Dota2 · resolved market
Dota 2: Aurora vs PARIVISION - Game 2 Winner
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x5d8d0b6c77a22a943f26b2a1c014234ba0783cf03e546da810dd1cd532635383
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Auroraof Aurora, PARIVISION
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Dota2every record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $227,536
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $277,242
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $227,536 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 123 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Dota2 is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Dota2 | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xf9b5…09eebacked Aurora | 52c | 46,473$24,021 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22,452.53 | 551 | 57%314 W · 237 L | +17.4wins | +0.03per pick | 54cpaid | +3.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked PARIVISION | 36c | 15,638$5,589 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,589.09 | 2,012 | 44.2%889 W · 1,123 L | +36.6wins | +0.02per pick | 42cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x87da…53d1backed Aurora | 44c | 9,174$4,028 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,146.59 | 965 | 57.4%554 W · 411 L | +49.5wins | +0.05per pick | 52cpaid | +7.1%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x084b…3de6backed PARIVISION | 40c | 8,364$3,320 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,320.5 | 107 | 41.1%44 W · 63 L | -2.1wins | -0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -18.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x500f…94bfbacked PARIVISION | 55c | 8,056$4,469 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,468.69 | 135 | 58.5%79 W · 56 L | +4.3wins | +0.03per pick | 55cpaid | +4.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5d34…7c8cbacked PARIVISION | 40c | 8,000$3,200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,200 | 145 | 15.2%22 W · 123 L | -16.5wins | -0.11per pick | 27cpaid | -50.6%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0xec98…afcdbacked PARIVISION | 44c | 7,501$3,323 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,323.34 | 1,821 | 45%820 W · 1,001 L | +33.5wins | +0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -10.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdb63…a71dbacked Aurora | 47c | 4,255$2,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,255.31 | 201 | 59.7%120 W · 81 L | +9.9wins | +0.05per pick | 55cpaid | +7.7%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xfbc2…514cbacked PARIVISION | 19c | 4,133$800 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$800 | 338 | 45.6%154 W · 184 L | +6.4wins | +0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -5.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6b91…06c4backed PARIVISION | 59c | 4,069$2,399 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,398.97 | 28 | 28.6%8 W · 20 L | -4.3wins | -0.15per pick | 44cpaid | -44.9%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xd06c…cdafbacked PARIVISION | 36c | 3,752$1,350 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,349.6 | 1,186 | 43.2%512 W · 674 L | +42.2wins | +0.04per pick | 40cpaid | +1.9%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x30db…07c3backed Aurora | 48c | 3,702$1,792 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,909.93 | 544 | 45.8%249 W · 295 L | -10.5wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -7.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9d94…017dbacked Aurora | 43c | 3,017$1,296 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,721.14 | 1,521 | 37.9%576 W · 945 L | -57.8wins | -0.04per pick | 42cpaid | -26.5%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd161…4cc1backed PARIVISION | 48c | 2,600$1,253 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,252.62 | 804 | 43.9%353 W · 451 L | -1.7wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | -11%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6998…ae95backed Aurora | 46c | 2,049$937 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,112.18 | 168 | 21.4%36 W · 132 L | +0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 21cpaid | -20.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa27c…ab67backed PARIVISION | 66c | 2,000$1,320 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,320 | 799 | 59.4%475 W · 324 L | +4.1wins | +0.01per pick | 59cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x66fb…9f72backed PARIVISION | 53c | 1,887$1,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,000 | 545 | 56.5%308 W · 237 L | +10.4wins | +0.02per pick | 55cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6fbb…39dabacked PARIVISION | 17c | 1,710$284 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$283.53 | 43 | 46.5%20 W · 23 L | +1.0wins | +0.02per pick | 44cpaid | +1.9%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8a38…fee0backed PARIVISION | 56c | 1,100$616 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$616 | 603 | 49.9%301 W · 302 L | -3.1wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -4.4%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xbc67…5286backed PARIVISION | 38c | 1,090$410 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$410.07 | 666 | 62.2%414 W · 252 L | +60.2wins | +0.09per pick | 53cpaid | +10.8%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x2765…7ee4backed PARIVISION | 51c | 1,000$510 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$510 | 557 | 51.7%288 W · 269 L | +16.7wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +4.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf679…16acbacked Aurora | 47c | 999.98$470 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$529.99 | 229 | 54.1%124 W · 105 L | +8.2wins | +0.04per pick | 51cpaid | +7.8%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7272…1b61backed PARIVISION | 3c | 998.2$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.89 | 12 | 16.7%2 W · 10 L | -2.6wins | -0.22per pick | 39cpaid | -75.1%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xa474…32cbbacked PARIVISION | 52c | 941.62$490 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$490 | 538 | 44.4%239 W · 299 L | -4.3wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -2.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf3be…f543backed PARIVISION | 65c | 921.96$600 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$600 | 254 | 57.9%147 W · 107 L | +4.7wins | +0.02per pick | 56cpaid | +6.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0c67…d062backed Aurora | 36c | 841.02$300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$541.02 | 1,137 | 42.3%481 W · 656 L | -27.5wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -9.6%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcf0a…320abacked PARIVISION | 24c | 645$154 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$154.08 | 920 | 56.4%519 W · 401 L | +78.3wins | +0.09per pick | 48cpaid | +3.1%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x7032…0a8bbacked Aurora | 48c | 625$300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$325 | 552 | 51.6%285 W · 267 L | +10.3wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +3.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfcf2…a469backed PARIVISION | 57c | 611.35$349 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$348.88 | 134 | 55.2%74 W · 60 L | +7.4wins | +0.06per pick | 50cpaid | +2.7%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x368d…d853backed PARIVISION | 46c | 601.54$277 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$277.02 | 615 | 48.8%300 W · 315 L | +8.2wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe4a1…7774backed PARIVISION | 52c | 580.77$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$300 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | -1.3wins | -0.25per pick | 45cpaid | -58.3%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x913c…39b3backed PARIVISION | 52c | 577.99$301 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$300.55 | 714 | 54.5%389 W · 325 L | +55.6wins | +0.08per pick | 47cpaid | +7.9%equal weight | 58+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x0659…d74dbacked PARIVISION | 51c | 576.99$295 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$295.37 | 858 | 51.3%440 W · 418 L | +30.8wins | +0.04per pick | 48cpaid | +7.1%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xcb5b…f243backed PARIVISION | 55c | 564.69$309 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$309.36 | 1,272 | 45%572 W · 700 L | -40.5wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -17.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc651…15d3backed PARIVISION | 51c | 490.2$250 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$250 | 71 | 47.9%34 W · 37 L | +1.7wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xaacf…5f84backed PARIVISION | 65c | 468.99$304 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$303.78 | 592 | 50.5%299 W · 293 L | -20.7wins | -0.03per pick | 54cpaid | -10%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x033e…1bb9backed PARIVISION | 51c | 463.01$237 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$237.27 | 568 | 48.8%277 W · 291 L | -1.1wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa97f…a818backed PARIVISION | 52c | 452.74$235 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$235.42 | 587 | 44%258 W · 329 L | +13.3wins | +0.02per pick | 42cpaid | +5.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xed10…15edbacked PARIVISION | 53c | 430$228 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$227.9 | 881 | 66.7%588 W · 293 L | +76.3wins | +0.09per pick | 58cpaid | +12.5%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x13e4…8eadbacked Aurora | 47c | 426.09$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$225.83 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.2wins | -0.07per pick | 40cpaid | -29.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x077c…98abbacked PARIVISION | 7c | 400$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28 | 155 | 46.5%72 W · 83 L | -2.7wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -8.1%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x02a4…6854backed Aurora | 33c | 395.96$129 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$267.05 | 1,797 | 55.8%1,003 W · 794 L | +37.5wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3260…85ddbacked Aurora | 36c | 379.19$136 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$242.95 | 64 | 54.7%35 W · 29 L | +7.9wins | +0.12per pick | 42cpaid | +16.9%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x1318…0af2backed Aurora | 30c | 333$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$233.1 | 176 | 33.5%59 W · 117 L | +6.6wins | +0.04per pick | 30cpaid | +5.3%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6996…cf9abacked Aurora | 9c | 310$27 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$283.13 | 40 | 27.5%11 W · 29 L | +1.6wins | +0.04per pick | 23cpaid | -5.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9942…5c84backed Aurora | 49c | 307.18$150 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$157.18 | 264 | 53%140 W · 124 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 53cpaid | -2.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x00a1…5062backed PARIVISION | 66c | 303.03$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 213 | 46.5%99 W · 114 L | -8.1wins | -0.04per pick | 50cpaid | -10.4%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4c52…e75fbacked Aurora | 45c | 302$136 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$165.84 | 137 | 32.8%45 W · 92 L | +8.0wins | +0.06per pick | 27cpaid | -15.8%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x755a…6da6backed PARIVISION | 18c | 277.78$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 184 | 44.6%82 W · 102 L | +12.2wins | +0.07per pick | 38cpaid | +25.6%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x83a0…12cabacked Aurora | 49c | 267.53$132 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$135.49 | 47 | 57.4%27 W · 20 L | -0.7wins | -0.02per pick | 59cpaid | +4.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8fc2…64d1backed PARIVISION | 20c | 250$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 110 | 43.6%48 W · 62 L | +3.5wins | +0.03per pick | 40cpaid | +14.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3763…345fbacked Aurora | 14c | 246$35 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$211.29 | 421 | 45.4%191 W · 230 L | -11.3wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -6.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2f1f…aa39backed Aurora | 56c | 240$135 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$105.27 | 450 | 61.6%277 W · 173 L | +9.2wins | +0.02per pick | 60cpaid | -0.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbe5a…13f5backed PARIVISION | 57c | 210$120 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$119.7 | 450 | 46.7%210 W · 240 L | -11.2wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1cff…3984backed PARIVISION | 24c | 208.33$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 41 | 48.8%20 W · 21 L | +1.2wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | +2.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xac93…0cfcbacked Aurora | 48c | 208.33$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$108.33 | 581 | 52.5%305 W · 276 L | -10.5wins | -0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -6.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4b84…48e3backed Aurora | 12c | 201.57$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$177.38 | 30 | 50%15 W · 15 L | +0.8wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | +22.7%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x58c9…e194backed PARIVISION | 58c | 197.59$115 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$115.15 | 40 | 35%14 W · 26 L | -3.7wins | -0.09per pick | 44cpaid | -28.9%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x78db…4d37backed PARIVISION | 56c | 154.43$86 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$86.48 | 69 | 44.9%31 W · 38 L | -2.2wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -13.9%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3f03…7551backed PARIVISION | 69c | 148.81$103 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$103.37 | 25 | 60%15 W · 10 L | +0.9wins | +0.04per pick | 56cpaid | +8.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x899e…0863backed Aurora | 69c | 145.16$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$45.16 | 264 | 54.5%144 W · 120 L | +2.8wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb97e…262bbacked Aurora | 38c | 141.67$53 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$88.5 | 526 | 49.2%259 W · 267 L | +21.1wins | +0.04per pick | 45cpaid | +1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x055a…d83bbacked PARIVISION | 53c | 139.99$74 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$74.2 | 39 | 51.3%20 W · 19 L | +1.0wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +3.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9634…bd44backed PARIVISION | 66c | 122.9$81 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$81.11 | 13 | 46.2%6 W · 7 L | +1.2wins | +0.09per pick | 37cpaid | +15.9%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe497…5403backed Aurora | 59c | 121.11$72 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$49.28 | 22 | 54.5%12 W · 10 L | -0.8wins | -0.03per pick | 58cpaid | -9.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1709…c148backed PARIVISION | 19c | 118.57$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.73 | 483 | 52.4%253 W · 230 L | -2.2wins | 0.00per pick | 53cpaid | -5.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4d44…49e6backed Aurora | 45c | 111.11$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$61.11 | 721 | 54%389 W · 332 L | -8.8wins | -0.01per pick | 55cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x25c9…6b8bbacked Aurora | 19c | 109.82$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$88.88 | 109 | 50.5%55 W · 54 L | +5.8wins | +0.05per pick | 45cpaid | +3.6%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2652…2a1dbacked PARIVISION | 53c | 101.37$53 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$53.49 | 869 | 49%426 W · 443 L | -3.5wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -15%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xbf5e…4e1abacked PARIVISION | 49c | 100$49 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49 | 41 | 46.3%19 W · 22 L | +0.7wins | +0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -4.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe99e…0084backed Aurora | 44c | 100$44 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$55.68 | 876 | 45.7%400 W · 476 L | -4.7wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -3.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x736d…c635backed Aurora | 51c | 100$51 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$49 | 971 | 42.7%415 W · 556 L | -20.4wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -9.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1532…1dadbacked PARIVISION | 70c | 100$70 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$70 | 226 | 54.4%123 W · 103 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 54cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xbf69…4fa2backed PARIVISION | 43c | 100$43 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$43 | 536 | 34%182 W · 354 L | +11.4wins | +0.02per pick | 32cpaid | +4.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9ebd…2c43backed PARIVISION | 52c | 96.15$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 42 | 45.2%19 W · 23 L | -2.3wins | -0.06per pick | 51cpaid | -16.1%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x79ac…9c87backed Aurora | 68c | 96$65 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30.72 | 80 | 40%32 W · 48 L | -1.2wins | -0.02per pick | 42cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe6a4…4249backed PARIVISION | 67c | 87.93$59 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$58.52 | 196 | 64.8%127 W · 69 L | +0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 65cpaid | -4.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3fb9…a8b3backed Aurora | 51c | 87.88$45 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$42.88 | 595 | 56.6%337 W · 258 L | +12.5wins | +0.02per pick | 55cpaid | +2.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x28ba…9fecbacked Aurora | 48c | 83.33$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$43.33 | 105 | 46.7%49 W · 56 L | -0.6wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2806…6de8backed PARIVISION | 60c | 80$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48 | 113 | 44.2%50 W · 63 L | -3.7wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -5.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xcbf4…7b57backed PARIVISION | 15c | 79.99$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.08 | 89 | 60.7%54 W · 35 L | -3.5wins | -0.04per pick | 65cpaid | -8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc4a1…9c88backed PARIVISION | 14c | 79.98$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.29 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | 0.0wins | +0.01per pick | 19cpaid | -54.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xaf94…6ee5backed PARIVISION | 33c | 76.37$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.05 | 9 | 66.7%6 W · 3 L | +1.5wins | +0.17per pick | 50cpaid | +32.9%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0abe…ad59backed PARIVISION | 52c | 72.45$38 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38 | 7 | 14.3%1 W · 6 L | -1.7wins | -0.24per pick | 39cpaid | -41.4%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x0386…2b1abacked PARIVISION | 21c | 71.38$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.99 | 305 | 43%131 W · 174 L | +18.2wins | +0.06per pick | 37cpaid | +52.8%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x5de7…5417backed PARIVISION | 19c | 66$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.36 | 479 | 51.8%248 W · 231 L | +17.7wins | +0.04per pick | 48cpaid | +6.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7f1e…5a2abacked PARIVISION | 60c | 62.61$37 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$37.29 | 31 | 58.1%18 W · 13 L | +0.8wins | +0.02per pick | 56cpaid | +3.2%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7484…de96backed Aurora | 41c | 60$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$35.4 | 96 | 51%49 W · 47 L | +1.9wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -2.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6f5d…3742backed PARIVISION | 67c | 59.7$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -1.2wins | -0.61per pick | 61cpaid | -100%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x33a8…2a71backed PARIVISION | 66c | 59.09$39 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39 | 43 | 55.8%24 W · 19 L | -1.9wins | -0.04per pick | 60cpaid | -7.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6d31…07b0backed PARIVISION | 35c | 58.23$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.34 | 252 | 55.2%139 W · 113 L | +1.1wins | 0.00per pick | 55cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x387e…ca5dbacked PARIVISION | 67c | 57.75$39 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38.83 | 118 | 57.6%68 W · 50 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 57cpaid | -3.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1b41…2c02backed PARIVISION | 24c | 51.46$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.35 | 726 | 37.5%272 W · 454 L | +3.4wins | 0.00per pick | 37cpaid | -4%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x70da…68dbbacked Aurora | 47c | 50.94$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27 | 21 | 57.1%12 W · 9 L | +0.9wins | +0.04per pick | 53cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbc79…f26cbacked PARIVISION | 52c | 50.48$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.25 | 15 | 26.7%4 W · 11 L | -1.5wins | -0.10per pick | 36cpaid | -25.6%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5524…2f3cbacked Aurora | 47c | 50$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.5 | 68 | 44.1%30 W · 38 L | -3.3wins | -0.05per pick | 49cpaid | -12.1%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe866…1a70backed PARIVISION | 68c | 50$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34 | 110 | 57.3%63 W · 47 L | +0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 57cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6d96…d524backed PARIVISION | 63c | 49.57$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31.43 | 269 | 57.6%155 W · 114 L | +3.7wins | +0.01per pick | 56cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3abf…b143backed PARIVISION | 45c | 46.45$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.09 | 336 | 45.5%153 W · 183 L | +4.2wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7fc4…748ebacked Aurora | 45c | 44.73$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.6 | 47 | 53.2%25 W · 22 L | +2.6wins | +0.06per pick | 48cpaid | +9.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Dota2 and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 4 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Dota 2: Aurora vs PARIVISION - Game 2 Winnerthis page
- Dota 2: Aurora vs PARIVISION (BO3) - DreamLeague Stage 2Aurora won
- Dota 2: Aurora vs PARIVISION - Game 1 WinnerAurora won
- Game Handicap: AUR (-1.5) vs PARIVISION (+1.5)Aurora won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.