CS2 · resolved market
Map Handicap: TL (-1.5) vs Passion UA (+1.5)
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xfb1316ad76a26490e6bc33ee60836ccaa0c8bfaf431d15ffb8491578e3b85fbf
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Passion UAof Liquid, Passion UA
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- CS2every record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $56,122
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $56,891
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $56,122 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 24 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in CS2 is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in CS2 | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xc257…358ebacked Liquid | 33c | 51,000$16,810 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16,810 | 392 | 49%192 W · 200 L | +0.9wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -2.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe90b…5da2backed Passion UA | 67c | 49,333$33,053 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16,279.72 | 210 | 51%107 W · 103 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -4.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf7c2…9b8dbacked Liquid | 35c | 1,152$404 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$403.64 | 471 | 47.3%223 W · 248 L | +10.6wins | +0.02per pick | 45cpaid | +2.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8725…eb10backed Passion UA | 66c | 1,062$703 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$358.76 | 854 | 46.4%396 W · 458 L | +0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x29b5…cc6cbacked Passion UA | 69c | 1,000$690 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$310 | 5,050 | 55.1%2,781 W · 2,269 L | +117.2wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | +5.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xccec…1dfcbacked Passion UA | 65c | 897.3$583 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$314.05 | 211 | 46%97 W · 114 L | -6.5wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7462…3ac3backed Passion UA | 74c | 742.41$552 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$190.36 | 257 | 47.5%122 W · 135 L | +1.2wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2e62…b22ebacked Liquid | 27c | 549.16$148 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$147.54 | 228 | 38.6%88 W · 140 L | +2.5wins | +0.01per pick | 38cpaid | -4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfeb9…95c9backed Liquid | 25c | 430$108 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$107.5 | 547 | 32.2%176 W · 371 L | -28.0wins | -0.05per pick | 37cpaid | -18%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x6ac5…4b6ebacked Liquid | 32c | 429.1$139 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$139 | 1,714 | 46.7%801 W · 913 L | +1.1wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x423f…eedcbacked Passion UA | 68c | 380$258 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$122.1 | 406 | 55.7%226 W · 180 L | +3.3wins | +0.01per pick | 55cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7db8…bbcebacked Passion UA | 67c | 149.25$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$49.25 | 6 | 66.7%4 W · 2 L | +0.1wins | +0.02per pick | 65cpaid | +0.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdc58…1e76backed Passion UA | 75c | 133.33$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$33.33 | 9 | 66.7%6 W · 3 L | +0.7wins | +0.08per pick | 59cpaid | +5.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x953f…15e6backed Liquid | 43c | 125.23$54 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$53.94 | 275 | 56.4%155 W · 120 L | -0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 57cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf679…16acbacked Liquid | 34c | 117$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39.78 | 170 | 42.9%73 W · 97 L | -8.2wins | -0.05per pick | 48cpaid | -10.9%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd055…28d0backed Passion UA | 54c | 54.92$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.26 | 655 | 46.9%307 W · 348 L | +18.4wins | +0.03per pick | 44cpaid | +6.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4ffe…9f71backed Liquid | 31c | 46.43$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.32 | 1,500 | 9.9%148 W · 1,352 L | -15.8wins | -0.01per pick | 11cpaid | -55.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcb6b…604ebacked Liquid | 30c | 41.29$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.39 | 821 | 46.3%380 W · 441 L | -8.4wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -4.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa559…6dbbbacked Liquid | 33c | 40$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.2 | 459 | 56.9%261 W · 198 L | +20.9wins | +0.05per pick | 52cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8e19…d2b0backed Liquid | 34c | 37.79$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.87 | 527 | 50.7%267 W · 260 L | +17.8wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | +6.1%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x861f…a189backed Liquid | 34c | 35.58$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.1 | 921 | 52.6%484 W · 437 L | +16.3wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x399c…6191backed Passion UA | 67c | 29.85$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.85 | 169 | 65.1%110 W · 59 L | +6.5wins | +0.04per pick | 61cpaid | +4.1%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xbca0…727fbacked Passion UA | 65c | 25$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.75 | 19 | 73.7%14 W · 5 L | +5.2wins | +0.27per pick | 46cpaid | +78.9%equal weight | 63+0.12 edge/pick |
| 0x5c04…0196backed Passion UA | 70c | 14.38$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.31 | 12 | 50%6 W · 6 L | -2.0wins | -0.17per pick | 67cpaid | -27.9%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in CS2 and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 4 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Map Handicap: TL (-1.5) vs Passion UA (+1.5)this page
- Counter-Strike: Liquid vs Passion UA (BO3) - ESL Pro League Stage 1Passion UA won
- Counter-Strike: Liquid vs Passion UA - Map 1 WinnerPassion UA won
- Counter-Strike: Liquid vs Passion UA - Map 2 WinnerPassion UA won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.