TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Wallet 0x628e…1d80

Rebuilt .

Summary

Qualified picks
252
Categories scored
31
Categories below 50
14

Best Category: Premier League, grading 55 out of 100 (+0.04 per pick).

Best Category Premier League at 55 out of 100; worst Crypto Milestones at 40.

What is a Tail Score?

A mark out of 100, per Category. 50 means no edge at all — this wallet did about what the prices it paid implied it would. Above 50 it beat those prices; below 50 it did worse than them.

The scale does not move. 100 is a wallet beating the prices it paid by 0.45 per pick and 0 is losing to them by the same, on every wallet, on every page, in every month. So a grade you screenshot today still means what it meant when you took it, and two wallets can be put side by side.

Nobody reaches either end. Across every wallet TailMyPicks has scored, the marks run from roughly 5 to 87 — which is what a fixed ruler costs, and what buys the sentence above.

It is not a win rate. A wallet can win four Picks in five and still grade below 50, if the market was already pricing those outcomes at 90c — it paid for the wins rather than finding them. The vs expected and Avg entry columns below are what separate the two.

The mark is deliberately pulled toward 50 when there is little evidence. Three lucky Picks do not produce a high grade; several hundred consistent ones do. So a modest grade on thousands of Picks means something a high grade on twelve does not.

Because it is shrunk this way, a Category grade is a conservative reading. The headline figure for a wallet is its best Category, so it always understates how badly the wallet does in its worst one — which is why the table below is per Category and not one blended number.

Record by Category

Ordered by how much this wallet actually traded in each Category, not by score — so the Categories it plays most appear first whether they went well or badly. Open any row to see the picks its numbers were computed from — all of them.

CategoryQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
Ncaa Basketball Inactivelast resolved Jan 26, 2026, EST4443.2%19 W · 25 L-4.0wins-0.09per pick52cpaid-17.1%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
Ncaa Basketball — the 44 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Ncaa Basketball, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Morgan State Bears vs. Norfolk State Spartansbacked Norfolk State Spartans · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)72c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 26, 2026, EST-100%-$10.86
Massachusetts Minutemen vs. Buffalo Bullsbacked Buffalo Bulls · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 24, 2026, EST-100%-$10.41
UNCW Seahawks vs. William & Mary Tribebacked UNCW Seahawks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$18Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 22, 2026, EST-100%-$18.28
Spread: Marshall Thundering Herd (-18.5)backed Louisiana-Monroe Warhawks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$19Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 22, 2026, EST-100%-$19.31
Louisiana-Monroe Warhawks vs. Marshall Thundering Herd: O/U 160.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$18Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 22, 2026, EST-100%-$18.5
Northwestern Wildcats vs. USC Trojansbacked Northwestern Wildcats · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$33Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 22, 2026, EST+57.7%+$19.12
Spread: Bucknell Bison (-5.5)backed Bucknell Bison · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 22, 2026, EST-100%-$10.12
Kennesaw State Owls vs. Sam Houston Bearkats: O/U 166.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$30Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 22, 2026, EST-100%-$29.88
Tulane Green Wave vs. Florida Atlantic Owls: O/U 156.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$77Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 21, 2026, EST+100%+$76.94
Army Black Knights vs. Bucknell Bison: O/U 144.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$83Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 21, 2026, EST-100%-$83.05
Purdue Fort Wayne Mastodons vs. Detroit Titansbacked Purdue Fort Wayne Mastodons · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$14Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 21, 2026, EST+66.6%+$9.49
Charleston Southern Buccaneers vs. Presbyterian Blue Hosebacked Charleston Southern Buccaneers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$13Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 21, 2026, EST-100%-$12.59
Fordham Rams vs. Davidson Wildcats: O/U 132.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$66Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 21, 2026, EST+122.2%+$80.23
Fairfield Stags vs. Siena Saints: O/U 143.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$75Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 20, 2026, EST-100%-$75.32
Central Connecticut State Blue Devils vs. Mercyhurst Lakersbacked Central Connecticut State Blue Devils · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$75Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 20, 2026, EST-100%-$75.42
Alabama A&M Bulldogs vs. Alabama State Hornets: O/U 145.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$74Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 19, 2026, EST+86.8%+$64.12
Spread: Vermont Catamounts (-5.5)backed Albany Great Danes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$73Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 19, 2026, EST+96.1%+$69.79
Saint Joseph's Hawks vs. VCU Rams: O/U 152.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$76Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 19, 2026, EST+85.2%+$64.34
New Hampshire Wildcats vs. Maine Black Bears: O/U 130.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$24Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 19, 2026, EST-100%-$24.15
Lindenwood Lions vs. UT Martin Skyhawks: O/U 147.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$27Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 17, 2026, EST-100%-$26.7
Spread: North Alabama Lions (-2.5)backed North Alabama Lions · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$58Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 17, 2026, EST-100%-$57.69
Holy Cross Crusaders vs. Lafayette Leopardsbacked Holy Cross Crusaders · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$561Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 17, 2026, EST-100%-$561.11
Holy Cross Crusaders vs. Lafayette Leopards: O/U 137.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$339Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 17, 2026, EST-100%-$339.44
Eastern Michigan Eagles vs. Bowling Green Falcons: O/U 141.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$338Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 17, 2026, EST-100%-$338.45
Spread: Hofstra Pride (-5.5)backed Hofstra Pride · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$309Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 17, 2026, EST-100%-$309.39
Showing 25 of 44 picks, newest first.
NBA Inactivelast resolved Mar 19, 2026, EDT3444.1%15 W · 19 L-1.0wins-0.03per pick47cpaid-19.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
NBA — the 34 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NBA, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Nuggets vs. Grizzliesbacked Grizzlies · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$17Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 19, 2026, EDT+89.2%+$14.94
Jazz vs. Raptorsbacked Jazz · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)21c$48Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 1, 2026, EST-100%-$48.32
Timberwolves vs. Grizzliesbacked Timberwolves · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)75c$41Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 1, 2026, EST+32.7%+$13.34
Cavaliers vs. Sunsbacked Suns · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)41c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 31, 2026, EST+143.9%+$28.85
Kings vs. Celticsbacked Kings · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)20c$24Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 30, 2026, EST-100%-$23.55
Spread: Timberwolves (-7.5)backed Warriors · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$45Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 27, 2026, EST-100%-$45.14
Warriors vs. Timberwolvesbacked Warriors · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)24c$14Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 27, 2026, EST-100%-$13.82
Trail Blazers vs. Celtics: O/U 224.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 27, 2026, EST-100%-$19.72
Trail Blazers vs. Celtics: O/U 223.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 27, 2026, EST-100%-$10.96
Lakers vs. Bullsbacked Bulls · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)29c$16Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 27, 2026, EST-100%-$15.75
Magic vs. Cavaliersbacked Magic · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)37c$22Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 27, 2026, EST-100%-$21.61
Pelicans vs. Spursbacked Pelicans · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)79c$12Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 25, 2026, EST+27.4%+$3.31
Lakers vs. Mavericksbacked Lakers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$10Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 25, 2026, EST+49.3%+$5.11
Cavaliers vs. Magicbacked Magic · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)32c$25Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 25, 2026, EST-100%-$25.26
Spread: Suns (-3.5)backed Suns · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$13Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 24, 2026, EST-100%-$12.96
Lakers vs. Clippersbacked Lakers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)29c$26Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 23, 2026, EST-100%-$25.85
Warriors vs. Mavericksbacked Warriors · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$12Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 23, 2026, EST-100%-$12.14
Hornets vs. Magicbacked Hornets · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)39c$21Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 23, 2026, EST+158%+$33.69
Nuggets vs. Wizardsbacked Nuggets · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)79c$11Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 22, 2026, EST+27.3%+$2.98
Raptors vs. Kingsbacked Kings · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$16Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 22, 2026, EST-100%-$15.81
Thunder vs. Bucks: O/U 224.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$92Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 22, 2026, EST+91.1%+$83.88
Thunder vs. Bucks: O/U 225.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$30Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 22, 2026, EST+86.2%+$25.88
Spread: Pistons (-8.5)backed Pistons · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$23Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 22, 2026, EST-100%-$23.16
Pistons vs. Pelicansbacked Pistons · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)79c$17Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 22, 2026, EST+25.9%+$4.35
Nets vs. Knicksbacked Nets · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)17c$27Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 21, 2026, EST-100%-$27.38
Showing 25 of 34 picks, newest first.
CS2 Inactivelast resolved Jan 27, 2026, EST3161.3%19 W · 12 L+1.9wins+0.06per pick55cpaid+11.3%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
CS2 — the 31 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in CS2, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Counter-Strike: ECSTATIC vs illwill (BO3) - CCT Europe Series #13 Playoffsbacked illwill · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$17Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 27, 2026, EST+111.9%+$19.35
Counter-Strike: Johnny Speeds vs ex-RUBY (BO3) - CCT Europe Series #14 Group Stagebacked Johnny Speeds · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$42Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 26, 2026, EST-100%-$42.27
Counter-Strike: Team Nemesis vs Favbet (BO3) - CCT Europe Series #13 Group Stagebacked Team Nemesis · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)72c$50Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 26, 2026, EST+39.2%+$19.43
Counter-Strike: AM Gaming vs Eternal Fire (BO3) - NODWIN Clutch Series Group Stagebacked Eternal Fire · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$17Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 26, 2026, EST-100%-$17.08
Counter-Strike: Team Falcons vs PARIVISION - Map 3 Winnerbacked Team Falcons · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 25, 2026, EST-100%-$10.09
Counter-Strike: kONO.ECF vs AaB esport (BO3) - NODWIN Clutch Series Group Stagebacked AaB esport · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)73c$13Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 25, 2026, EST+37.2%+$4.83
Counter-Strike: Vitality vs Team Falcons (BO3) - BLAST Bounty Playoffsbacked Team Falcons · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$13Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 24, 2026, EST+96.3%+$12.25
Counter-Strike: Favbet vs illwill (BO3) - NODWIN Clutch Series Group Stagebacked illwill · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$13Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 24, 2026, EST+88.2%+$11.37
Counter-Strike: RED Canids vs BESTIA (BO3) - IEM Rio: Americas Closed Qualifier Playoffsbacked RED Canids · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$14Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 24, 2026, EST+75.5%+$10.32
Counter-Strike: Phantom vs MASONIC (BO3) - A1 Gaming League Group Stagebacked MASONIC · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)26c$10Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 23, 2026, EST+280.9%+$28.32
Counter-Strike: PARIVISION vs Spirit (BO3) - BLAST Bounty Playoffsbacked Spirit · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$17Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 23, 2026, EST-100%-$17.15
Counter-Strike: ShindeN vs TEAM ORUGA - Map 2 Winnerbacked TEAM ORUGA · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)79c$11Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 23, 2026, EST+25.9%+$2.76
Counter-Strike: Gentle Mates vs 9INE (BO3) - IEM Rio: Global Closed Qualifier Playoffsbacked Gentle Mates · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$11Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 23, 2026, EST+126.7%+$13.36
Counter-Strike: HOTU vs BetBoom Team (BO3) - IEM Rio: Global Closed Qualifier Playoffsbacked HOTU · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)69c$11Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 23, 2026, EST+44.9%+$5
Counter-Strike: Gentle Mates vs 9INE - Map 2 Winnerbacked Gentle Mates · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$28Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 23, 2026, EST+54.5%+$15.33
Counter-Strike: GamerLegion vs Vitality - Map 2 Winnerbacked Vitality · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$27Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 23, 2026, EST+53.3%+$14.61
Counter-Strike: HOTU vs BetBoom Team - Map 1 Winnerbacked BetBoom Team · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$31Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 23, 2026, EST-100%-$30.56
Counter-Strike: Heroic vs FURIA - Map 1 Winnerbacked FURIA · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)29c$14Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 22, 2026, EST-100%-$13.81
Counter-Strike: HOTU vs 9INE (BO3) - IEM Rio: Global Closed Qualifier Playoffsbacked 9INE · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$16Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 22, 2026, EST-100%-$15.67
Counter-Strike: Liquid vs Team Falcons - Map 2 Winnerbacked Liquid · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)37c$31Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 22, 2026, EST-100%-$30.93
Counter-Strike: Liquid vs Team Falcons (BO3) - BLAST Bounty Playoffsbacked Team Falcons · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)72c$82Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 22, 2026, EST+39.2%+$32.08
Counter-Strike: Liquid vs Team Falcons - Map 1 Winnerbacked Team Falcons · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$16Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 22, 2026, EST+66.5%+$10.57
Counter-Strike: FUT Esports vs EYEBALLERS - Map 2 Winnerbacked EYEBALLERS · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$16Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 22, 2026, EST+88.1%+$14.06
Counter-Strike: FUT Esports vs EYEBALLERS - Map 1 Winnerbacked EYEBALLERS · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)37c$43Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 22, 2026, EST+173.3%+$74.69
Counter-Strike: Gentle Mates vs GenOne - Map 1 Winnerbacked GenOne · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$12Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 22, 2026, EST-100%-$11.92
Showing 25 of 31 picks, newest first.
Tennis Inactivelast resolved Jan 27, 2026, EST2142.9%9 W · 12 L+0.5wins+0.03per pick40cpaid-29%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
Tennis — the 21 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Tennis, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Australian Open Men's: Carlos Alcaraz vs Alex de Minaurbacked Minaur · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)15c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 27, 2026, EST-100%-$10.76
Australian Open Men's: Ben Shelton vs Casper Ruudbacked Shelton · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$43Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 26, 2026, EST+54.5%+$23.56
Australian Open Men's: Alexander Bublik vs Alex de Minaurbacked Minaur · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$10Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 25, 2026, EST+53.5%+$5.4
Australian Open Men's: Daniil Medvedev vs Learner Tienbacked Tien · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$33Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 25, 2026, EST+84.2%+$27.82
Australian Open Men's: Marin Cilic vs Casper Ruudbacked Cilic · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)17c$27Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 24, 2026, EST-100%-$27.46
Australian Open Men's: Jakub Mensik vs Ethan Quinnbacked Quinn · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)26c$40Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 24, 2026, EST-100%-$40.44
Australian Open Men's: Lorenzo Musetti vs Tomas Machacbacked Machac · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$37Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 24, 2026, EST-100%-$37.22
Australian Open Men's: Alexander Bublik vs Tomas Etcheverrybacked Etcheverry · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)26c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 23, 2026, EST-100%-$10.13
Australian Open Women's: Elina Svitolina vs Diana Shnaiderbacked Svitolina · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)71c$26Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 23, 2026, EST+40.3%+$10.38
Australian Open Men's: Francisco Cerundolo vs Andrey Rublevbacked Cerundolo · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)71c$69Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 23, 2026, EST+41.8%+$29.06
Australian Open Women's: Iva Jovic vs Jasmine Paolinibacked Paolini · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)13c$12Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 23, 2026, EST-100%-$11.82
Australian Open Women's: Coco Gauff vs Hailey Baptistebacked Gauff · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 23, 2026, EST+60.3%+$9.25
Australian Open Men's: Daniil Medvedev vs Fabian Marozsanbacked Marozsan · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)34c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 23, 2026, EST-100%-$11.22
Australian Open Men's: Jaume Munar vs Casper Ruudbacked Munar · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)23c$22Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 22, 2026, EST-100%-$22.35
Australian Open Women's: Naomi Osaka vs Sorana Cirsteabacked Cirstea · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$12Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 22, 2026, EST-100%-$11.88
Australian Open Men's: Tomas Machac vs Stefanos Tsitsipasbacked Machac · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$36Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 22, 2026, EST+72%+$25.67
Australian Open Men's: Denis Shapovalov vs Marin Cilicbacked Cilic · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$27Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 22, 2026, EST+98.1%+$26
Australian Open Women's: Linda Fruhvirtova vs Tereza Valentovabacked Fruhvirtova · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)25c$27Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 22, 2026, EST-100%-$27.19
Australian Open Men's: Eliot Spizzirri vs Yibing Wubacked Wu · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)0c$41Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 22, 2026, EST-100%-$40.6
Australian Open Men's: Hubert Hurkacz vs Ethan Quinnbacked Quinn · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$26Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 22, 2026, EST+86.7%+$22.95
Australian Open Women's: Oksana Selekhmeteva vs Paula Badosabacked Badosa · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)23c$18Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 21, 2026, EST-100%-$17.82
All 21 picks, newest first.
Crypto Milestones Inactivelast resolved Feb 5, 2026, EST1717.6%3 W · 14 L-3.7wins-0.22per pick40cpaid-24.1%equal weight40-0.09 edge/pick
Crypto Milestones — the 17 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Crypto Milestones, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Bitcoin dip to $60,000 in February?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)10c$17Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 5, 2026, EST+900%+$151.56
Will Bitcoin reach $100,000 in January?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$12Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 1, 2026, EST+56.3%+$6.71
Will Solana reach $150 in January?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$77Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 1, 2026, EST-100%-$76.82
Will Solana reach $170 in January?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)18c$14Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 1, 2026, EST-100%-$14.17
Will Solana reach $160 in January?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)26c$57Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 1, 2026, EST-100%-$56.91
Will Solana dip to $100 in January?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$45Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 31, 2026, EST-100%-$44.63
Will Solana dip to $110 in January?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$22Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 31, 2026, EST-100%-$21.96
Will Solana dip to $120 in January?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$39Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 25, 2026, EST-100%-$39.17
Will Solana dip to $120 January 19-25?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$48Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 25, 2026, EST-100%-$47.54
Will Solana reach $160 January 12-18?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)16c$12Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 19, 2026, EST-100%-$11.96
Will Solana reach $150 January 12-18?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$12Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 19, 2026, EST-100%-$12.27
Will Bitcoin reach $95,000 in January?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)23c$110Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 13, 2026, EST-100%-$110.2
Will Solana dip to $130 January 5-11?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)14c$14Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 12, 2026, EST-100%-$14.37
Will Solana reach $140 December 29-January 4?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)13c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 5, 2026, EST-100%-$11.12
Will Bitcoin reach $92,000 December 22-28?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)75c$12Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 29, 2025, EST+33.6%+$4.13
Will Bitcoin dip to $86,000 December 22-28?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$13Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 29, 2025, EST-100%-$13.07
Will Zcash hit $500 by December 31?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)4c$58Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 5, 2025, EST-100%-$58.22
All 17 picks, newest first.
Lol Inactivelast resolved Jan 27, 2026, EST1668.8%11 W · 5 L+0.3wins+0.02per pick67cpaid+4.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
Lol — the 16 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Lol, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
LoL: KIA.eSuba Academy vs Meavedron (BO1) - Hitpoint Masters Group Stagebacked Meavedron · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)76c$24Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 27, 2026, EST-100%-$24.37
LoL: Ultra Prime vs LNG Esports - Game 2 Winnerbacked LNG Esports · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$11Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 27, 2026, EST+58.7%+$6.35
LoL: Bilibili Gaming vs JD Gaming (BO3) - LPL Group Ascendbacked Bilibili Gaming · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$14Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 26, 2026, EST-100%-$14.22
LoL: FlyQuest vs Shopify Rebellion - Game 2 Winnerbacked FlyQuest · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)79c$12Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 25, 2026, EST+26.1%+$3.07
LoL: Fnatic vs GIANTX (BO1) - LEC Versus Regular Seasonbacked Fnatic · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)77c$23Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 25, 2026, EST+29.8%+$6.89
LoL: Top Esports vs Invictus Gaming (BO3) - LPL Group Ascendbacked Top Esports · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$38Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 25, 2026, EST+88.8%+$33.76
LoL: Ninjas in Pyjamas vs Team WE (BO3) - LPL Group Perseverancebacked Ninjas in Pyjamas · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 25, 2026, EST-100%-$10.14
LoL: T1 vs BNK FEARX - Game 1 Winnerbacked T1 · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$19Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 25, 2026, EST+60.6%+$11.62
LoL: Top Esports vs Anyone's Legend (BO3) - LPL Group Ascendbacked Anyone's Legend · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)79c$18Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 24, 2026, EST+27.1%+$4.85
LoL: JD Gaming vs Bilibili Gaming (BO3) - LPL Group Ascendbacked Bilibili Gaming · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$13Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 23, 2026, EST-100%-$13.03
LoL: Nongshim Red Force vs DRX - Game 2 Winnerbacked Nongshim Red Force · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$28Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 23, 2026, EST+56.2%+$15.82
LoL: Nongshim Red Force vs DRX (BO3) - LCK Cup Group Stagebacked DRX · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$10Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 23, 2026, EST+111.8%+$11.66
LoL: EDward Gaming vs ThunderTalk Gaming (BO3) - LPL Group Perseverancebacked EDward Gaming · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)71c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 23, 2026, EST+40.3%+$7.96
LoL: Team WE vs Ninjas in Pyjamas (BO3) - LPL Group Perseverancebacked Team WE · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)69c$13Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 22, 2026, EST-100%-$12.68
LoL: BNK FEARX vs Gen.G - Game 2 Winnerbacked Gen.G · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)73c$13Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 22, 2026, EST+36.6%+$4.93
LoL: ThunderTalk Gaming vs EDward Gaming - Game 1 Winnerbacked EDward Gaming · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)74c$14Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 22, 2026, EST+35.2%+$4.99
All 16 picks, newest first.
Middle East Inactivelast resolved Apr 5, 2026, EDT1225%3 W · 9 L-2.5wins-0.21per pick46cpaid-35.3%equal weight43-0.07 edge/pick
Middle East — the 12 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Middle East, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
US forces enter Iran by March 31?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)32c$19Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 5, 2026, EDT-100%-$18.58
Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by March 31?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)72c$27Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 3, 2026, EST-100%-$27.25
Nothing Ever Happens: Khameneibacked Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$18Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 28, 2026, EST-100%-$17.88
Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran in 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)42c$30Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 28, 2026, EST-100%-$29.88
US strikes Iran by June 30, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$17Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 28, 2026, EST-100%-$16.85
US strikes Iran by February 28, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)20c$19Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 28, 2026, EST+404.3%+$76.19
Israel strikes Iran by March 31, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$19Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 28, 2026, EST-100%-$19.04
US x Iran meeting by February 6, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)3c$14Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 9, 2026, EST-100%-$14.31
US x Iran meeting by February 13, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)32c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 6, 2026, EST-100%-$10.54
US x Iran nuclear talks resume by March 31? backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)36c$14Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 6, 2026, EST-100%-$14.34
Israel strikes Iran by January 31, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$33Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 1, 2026, EST+42.2%+$13.8
Will the US strike Somalia next?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)77c$21Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 15, 2026, EST+30.5%+$6.54
All 12 picks, newest first.
Fed Rates Inactivelast resolved Mar 4, 2026, EST812.5%1 W · 7 L-0.6wins-0.07per pick20cpaid-84.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
Fed Rates — the 8 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Fed Rates, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Trump nominate Rick Rieder as the next Fed chair?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)10c$36Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 4, 2026, EST-100%-$36.44
Will Trump nominate Kevin Hassett as the next Fed chair?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)15c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 4, 2026, EST-100%-$10.25
Will Trump nominate Christopher Waller as the next Fed chair?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)6c$16Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 4, 2026, EST-100%-$16.2
Will Donald Trump announce a new nominee for Chair of the Federal Reserve by February 6, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)27c$24Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 30, 2026, EST-100%-$23.51
Fed decreases interest rates by 25 bps after January 2026 meeting?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)79c$17Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 28, 2026, EST+26.6%+$4.6
Will Trump announce Kevin Hassett as next Fed Chair in 2025?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)12c$52Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 1, 2026, EST-100%-$51.54
Fed increases interest rates by 25+ bps after December 2025 meeting?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)0c$14Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 10, 2025, EST-100%-$13.86
No change in Fed interest rates after December 2025 meeting?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)8c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 10, 2025, EST-100%-$19.8
All 8 picks, newest first.
NHL Inactivelast resolved Jan 30, 2026, EST771.4%5 W · 2 L+0.9wins+0.13per pick58cpaid+19.3%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
NHL — the 7 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NHL, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Champions League Inactivelast resolved Jan 21, 2026, EST650%3 W · 3 L+0.5wins+0.09per pick41cpaid+27.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
Champions League — the 6 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Champions League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Token Launches Inactivelast resolved May 1, 2026, EDT580%4 W · 1 L+0.7wins+0.14per pick66cpaid+41.2%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
Token Launches — the 5 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Token Launches, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Movies Inactivelast resolved Jan 22, 2026, EST560%3 W · 2 L+0.5wins+0.10per pick50cpaid-9.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
Movies — the 5 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Movies, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

NFL Inactivelast resolved Jan 26, 2026, EST520%1 W · 4 L-1.5wins-0.29per pick49cpaid-67.7%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
NFL — the 5 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NFL, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Rams vs. Seahawksbacked Rams · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$45Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 26, 2026, EST-100%-$44.87
Patriots vs. Broncosbacked Patriots · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$133Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 25, 2026, EST+61.5%+$82.06
Spread: Patriots (-3.5)backed Patriots · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$209Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 25, 2026, EST-100%-$208.91
Spread: Patriots (-5.5)backed Patriots · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)43c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 25, 2026, EST-100%-$10.95
Spread: Patriots (-4.5)backed Patriots · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$27Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 25, 2026, EST-100%-$27.26
All 5 picks, newest first.
Premier League Inactivelast resolved Jan 24, 2026, EST475%3 W · 1 L+1.2wins+0.31per pick44cpaid+64.6%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
Premier League — the 4 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Premier League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Bundesliga Inactivelast resolved Jan 25, 2026, EST475%3 W · 1 L+0.7wins+0.19per pick56cpaid+40.4%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
Bundesliga — the 4 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Bundesliga, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Us Politics Inactivelast resolved Feb 20, 2026, EST450%2 W · 2 L+0.4wins+0.10per pick40cpaid-23.6%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
Us Politics — the 4 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Us Politics, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Other European Leagues Inactivelast resolved Jan 26, 2026, EST366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.2wins+0.07per pick60cpaid+15.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
Other European Leagues — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Other European Leagues, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

College Football Inactivelast resolved Jan 20, 2026, EST366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.1wins+0.04per pick62cpaid-2.9%equal weight510.00 edge/pick
College Football — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in College Football, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Spread: Indiana (-7.5)backed Indiana · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$76Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 20, 2026, EST-100%-$75.81
Oregon vs. Indianabacked Indiana · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$448Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 10, 2026, EST+61.3%+$274.77
Will Fernando Mendoza win the Heisman Trophy?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)77c$31Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 13, 2025, EST+29.9%+$9.42
All 3 picks, newest first.
Venezuela Inactivelast resolved Jan 1, 2026, EST333.3%1 W · 2 L0.0wins+0.01per pick33cpaid-47%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
Venezuela — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Venezuela, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Serie A Inactivelast resolved Jan 25, 2026, EST333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.3wins-0.09per pick42cpaid-52.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Serie A — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Serie A, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will AC Milan win on 2026-01-25?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$11Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 25, 2026, EST+42.5%+$4.48
AS Roma vs. AC Milan: O/U 1.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)30c$16Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 25, 2026, EST-100%-$16.43
Will Como 1907 win on 2026-01-24?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)25c$16Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 24, 2026, EST-100%-$15.97
All 3 picks, newest first.
AI Inactivelast resolved Dec 4, 2025, EST250%1 W · 1 L+0.2wins+0.09per pick41cpaid-36.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
AI — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in AI, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

La Liga Inactivelast resolved Jan 25, 2026, EST250%1 W · 1 L+0.1wins+0.04per pick46cpaid-36.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
La Liga — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in La Liga, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will FC Barcelona win on 2026-01-25?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)13c$18Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 25, 2026, EST-100%-$17.91
Will Elche CF win on 2026-01-23?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)79c$10Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 23, 2026, EST+27.2%+$2.83
All 2 picks, newest first.
Asian League Inactivelast resolved Jan 26, 2026, EST250%1 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.03per pick53cpaid+5.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
Asian League — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Asian League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Al Hazem SC vs. Damac Saudi Club: O/U 2.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$12Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 26, 2026, EST-100%-$12.04
Will Al Hazem SC win on 2026-01-22?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$11Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 22, 2026, EST+110.5%+$12.19
All 2 picks, newest first.
South American Leagues Inactivelast resolved Jan 24, 2026, EST250%1 W · 1 L-0.2wins-0.08per pick58cpaid-28.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
South American Leagues — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in South American Leagues, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Ukraine Inactivelast resolved Apr 1, 2026, EDT20%0 W · 2 L-0.2wins-0.09per pick9cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Ukraine — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Ukraine, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by March 31, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)14c$17Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$16.82
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by January 31, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)4c$25Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 1, 2026, EST-100%-$25.34
All 2 picks, newest first.
Europa Conference League Inactivelast resolved Jan 22, 2026, EST20%0 W · 2 L-1.2wins-0.60per pick60cpaid-100%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
Europa Conference League — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Europa Conference League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will RC Celta de Vigo win on 2026-01-22?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$16Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 22, 2026, EST-100%-$15.55
Will SC Braga win on 2026-01-22?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$12Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 22, 2026, EST-100%-$12.49
All 2 picks, newest first.
Dota2 Inactivelast resolved Jan 26, 2026, EST1100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.45per pick55cpaid+82%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
Dota2 — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Dota2, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Dota 2: Power Rangers vs skebob (BO3) - PGL Wallachia: Eastern Europe Closed Qualifier Playoffsbacked Power Rangers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 26, 2026, EST+82%+$11.96
All 1 picks, newest first.
World Politics Inactivelast resolved Apr 1, 2026, EDT1100%1 W · 0 L+0.3wins+0.28per pick72cpaid+38.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
World Politics — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in World Politics, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
U.S. anti-cartel ground operation in Mexico by March 31?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)72c$26Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 1, 2026, EDT+38.3%+$9.97
All 1 picks, newest first.
Music Inactivelast resolved Feb 2, 2026, EST10%0 W · 1 L-0.2wins-0.21per pick21cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Music — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Music, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Olivia Dean win Best New Artist at the 68th Annual GRAMMY Awards?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)21c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 2, 2026, EST-100%-$11.37
All 1 picks, newest first.
Valorant Inactivelast resolved Jan 22, 2026, EST10%0 W · 1 L-0.3wins-0.34per pick34cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Valorant — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Valorant, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Valorant: Nongshim RedForce vs Team Secret (BO3)backed Team Secret · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)34c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 22, 2026, EST-100%-$10.5
All 1 picks, newest first.
China Taiwan Inactivelast resolved Oct 30, 2025, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.50per pick50cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
China Taiwan — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in China Taiwan, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Trump and Xi shake hands for between 6 and 10 seconds on October 30, 2025?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$44Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 30, 2025, EDT-100%-$44
All 1 picks, newest first.

vs expected is how many more (or fewer) Picks this wallet won than the prices it paid implied it would. It is the column that tells a real edge apart from a record bought by backing favourites. Realizable edge is what that comes to per Pick for somebody copying the wallet, after the cost of getting in behind it. Avg entry is the average price it paid, so a strong record built on heavy favourites shows as one. ROI per pick counts every Pick equally rather than by size, which is how a record earned across many Picks is told apart from one carried by a few large ones. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in — an American night game settles after midnight UTC, so any other zone would name the day after the one it was played on. Inactive means nothing has resolved in that Category recently. The score is kept and the wallet stays reachable here; it only leaves the default leaderboard.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.