CS2 · resolved market
Counter-Strike: Liquid vs Passion UA - Map 1 Winner
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xe7c40eb5eaae1d6ae83e20a145762383884d8730e77079043d46db0b80750fab
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Passion UAof Liquid, Passion UA
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- CS2every record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $48,612
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $57,092
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $48,612 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 75 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in CS2 is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in CS2 | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x0fd9…3373backed Passion UA | 36c | 6,880$2,504 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,375.87 | 67 | 52.2%35 W · 32 L | -1.3wins | -0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -3%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6b91…06c4backed Liquid | 34c | 6,401$2,200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,200 | 13 | 7.7%1 W · 12 L | -3.2wins | -0.24per pick | 32cpaid | -85.8%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked Liquid | 59c | 4,218$2,496 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,496.34 | 3,096 | 48.5%1,501 W · 1,595 L | +135.0wins | +0.04per pick | 44cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x084b…3de6backed Liquid | 55c | 2,496$1,374 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,374.06 | 245 | 50.2%123 W · 122 L | +9.4wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | -3.7%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2652…2a1dbacked Passion UA | 74c | 2,212$1,628 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$583.95 | 2,326 | 55.7%1,296 W · 1,030 L | +44.8wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -9.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9d94…017dbacked Liquid | 48c | 1,603$773 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$772.76 | 2,221 | 41.3%917 W · 1,304 L | -22.6wins | -0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -19.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6df5…6430backed Liquid | 23c | 1,510$343 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$343.44 | 1,278 | 21.9%280 W · 998 L | -24.3wins | -0.02per pick | 24cpaid | -16.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb000…5ca6backed Liquid | 36c | 1,399$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$500 | 73 | 42.5%31 W · 42 L | -1.4wins | -0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -8.7%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcb5b…f243backed Liquid | 46c | 1,295$593 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$592.56 | 4,038 | 48.1%1,943 W · 2,095 L | -23.9wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x081e…f76ebacked Passion UA | 36c | 1,284$465 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$818.64 | 817 | 51.7%422 W · 395 L | -6.0wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -4.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x50c3…34d7backed Passion UA | 44c | 1,239$546 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$692.68 | 33 | 66.7%22 W · 11 L | +1.3wins | +0.04per pick | 63cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5aa9…febebacked Passion UA | 46c | 1,151$530 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$621.36 | 1,040 | 44%458 W · 582 L | -22.2wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -22.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3db4…d69bbacked Passion UA | 53c | 1,100$588 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$512.04 | 750 | 56.8%426 W · 324 L | +47.8wins | +0.06per pick | 50cpaid | +13.3%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x3763…345fbacked Passion UA | 55c | 999.99$549 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$450.8 | 535 | 45%241 W · 294 L | -11.6wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -2.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7a73…a9c8backed Liquid | 50c | 996.08$501 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$500.96 | 696 | 35.3%246 W · 450 L | -49.3wins | -0.07per pick | 42cpaid | -17.3%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x5ad5…8919backed Liquid | 24c | 994.21$239 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$239.44 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | +0.3wins | +0.05per pick | 35cpaid | -41.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9777…6b53backed Passion UA | 40c | 709.34$286 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$423.73 | 197 | 32.5%64 W · 133 L | +2.9wins | +0.01per pick | 31cpaid | -7.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked Liquid | 68c | 536.18$365 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$364.56 | 7,925 | 50.4%3,997 W · 3,928 L | +179.4wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd92d…e560backed Passion UA | 30c | 500$150 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$350 | 586 | 51%299 W · 287 L | +3.8wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x207f…019dbacked Liquid | 18c | 493.44$87 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$87 | 31 | 9.7%3 W · 28 L | -6.2wins | -0.20per pick | 30cpaid | -72.3%equal weight | 38-0.11 edge/pick |
| 0xe41f…d9dcbacked Passion UA | 47c | 488.3$229 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$259.3 | 656 | 50.3%330 W · 326 L | -15.4wins | -0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -7.5%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe8c7…4332backed Passion UA | 55c | 432.73$238 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$194.73 | 176 | 44.3%78 W · 98 L | -17.8wins | -0.10per pick | 54cpaid | -20.8%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x42b8…5379backed Passion UA | 49c | 405.1$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$205.1 | 314 | 52.2%164 W · 150 L | -10.8wins | -0.03per pick | 56cpaid | -6.2%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x51db…f9b3backed Liquid | 36c | 374.18$135 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$134.83 | 6,480 | 42.9%2,782 W · 3,698 L | -79.1wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -21.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc4db…7e0cbacked Liquid | 47c | 362.01$170 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$170.14 | 1,573 | 35.3%556 W · 1,017 L | +22.5wins | +0.01per pick | 34cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x022d…d8cebacked Passion UA | 28c | 353.45$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$253.45 | 170 | 50%85 W · 85 L | +1.5wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +3.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe911…3d4ebacked Liquid | 34c | 324$111 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$110.92 | 2,776 | 37.4%1,038 W · 1,738 L | -140.2wins | -0.05per pick | 42cpaid | -20.7%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xfeb9…95c9backed Liquid | 44c | 316.44$140 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$140 | 547 | 32.2%176 W · 371 L | -28.0wins | -0.05per pick | 37cpaid | -18%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xa1d1…5557backed Passion UA | 71c | 312.64$222 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$90.64 | 10 | 60%6 W · 4 L | +0.4wins | +0.04per pick | 56cpaid | +6.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x58c9…e194backed Passion UA | 51c | 311.76$159 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$152.76 | 23 | 39.1%9 W · 14 L | -1.2wins | -0.05per pick | 44cpaid | -18.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x29b5…cc6cbacked Passion UA | 52c | 309.98$160 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$149.65 | 5,050 | 55.1%2,781 W · 2,269 L | +117.2wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | +5.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xda32…04a1backed Liquid | 33c | 300$99 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$99 | 314 | 44.9%141 W · 173 L | +9.0wins | +0.03per pick | 42cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4713…4d21backed Liquid | 43c | 251$107 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$106.83 | 5,287 | 31.3%1,657 W · 3,630 L | -383.3wins | -0.07per pick | 39cpaid | -37.1%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x80d8…b703backed Passion UA | 63c | 213.93$134 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$79.44 | 1,676 | 51.1%857 W · 819 L | +21.2wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc694…1171backed Passion UA | 39c | 201.06$78 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$122.75 | 476 | 41.6%198 W · 278 L | +2.9wins | +0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -13.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa76e…dcb6backed Liquid | 49c | 200$98 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$98 | 1,310 | 53.7%703 W · 607 L | +32.0wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4695…210abacked Liquid | 53c | 190.33$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 18 | 50%9 W · 9 L | -1.9wins | -0.11per pick | 61cpaid | -14.9%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x4687…8d42backed Liquid | 53c | 189.59$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 529 | 47.1%249 W · 280 L | -14.5wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -8.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd468…f6febacked Passion UA | 37c | 170.01$62 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$107.8 | 460 | 42.8%197 W · 263 L | +16.6wins | +0.04per pick | 39cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xbfd7…f0bfbacked Liquid | 45c | 163.07$74 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$73.71 | 5,511 | 47%2,590 W · 2,921 L | +42.0wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -4.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc7c7…24c2backed Passion UA | 56c | 150$84 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$65.6 | 85 | 61.2%52 W · 33 L | +0.5wins | +0.01per pick | 61cpaid | +4.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x52ec…a6f3backed Liquid | 62c | 148.91$92 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$92.32 | 469 | 49.7%233 W · 236 L | -14.1wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x04ec…232abacked Passion UA | 56c | 112.77$63 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$49.62 | 64 | 37.5%24 W · 40 L | -6.2wins | -0.10per pick | 47cpaid | -39.2%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x4177…a2b4backed Passion UA | 42c | 105.93$45 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$60.93 | 1,248 | 41.3%516 W · 732 L | +5.1wins | 0.00per pick | 41cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8d76…90c2backed Passion UA | 51c | 98.04$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$48.04 | 48 | 43.8%21 W · 27 L | -4.0wins | -0.08per pick | 52cpaid | -23.6%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xc869…8a6ebacked Liquid | 53c | 94.71$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 70 | 61.4%43 W · 27 L | +1.5wins | +0.02per pick | 59cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9c83…fceabacked Liquid | 75c | 89.79$67 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$67.34 | 16 | 43.8%7 W · 9 L | -1.0wins | -0.06per pick | 50cpaid | -36.7%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x35ea…99bcbacked Passion UA | 45c | 88.89$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$48.89 | 136 | 57.4%78 W · 58 L | +0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 57cpaid | -5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xbca0…727fbacked Liquid | 49c | 85.31$42 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$41.66 | 19 | 73.7%14 W · 5 L | +5.2wins | +0.27per pick | 46cpaid | +78.9%equal weight | 63+0.12 edge/pick |
| 0xe549…ea83backed Passion UA | 70c | 82.29$58 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.29 | 325 | 61.2%199 W · 126 L | -3.8wins | -0.01per pick | 62cpaid | -4.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfe36…d9a4backed Passion UA | 53c | 75.66$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$35.66 | 14 | 57.1%8 W · 6 L | +1.6wins | +0.12per pick | 46cpaid | +65.5%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2529…548abacked Liquid | 49c | 75.01$37 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$37.08 | 3,225 | 51.2%1,651 W · 1,574 L | +88.0wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -6.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x72aa…90e0backed Liquid | 47c | 75$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35.1 | 4,228 | 49.2%2,080 W · 2,148 L | +59.9wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -10.7%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x055a…d83bbacked Passion UA | 46c | 70$32 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$37.8 | 38 | 36.8%14 W · 24 L | -4.1wins | -0.11per pick | 48cpaid | -30.3%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x0002…103ebacked Liquid | 57c | 67.99$39 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38.98 | 45 | 55.6%25 W · 20 L | +0.9wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2ecb…7645backed Passion UA | 43c | 63.05$27 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$36.06 | 1,547 | 33.9%524 W · 1,023 L | -73.4wins | -0.05per pick | 39cpaid | -33.1%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x844c…cb20backed Liquid | 32c | 60$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.2 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.5wins | -0.17per pick | 50cpaid | -49.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf898…e720backed Passion UA | 46c | 59.94$28 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$32.29 | 1,378 | 45.2%623 W · 755 L | +17.9wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -7.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x10b9…8267backed Passion UA | 38c | 57.89$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$35.89 | 53 | 62.3%33 W · 20 L | -0.5wins | -0.01per pick | 63cpaid | -3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa9f5…937fbacked Passion UA | 61c | 55.99$34 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.93 | 3,910 | 36.6%1,431 W · 2,479 L | -197.6wins | -0.05per pick | 42cpaid | -29.1%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x3726…8521backed Passion UA | 44c | 50$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28 | 81 | 45.7%37 W · 44 L | -1.2wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -5.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x40ba…7ea5backed Passion UA | 52c | 50$26 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24 | 420 | 57.6%242 W · 178 L | +19.3wins | +0.05per pick | 53cpaid | +6.8%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe2e1…c20abacked Passion UA | 49c | 48$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.53 | 497 | 45.9%228 W · 269 L | -10.0wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -16.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf0bb…049fbacked Liquid | 56c | 46.63$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.11 | 41 | 65.9%27 W · 14 L | +2.6wins | +0.06per pick | 60cpaid | +15.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2416…8afebacked Passion UA | 48c | 41.67$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.67 | 62 | 33.9%21 W · 41 L | -4.5wins | -0.07per pick | 41cpaid | -9.6%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x14e7…3a2abacked Liquid | 62c | 39.99$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.8 | 13 | 15.4%2 W · 11 L | -3.4wins | -0.26per pick | 42cpaid | -67.7%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xa07d…a037backed Liquid | 45c | 37.74$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.14 | 2,102 | 16.8%353 W · 1,749 L | -286.5wins | -0.14per pick | 30cpaid | -47.2%equal weight | 35-0.13 edge/pick |
| 0x7a78…add7backed Passion UA | 52c | 34$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.19 | 1,969 | 46.7%919 W · 1,050 L | +12.4wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -14.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfe8a…23cebacked Passion UA | 53c | 32.12$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.99 | 2,214 | 47.5%1,052 W · 1,162 L | -5.6wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -14.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2f31…e2b6backed Liquid | 64c | 30$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.2 | 77 | 66.2%51 W · 26 L | +2.6wins | +0.03per pick | 63cpaid | +5.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x38d9…1efebacked Passion UA | 54c | 28.58$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.22 | 28 | 39.3%11 W · 17 L | -1.3wins | -0.05per pick | 44cpaid | -19.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xac9c…50d8backed Passion UA | 40c | 28.5$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.1 | 254 | 16.9%43 W · 211 L | -10.1wins | -0.04per pick | 21cpaid | -17.1%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xaea0…0decbacked Passion UA | 45c | 28$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.4 | 489 | 48.7%238 W · 251 L | -0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -12.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xea37…94f3backed Passion UA | 52c | 27.5$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.2 | 329 | 51.7%170 W · 159 L | +7.1wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +3.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x72c2…5e74backed Liquid | 62c | 20$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.47 | 244 | 40.2%98 W · 146 L | +3.2wins | +0.01per pick | 39cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in CS2 and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 4 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Counter-Strike: Liquid vs Passion UA - Map 1 Winnerthis page
- Counter-Strike: Liquid vs Passion UA (BO3) - ESL Pro League Stage 1Passion UA won
- Counter-Strike: Liquid vs Passion UA - Map 2 WinnerPassion UA won
- Map Handicap: TL (-1.5) vs Passion UA (+1.5)Passion UA won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.