Crypto Milestones · resolved market
Will Solana dip to $120 January 19-25?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xd46acb189350b4b301c1eebfb3c57b7a39a15f791d403726b73fbc002d92a07a
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Yesof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Crypto Milestonesevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $117,886
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $121,318
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $117,886 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 53 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Crypto Milestones is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Crypto Milestones | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xb09a…7fc7backed No | 0c | 18,333$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 18 | 33.3%6 W · 12 L | +3.4wins | +0.19per pick | 14cpaid | +237.9%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x55be…dca3backed No | 49c | 7,500$3,642 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,641.96 | 291 | 26.5%77 W · 214 L | -7.5wins | -0.03per pick | 29cpaid | -34.2%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6af5…42cebacked Yes | 49c | 6,793$3,330 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,463.55 | 24 | 66.7%16 W · 8 L | +5.6wins | +0.23per pick | 43cpaid | +33.8%equal weight | 63+0.11 edge/pick |
| 0xa4a4…a548backed No | 1c | 3,394$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33.1 | 28 | 21.4%6 W · 22 L | -4.0wins | -0.14per pick | 36cpaid | -63.2%equal weight | 42-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x5fe9…bb0abacked No | 66c | 2,600$1,709 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,709.26 | 167 | 29.3%49 W · 118 L | +7.6wins | +0.05per pick | 25cpaid | -8.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5360…1f6fbacked Yes | 8c | 2,170$174 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,996.4 | 146 | 6.2%9 W · 137 L | +4.1wins | +0.03per pick | 3cpaid | +3.9%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x95c2…5a17backed Yes | 75c | 1,989$1,485 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$503.11 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.25per pick | 75cpaid | +33.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6772…c2d4backed No | 46c | 1,979$903 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$903.02 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.5wins | -0.24per pick | 24cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x06e9…c7b0backed Yes | 8c | 1,967$157 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,809.77 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.9wins | +0.92per pick | 8cpaid | +1,150%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3cbf…d5d1backed Yes | 7c | 1,357$94 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,263.14 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +2.5wins | +0.49per pick | 11cpaid | +492.7%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xb836…9e4ebacked No | 58c | 832.96$486 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$485.97 | 8 | 37.5%3 W · 5 L | +0.7wins | +0.09per pick | 29cpaid | +122.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8765…ed81backed Yes | 8c | 749.99$62 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$687.49 | 241 | 7.1%17 W · 224 L | +2.4wins | +0.01per pick | 6cpaid | +47.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2e55…760dbacked Yes | 7c | 657.72$45 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$613.08 | 24 | 29.2%7 W · 17 L | +4.8wins | +0.20per pick | 9cpaid | +125.3%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x1e98…6345backed Yes | 6c | 601.11$37 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$564 | 212 | 5.7%12 W · 200 L | +2.2wins | +0.01per pick | 5cpaid | -7.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf632…02aabacked Yes | 5c | 570.9$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$541.49 | 73 | 21.9%16 W · 57 L | +4.8wins | +0.07per pick | 15cpaid | +51.4%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x25af…bcafbacked Yes | 12c | 501.18$62 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$439 | 399 | 8.5%34 W · 365 L | +6.2wins | +0.02per pick | 7cpaid | -9.2%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xca8f…d963backed Yes | 7c | 483.11$35 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$448.14 | 678 | 5.9%40 W · 638 L | +11.9wins | +0.02per pick | 4cpaid | -7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5302…208abacked No | 79c | 479.25$377 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$377.3 | 22 | 50%11 W · 11 L | -2.3wins | -0.10per pick | 60cpaid | -23.8%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xf971…0a57backed Yes | 16c | 445.78$71 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$374.44 | 24 | 20.8%5 W · 19 L | -0.3wins | -0.01per pick | 22cpaid | -14.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3078…0389backed Yes | 36c | 443.98$160 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$284.11 | 648 | 12%78 W · 570 L | -61.6wins | -0.10per pick | 22cpaid | -53.2%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x1c24…23d4backed Yes | 40c | 436.07$176 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$260.02 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.4wins | +0.18per pick | 32cpaid | +23.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8e93…e71abacked Yes | 30c | 397$121 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$275.93 | 37 | 29.7%11 W · 26 L | +2.3wins | +0.06per pick | 23cpaid | +20.6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6be7…d057backed No | 77c | 370$284 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$284.1 | 7 | 14.3%1 W · 6 L | -3.1wins | -0.44per pick | 58cpaid | -81%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x7676…f694backed Yes | 74c | 366.49$273 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$93.68 | 13 | 46.2%6 W · 7 L | +3.1wins | +0.24per pick | 23cpaid | +68.8%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xd070…1632backed Yes | 7c | 300$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$279 | 7 | 57.1%4 W · 3 L | +2.9wins | +0.41per pick | 16cpaid | +275.8%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x0719…8413backed No | 68c | 294.51$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | -0.8wins | -0.13per pick | 63cpaid | -23.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4ffe…9f71backed Yes | 26c | 272.42$70 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$202.58 | 1,844 | 4.4%81 W · 1,763 L | -13.1wins | -0.01per pick | 5cpaid | -42.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdaf5…48ecbacked Yes | 15c | 253.33$38 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$215.33 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.7wins | +0.33per pick | 17cpaid | +233.3%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd669…f5e7backed Yes | 5c | 205.24$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$193.98 | 62 | 21%13 W · 49 L | +10.4wins | +0.17per pick | 4cpaid | +300.8%equal weight | 63+0.12 edge/pick |
| 0xc6b7…04d2backed No | 76c | 179.97$137 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$136.77 | 7 | 57.1%4 W · 3 L | -0.6wins | -0.09per pick | 66cpaid | -15.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfe9a…a27cbacked Yes | 10c | 133.1$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$120.25 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.9wins | +0.90per pick | 10cpaid | +935.8%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x26b7…68a2backed Yes | 12c | 125.74$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$110.52 | 12 | 8.3%1 W · 11 L | +0.4wins | +0.04per pick | 5cpaid | -31.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6a2b…f887backed Yes | 16c | 125$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$105 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | +0.8wins | +0.27per pick | 6cpaid | +108.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x945a…a48cbacked Yes | 14c | 114.55$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$98.47 | 299 | 9.4%28 W · 271 L | +12.5wins | +0.04per pick | 5cpaid | +22.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe7ce…d997backed Yes | 45c | 111.11$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$61.11 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.6wins | +0.55per pick | 45cpaid | +122.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5cc8…7a9bbacked No | 70c | 109.77$77 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$76.84 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.7wins | -0.70per pick | 70cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4fbd…08b0backed Yes | 30c | 109.77$33 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$76.84 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.7wins | +0.70per pick | 30cpaid | +233.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8975…ffe6backed No | 68c | 106.46$72 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$72.18 | 50 | 50%25 W · 25 L | -8.7wins | -0.17per pick | 67cpaid | -25.9%equal weight | 37-0.12 edge/pick |
| 0x3533…1ea8backed No | 71c | 104.96$75 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$75 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.14per pick | 64cpaid | -12.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9a71…49bcbacked Yes | 37c | 100$37 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$63 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +0.5wins | +0.13per pick | 62cpaid | +36.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xce9b…48b3backed Yes | 41c | 97.21$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$57.61 | 4 | 100%4 W · 0 L | +2.0wins | +0.49per pick | 51cpaid | +107.9%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x432d…f422backed Yes | 28c | 95.27$27 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$68.31 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.7wins | +0.72per pick | 28cpaid | +253.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9615…862ebacked No | 72c | 95.27$68 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$68.31 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.7wins | -0.72per pick | 72cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9772…a7e0backed Yes | 31c | 77.27$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$53.27 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | -0.7wins | -0.14per pick | 34cpaid | -35.6%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdeef…9bb9backed No | 68c | 73.53$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 12 | 58.3%7 W · 5 L | -0.3wins | -0.03per pick | 61cpaid | -9.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4ec9…e7abbacked Yes | 18c | 72.85$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$59.46 | 19 | 10.5%2 W · 17 L | -0.9wins | -0.05per pick | 15cpaid | -55.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x628e…1d80backed No | 65c | 72.63$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$47.54 | 17 | 17.6%3 W · 14 L | -3.7wins | -0.22per pick | 40cpaid | -24.1%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x8adb…e1fdbacked Yes | 19c | 67.21$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$54.21 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | +1.6wins | +0.22per pick | 21cpaid | +120%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x7aa9…4236backed No | 70c | 52.4$37 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36.68 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.19per pick | 69cpaid | -26.6%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc792…7f7dbacked Yes | 42c | 35.71$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.71 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.4wins | +0.14per pick | 53cpaid | +43.8%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8444…1cf9backed No | 59c | 33.9$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 136 | 24.3%33 W · 103 L | -0.8wins | -0.01per pick | 25cpaid | +4%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb941…3647backed No | 59c | 25.42$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -1.2wins | -0.59per pick | 59cpaid | -100%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xdd84…4680backed No | 76c | 19.6$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.84 | 13 | 38.5%5 W · 8 L | -2.7wins | -0.21per pick | 59cpaid | -43.3%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Crypto Milestones and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 8 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will Solana dip to $120 January 19-25?this page
- Will Solana dip to $110 January 19-25?No won
- Will Solana reach $140 January 19-25?No won
- Will Solana reach $150 January 19-25?No won
- Will Solana reach $160 January 19-25?No won
- Will Solana reach $170 January 19-25?No won
- Will Solana reach $190 January 19-25?No won
- Will Solana reach $200 January 19-25?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.