TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Wallet 0x26b7…68a2

Rebuilt .

Summary

Qualified picks
392
Categories scored
36
Categories below 50
15

Best Category: Commodities, grading 64 out of 100 (+0.12 per pick).

Best Category Commodities at 64 out of 100; worst Us Midterms at 44.

What is a Tail Score?

A mark out of 100, per Category. 50 means no edge at all — this wallet did about what the prices it paid implied it would. Above 50 it beat those prices; below 50 it did worse than them.

The scale does not move. 100 is a wallet beating the prices it paid by 0.45 per pick and 0 is losing to them by the same, on every wallet, on every page, in every month. So a grade you screenshot today still means what it meant when you took it, and two wallets can be put side by side.

Nobody reaches either end. Across every wallet TailMyPicks has scored, the marks run from roughly 5 to 87 — which is what a fixed ruler costs, and what buys the sentence above.

It is not a win rate. A wallet can win four Picks in five and still grade below 50, if the market was already pricing those outcomes at 90c — it paid for the wins rather than finding them. The vs expected and Avg entry columns below are what separate the two.

The mark is deliberately pulled toward 50 when there is little evidence. Three lucky Picks do not produce a high grade; several hundred consistent ones do. So a modest grade on thousands of Picks means something a high grade on twelve does not.

Because it is shrunk this way, a Category grade is a conservative reading. The headline figure for a wallet is its best Category, so it always understates how badly the wallet does in its worst one — which is why the table below is per Category and not one blended number.

Record by Category

Ordered by how much this wallet actually traded in each Category, not by score — so the Categories it plays most appear first whether they went well or badly. Open any row to see the picks its numbers were computed from — all of them.

CategoryQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
Commodities Inactivelast resolved Jul 1, 2026, EDT7439.2%29 W · 45 L+12.3wins+0.17per pick23cpaid+131.5%equal weight64+0.12 edge/pick
Commodities — the 74 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Commodities, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Gold (GC) settle at <$3,800 in June?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)6c$76Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$75.9
Will Silver (SI) settle at $80-$90 in June?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)8c$18Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$17.75
Will Silver (SI) settle at $50-$60 in June?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)6c$80Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 1, 2026, EDT+1,447.1%+$1,162.97
Will Gold (GC) settle at $4,200-$4,600 in June?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)11c$49Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$49.34
Will Silver (SI) settle at $60-$70 in June?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)13c$368Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$368.29
Will Silver (SI) settle at $90-$100 in June?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)10c$53Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$53.27
Will Crude Oil (CL) settle at >$84 in June?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$89Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$89.46
Will Silver (SI) settle at $70-$80 in June?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)11c$43Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$43.27
Will Silver (SI) settle at <$50 in June?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)12c$48Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$48.06
Will Gold (GC) settle at $3,800-$4,200 in June?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)7c$43Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 1, 2026, EDT+1,236.5%+$537.68
Will Crude Oil (CL) settle at $77-$84 in June?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)12c$12Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$11.8
Will Gold (GC) settle at >$6,200 in June?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)21c$250Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$250.26
Will Crude Oil (CL) settle at $49-$56 in June?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)2c$34Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$33.97
Will Crude Oil (CL) settle at $63-$70 in June?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)4c$31Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 1, 2026, EDT+2,342.3%+$723.46
Will Gold (GC) settle at $5,400-$5,800 in June?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)14c$87Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$86.79
Will Gold (GC) settle at $4,600-$5,000 in June?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)13c$30Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$30.17
Will Gold (GC) settle at $5,000-$5,400 in June?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)14c$21Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$20.59
Will Silver (SI) settle at $100-$115 in June?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)11c$139Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$138.92
Will Gold (GC) settle at $5,800-$6,200 in June?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)10c$112Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$112.04
Will Silver (SI) settle at >$115 in June?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)19c$23Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$22.8
Will Gold (GC) hit (HIGH) $5,500 by end of June?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)19c$148Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 1, 2026, EDT+433.8%+$642.66
Will Gold (GC) settle over $5,200 on the final trading day of June 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)43c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 1, 2026, EDT+131%+$19.85
Will Crude Oil (CL) settle over $60 on the final trading day of June 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)20c$18Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$18.11
Will Crude Oil (CL) settle over $65 on the final trading day of June 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)15c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$10.74
Will Gold (GC) settle over $4,800 on the final trading day of June 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)29c$29Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 1, 2026, EDT+240.4%+$70.52
Showing 25 of 74 picks, newest first.
Weather Inactivelast resolved Mar 19, 2026, EDT5453.7%29 W · 25 L+0.9wins+0.02per pick52cpaid+14.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
Weather — the 54 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Weather, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will the highest temperature in London be 17°C on March 19?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$36Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 19, 2026, EDT+100.5%+$35.93
Will the highest temperature in Singapore be 33°C on March 19?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)33c$13Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$13.39
Will the highest temperature in Paris be 16°C on March 19?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)75c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 19, 2026, EDT+33.3%+$4.99
Will the highest temperature in Lucknow be 34°C or below on March 19?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$80Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$80.05
Will the highest temperature in Paris be 15°C on March 18?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$53Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 18, 2026, EDT-100%-$53.45
Will the highest temperature in Buenos Aires be 27°C on March 18?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)74c$38Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 18, 2026, EDT+35%+$13.36
Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 13°C on March 18?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)9c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 18, 2026, EDT-100%-$15.08
Will the highest temperature in Wellington be 21°C on March 18?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)25c$18Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 18, 2026, EDT-100%-$17.78
Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 12°C on March 18?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$13Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 17, 2026, EDT+64.5%+$8.24
Will the highest temperature in Munich be 8°C on March 15?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 15, 2026, EDT-100%-$10.43
Will the highest temperature in Wellington be 21°C or higher on March 15?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$13Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 15, 2026, EDT+52.9%+$6.89
Will the highest temperature in Paris be 10°C on March 14?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)11c$19Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 15, 2026, EDT-100%-$18.58
Will the highest temperature in London be 12°C on March 14?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$19Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 15, 2026, EDT+42.5%+$8.26
Will the highest temperature in Wellington be 19°C on March 15?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$13Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 14, 2026, EDT+79.1%+$10.42
Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 9°C on March 14?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$18Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 14, 2026, EDT+105.9%+$19.28
Will there be exactly 0 earthquakes of magnitude 6.5 or higher worldwide by March 1?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)73c$119Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 2, 2026, EST+37.8%+$44.95
Will the highest temperature in Seattle be between 48-49°F on February 23?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 24, 2026, EST-100%-$11.04
Will the highest temperature in Chicago be between 30-31°F on February 23?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)78c$17Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 24, 2026, EST+28%+$4.7
Will the highest temperature in Atlanta be between 42-43°F on February 23?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)77c$46Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 24, 2026, EST+30.2%+$14.01
Will the highest temperature in Buenos Aires be 31°C on February 23?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)77c$40Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 24, 2026, EST-100%-$40.1
Will the highest temperature in London be 14°C on February 23?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)80c$35Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 23, 2026, EST+25.4%+$8.83
Will the highest temperature in London be 13°C on February 23?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)40c$44Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 23, 2026, EST-100%-$43.96
Will the highest temperature in New York City be 36°F or higher on February 23?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)76c$207Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 23, 2026, EST-100%-$206.99
Will the highest temperature in Ankara be 7°C on February 23?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$26Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 23, 2026, EST-100%-$26.36
Will the highest temperature in Chicago be between 26-27°F on February 23?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)71c$40Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 23, 2026, EST+39.9%+$15.86
Showing 25 of 54 picks, newest first.
Tweets Inactivelast resolved Mar 18, 2026, EDT3821.1%8 W · 30 L+1.4wins+0.04per pick17cpaid-31.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
Tweets — the 38 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Tweets, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Elon Musk post 90-114 tweets from March 16 to March 18, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$49Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 18, 2026, EDT-100%-$48.75
Will Elon Musk post 65-89 tweets from March 16 to March 18, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$22Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 18, 2026, EDT+102.6%+$22.23
Will Elon Musk post 65-89 tweets from March 14 to March 16, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)78c$25Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 16, 2026, EDT+27.7%+$6.8
Will Andrew Tate post 130-159 posts from February 24 to March 3, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$80Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 3, 2026, EST-100%-$79.59
Will Elon Musk post 220-239 tweets from February 24 to March 3, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$137Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 3, 2026, EST+53%+$72.81
Will Donald Trump post 140-159 Truth Social posts from February 24 to March 3, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)76c$36Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 3, 2026, EST+31.2%+$11.12
Will Donald Trump post 120-139 Truth Social posts from February 24 to March 3, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)75c$27Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 2, 2026, EST+33.8%+$9.04
Will Donald Trump post 100-119 Truth Social posts from February 24 to March 3, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)79c$24Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 1, 2026, EST+26.6%+$6.51
Will Elon Musk post 90-114 tweets from January 19 to January 21, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)15c$13Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 21, 2026, EST+579.1%+$76.88
Will Elon Musk post 240+ tweets from January 19 to January 21, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)1c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 21, 2026, EST-100%-$14.53
Will Elon Musk post 140-164 tweets from January 19 to January 21, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)1c$16Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 21, 2026, EST-100%-$15.75
Will Elon Musk post 165-189 tweets from January 19 to January 21, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)2c$27Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 21, 2026, EST-100%-$27
Will Elon Musk post 65-89 tweets from January 19 to January 21, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)4c$32Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 21, 2026, EST-100%-$31.96
Will Elon Musk post 520-539 tweets from December 30 to January 6, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)9c$367Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 6, 2026, EST+964.1%+$3,536.63
Will Elon Musk post 540-559 tweets from December 30 to January 6, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)5c$75Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 6, 2026, EST-100%-$75.27
Will Elon Musk post 620-639 tweets from December 30 to January 6, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)2c$28Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 6, 2026, EST-100%-$27.87
Will Elon Musk post 640-659 tweets from December 30 to January 6, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)1c$23Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 6, 2026, EST-100%-$23
Will Elon Musk post 580-599 tweets from December 30 to January 6, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)3c$93Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 6, 2026, EST-100%-$92.73
Will Elon Musk post 680-699 tweets from December 30 to January 6, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)1c$19Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 6, 2026, EST-100%-$18.99
Will Elon Musk post 560-579 tweets from December 30 to January 6, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)8c$102Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 6, 2026, EST-100%-$101.67
Will Elon Musk post 660-679 tweets from December 30 to January 6, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)1c$23Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 6, 2026, EST-100%-$23.49
Will Elon Musk post 720-739 tweets from December 30 to January 6, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)0c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 6, 2026, EST-100%-$10.19
Will Elon Musk post 700-719 tweets from December 30 to January 6, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)0c$14Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 6, 2026, EST-100%-$14.13
Will Elon Musk post 600-619 tweets from December 30 to January 6, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)2c$102Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 6, 2026, EST-100%-$101.83
Will Elon Musk post 500-519 tweets from December 30 to January 6, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)5c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 6, 2026, EST-100%-$50.16
Showing 25 of 38 picks, newest first.
Ukraine Inactivelast resolved Jul 1, 2026, EDT1816.7%3 W · 15 L+0.7wins+0.04per pick13cpaid-53.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
Ukraine — the 18 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Ukraine, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Russia enter Zaporizhia by June 30?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)10c$19Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$19.38
Will Russia enter Dopropillia by June 30?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)39c$23Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 1, 2026, EDT+153.8%+$36.13
Will Russia enter Kramatorsk by June 30?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)16c$23Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$22.68
Will Russia enter Sloviansk by June 30?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)19c$40Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$40.08
Will Russia enter Sumy by June 30?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)10c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$10.04
Will Russia enter Kharkiv by June 30?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)6c$68Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$67.54
Will Norway join the Board of Peace?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)2c$37Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$37.35
Will Finland join the Board of Peace?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)5c$18Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$18.18
Will Brazil join the Board of Peace?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)4c$25Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$24.72
Will Spain join the Board of Peace?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)2c$55Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$55
Will Italy join the Board of Peace?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)4c$96Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$95.74
Will India join the Board of Peace?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)12c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$10.68
Will the U.K. join the Board of Peace?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)7c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$10.5
Will Sweden join the Board of Peace?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)3c$17Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$16.94
Will Palestine join the Board of Peace?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)6c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$10.79
Will Russia capture Hryshyne by March 31, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)42c$102Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 14, 2026, EDT+138.3%+$141.47
Will Russia capture Hryshyne by February 28, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)10c$13Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 1, 2026, EST-100%-$12.68
Will the Bank of Russia make no change to the key rate after the February Meeting?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)30c$33Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 13, 2026, EST+236.9%+$78.02
All 18 picks, newest first.
NBA Inactivelast resolved May 18, 2026, EDT1788.2%15 W · 2 L+4.4wins+0.26per pick62cpaid+43.3%equal weight62+0.11 edge/pick
NBA — the 17 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NBA, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Nikola Jokic win the 2025–2026 NBA MVP?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)74c$23Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 18, 2026, EDT+34.3%+$8.05
Will the Boston Celtics win the 2025–2026 NBA Atlantic Division?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 11, 2026, EDT-100%-$11.4
Timberwolves vs. Clippersbacked Timberwolves · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)72c$29Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 27, 2026, EST+38.3%+$11.28
Lakers vs. Sunsbacked Lakers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$19Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 27, 2026, EST-100%-$18.82
Pelicans vs. Jazzbacked Pelicans · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$11Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 27, 2026, EST+70.4%+$7.43
Hornets vs. Pacersbacked Hornets · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)78c$21Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 27, 2026, EST+28.5%+$5.98
Rockets vs. Magicbacked Rockets · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$31Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 27, 2026, EST+71.6%+$22.07
Rockets vs. Knicks: O/U 213.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$32Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 22, 2026, EST+61.8%+$19.85
Spread: Heat (-9.5)backed Heat · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$17Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 22, 2026, EST+75.2%+$12.67
Spread: Heat (-8.5)backed Heat · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$11Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 22, 2026, EST+56.6%+$6.3
Grizzlies vs. Heat: O/U 237.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$12Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 22, 2026, EST+105.6%+$12.91
Kings vs. Spurs: O/U 226.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$17Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 22, 2026, EST+68.1%+$11.77
Spread: 76ers (-4.5)backed Pelicans · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$16Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 22, 2026, EST+105.3%+$17.11
76ers vs. Pelicans: O/U 228.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$11Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 21, 2026, EST+66.5%+$7.41
76ers vs. Pelicans: O/U 229.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$10Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 21, 2026, EST+68.5%+$7.16
Jalen Suggs: Rebounds O/U 3.5backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)72c$14Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 21, 2026, EST+38.8%+$5.5
Grayson Allen: Assists O/U 3.5backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$23Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 21, 2026, EST+46%+$10.5
All 17 picks, newest first.
Premier League Inactivelast resolved Mar 3, 2026, EST1526.7%4 W · 11 L+0.3wins+0.02per pick25cpaid-26.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
Premier League — the 15 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Premier League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Ipswich Town FC win on 2026-02-14?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$25Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 3, 2026, EST+60.1%+$14.95
Will Bristol City FC win on 2026-02-14?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$55Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 3, 2026, EST-100%-$54.88
Will Arsenal FC win on 2026-02-15?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)9c$17Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 15, 2026, EST-100%-$17.11
Will Wigan Athletic FC win on 2026-02-15?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)3c$43Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 15, 2026, EST-100%-$42.74
Will Grimsby Town FC win on 2026-02-15?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)14c$12Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 15, 2026, EST-100%-$11.67
Will Aston Villa FC vs. Newcastle United FC end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)25c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 14, 2026, EST-100%-$11.4
Will Southampton FC win on 2026-02-14?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)21c$19Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 14, 2026, EST-100%-$18.63
Will Southampton FC vs. Leicester City FC end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)24c$10Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 14, 2026, EST+314.1%+$32.58
Will Leicester City FC win on 2026-02-14?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)18c$37Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 14, 2026, EST-100%-$37.03
Will Burnley FC win on 2026-02-14?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)32c$22Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 14, 2026, EST+217.1%+$47.67
Will Salford City FC win on 2026-02-14?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)1c$12Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 14, 2026, EST-100%-$11.83
Will Burton Albion FC win on 2026-02-14?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)15c$12Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 14, 2026, EST-100%-$12.19
Will Southampton FC win on 2026-02-14?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 10, 2026, EST+114.5%+$17.04
Will Leicester City FC vs. Southampton FC end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)25c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 10, 2026, EST-100%-$11.48
Will Leicester City FC win on 2026-02-14?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)26c$14Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 10, 2026, EST-100%-$13.85
All 15 picks, newest first.
Tennis Inactivelast resolved Mar 15, 2026, EDT1471.4%10 W · 4 L+1.5wins+0.11per pick61cpaid+15.4%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
Tennis — the 14 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Tennis, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Daniil Medvedev win the 2026 BNP Paribas Open Men’s Singles Tournament?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)73c$39Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 15, 2026, EDT+37.2%+$14.54
Rio Open: Tomas Etcheverry vs Vit Koprivabacked Etcheverry · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$12Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 22, 2026, EST+58.8%+$6.76
Mexican Open, Qualification: Mackenzie McDonald vs Elias Ymerbacked McDonald · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)69c$13Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 21, 2026, EST-100%-$12.84
Midland: Mary Stoiana vs Hanyu Guobacked Stoiana · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)73c$12Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 21, 2026, EST-100%-$12.04
Metepec: Andres Andrade vs Alexis Galarneaubacked Galarneau · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$12Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 21, 2026, EST+106.5%+$12.68
Merida Open Akron, Qualification: Martina Trevisan vs Ana Sofia Sanchezbacked Trevisan · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$41Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 21, 2026, EST+62%+$25.14
Chile Open, Qualification: Facundo Mena vs Daniel Galanbacked Galan · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$24Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 21, 2026, EST+61.5%+$14.51
Chile Open, Qualification: Adolfo Vallejo vs Thiago Monteirobacked Vallejo · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$21Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 21, 2026, EST+77.3%+$16.27
Alcaraz vs. Fils: Match O/U 21.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$12Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 21, 2026, EST+97%+$11.95
Lille: Jerome Kym vs Alexander Blockxbacked Blockx · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)72c$18Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 21, 2026, EST+38.9%+$6.98
ATX Open, Qualification: Emily Appleton vs Louisa Chiricobacked Chirico · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)72c$12Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 21, 2026, EST+39.3%+$4.72
Tigre: Guido Justo vs Gonzalo Buenobacked Bueno · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)73c$59Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 21, 2026, EST-100%-$59.49
Oeiras 2: Viktorija Golubic vs Teodora Kostovicbacked Golubic · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)73c$68Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 21, 2026, EST+37.5%+$25.34
Australian Open Men's: Carlos Alcaraz vs Yannick Hanfmannbacked Hanfmann · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)2c$70Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 21, 2026, EST-100%-$69.97
All 14 picks, newest first.
Other European Leagues Inactivelast resolved Mar 7, 2026, EST1346.2%6 W · 7 L+2.0wins+0.16per pick30cpaid+53.9%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
Other European Leagues — the 13 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Other European Leagues, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Dundee FC win on 2026-02-04?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)24c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 7, 2026, EST+321.9%+$47.04
Will Motherwell FC win on 2026-02-04?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$19Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 7, 2026, EST-100%-$19.02
Will Celtic FC win on 2026-02-04?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)69c$11Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 5, 2026, EST+44.8%+$5
Will Aberdeen FC vs. Celtic FC end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)17c$17Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 5, 2026, EST-100%-$17.48
Will FC Utrecht win on 2026-02-14?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)23c$11Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 14, 2026, EST+329.7%+$35.29
Will SC Heerenveen win on 2026-02-11?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$17Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 11, 2026, EST-100%-$17.28
Will Sporting CP win on 2026-02-09?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)28c$19Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 9, 2026, EST-100%-$18.84
Will AVS Futebol win on 2026-02-09?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)13c$18Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 9, 2026, EST-100%-$18.48
Will FC Alverca win on 2026-02-08?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)4c$27Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 8, 2026, EST-100%-$26.71
Will SC Braga win on 2026-02-08?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)19c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 8, 2026, EST-100%-$10.99
Will FC Arouca win on 2026-02-07?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)29c$12Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 7, 2026, EST+247.6%+$30.89
Will Gil Vicente FC win on 2026-02-07?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)42c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 7, 2026, EST+137.6%+$20.22
Will CF Estrela da Amadora win on 2026-02-07?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)24c$19Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 7, 2026, EST+319.7%+$60.56
All 13 picks, newest first.
Earnings Inactivelast resolved Mar 4, 2026, EST1338.5%5 W · 8 L+1.6wins+0.12per pick26cpaid+22.2%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
Earnings — the 13 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Earnings, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Bath & Body Works (BBWI) beat quarterly earnings?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)26c$16Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 4, 2026, EST-100%-$16.2
Will Autozone (AZO) beat quarterly earnings?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 3, 2026, EST-100%-$19.7
Will Ford Motor (F) beat quarterly earnings?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)21c$32Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 10, 2026, EST+369.6%+$118.31
Will Harley-Davidson (HOG) beat quarterly earnings?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)40c$23Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 10, 2026, EST+147.9%+$34.29
Will U-Haul (UHAL.B) beat quarterly earnings?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$24Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 4, 2026, EST+47.7%+$11.41
Will O'Reilly Automotive (ORLY) beat quarterly earnings?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)30c$16Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 4, 2026, EST+233.6%+$36.9
Will Arm Holdings (ARM) beat quarterly earnings?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)10c$51Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 4, 2026, EST-100%-$51.37
Will Alphabet (GOOGL) beat quarterly earnings?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)3c$54Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 4, 2026, EST-100%-$53.75
Will Qualcomm (QCOM) beat quarterly earnings?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)10c$24Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 4, 2026, EST-100%-$23.68
Will New York Times Company (NYT) beat quarterly earnings?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)6c$23Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 4, 2026, EST-100%-$23.19
Will Eli Lilly and Company (LLY) beat quarterly earnings?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)32c$14Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 4, 2026, EST-100%-$13.97
Will CME Group (CME) beat quarterly earnings?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)13c$21Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 4, 2026, EST-100%-$20.8
Will Uber Technologies (UBER) beat quarterly earnings?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)26c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 4, 2026, EST+289.4%+$42.66
All 13 picks, newest first.
AI Inactivelast resolved Mar 6, 2026, EST1338.5%5 W · 8 L+1.3wins+0.10per pick28cpaid-17.3%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
AI — the 13 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in AI, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will "Google" be said during the NYC Apple event on March 4?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)75c$22Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 6, 2026, EST+32.9%+$7.12
Will "Apple Intelligence" be said 5+ times during the NYC Apple event on March 4?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)75c$16Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 6, 2026, EST-100%-$15.58
Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on February 28?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)5c$1,355Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 3, 2026, EST-100%-$1,354.52
Will Apple be the second-largest company in the world by market cap on February 28?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)39c$199Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 3, 2026, EST+153.4%+$305.54
Will NVIDIA be the second-largest company in the world by market cap on February 28?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)6c$30Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 28, 2026, EST-100%-$29.79
Will NVIDIA be the third-largest company in the world by market cap on February 28?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)2c$16Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 28, 2026, EST-100%-$16.41
Will Alphabet be the third-largest company in the world by market cap on February 28?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)30c$179Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 28, 2026, EST+228.6%+$408.16
Will Microsoft be the third-largest company in the world by market cap on February 28?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)1c$18Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 28, 2026, EST-100%-$17.99
Will Alphabet be the second-largest company in the world by market cap on February 28?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)43c$148Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 28, 2026, EST+134.1%+$198.87
Will Alphabet be the largest company in the world by market cap on February 28?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)3c$209Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 28, 2026, EST-100%-$209.33
Will Apple be the largest company in the world by market cap on February 28?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)3c$203Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 28, 2026, EST-100%-$202.56
Will HotSchedules be #1 Paid App in the US Apple App Store on February 27?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)80c$27Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 27, 2026, EST+25.6%+$7
Will Grok 4.20 not be released by January 31, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)3c$23Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 1, 2026, EST-100%-$22.79
All 13 picks, newest first.
World Politics Inactivelast resolved May 23, 2026, EDT1315.4%2 W · 11 L-0.6wins-0.04per pick20cpaid-62%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
World Politics — the 13 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in World Politics, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Janice Boylan win the 2026 Dublin-central by-election?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)80c$43Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 23, 2026, EDT+25.1%+$10.79
Will Daniel Ennis win the 2026 Dublin-central by-election?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)30c$46Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 23, 2026, EDT-100%-$46.28
Will Tamilaga Vettri Kazhagam (TVK) win the most seats in the 2026 Tamil Nadu Legislative Assembly election?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$36Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 4, 2026, EDT-100%-$35.97
Will Phan Văn Giang be the next President of Vietnam?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)3c$746Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 7, 2026, EDT-100%-$746.23
Will Tô Lâm be the next President of Vietnam?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)9c$75Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 7, 2026, EDT-100%-$74.93
Will Trần Thanh Mẫn be the next President of Vietnam?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)3c$632Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 7, 2026, EDT-100%-$632.48
Will Trần Cẩm Tú be the next President of Vietnam?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)1c$124Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 7, 2026, EDT-100%-$123.51
Will turnout in the second round of the 2026 Portuguese presidential election be between 48% and 50%?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)22c$93Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 26, 2026, EST-100%-$92.79
Will turnout in the second round of the 2026 Portuguese presidential election be at least 56%?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)6c$18Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 26, 2026, EST-100%-$17.64
Will turnout in the second round of the 2026 Portuguese presidential election be between 54% and 56%?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)10c$43Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 26, 2026, EST-100%-$43
Will turnout in the second round of the 2026 Portuguese presidential election be less than 46%?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)8c$37Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 26, 2026, EST-100%-$36.59
Will turnout in the second round of the 2026 Portuguese presidential election be between 50% and 52%?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)27c$70Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 26, 2026, EST+269.5%+$189.21
Will turnout in the second round of the 2026 Portuguese presidential election be between 52% and 54%?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)10c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 26, 2026, EST-100%-$10.31
All 13 picks, newest first.
Crypto Milestones Inactivelast resolved Apr 1, 2026, EDT128.3%1 W · 11 L+0.4wins+0.04per pick5cpaid-31.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
Crypto Milestones — the 12 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Crypto Milestones, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will $MARU reach $800M in Q1?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)14c$13Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$12.61
Will Bitcoin reach $98,000 January 19-25?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)3c$32Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 26, 2026, EST-100%-$32.12
Will Ethereum reach $3,400 January 19-25?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)3c$12Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 26, 2026, EST-100%-$11.87
Will Bitcoin dip to $82,000 January 19-25?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)2c$14Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 26, 2026, EST-100%-$14.13
Will Ethereum dip to $2,700 January 19-25?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)4c$24Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 26, 2026, EST-100%-$23.52
Will Bitcoin dip to $80,000 January 19-25?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)2c$12Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 26, 2026, EST-100%-$12.48
Will Bitcoin dip to $84,000 January 19-25?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)3c$26Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 26, 2026, EST-100%-$25.7
Will Bitcoin dip to $86,000 January 19-25?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)7c$42Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 26, 2026, EST-100%-$42.46
Will XRP dip to $1.70 January 19-25?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)4c$16Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 26, 2026, EST-100%-$15.66
Will Bitcoin reach $106,000 January 19-25?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)1c$12Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 26, 2026, EST-100%-$11.66
Will Bitcoin reach $100,000 January 19-25?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)2c$28Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 26, 2026, EST-100%-$28.16
Will Solana dip to $120 January 19-25?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)12c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 25, 2026, EST+726.1%+$110.52
All 12 picks, newest first.
Middle East Inactivelast resolved Apr 21, 2026, EDT1241.7%5 W · 7 L-0.9wins-0.08per pick49cpaid-23.7%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
Middle East — the 12 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Middle East, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Iran x Israel/US conflict ends by April 30?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)32c$91Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 21, 2026, EDT-100%-$90.97
US x Iran ceasefire by April 15?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$89Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 7, 2026, EDT-100%-$89.12
US-Iran nuclear deal by March 31?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)75c$48Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 1, 2026, EDT+33.4%+$16.04
Will the Bank of Israel make no change to the Bank of Israel Interest Rate after the March decision?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$18Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 30, 2026, EDT-100%-$17.63
Will Israel strike Gaza on February 28, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$60Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 3, 2026, EST+46%+$27.62
Will Israel strike Greater Beirut by March 31, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)28c$17Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 1, 2026, EST+254.1%+$42.1
Will Israel strike Gaza on February 25, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)73c$69Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 28, 2026, EST+37.2%+$25.7
Will Israel strike Gaza on February 24, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)69c$88Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 27, 2026, EST+44.6%+$39.23
Will Israel strike Gaza on February 27, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$57Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 27, 2026, EST-100%-$57.44
Will Israel strike Gaza on February 26, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$34Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 26, 2026, EST-100%-$34.33
US strikes Iran by January 26, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)2c$54Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 27, 2026, EST-100%-$54.43
Will Trump say "Detroit Economic Club" this week? (January 25)backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)7c$18Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 26, 2026, EST-100%-$18.07
All 12 picks, newest first.
CS2 Inactivelast resolved Mar 15, 2026, EDT1050%5 W · 5 L-0.6wins-0.06per pick56cpaid-27.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
CS2 — the 10 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in CS2, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Natus Vincere win ESL Pro League Season 23?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)39c$12Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 15, 2026, EDT-100%-$11.77
Will Aurora Gaming win ESL Pro League Season 23?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)77c$10Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 15, 2026, EDT+29.1%+$2.94
Counter-Strike: Vitality vs TheMongolz - Map 2 Winnerbacked Vitality · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)77c$14Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 21, 2026, EST+29.3%+$3.98
Counter-Strike: Vitality vs TheMongolz (BO3) - PGL Cluj-Napoca Playoffsbacked Vitality · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)79c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 21, 2026, EST+26.4%+$3.88
Counter-Strike: Vitality vs TheMongolz - Map 1 Winnerbacked Vitality · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)69c$13Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 21, 2026, EST+45.5%+$5.85
Counter-Strike: BetBoom Team vs 100 Thieves (BO3) - Roman Imperium Cup Playoffsbacked BetBoom Team · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$19Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 21, 2026, EST+96.8%+$18.09
Counter-Strike: PARIVISION vs MOUZ - Map 2 Winnerbacked MOUZ · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 21, 2026, EST-100%-$14.92
Counter-Strike: PARIVISION vs MOUZ (BO3) - PGL Cluj-Napoca Playoffsbacked MOUZ · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 21, 2026, EST-100%-$11.14
Counter-Strike: PARIVISION vs MOUZ - Map 1 Winnerbacked MOUZ · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 21, 2026, EST-100%-$10.39
Will Valve add Cache to the Map Pool by end of January?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)3c$16Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 1, 2026, EST-100%-$15.76
All 10 picks, newest first.
MLB Inactivelast resolved Mar 18, 2026, EDT812.5%1 W · 7 L0.0wins0.00per pick13cpaid+374.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
MLB — the 8 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in MLB, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Us Midtermslast resolved Aug 12, 2026, EDT812.5%1 W · 7 L-1.9wins-0.24per pick36cpaid-84.2%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
Us Midterms — the 8 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Us Midterms, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Francesca Hong win the 2026 Wisconsin Governor Democratic primary election?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)79c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 12, 2026, EDT+26.3%+$3.84
Will Jerri Green win the 2026 Tennessee Governor Democratic primary election?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)39c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 6, 2026, EDT-100%-$11.37
Will John Braun advance to the general election for WA-03?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)15c$16Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 5, 2026, EDT-100%-$15.53
Will Barry Moore be the Republican nominee for Senate in Alabama?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)27c$26Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 17, 2026, EDT-100%-$25.95
Will Eric Swalwell advance from the 2026 California Governor primary election?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)25c$112Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 10, 2026, EDT-100%-$112.47
Will Josh Williams be the Republican nominee for OH-09?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)7c$31Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 6, 2026, EDT-100%-$31.32
Will Derek Merrin be the Republican nominee for OH-09?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$13Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 6, 2026, EDT-100%-$12.82
Will Madison Sheahan be the Republican nominee for OH-09?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$17Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 6, 2026, EDT-100%-$17.1
All 8 picks, newest first.
Movies Inactivelast resolved Jun 18, 2026, EDT742.9%3 W · 4 L+0.5wins+0.07per pick36cpaid-20.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
Movies — the 7 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Movies, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Lol Inactivelast resolved Mar 1, 2026, EST742.9%3 W · 4 L-0.3wins-0.05per pick47cpaid-27.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Lol — the 7 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Lol, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Ncaa Basketball Inactivelast resolved Apr 3, 2026, EDT616.7%1 W · 5 L-0.3wins-0.05per pick22cpaid-73.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Ncaa Basketball — the 6 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Ncaa Basketball, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Us Politics Inactivelast resolved Apr 1, 2026, EDT520%1 W · 4 L+0.2wins+0.05per pick15cpaid-61.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
Us Politics — the 5 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Us Politics, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Dota2 Inactivelast resolved Feb 21, 2026, EST560%3 W · 2 L-0.1wins-0.01per pick61cpaid-11%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
Dota2 — the 5 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Dota2, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Stocks Inactivelast resolved Feb 28, 2026, EST475%3 W · 1 L+1.2wins+0.29per pick46cpaid+37.6%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
Stocks — the 4 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Stocks, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

South American Leagues Inactivelast resolved Feb 19, 2026, EST475%3 W · 1 L+0.8wins+0.19per pick56cpaid+36.4%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
South American Leagues — the 4 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in South American Leagues, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Token Launches Inactivelast resolved Apr 30, 2026, EDT425%1 W · 3 L+0.1wins+0.02per pick23cpaid-28.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
Token Launches — the 4 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Token Launches, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

NHL Inactivelast resolved Feb 5, 2026, EST30%0 W · 3 L-0.5wins-0.17per pick17cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
NHL — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NHL, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Macro Indicators Inactivelast resolved Apr 16, 2026, EDT2100%2 W · 0 L+1.4wins+0.70per pick30cpaid+302.3%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
Macro Indicators — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Macro Indicators, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Asian League Inactivelast resolved Feb 3, 2026, EST250%1 W · 1 L+0.5wins+0.25per pick25cpaid+7.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
Asian League — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Asian League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Fifa International Inactivelast resolved Nov 18, 2025, EST20%0 W · 2 L0.0wins-0.02per pick2cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
Fifa International — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Fifa International, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Belgium win on 2025-11-18?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)2c$35Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 18, 2025, EST-100%-$34.57
Will Norway win on 2025-11-13?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)3c$26Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 13, 2025, EST-100%-$26.49
All 2 picks, newest first.
China Taiwan Inactivelast resolved Mar 31, 2026, EDT250%1 W · 1 L-0.2wins-0.12per pick62cpaid-15.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
China Taiwan — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in China Taiwan, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Serie A Inactivelast resolved Feb 3, 2026, EST1100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.54per pick46cpaid+118.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
Serie A — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Serie A, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Bologna FC 1909 vs. AC Milan: Both Teams to Scorebacked No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$11Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 3, 2026, EST+118.4%+$13.34
All 1 picks, newest first.
Venezuela Inactivelast resolved Apr 1, 2026, EDT1100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.46per pick54cpaid+84.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
Venezuela — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Venezuela, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Trump meet with Delcy Rodríguez by March 31?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$14Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 1, 2026, EDT+84.7%+$12.04
All 1 picks, newest first.
Bundesliga Inactivelast resolved Feb 27, 2026, EST1100%1 W · 0 L+0.4wins+0.40per pick60cpaid+68%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
Bundesliga — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Bundesliga, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will SV Darmstadt 98 win on 2026-02-27?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$14Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 27, 2026, EST+68%+$9.74
All 1 picks, newest first.
Fed Rates Inactivelast resolved Mar 1, 2026, EST10%0 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.04per pick4cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
Fed Rates — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Fed Rates, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
March Fed Derivative: "25bps cut" flips "Pause" by Feb 28?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)4c$17Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 1, 2026, EST-100%-$17.44
All 1 picks, newest first.
Music Inactivelast resolved Feb 15, 2026, EST10%0 W · 1 L-0.2wins-0.17per pick17cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Music — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Music, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Akylas win Sing for Greece 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)17c$82Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 15, 2026, EST-100%-$82.43
All 1 picks, newest first.
NFL Inactivelast resolved Feb 9, 2026, EST10%0 W · 1 L-0.3wins-0.25per pick25cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
NFL — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NFL, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Verizon/Visible run an Ad during Super Bowl LX?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)25c$46Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 9, 2026, EST-100%-$45.62
All 1 picks, newest first.
La Liga Inactivelast resolved Feb 4, 2026, EST10%0 W · 1 L-0.3wins-0.28per pick28cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
La Liga — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in La Liga, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Deportivo Alavés vs. Real Sociedad de Fútbol end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)28c$17Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 4, 2026, EST-100%-$17.26
All 1 picks, newest first.

vs expected is how many more (or fewer) Picks this wallet won than the prices it paid implied it would. It is the column that tells a real edge apart from a record bought by backing favourites. Realizable edge is what that comes to per Pick for somebody copying the wallet, after the cost of getting in behind it. Avg entry is the average price it paid, so a strong record built on heavy favourites shows as one. ROI per pick counts every Pick equally rather than by size, which is how a record earned across many Picks is told apart from one carried by a few large ones. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in — an American night game settles after midnight UTC, so any other zone would name the day after the one it was played on. Inactive means nothing has resolved in that Category recently. The score is kept and the wallet stays reachable here; it only leaves the default leaderboard.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.