Crypto Milestones · resolved market
Will Solana reach $140 January 19-25?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xfb2c438a22101567b3914fa9002121af01d6690b2d565be8fd6b913cfbc12f69
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Crypto Milestonesevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $32,358
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $33,903
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $32,358 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 21 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Crypto Milestones is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Crypto Milestones | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x55be…dca3backed Yes | 39c | 8,268$3,216 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,215.51 | 291 | 26.5%77 W · 214 L | -7.5wins | -0.03per pick | 29cpaid | -34.2%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4ffe…9f71backed Yes | 1c | 3,971$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31.8 | 1,844 | 4.4%81 W · 1,763 L | -13.1wins | -0.01per pick | 5cpaid | -42.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe14b…1ad3backed No | 50c | 2,000$1,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,000 | 36 | 33.3%12 W · 24 L | -1.4wins | -0.04per pick | 37cpaid | -16.4%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdf4b…8d73backed Yes | 8c | 1,000$80 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$80 | 22 | 18.2%4 W · 18 L | +0.6wins | +0.03per pick | 16cpaid | -30.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb63a…4064backed No | 62c | 958.03$591 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$366.89 | 172 | 31.4%54 W · 118 L | +5.9wins | +0.03per pick | 28cpaid | -15.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf971…0a57backed Yes | 22c | 417$94 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$93.61 | 24 | 20.8%5 W · 19 L | -0.3wins | -0.01per pick | 22cpaid | -14.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xca8f…d963backed Yes | 10c | 300$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.5 | 678 | 5.9%40 W · 638 L | +11.9wins | +0.02per pick | 4cpaid | -7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1e98…6345backed Yes | 9c | 300$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28 | 212 | 5.7%12 W · 200 L | +2.2wins | +0.01per pick | 5cpaid | -7.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8584…f7bbbacked Yes | 17c | 294.68$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.3wins | -0.11per pick | 11cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7532…c6fcbacked No | 78c | 284.54$223 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$61.71 | 112 | 65.2%73 W · 39 L | +8.3wins | +0.07per pick | 58cpaid | +15.7%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x25af…bcafbacked Yes | 16c | 275.96$44 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$44.39 | 399 | 8.5%34 W · 365 L | +6.2wins | +0.02per pick | 7cpaid | -9.2%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd859…38c5backed Yes | 17c | 269.33$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$44.51 | 143 | 7.7%11 W · 132 L | -4.8wins | -0.03per pick | 11cpaid | -20.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd86c…98aabacked No | 51c | 260$133 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$127.4 | 46 | 67.4%31 W · 15 L | +1.6wins | +0.03per pick | 64cpaid | +3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdaf5…48ecbacked Yes | 20c | 253.45$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49.8 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.7wins | +0.33per pick | 17cpaid | +233.3%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb999…8e7abacked Yes | 21c | 190.48$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 7 | 0%0 W · 7 L | -1.8wins | -0.25per pick | 25cpaid | -100%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x24a6…0e2dbacked No | 56c | 170$95 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$74.8 | 75 | 65.3%49 W · 26 L | +3.5wins | +0.05per pick | 61cpaid | +9%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x875e…e6b5backed Yes | 16c | 154.45$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.83 | 16 | 43.8%7 W · 9 L | +3.6wins | +0.22per pick | 22cpaid | +78.2%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x945a…a48cbacked Yes | 13c | 84.37$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.92 | 299 | 9.4%28 W · 271 L | +12.5wins | +0.04per pick | 5cpaid | +22.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4ec9…e7abbacked Yes | 20c | 78.79$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16 | 19 | 10.5%2 W · 17 L | -0.9wins | -0.05per pick | 15cpaid | -55.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa4a4…a548backed Yes | 21c | 75.24$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.94 | 28 | 21.4%6 W · 22 L | -4.0wins | -0.14per pick | 36cpaid | -63.2%equal weight | 42-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x8c48…81f0backed No | 51c | 39.22$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.22 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.15per pick | 65cpaid | -2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Crypto Milestones and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 8 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will Solana reach $140 January 19-25?this page
- Will Solana dip to $110 January 19-25?No won
- Will Solana dip to $120 January 19-25?Yes won
- Will Solana reach $150 January 19-25?No won
- Will Solana reach $160 January 19-25?No won
- Will Solana reach $170 January 19-25?No won
- Will Solana reach $190 January 19-25?No won
- Will Solana reach $200 January 19-25?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.