TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Serie A · resolved market

AS Roma vs. AC Milan: O/U 1.5

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Overof Over, Under
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Serie Aevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$140,122
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$159,374

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $140,122 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 133 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Serie A is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Serie A
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x771c…18f2backed Under0c79,507$87 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$87.4830%0 W · 3 L0.0wins0.00per pick0cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x204f…5e14backed Under42c14,134$5,868 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5,868.492,53845.9%1,164 W · 1,374 L+13.8wins+0.01per pick45cpaid-12.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x2005…75eabacked Under44c8,576$3,748 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,748.071,98139.8%788 W · 1,193 L-7.5wins0.00per pick40cpaid-23.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x160b…4296backed Over70c3,621$2,534 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,086.240447.3%191 W · 213 L+0.6wins0.00per pick47cpaid-8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x9e16…a795backed Under30c3,333$1,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,000825%2 W · 6 L-2.2wins-0.28per pick53cpaid-65.7%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x714a…9dacbacked Over71c2,312$1,650 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$661.531376.9%10 W · 3 L+2.4wins+0.18per pick59cpaid+33.9%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x700f…62d8backed Over57c1,767$1,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$766.539154.9%50 W · 41 L+8.0wins+0.09per pick46cpaid+27.5%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x1414…ae7bbacked Over70c1,715$1,200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$514.493464.7%22 W · 12 L-2.4wins-0.07per pick72cpaid-11.4%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x7ea5…de7bbacked Under30c1,633$485 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$485.2698544.9%442 W · 543 L-17.3wins-0.02per pick47cpaid-3.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xfc97…7d32backed Over67c1,626$1,089 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$536.531266.7%8 W · 4 L+1.4wins+0.11per pick55cpaid+13%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x13a5…b620backed Over72c1,500$1,080 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4201266.7%8 W · 4 L-0.4wins-0.03per pick70cpaid-4.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xff79…a52abacked Over57c1,500$850 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$649.9814748.3%71 W · 76 L+3.4wins+0.02per pick46cpaid+1.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x74dc…cc04backed Over71c1,446$1,027 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$419.284969.4%34 W · 15 L+1.6wins+0.03per pick66cpaid+2.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x21c2…6749backed Over43c1,213$526 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$687.0218858.5%110 W · 78 L+16.6wins+0.09per pick50cpaid+12.7%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0x854d…deb0backed Over40c1,000$400 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$6002343.5%10 W · 13 L+0.1wins0.00per pick43cpaid-5.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x79fd…78cebacked Under46c979.22$450 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$450.292737%10 W · 17 L-3.7wins-0.14per pick51cpaid-31.4%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x33a7…960dbacked Over27c918.89$248 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$670.897220.8%15 W · 57 L-7.1wins-0.10per pick31cpaid-32.8%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x8c0d…b612backed Over59c918.85$538 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$380.8515459.7%92 W · 62 L+1.4wins+0.01per pick59cpaid+1.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xdd94…c56cbacked Over70c877.3$610 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$267.32450%12 W · 12 L-0.7wins-0.03per pick53cpaid-10.6%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x507e…beaebacked Under44c867.28$385 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$385.2793252%485 W · 447 L+11.4wins+0.01per pick51cpaid-4.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xd6a3…9489backed Under50c810.6$405 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$405.334643.4%150 W · 196 L+0.4wins0.00per pick43cpaid-2.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x2496…50a5backed Over32c625$200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4252729.6%8 W · 19 L0.0wins0.00per pick30cpaid-21.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x4c16…a5e3backed Over45c599.98$270 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$329.993860.5%23 W · 15 L+4.8wins+0.13per pick48cpaid+29.7%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0x84f7…ade1backed Over51c588$302 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$285.6217651.7%91 W · 85 L+9.2wins+0.05per pick46cpaid+2.3%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0xce2b…08fabacked Over67c550$369 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$181.58957.3%51 W · 38 L+0.5wins+0.01per pick57cpaid-3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x0176…ff71backed Over47c499.99$235 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$265650%3 W · 3 L+0.6wins+0.10per pick40cpaid+52.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xd0e1…99dbbacked Under55c452.73$249 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$249250%1 W · 1 L-0.2wins-0.08per pick58cpaid-18%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xa47f…dfb1backed Over45c444.56$200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$244.561225%3 W · 9 L-0.2wins-0.01per pick26cpaid+41.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x69dd…1964backed Over71c420.5$300 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$120.58052.5%42 W · 38 L-4.4wins-0.05per pick58cpaid-8.9%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x20ad…307dbacked Over72c416.67$300 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$116.672171.4%15 W · 6 L+2.6wins+0.12per pick59cpaid+15.3%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0xe3c0…c158backed Over72c416.67$300 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$116.67333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.5wins-0.16per pick50cpaid-53.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x4a86…d3e0backed Under28c400$112 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11240549.6%201 W · 204 L-3.9wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-2.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xfcb5…9bf1backed Over70c400$280 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$12031441.4%130 W · 184 L-11.2wins-0.04per pick45cpaid-11.6%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x5fb0…c4efbacked Over66c400$264 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1362100%2 W · 0 L+0.6wins+0.32per pick68cpaid+47.2%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x3a8e…b505backed Under34c388.65$133 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$132.926439.1%25 W · 39 L-4.7wins-0.07per pick46cpaid-21.5%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x0666…d31abacked Over68c356.24$241 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$115.241353.8%7 W · 6 L-0.2wins-0.02per pick55cpaid-8.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x8e5a…154cbacked Over45c352.73$159 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1947552%39 W · 36 L+2.3wins+0.03per pick49cpaid+5.3%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xbe3c…a835backed Over59c349.99$205 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$14515450%77 W · 77 L-1.3wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-2.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x77bc…b91bbacked Under45c344.23$155 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$155.491043.3%394 W · 516 L-14.1wins-0.02per pick45cpaid-18.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x2dad…a040backed Over45c333.33$150 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$183.3311268.8%77 W · 35 L+4.0wins+0.04per pick65cpaid+6.4%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xd382…8885backed Under46c303.3$140 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$139.521258.3%7 W · 5 L0.0wins0.00per pick58cpaid-14.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xb7fd…6c23backed Over51c294.12$150 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$144.121631.3%5 W · 11 L-1.5wins-0.09per pick41cpaid+3.4%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xbfa6…4eb6backed Over71c281.69$200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$81.693863.2%24 W · 14 L+3.3wins+0.09per pick55cpaid+14%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x2c2e…a948backed Over36c266.17$96 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$170.45046%23 W · 27 L+2.0wins+0.04per pick42cpaid+10.4%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xfe78…db98backed Over40c250$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1501936.8%7 W · 12 L-1.0wins-0.05per pick42cpaid+2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xf588…2b81backed Over54c226.59$123 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$103.4916838.1%64 W · 104 L-4.4wins-0.03per pick41cpaid-29.2%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x832c…c46ebacked Over46c218.13$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$117.846043.3%26 W · 34 L+4.7wins+0.08per pick35cpaid+20%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0xf292…1cc7backed Over52c206.92$108 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$99.324858.3%28 W · 20 L+6.2wins+0.13per pick45cpaid+24.8%equal weight60+0.09 edge/pick
0x0040…9eb8backed Over49c205.68$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$105.6811161.3%68 W · 43 L+2.1wins+0.02per pick59cpaid+3.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x6008…a80bbacked Under30c196.72$59 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$59.0233144.7%148 W · 183 L-8.7wins-0.03per pick47cpaid+2.1%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x2652…2a1dbacked Under50c191.18$96 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$96.4452748%253 W · 274 L-35.4wins-0.07per pick55cpaid-18.2%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x4157…04f9backed Over54c185.19$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$85.198042.5%34 W · 46 L-3.3wins-0.04per pick47cpaid-9.6%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xfcf1…99d3backed Over68c180.06$123 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$57.061070%7 W · 3 L+0.2wins+0.02per pick68cpaid-3.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xe48c…163abacked Over58c172.41$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$72.4115648.7%76 W · 80 L-0.5wins0.00per pick49cpaid-0.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x026c…8d76backed Over70c171.43$120 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$51.43366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.3wins+0.08per pick58cpaid-9.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x380c…1099backed Over72c167.45$120 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$47.4515253.9%82 W · 70 L-14.7wins-0.10per pick64cpaid-17.6%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0xb1ef…9fadbacked Over72c163.54$118 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$45.793565.7%23 W · 12 L+1.7wins+0.05per pick61cpaid+8.3%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xcd76…b935backed Over56c149.99$84 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$66333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.4wins-0.13per pick46cpaid-40.5%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x1809…0d24backed Over70c142.86$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$42.86366.7%2 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.03per pick70cpaid-5.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xb581…1b9cbacked Over70c142.86$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$42.865554.5%30 W · 25 L-0.4wins-0.01per pick55cpaid-4.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xb856…a9bcbacked Over71c140.85$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$40.853354.5%18 W · 15 L+0.7wins+0.02per pick53cpaid-9.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x7205…3377backed Over63c140.08$89 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$51.433056.7%17 W · 13 L+2.0wins+0.07per pick50cpaid+20.9%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xa936…3b90backed Over64c140$90 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$50.41675%12 W · 4 L+2.7wins+0.17per pick58cpaid+24.3%equal weight57+0.07 edge/pick
0x1036…fb48backed Over72c138.89$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$38.892860.7%17 W · 11 L+0.9wins+0.03per pick57cpaid+7.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x4a4b…bbcabacked Over60c137.35$82 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$55.4734553.9%186 W · 159 L+7.0wins+0.02per pick52cpaid+4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x9a6d…b3febacked Over25c134.99$34 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$101.24633.3%2 W · 4 L+0.6wins+0.11per pick23cpaid+33.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xa9a3…790fbacked Under30c128.12$38 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$38.441136.4%4 W · 7 L0.0wins0.00per pick37cpaid-2.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xbd16…07bbbacked Over67c124.99$83 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$41.51553.3%8 W · 7 L-1.2wins-0.08per pick61cpaid-10.6%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xc417…ec0ebacked Over39c122.41$48 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$74.67366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.7wins+0.23per pick44cpaid+48.4%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xf38c…d9f2backed Over62c122.37$76 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$46.4711547.8%55 W · 60 L-1.8wins-0.02per pick49cpaid-2.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x3fc8…6875backed Under57c119.3$68 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$68666.7%4 W · 2 L+1.0wins+0.16per pick51cpaid+44.6%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xb13f…75cebacked Over66c118.27$78 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$40.21666.7%4 W · 2 L+0.4wins+0.07per pick60cpaid+11.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x4060…c6a8backed Over72c110.86$80 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$31.091100%1 W · 0 L+0.3wins+0.28per pick72cpaid+39%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x1543…623cbacked Over45c100$45 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$552740.7%11 W · 16 L-4.4wins-0.16per pick57cpaid-30.1%equal weight41-0.09 edge/pick
0xd235…6eebbacked Over45c88.89$40 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$48.8915238.8%59 W · 93 L+3.1wins+0.02per pick37cpaid+3.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x418b…a741backed Over69c86.96$60 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$26.9617958.7%105 W · 74 L-6.9wins-0.04per pick63cpaid-8.5%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x9dd9…08bdbacked Over31c85$26 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5928445.4%129 W · 155 L+4.9wins+0.02per pick44cpaid-10.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xf775…9c53backed Under40c75$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3010%0 W · 1 L-0.4wins-0.40per pick40cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x3d7e…6be6backed Over70c70$49 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$217240.3%29 W · 43 L-2.8wins-0.04per pick44cpaid-8%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xc2b0…e756backed Over55c69.97$38 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$31.492544%11 W · 14 L+2.6wins+0.10per pick34cpaid+10.2%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xfc87…d938backed Over29c68.97$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$48.975156.9%29 W · 22 L+1.4wins+0.03per pick54cpaid+5.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xdc32…00bfbacked Over58c68.96$40 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$28.968158%47 W · 34 L+6.3wins+0.08per pick50cpaid+14.4%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x3b1c…c864backed Over67c68.35$46 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$22.55366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.2wins+0.05per pick61cpaid+2.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x61b2…d3c9backed Over54c65.98$36 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$30.354158.5%24 W · 17 L+0.8wins+0.02per pick57cpaid+5.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x9075…cfe8backed Over38c65.79$25 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$40.7918055%99 W · 81 L+15.9wins+0.09per pick46cpaid+20.2%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0xe911…3d4ebacked Over35c63$22 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$40.9346742.8%200 W · 267 L-1.1wins0.00per pick43cpaid-12.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x8ce8…2f9ebacked Over57c61.19$35 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$26.314847.9%23 W · 25 L0.0wins0.00per pick48cpaid-24%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x3bbf…f4e6backed Over66c60$40 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$20.42744.4%12 W · 15 L-3.9wins-0.14per pick59cpaid-26.6%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0xf5f2…d72dbacked Over70c57.14$40 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$17.142040%8 W · 12 L-2.7wins-0.13per pick53cpaid-40.4%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x8e34…4480backed Over31c55.16$17 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$38.161723.5%4 W · 13 L-1.1wins-0.06per pick30cpaid-20.8%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x628e…1d80backed Under30c54.6$16 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$16.43333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.3wins-0.09per pick42cpaid-52.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x6a1f…5ea8backed Over58c51.86$30 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$21.865448.1%26 W · 28 L-1.8wins-0.03per pick51cpaid-6.6%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xdd71…6714backed Under58c51.72$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$301758.8%10 W · 7 L-1.8wins-0.11per pick70cpaid-17.4%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x9310…5e55backed Under56c50.8$28 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$28.2511337.2%42 W · 71 L-8.6wins-0.08per pick45cpaid-20.9%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x4d5f…91fdbacked Over44c50$22 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$284025%10 W · 30 L-5.7wins-0.14per pick39cpaid-47.4%equal weight40-0.09 edge/pick
0x9073…13b3backed Under56c50$28 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$285364.2%34 W · 19 L+7.9wins+0.15per pick49cpaid+37.6%equal weight61+0.10 edge/pick
0x15a7…9725backed Over54c50$27 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$23.21758.8%10 W · 7 L-1.7wins-0.10per pick69cpaid-14.4%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x522f…1415backed Over71c50$36 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$14.56768.7%46 W · 21 L+2.3wins+0.03per pick65cpaid+2.9%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x75c0…dfd2backed Over54c46.3$25 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$21.31656.3%9 W · 7 L+1.5wins+0.10per pick47cpaid+27.7%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x1867…540bbacked Over59c45.99$27 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$18.861100%1 W · 0 L+0.4wins+0.41per pick59cpaid+69.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Serie A and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 5 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.