South American Leagues · resolved market
Will Instituto AC Córdoba win on 2026-01-22?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x3bf0e1640a8b32a0ac742acd67a089cd41d85ddd31f0cbdaab5a5c4d200f7af4
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- South American Leaguesevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $45,255
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $37,026
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $45,255 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 24 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in South American Leagues is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in South American Leagues | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x8790…010bbacked Yes | 34c | 20,000$6,761 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$6,761.25 | 212 | 51.9%110 W · 102 L | +14.3wins | +0.07per pick | 45cpaid | +7%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked No | 67c | 3,757$2,499 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,257.82 | 5,757 | 45.4%2,611 W · 3,146 L | +94.0wins | +0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -7.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4133…5e70backed Yes | 29c | 1,642$475 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$475.29 | 1,985 | 44.8%890 W · 1,095 L | -44.4wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -12.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7a49…d9f5backed Yes | 28c | 971.33$269 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$269.23 | 1,366 | 52.4%716 W · 650 L | +51.1wins | +0.04per pick | 49cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x33a7…960dbacked Yes | 20c | 500$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 367 | 27%99 W · 268 L | -2.4wins | -0.01per pick | 28cpaid | -3.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc6fa…51e5backed No | 75c | 330.95$249 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$82.12 | 134 | 57.5%77 W · 57 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 58cpaid | -6.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x63a4…6c04backed Yes | 32c | 312.5$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 6 | 16.7%1 W · 5 L | -1.2wins | -0.20per pick | 37cpaid | -61.2%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb327…0fccbacked Yes | 35c | 282.86$99 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$99 | 48 | 37.5%18 W · 30 L | +0.7wins | +0.01per pick | 36cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked No | 68c | 281.98$192 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$89.83 | 2,388 | 51.8%1,237 W · 1,151 L | -9.3wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd1ed…d7cbbacked Yes | 29c | 259$75 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$75.11 | 181 | 29.8%54 W · 127 L | +0.9wins | +0.01per pick | 29cpaid | -35.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x325f…4511backed Yes | 30c | 134.47$41 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40.71 | 538 | 36.8%198 W · 340 L | -24.0wins | -0.04per pick | 41cpaid | -24.8%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6c0b…43cbbacked Yes | 32c | 130$42 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$41.6 | 250 | 21.6%54 W · 196 L | -9.3wins | -0.04per pick | 25cpaid | -20.4%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7b2c…af48backed No | 68c | 104.04$71 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$33.29 | 398 | 53%211 W · 187 L | +5.8wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9cf7…a506backed Yes | 35c | 100$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.7wins | -0.23per pick | 56cpaid | -54.3%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x29c0…efaabacked Yes | 32c | 90.03$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.81 | 816 | 51.6%421 W · 395 L | +12.0wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x12b9…3ec2backed Yes | 34c | 74.9$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.13 | 308 | 41.2%127 W · 181 L | +9.5wins | +0.03per pick | 38cpaid | +10.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x33af…288abacked Yes | 32c | 62.5$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 270 | 31.5%85 W · 185 L | -12.2wins | -0.05per pick | 36cpaid | -14.2%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb5b9…948abacked Yes | 24c | 60.27$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.46 | 22 | 31.8%7 W · 15 L | -1.5wins | -0.07per pick | 38cpaid | -36.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0655…faf8backed Yes | 20c | 50$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 134 | 41%55 W · 79 L | -14.6wins | -0.11per pick | 52cpaid | -26.1%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x44c5…8d45backed No | 65c | 46.85$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.4 | 313 | 49.8%156 W · 157 L | +13.0wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | +9.8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf0d0…ee5abacked No | 66c | 30.3$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.18 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +1.1wins | +0.53per pick | 47cpaid | +150.6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x628e…1d80backed No | 70c | 18.73$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.62 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.08per pick | 58cpaid | -28.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5eeb…01b2backed No | 78c | 16$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3.58 | 495 | 35.4%175 W · 320 L | -11.9wins | -0.02per pick | 38cpaid | -23.8%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6ad8…9bc1backed No | 70c | 14.37$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.31 | 17 | 64.7%11 W · 6 L | +0.3wins | +0.02per pick | 63cpaid | -2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in South American Leagues and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will Instituto AC Córdoba win on 2026-01-22?this page
- Will CA Vélez Sarsfield win on 2026-01-22?Yes won
- Will Instituto AC Córdoba vs. CA Vélez Sarsfield end in a draw?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.