Dota2 · resolved market
Dota 2: Aurora vs PARIVISION (BO3) - DreamLeague Stage 2
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xe6ee8b9b7c0516f5373b212a7e58e4aa04a2cf86a85e7584eb06c3b71089e1b2
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Auroraof Aurora, PARIVISION
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Dota2every record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $107,061
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $121,797
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $107,061 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 173 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Dota2 is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Dota2 | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x6304…e570backed Aurora | 52c | 8,958$4,622 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,336.62 | 276 | 45.3%125 W · 151 L | -8.2wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -10.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x216f…03bbbacked Aurora | 52c | 8,643$4,500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,142.58 | 46 | 52.2%24 W · 22 L | +2.1wins | +0.05per pick | 48cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6e3e…e3ebbacked Aurora | 68c | 8,600$5,872 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,728 | 120 | 61.7%74 W · 46 L | -1.8wins | -0.01per pick | 63cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcccc…dbddbacked PARIVISION | 49c | 7,797$3,844 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,844.21 | 199 | 43.2%86 W · 113 L | -3.2wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbd09…a188backed Aurora | 50c | 7,793$3,925 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,868.77 | 184 | 52.2%96 W · 88 L | +8.2wins | +0.04per pick | 48cpaid | +13.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5d58…9a15backed PARIVISION | 44c | 7,361$3,217 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,217 | 148 | 40.5%60 W · 88 L | -4.0wins | -0.03per pick | 43cpaid | -10.4%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdcfe…44b5backed PARIVISION | 48c | 7,118$3,420 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,419.54 | 328 | 54.9%180 W · 148 L | +11.8wins | +0.04per pick | 51cpaid | +2.4%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x40f8…327dbacked Aurora | 51c | 5,000$2,530 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,469.99 | 118 | 39.8%47 W · 71 L | -7.5wins | -0.06per pick | 46cpaid | -13.4%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xb84a…055dbacked PARIVISION | 49c | 4,378$2,145 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,145.22 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.04per pick | 54cpaid | -16.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb077…8fe8backed PARIVISION | 52c | 3,637$1,882 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,882.29 | 191 | 48.7%93 W · 98 L | -5.6wins | -0.03per pick | 52cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd1ed…d7cbbacked PARIVISION | 25c | 3,353$852 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$851.55 | 141 | 21.3%30 W · 111 L | -10.5wins | -0.07per pick | 29cpaid | -60.2%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x12c0…692bbacked Aurora | 51c | 3,000$1,530 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,470 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked Aurora | 65c | 2,913$1,890 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,022.91 | 2,012 | 44.2%889 W · 1,123 L | +36.6wins | +0.02per pick | 42cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5aa9…febebacked PARIVISION | 31c | 2,704$831 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$831.19 | 301 | 38.9%117 W · 184 L | -20.3wins | -0.07per pick | 46cpaid | -32.3%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x9adf…55e8backed Aurora | 48c | 2,359$1,131 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,227.2 | 191 | 47.6%91 W · 100 L | -1.7wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd696…8a49backed PARIVISION | 48c | 2,072$995 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$994.62 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | -1.3wins | -0.22per pick | 56cpaid | -41.9%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x18f3…0c20backed PARIVISION | 49c | 2,067$1,023 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,022.54 | 64 | 45.3%29 W · 35 L | -2.2wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8f99…f4d5backed PARIVISION | 49c | 2,041$1,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,000 | 15 | 33.3%5 W · 10 L | -3.6wins | -0.24per pick | 57cpaid | -51%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x1ab6…078ebacked PARIVISION | 50c | 2,000$1,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,000 | 119 | 55.5%66 W · 53 L | +10.3wins | +0.09per pick | 47cpaid | +20.2%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x93bc…8ca3backed Aurora | 48c | 2,000$970 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,030 | 894 | 40.3%360 W · 534 L | +1.3wins | 0.00per pick | 40cpaid | -2.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xfcf2…a469backed Aurora | 63c | 1,716$1,081 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$635.02 | 134 | 55.2%74 W · 60 L | +7.4wins | +0.06per pick | 50cpaid | +2.7%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x6e12…20e9backed PARIVISION | 48c | 1,696$814 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$814 | 42 | 45.2%19 W · 23 L | -0.4wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -10.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2652…2a1dbacked PARIVISION | 22c | 1,515$333 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$333.15 | 869 | 49%426 W · 443 L | -3.5wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -15%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9e04…28a9backed PARIVISION | 47c | 1,390$653 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$653.23 | 176 | 51.1%90 W · 86 L | +10.7wins | +0.06per pick | 45cpaid | +12.4%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xec98…afcdbacked PARIVISION | 30c | 1,242$378 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$377.59 | 1,821 | 45%820 W · 1,001 L | +33.5wins | +0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -10.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcb5b…f243backed Aurora | 63c | 1,232$778 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$453.8 | 1,272 | 45%572 W · 700 L | -40.5wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -17.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xccf5…42f2backed Aurora | 51c | 1,217$619 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$597.45 | 574 | 55.4%318 W · 256 L | +6.5wins | +0.01per pick | 54cpaid | +1.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4da1…e6dfbacked PARIVISION | 51c | 1,168$590 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$590.18 | 67 | 35.8%24 W · 43 L | -5.6wins | -0.08per pick | 44cpaid | -28.1%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x5028…91c5backed PARIVISION | 43c | 1,166$505 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$504.83 | 94 | 44.7%42 W · 52 L | +2.1wins | +0.02per pick | 42cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb9b4…75a0backed PARIVISION | 49c | 1,112$544 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$543.51 | 27 | 55.6%15 W · 12 L | +1.4wins | +0.05per pick | 50cpaid | +7.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa474…32cbbacked PARIVISION | 29c | 1,034$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$300 | 538 | 44.4%239 W · 299 L | -4.3wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -2.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4946…89d0backed Aurora | 50c | 1,000$503 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$497.03 | 49 | 67.3%33 W · 16 L | +4.7wins | +0.10per pick | 58cpaid | +9.4%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xcc81…5df2backed Aurora | 51c | 1,000$510 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$490 | 95 | 57.9%55 W · 40 L | +1.4wins | +0.01per pick | 56cpaid | +2.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x40ce…bf90backed PARIVISION | 48c | 1,000$480 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$480 | 185 | 50.8%94 W · 91 L | +5.8wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +7.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2698…0958backed Aurora | 52c | 999.99$520 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$480 | 134 | 41.8%56 W · 78 L | -6.9wins | -0.05per pick | 47cpaid | -17.4%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0659…d74dbacked Aurora | 71c | 999.99$710 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$290 | 858 | 51.3%440 W · 418 L | +30.8wins | +0.04per pick | 48cpaid | +7.1%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1430…a753backed PARIVISION | 49c | 979$480 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$479.71 | 58 | 50%29 W · 29 L | -4.8wins | -0.08per pick | 58cpaid | -12.8%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x249f…fed3backed Aurora | 61c | 897.89$545 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$352.92 | 626 | 50.5%316 W · 310 L | -3.3wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6b3a…2841backed PARIVISION | 48c | 893.75$429 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$429 | 34 | 50%17 W · 17 L | -0.5wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xde04…fa37backed PARIVISION | 27c | 879$241 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$241.22 | 192 | 42.7%82 W · 110 L | +1.2wins | +0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -20%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8052…1124backed PARIVISION | 51c | 805.75$411 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$410.93 | 171 | 46.8%80 W · 91 L | -3.3wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1a12…d212backed Aurora | 49c | 732.65$359 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$373.65 | 89 | 57.3%51 W · 38 L | +1.0wins | +0.01per pick | 56cpaid | +2.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5b20…99e9backed PARIVISION | 50c | 700.04$350 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$350 | 40 | 55%22 W · 18 L | +3.1wins | +0.08per pick | 47cpaid | +15.3%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xd37a…2358backed Aurora | 50c | 682.75$343 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$339.91 | 229 | 45.9%105 W · 124 L | -6.0wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -8.9%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9d94…017dbacked Aurora | 66c | 637$422 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$214.72 | 1,521 | 37.9%576 W · 945 L | -57.8wins | -0.04per pick | 42cpaid | -26.5%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x86e0…c394backed PARIVISION | 49c | 635.69$311 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$311.33 | 807 | 42.6%344 W · 463 L | -4.3wins | -0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0a7c…8964backed PARIVISION | 40c | 631.22$250 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$249.52 | 410 | 50.2%206 W · 204 L | -3.5wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3a97…66f5backed PARIVISION | 51c | 588.24$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$300 | 99 | 59.6%59 W · 40 L | +6.7wins | +0.07per pick | 53cpaid | +12.2%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xccec…1dfcbacked PARIVISION | 49c | 551.02$270 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$270 | 84 | 47.6%40 W · 44 L | +0.7wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x51a8…0e31backed Aurora | 75c | 533.55$400 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$133.55 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.02per pick | 69cpaid | -12.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x084b…3de6backed Aurora | 67c | 530.48$358 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$172.6 | 107 | 41.1%44 W · 63 L | -2.1wins | -0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -18.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf679…16acbacked Aurora | 48c | 499.99$240 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$260 | 229 | 54.1%124 W · 105 L | +8.2wins | +0.04per pick | 51cpaid | +7.8%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xbd1e…ff14backed Aurora | 48c | 484.8$233 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$252.1 | 112 | 53.6%60 W · 52 L | -1.9wins | -0.02per pick | 55cpaid | +2%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1f4f…46c2backed PARIVISION | 41c | 474.43$193 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$193.22 | 360 | 54.4%196 W · 164 L | +12.1wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x07fa…f5cdbacked PARIVISION | 50c | 400$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 462 | 40.7%188 W · 274 L | +15.4wins | +0.03per pick | 37cpaid | +9.9%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xbb87…4611backed PARIVISION | 51c | 392.16$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 67 | 59.7%40 W · 27 L | +0.9wins | +0.01per pick | 58cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x13c7…11d9backed PARIVISION | 49c | 379.96$186 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$186.18 | 335 | 41.2%138 W · 197 L | -5.9wins | -0.02per pick | 43cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xca67…c864backed PARIVISION | 50c | 377.58$189 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$188.79 | 62 | 40.3%25 W · 37 L | +4.0wins | +0.06per pick | 34cpaid | +33.3%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xe911…3d4ebacked PARIVISION | 26c | 334$87 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$87.33 | 793 | 41.7%331 W · 462 L | -13.3wins | -0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -16.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1733…1e15backed PARIVISION | 49c | 332.26$163 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$162.81 | 55 | 65.5%36 W · 19 L | +4.4wins | +0.08per pick | 58cpaid | +18.6%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x6ac5…4b6ebacked Aurora | 51c | 328.87$166 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$162.55 | 605 | 42.6%258 W · 347 L | -14.6wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -7.9%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x736d…c635backed Aurora | 51c | 317.3$161 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$155.82 | 971 | 42.7%415 W · 556 L | -20.4wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -9.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfaf1…795fbacked Aurora | 49c | 301$147 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$153.51 | 73 | 57.5%42 W · 31 L | +0.6wins | +0.01per pick | 57cpaid | +5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8031…67e0backed Aurora | 48c | 300$144 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$156 | 737 | 43.6%321 W · 416 L | -10.8wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5554…98f9backed PARIVISION | 51c | 296.69$150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$150 | 60 | 66.7%40 W · 20 L | +3.6wins | +0.06per pick | 61cpaid | +6.1%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9767…b5c4backed PARIVISION | 51c | 292.08$149 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$148.96 | 159 | 46.5%74 W · 85 L | +0.7wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -2.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe99e…0084backed Aurora | 49c | 287.68$141 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$146.72 | 876 | 45.7%400 W · 476 L | -4.7wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -3.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9634…bd44backed Aurora | 53c | 286.87$151 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$136.03 | 13 | 46.2%6 W · 7 L | +1.2wins | +0.09per pick | 37cpaid | +15.9%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xce1f…7392backed Aurora | 50c | 286.32$143 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$143.16 | 678 | 53.5%363 W · 315 L | +9.3wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x75f3…0e78backed Aurora | 51c | 272.55$139 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$133.55 | 412 | 48.8%201 W · 211 L | +6.2wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -2.6%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x51db…f9b3backed PARIVISION | 31c | 247.14$77 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$76.57 | 2,828 | 43.6%1,234 W · 1,594 L | -39.5wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -20.9%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xff34…694bbacked Aurora | 67c | 230.69$155 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$75.48 | 772 | 56.5%436 W · 336 L | +30.3wins | +0.04per pick | 53cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb80d…0ac1backed PARIVISION | 50c | 230$115 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$115 | 69 | 36.2%25 W · 44 L | -1.0wins | -0.01per pick | 38cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd5a1…0544backed PARIVISION | 50c | 226.99$113 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$113.5 | 52 | 44.2%23 W · 29 L | -1.8wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -12.3%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x16ea…6df7backed PARIVISION | 37c | 215.55$80 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$79.57 | 127 | 20.5%26 W · 101 L | -22.6wins | -0.18per pick | 38cpaid | -62.9%equal weight | 34-0.15 edge/pick |
| 0x7140…47e3backed PARIVISION | 49c | 214.16$106 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$106 | 19 | 52.6%10 W · 9 L | +0.4wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +11.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8349…c99dbacked PARIVISION | 48c | 208.33$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 13 | 53.8%7 W · 6 L | -0.9wins | -0.07per pick | 60cpaid | -18.1%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7646…b2a1backed PARIVISION | 29c | 207.24$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60 | 20 | 35%7 W · 13 L | -1.3wins | -0.07per pick | 42cpaid | -14.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfadf…dda0backed PARIVISION | 50c | 207.14$104 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$104.14 | 292 | 45.9%134 W · 158 L | -4.3wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x29d3…b2edbacked Aurora | 51c | 200$102 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$98 | 142 | 59.9%85 W · 57 L | +7.2wins | +0.05per pick | 55cpaid | +7.4%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe463…f7b2backed Aurora | 52c | 200$104 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$96 | 208 | 38.9%81 W · 127 L | -1.7wins | -0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -5.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa76e…dcb6backed Aurora | 51c | 199.99$102 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$98 | 341 | 54.5%186 W · 155 L | +15.8wins | +0.05per pick | 50cpaid | +12.3%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8b55…d74bbacked PARIVISION | 49c | 199.98$98 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$97.99 | 210 | 45.7%96 W · 114 L | +4.0wins | +0.02per pick | 44cpaid | +12.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd4e3…d5f4backed Aurora | 51c | 196.08$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$96.08 | 166 | 41.6%69 W · 97 L | -7.3wins | -0.04per pick | 46cpaid | -12%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x33a8…2a71backed Aurora | 51c | 196.08$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$96.08 | 43 | 55.8%24 W · 19 L | -1.9wins | -0.04per pick | 60cpaid | -7.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0b05…b133backed Aurora | 51c | 196.08$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$96.08 | 112 | 54.5%61 W · 51 L | +4.0wins | +0.04per pick | 51cpaid | +3.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf32d…bbbbbacked PARIVISION | 50c | 191$96 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$95.5 | 610 | 57.9%353 W · 257 L | +2.8wins | 0.00per pick | 57cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe341…354dbacked Aurora | 51c | 187.22$95 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$91.74 | 37 | 64.9%24 W · 13 L | +5.8wins | +0.16per pick | 49cpaid | +33%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x1709…c148backed Aurora | 48c | 182.68$88 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$94.99 | 483 | 52.4%253 W · 230 L | -2.2wins | 0.00per pick | 53cpaid | -5.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd218…b5c9backed PARIVISION | 21c | 179.31$38 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38.24 | 378 | 32.5%123 W · 255 L | -12.7wins | -0.03per pick | 36cpaid | -35.8%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xac98…7281backed PARIVISION | 28c | 178.57$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 25 | 32%8 W · 17 L | -0.8wins | -0.03per pick | 35cpaid | +4.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xaea0…0decbacked PARIVISION | 40c | 175$69 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$69.44 | 55 | 49.1%27 W · 28 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -7.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xbf69…4fa2backed PARIVISION | 45c | 165$74 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$73.65 | 536 | 34%182 W · 354 L | +11.4wins | +0.02per pick | 32cpaid | +4.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1aaa…0c04backed PARIVISION | 48c | 157.5$76 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$76 | 203 | 50.7%103 W · 100 L | -3.8wins | -0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -4.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5b30…5bf9backed Aurora | 52c | 155.14$80 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$75.14 | 66 | 66.7%44 W · 22 L | +6.1wins | +0.09per pick | 57cpaid | +15.7%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x636a…18fdbacked Aurora | 73c | 154.99$113 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$41.85 | 16 | 68.8%11 W · 5 L | +3.6wins | +0.22per pick | 46cpaid | +52%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x2ecb…7645backed PARIVISION | 24c | 153.76$37 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$37.48 | 138 | 27.5%38 W · 100 L | -15.0wins | -0.11per pick | 38cpaid | -50.7%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xc69e…e918backed PARIVISION | 50c | 153.14$77 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$76.57 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.50per pick | 50cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8725…eb10backed PARIVISION | 31c | 151.99$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$47.8 | 779 | 41.1%320 W · 459 L | -7.9wins | -0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -4.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6bdd…1b11backed PARIVISION | 49c | 151.16$74 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$74.07 | 56 | 48.2%27 W · 29 L | +2.2wins | +0.04per pick | 44cpaid | +10.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Dota2 and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 4 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Dota 2: Aurora vs PARIVISION (BO3) - DreamLeague Stage 2this page
- Dota 2: Aurora vs PARIVISION - Game 1 WinnerAurora won
- Dota 2: Aurora vs PARIVISION - Game 2 WinnerAurora won
- Game Handicap: AUR (-1.5) vs PARIVISION (+1.5)Aurora won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.