.15per pick | 49cpaid | +37.6%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x15a7…9725backed Over | 54c | 50$27 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.2 | 17 | 58.8%10 W · 7 L | -1.7wins | -0.10per pick | 69cpaid | -14.4%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x522f…1415backed Over | 71c | 50$36 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.5 | 67 | 68.7%46 W · 21 L | +2.3wins | +0.03per pick | 65cpaid | +2.9%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x75c0…dfd2backed Over | 54c | 46.3$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.3 | 16 | 56.3%9 W · 7 L | +1.5wins | +0.10per pick | 47cpaid | +27.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1867…540bbacked Over | 59c | 45.99$27 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.86 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.41per pick | 59cpaid | +69.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Serie A and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 5 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- AS Roma vs. AC Milan: O/U 1.5this page
- AS Roma vs. AC Milan: Both Teams to ScoreYes won
- AS Roma vs. AC Milan: O/U 2.5Under won
- AS Roma vs. AC Milan: O/U 3.5Under won
- AS Roma vs. AC Milan: O/U 4.5Under won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.