TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Wallet 0x055a…d83b

Rebuilt .

Summary

Qualified picks
92
Categories scored
8
Categories below 50
3

Best Category: NBA, grading 53 out of 100 (+0.03 per pick).

Best Category NBA at 53 out of 100; worst CS2 at 43.

What is a Tail Score?

A mark out of 100, per Category. 50 means no edge at all — this wallet did about what the prices it paid implied it would. Above 50 it beat those prices; below 50 it did worse than them.

The scale does not move. 100 is a wallet beating the prices it paid by 0.45 per pick and 0 is losing to them by the same, on every wallet, on every page, in every month. So a grade you screenshot today still means what it meant when you took it, and two wallets can be put side by side.

Nobody reaches either end. Across every wallet TailMyPicks has scored, the marks run from roughly 5 to 87 — which is what a fixed ruler costs, and what buys the sentence above.

It is not a win rate. A wallet can win four Picks in five and still grade below 50, if the market was already pricing those outcomes at 90c — it paid for the wins rather than finding them. The vs expected and Avg entry columns below are what separate the two.

The mark is deliberately pulled toward 50 when there is little evidence. Three lucky Picks do not produce a high grade; several hundred consistent ones do. So a modest grade on thousands of Picks means something a high grade on twelve does not.

Because it is shrunk this way, a Category grade is a conservative reading. The headline figure for a wallet is its best Category, so it always understates how badly the wallet does in its worst one — which is why the table below is per Category and not one blended number.

Record by Category

Ordered by how much this wallet actually traded in each Category, not by score — so the Categories it plays most appear first whether they went well or badly. Open any row to see the picks its numbers were computed from — all of them.

CategoryQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
Dota2last resolved Aug 13, 2026, EDT3951.3%20 W · 19 L+1.0wins+0.03per pick49cpaid+3.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
Dota2 — the 39 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Dota2, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Dota 2: LGD Gaming vs Team Resilience - Game 1 Winnerbacked LGD Gaming · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)31c$19Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 13, 2026, EDT-100%-$18.6
Dota 2: BetBoom Team vs LGD Gaming - Game 1 Winnerbacked LGD Gaming · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)28c$17Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$17.1
Dota 2: BetBoom Team vs PARIVISION - Game 4 Winnerbacked BetBoom Team · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)26c$13Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$13
Dota 2: Aurora vs Heroic - Game 1 Winnerbacked Aurora · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$56Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 8, 2026, EDT-100%-$56
Dota 2: Team Liquid vs BetBoom Team - Game 1 Winnerbacked Team Liquid · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$54Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 7, 2026, EST-100%-$54
Dota 2: Xtreme Gaming vs Team Spirit (BO3) - PGL Wallachia Group Stagebacked Xtreme Gaming · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$18Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 7, 2026, EST-100%-$18.29
Dota 2: Xtreme Gaming vs Team Spirit - Game 2 Winnerbacked Xtreme Gaming · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$45Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 7, 2026, EST+122.2%+$55
Dota 2: Aurora vs MOUZ - Game 2 Winnerbacked Aurora · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$54Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 7, 2026, EST+85.2%+$46
Dota 2: Xtreme Gaming vs Team Spirit - Game 1 Winnerbacked Xtreme Gaming · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$51Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 7, 2026, EST-100%-$51
Dota 2: OG vs Vici Gaming (BO3) - PGL Wallachia Group Stagebacked Vici Gaming · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$52Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 7, 2026, EST+112.8%+$58.3
Dota 2: PARIVISION vs Yellow Submarine - Game 2 Winnerbacked Yellow Submarine · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)33c$16Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 7, 2026, EST-100%-$16.45
Dota 2: OG vs Vici Gaming - Game 2 Winnerbacked OG · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$55Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 7, 2026, EST+81.8%+$44.77
Dota 2: OG vs Vici Gaming - Game 1 Winnerbacked OG · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$46Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 7, 2026, EST-100%-$46.4
Dota 2: Tundra Esports vs Aurora - Game 4 Winnerbacked Tundra Esports · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$34Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 1, 2026, EST+104.1%+$35.7
Dota 2: Team Liquid vs Aurora - Game 2 Winnerbacked Aurora · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$56Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 1, 2026, EST+78.6%+$44
Dota 2: Team Liquid vs Aurora - Game 1 Winnerbacked Team Liquid · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$51Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 1, 2026, EST-100%-$51
Dota 2: Team Liquid vs Tundra Esports - Game 2 Winnerbacked Tundra Esports · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$37Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 28, 2026, EST+117.4%+$43.2
Dota 2: Team Liquid vs Tundra Esports - Game 1 Winnerbacked Tundra Esports · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$34Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 28, 2026, EST+108.3%+$36.4
Dota 2: Aurora vs Xtreme Gaming (BO3) - DreamLeague Playoffsbacked Xtreme Gaming · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$35Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 28, 2026, EST-100%-$35
Dota 2: Xtreme Gaming vs Team Falcons (BO3) - DreamLeague Stage 2backed Team Falcons · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)41c$29Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 27, 2026, EST+143.9%+$41.3
Dota 2: Xtreme Gaming vs Team Falcons - Game 2 Winnerbacked Xtreme Gaming · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$38Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 27, 2026, EST+85.2%+$32.2
Dota 2: Xtreme Gaming vs Team Falcons - Game 1 Winnerbacked Team Falcons · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)43c$30Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 27, 2026, EST+132.6%+$39.77
Dota 2: Aurora vs BetBoom Team - Game 2 Winnerbacked Aurora · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$37Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 27, 2026, EST+88.7%+$32.9
Dota 2: Aurora vs Xtreme Gaming - Game 2 Winnerbacked Aurora · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$60Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 26, 2026, EST-100%-$60
Dota 2: Aurora vs Xtreme Gaming - Game 1 Winnerbacked Xtreme Gaming · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)39c$30Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 26, 2026, EST-100%-$30
Showing 25 of 39 picks, newest first.
CS2 Inactivelast resolved Aug 1, 2026, EDT3836.8%14 W · 24 L-4.1wins-0.11per pick48cpaid-30.3%equal weight43-0.07 edge/pick
CS2 — the 38 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in CS2, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Counter-Strike: FaZe vs Spirit - Map 1 Winnerbacked FaZe · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)28c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$20
Counter-Strike: 100 Thieves vs Nuclear TigeRES (BO3) - StarLadder StarSeries European Qualifier Group Dbacked 100 Thieves · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$36Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 23, 2026, EDT-100%-$36.3
Counter-Strike: NIP vs 100 Thieves - Map 1 Winnerbacked NIP · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$17Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 22, 2026, EDT-100%-$17
Counter-Strike: Nemiga vs G2 - Map 1 Winnerbacked G2 · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)24c$17Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 22, 2026, EDT-100%-$16.8
Counter-Strike: HOTU vs Astralis - Map 2 Winnerbacked Astralis · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$41Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 22, 2026, EDT-100%-$41.3
Counter-Strike: EYEBALLERS vs FaZe - Map 1 Winnerbacked FaZe · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$44Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 22, 2026, EDT+69.5%+$30.75
Counter-Strike: BIG Academy vs Entropy (BO3) - CCT Europe Closed Qualifier: Series #5 Play-Inbacked BIG Academy · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)24c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 20, 2026, EDT-100%-$20.4
Counter-Strike: BetBoom Team vs FUT Esports - Map 2 Winnerbacked FUT Esports · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)40c$33Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 15, 2026, EDT-100%-$33
Counter-Strike: BetBoom Team vs FUT Esports - Map 1 Winnerbacked FUT Esports · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$23Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 15, 2026, EDT-100%-$22.92
Counter-Strike: 9z vs TheMongolz - Map 2 Winnerbacked 9z · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$22Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 15, 2026, EDT+53.8%+$11.85
Counter-Strike: 9z vs TheMongolz - Map 1 Winnerbacked 9z · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$11Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 15, 2026, EDT+112.8%+$12.4
Counter-Strike: 100 Thieves vs Betclic Apogee Esports - Map 1 Winnerbacked 100 Thieves · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$12Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 15, 2026, EDT+78.6%+$9.43
Counter-Strike: MOUZ vs Astralis - Map 1 Winnerbacked MOUZ · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$85Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 7, 2026, EST-100%-$85.24
Counter-Strike: paiN vs FaZe (BO3) - ESL Pro League Stage 2backed FaZe · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)30c$23Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 7, 2026, EST-100%-$22.5
Counter-Strike: NIP vs M80 - Map 2 Winnerbacked M80 · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$40Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 2, 2026, EST-100%-$39.9
Counter-Strike: 3DMAX vs SemperFi Esports - Map 2 Winnerbacked 3DMAX · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$37Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 2, 2026, EST+61.3%+$22.8
Counter-Strike: NRG vs Monte - Map 2 Winnerbacked Monte · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$49Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 2, 2026, EST+104.1%+$51
Counter-Strike: Heroic vs Astralis - Map 1 Winnerbacked Heroic · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$37Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 2, 2026, EST-100%-$37.09
Counter-Strike: Liquid vs Passion UA - Map 2 Winnerbacked Liquid · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$38Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 1, 2026, EST-100%-$37.8
Counter-Strike: Liquid vs Passion UA - Map 1 Winnerbacked Passion UA · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$32Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 1, 2026, EST+117.4%+$37.8
Counter-Strike: FUT Esports vs M80 (BO3) - ESL Pro League Stage 1backed FUT Esports · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$10Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 1, 2026, EST+85.2%+$8.77
Counter-Strike: NIP vs Legacy - Map 1 Winnerbacked NIP · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$36Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 1, 2026, EST-100%-$36
Counter-Strike: Astralis vs Monte - Map 2 Winnerbacked Monte · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$46Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 1, 2026, EST-100%-$45.9
Counter-Strike: Astralis vs Monte - Map 1 Winnerbacked Astralis · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 1, 2026, EST-100%-$50
Counter-Strike: Heroic vs NRG - Map 2 Winnerbacked Heroic · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$40Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 1, 2026, EST+100%+$40
Showing 25 of 38 picks, newest first.
Lol Inactivelast resolved Jul 20, 2026, EDT616.7%1 W · 5 L-1.4wins-0.23per pick39cpaid-56.1%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
Lol — the 6 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Lol, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Ncaa Basketball Inactivelast resolved Feb 28, 2026, EST450%2 W · 2 L+0.2wins+0.05per pick45cpaid0%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
Ncaa Basketball — the 4 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Ncaa Basketball, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Fifa International Inactivelast resolved Jul 19, 2026, EDT250%1 W · 1 L0.0wins0.00per pick50cpaid-14.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
Fifa International — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Fifa International, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

NBA Inactivelast resolved Feb 27, 2026, EST1100%1 W · 0 L+0.7wins+0.68per pick32cpaid+212.5%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
NBA — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NBA, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Lakers vs. Sunsbacked Suns · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)32c$19Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 27, 2026, EST+212.5%+$40.86
All 1 picks, newest first.
Us Politics Inactivelast resolved Feb 3, 2026, EST1100%1 W · 0 L+0.3wins+0.34per pick66cpaid+51.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
Us Politics — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Us Politics, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
US government shutdown Saturday?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$39Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 3, 2026, EST+51.5%+$20.09
All 1 picks, newest first.
Tweets Inactivelast resolved Feb 21, 2026, EST1100%1 W · 0 L+0.3wins+0.28per pick72cpaid+38.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
Tweets — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Tweets, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Elon Musk post 115-139 tweets from February 19 to February 21, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)72c$25Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 21, 2026, EST+38.9%+$9.8
All 1 picks, newest first.

vs expected is how many more (or fewer) Picks this wallet won than the prices it paid implied it would. It is the column that tells a real edge apart from a record bought by backing favourites. Realizable edge is what that comes to per Pick for somebody copying the wallet, after the cost of getting in behind it. Avg entry is the average price it paid, so a strong record built on heavy favourites shows as one. ROI per pick counts every Pick equally rather than by size, which is how a record earned across many Picks is told apart from one carried by a few large ones. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in — an American night game settles after midnight UTC, so any other zone would name the day after the one it was played on. Inactive means nothing has resolved in that Category recently. The score is kept and the wallet stays reachable here; it only leaves the default leaderboard.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.