CS2 · resolved market
Counter-Strike: 100 Thieves vs Betclic Apogee Esports - Map 1 Winner
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x219aeb7c3dbbb7743c50d94b875bde1b6fb317af8a118618b930f85dfe5d93cc
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- 100 Thievesof 100 Thieves, Betclic Apogee Esports
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- CS2every record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $21,486
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $24,323
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $21,486 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 52 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in CS2 is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in CS2 | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x7460…de6ebacked Betclic Apogee Esports | 56c | 2,500$1,400 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,399.99 | 439 | 51.7%227 W · 212 L | +8.9wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +4.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x72aa…90e0backed 100 Thieves | 53c | 1,287$678 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$609.76 | 4,228 | 49.2%2,080 W · 2,148 L | +59.9wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -10.7%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4ebc…a33dbacked 100 Thieves | 56c | 1,010$562 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$447.5 | 631 | 57.1%360 W · 271 L | +40.1wins | +0.06per pick | 51cpaid | -7.1%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x505f…645ebacked 100 Thieves | 55c | 358.12$196 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$162.3 | 2,604 | 52.6%1,371 W · 1,233 L | +98.0wins | +0.04per pick | 49cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5929…4684backed Betclic Apogee Esports | 49c | 299.96$147 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$147.38 | 4,064 | 50.9%2,067 W · 1,997 L | +69.5wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -6.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2b35…0bfebacked 100 Thieves | 72c | 299.96$216 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$83.99 | 919 | 45.8%421 W · 498 L | -10.1wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -6.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb4d2…ce99backed Betclic Apogee Esports | 27c | 283.75$75 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$75.33 | 2,626 | 30.9%812 W · 1,814 L | -105.4wins | -0.04per pick | 35cpaid | -29.8%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x29b5…cc6cbacked Betclic Apogee Esports | 28c | 282.58$78 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$78.3 | 5,050 | 55.1%2,781 W · 2,269 L | +117.2wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | +5.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4713…4d21backed Betclic Apogee Esports | 26c | 254$66 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$66 | 5,287 | 31.3%1,657 W · 3,630 L | -383.3wins | -0.07per pick | 39cpaid | -37.1%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xddb6…b9b3backed Betclic Apogee Esports | 46c | 235.76$109 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$109.41 | 2,508 | 41%1,029 W · 1,479 L | -115.5wins | -0.05per pick | 46cpaid | -22.9%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xf1ee…519cbacked Betclic Apogee Esports | 45c | 227.91$102 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$102.11 | 3,202 | 45.6%1,459 W · 1,743 L | -79.3wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -16%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x969f…cbdcbacked 100 Thieves | 58c | 187.46$108 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$79.05 | 627 | 38.8%243 W · 384 L | -31.2wins | -0.05per pick | 44cpaid | -30%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x904e…0becbacked 100 Thieves | 58c | 187.3$108 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$79.18 | 4,933 | 37.4%1,844 W · 3,089 L | -249.2wins | -0.05per pick | 42cpaid | -32.2%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xf49a…8981backed 100 Thieves | 57c | 178.65$101 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$77.65 | 191 | 42.4%81 W · 110 L | -3.3wins | -0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -7.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa073…a3babacked 100 Thieves | 58c | 172.32$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$72.37 | 1,117 | 68.6%766 W · 351 L | +20.3wins | +0.02per pick | 67cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2e3c…08babacked 100 Thieves | 55c | 168.37$92 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$76.21 | 4,691 | 43.6%2,043 W · 2,648 L | -83.2wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -21.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x48bf…f7e2backed 100 Thieves | 40c | 155$62 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$93 | 66 | 37.9%25 W · 41 L | -2.5wins | -0.04per pick | 42cpaid | -8.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x588d…3f41backed 100 Thieves | 47c | 152.42$71 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$81.53 | 835 | 43.6%364 W · 471 L | -9.0wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -7.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd976…7636backed Betclic Apogee Esports | 67c | 148.44$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 111 | 55%61 W · 50 L | -6.2wins | -0.06per pick | 61cpaid | -11.3%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xf56c…fcbdbacked 100 Thieves | 67c | 148.04$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$48.22 | 354 | 49.7%176 W · 178 L | -5.7wins | -0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -3.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa9f5…937fbacked 100 Thieves | 53c | 129$68 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$60.67 | 3,910 | 36.6%1,431 W · 2,479 L | -197.6wins | -0.05per pick | 42cpaid | -29.1%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x1cdd…e595backed Betclic Apogee Esports | 45c | 120.23$54 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$54.13 | 2,468 | 24.6%607 W · 1,861 L | -317.8wins | -0.13per pick | 37cpaid | -51.7%equal weight | 36-0.13 edge/pick |
| 0x76f1…f655backed 100 Thieves | 58c | 120$69 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$50.69 | 917 | 43.7%401 W · 516 L | -35.6wins | -0.04per pick | 48cpaid | -18.8%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x14e7…a32cbacked Betclic Apogee Esports | 48c | 117.93$56 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$56.37 | 1,302 | 41.2%536 W · 766 L | -50.1wins | -0.04per pick | 45cpaid | -24.1%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf6a0…2212backed 100 Thieves | 55c | 111.86$61 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$50.86 | 345 | 47.5%164 W · 181 L | -0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x05d3…c06abacked Betclic Apogee Esports | 56c | 88.98$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 1,710 | 52.3%895 W · 815 L | -73.4wins | -0.04per pick | 57cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x07e2…6099backed 100 Thieves | 55c | 87.27$48 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$38.85 | 106 | 57.5%61 W · 45 L | +9.4wins | +0.09per pick | 49cpaid | +18.5%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x94d2…cfbdbacked Betclic Apogee Esports | 37c | 86.24$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31.48 | 2,110 | 47.2%995 W · 1,115 L | -62.2wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -18.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6b23…04a3backed 100 Thieves | 50c | 86.21$44 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$42.67 | 965 | 43.5%420 W · 545 L | -20.4wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -15.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5210…bd53backed 100 Thieves | 72c | 74.66$54 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.78 | 1,848 | 47.6%879 W · 969 L | -55.8wins | -0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked 100 Thieves | 65c | 66$43 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.13 | 7,925 | 50.4%3,997 W · 3,928 L | +179.4wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8b22…377ebacked 100 Thieves | 70c | 62.35$44 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.59 | 361 | 74.8%270 W · 91 L | +13.2wins | +0.04per pick | 71cpaid | +4.5%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdb25…eb12backed Betclic Apogee Esports | 30c | 48.86$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.76 | 500 | 51.4%257 W · 243 L | -6.1wins | -0.01per pick | 53cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9410…b32ebacked 100 Thieves | 63c | 47.96$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.96 | 62 | 56.5%35 W · 27 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 57cpaid | -3.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdb83…1e50backed 100 Thieves | 40c | 45.68$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27.41 | 2,624 | 51.8%1,359 W · 1,265 L | +18.1wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x435f…2de6backed 100 Thieves | 50c | 45.66$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.83 | 63 | 54%34 W · 29 L | +2.1wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -3.8%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1b59…0ba0backed 100 Thieves | 34c | 42.92$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.33 | 557 | 38.4%214 W · 343 L | +11.5wins | +0.02per pick | 36cpaid | -1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xebff…70e5backed Betclic Apogee Esports | 24c | 42.67$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.14 | 2,774 | 24.5%681 W · 2,093 L | -295.8wins | -0.11per pick | 35cpaid | -50.7%equal weight | 38-0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x99bc…4f35backed 100 Thieves | 58c | 39.02$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.39 | 160 | 23.8%38 W · 122 L | -5.3wins | -0.03per pick | 27cpaid | -26.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x945a…a48cbacked Betclic Apogee Esports | 39c | 33.33$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.11 | 597 | 3%18 W · 579 L | -221.0wins | -0.37per pick | 40cpaid | -90.7%equal weight | 11-0.36 edge/pick |
| 0xb084…be70backed 100 Thieves | 45c | 32.53$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.91 | 58 | 24.1%14 W · 44 L | +1.3wins | +0.02per pick | 22cpaid | -15.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x218b…625abacked 100 Thieves | 70c | 30$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9 | 227 | 29.1%66 W · 161 L | -4.6wins | -0.02per pick | 31cpaid | -12.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe907…cff6backed 100 Thieves | 59c | 28.57$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.79 | 2,326 | 45.1%1,049 W · 1,277 L | -62.2wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -16.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd154…9c74backed 100 Thieves | 51c | 25.41$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.47 | 640 | 46.3%296 W · 344 L | -3.4wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -14.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6efa…a0a7backed Betclic Apogee Esports | 40c | 25$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 302 | 47%142 W · 160 L | -11.2wins | -0.04per pick | 51cpaid | -6%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc7d0…1f8abacked Betclic Apogee Esports | 47c | 23.3$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.92 | 1,591 | 46.6%741 W · 850 L | +30.3wins | +0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -11.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x062b…c6eabacked Betclic Apogee Esports | 66c | 22.73$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 81 | 49.4%40 W · 41 L | -3.8wins | -0.05per pick | 54cpaid | -11.7%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9227…7cedbacked 100 Thieves | 68c | 22.06$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.06 | 398 | 47.7%190 W · 208 L | -3.7wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x08fe…355fbacked 100 Thieves | 55c | 21.89$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.89 | 106 | 59.4%63 W · 43 L | -4.6wins | -0.04per pick | 64cpaid | -7.7%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x055a…d83bbacked 100 Thieves | 56c | 21.43$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.43 | 38 | 36.8%14 W · 24 L | -4.1wins | -0.11per pick | 48cpaid | -30.3%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xc4fe…601fbacked 100 Thieves | 62c | 18.55$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.04 | 3,459 | 29.3%1,012 W · 2,447 L | -279.9wins | -0.08per pick | 37cpaid | -43.5%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…ba2cbacked 100 Thieves | 68c | 15$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.8 | 445 | 63.8%284 W · 161 L | +19.5wins | +0.04per pick | 59cpaid | +8.6%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in CS2 and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 4 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Counter-Strike: 100 Thieves vs Betclic Apogee Esports - Map 1 Winnerthis page
- Counter-Strike: 100 Thieves vs Betclic Apogee Esports (BO3) - NODWIN Clutch Series Playoffs100 Thieves won
- Counter-Strike: 100 Thieves vs Betclic Apogee Esports - Map 2 Winner100 Thieves won
- Map Handicap: 100T (-1.5) vs Betclic Apogee Esports (+1.5)100 Thieves won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.