CS2 · resolved market
Counter-Strike: 100 Thieves vs Betclic Apogee Esports (BO3) - NODWIN Clutch Series Playoffs
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x47d85ce9da42deb535a60ec7a0ca1f0c78aca8628dda420f8417da85bc604532
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- 100 Thievesof 100 Thieves, Betclic Apogee Esports
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- CS2every record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $26,630
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $28,193
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $26,630 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 39 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in CS2 is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in CS2 | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x50dc…b61abacked Betclic Apogee Esports | 19c | 3,300$622 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$621.75 | 72 | 29.2%21 W · 51 L | -1.3wins | -0.02per pick | 31cpaid | +14%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3ee4…ed67backed Betclic Apogee Esports | 21c | 2,806$579 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$578.72 | 193 | 40.4%78 W · 115 L | -10.1wins | -0.05per pick | 46cpaid | -20.4%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x52b7…0aa1backed Betclic Apogee Esports | 18c | 2,250$405 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$405 | 1,411 | 33.7%475 W · 936 L | +42.1wins | +0.03per pick | 31cpaid | +8.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8b0e…bd73backed 100 Thieves | 79c | 955.21$750 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$205.21 | 49 | 44.9%22 W · 27 L | -4.7wins | -0.10per pick | 54cpaid | -23.5%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xfd14…2267backed Betclic Apogee Esports | 22c | 813.98$179 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$179.07 | 5,830 | 37.8%2,203 W · 3,627 L | +79.0wins | +0.01per pick | 36cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xda34…01a8backed Betclic Apogee Esports | 17c | 763.51$130 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$129.8 | 116 | 33.6%39 W · 77 L | -0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 34cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd218…b5c9backed Betclic Apogee Esports | 3c | 627.68$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.28 | 1,579 | 29.7%469 W · 1,110 L | -86.9wins | -0.06per pick | 35cpaid | -39.1%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x629d…756cbacked Betclic Apogee Esports | 18c | 569.44$102 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$102.36 | 2,349 | 42.5%998 W · 1,351 L | -72.7wins | -0.03per pick | 46cpaid | -20.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x18f3…0c20backed Betclic Apogee Esports | 20c | 499.98$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 261 | 55.2%144 W · 117 L | +5.7wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xebff…70e5backed Betclic Apogee Esports | 13c | 496.42$66 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$66.47 | 2,774 | 24.5%681 W · 2,093 L | -295.8wins | -0.11per pick | 35cpaid | -50.7%equal weight | 38-0.11 edge/pick |
| 0xc0f1…8680backed Betclic Apogee Esports | 18c | 429.98$77 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$77.4 | 2,522 | 43%1,085 W · 1,437 L | +42.7wins | +0.02per pick | 41cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x29b5…cc6cbacked Betclic Apogee Esports | 19c | 352.73$67 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$67.02 | 5,050 | 55.1%2,781 W · 2,269 L | +117.2wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | +5.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc4fe…601fbacked 100 Thieves | 80c | 280.25$223 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$56.79 | 3,459 | 29.3%1,012 W · 2,447 L | -279.9wins | -0.08per pick | 37cpaid | -43.5%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x36d9…c3cabacked 100 Thieves | 79c | 266.28$210 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$56.7 | 199 | 54.8%109 W · 90 L | +6.2wins | +0.03per pick | 52cpaid | +10%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x14e7…a32cbacked Betclic Apogee Esports | 11c | 250.49$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.33 | 1,302 | 41.2%536 W · 766 L | -50.1wins | -0.04per pick | 45cpaid | -24.1%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5135…7217backed Betclic Apogee Esports | 19c | 236.17$44 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$44.26 | 1,620 | 52.7%853 W · 767 L | +57.6wins | +0.04per pick | 49cpaid | +7.2%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf1ee…519cbacked Betclic Apogee Esports | 17c | 230$39 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39.1 | 3,202 | 45.6%1,459 W · 1,743 L | -79.3wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -16%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8e67…dad6backed Betclic Apogee Esports | 18c | 225$41 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40.5 | 7 | 0%0 W · 7 L | -1.7wins | -0.25per pick | 25cpaid | -100%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x4713…4d21backed Betclic Apogee Esports | 15c | 161.01$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.89 | 5,287 | 31.3%1,657 W · 3,630 L | -383.3wins | -0.07per pick | 39cpaid | -37.1%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x1cdd…e595backed Betclic Apogee Esports | 18c | 140.92$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.85 | 2,468 | 24.6%607 W · 1,861 L | -317.8wins | -0.13per pick | 37cpaid | -51.7%equal weight | 36-0.13 edge/pick |
| 0xd554…06e6backed Betclic Apogee Esports | 10c | 131.66$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.17 | 14 | 28.6%4 W · 10 L | -1.4wins | -0.10per pick | 39cpaid | -14.6%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x64d4…f056backed 100 Thieves | 51c | 115.23$59 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$56.07 | 664 | 36.6%243 W · 421 L | -35.9wins | -0.05per pick | 42cpaid | -29.2%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xe907…cff6backed Betclic Apogee Esports | 11c | 111.6$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.32 | 2,326 | 45.1%1,049 W · 1,277 L | -62.2wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -16.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0a16…9d73backed Betclic Apogee Esports | 22c | 109.27$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.24 | 83 | 44.6%37 W · 46 L | -6.5wins | -0.08per pick | 52cpaid | -15.1%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xd652…6354backed 100 Thieves | 80c | 100$80 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20 | 137 | 57.7%79 W · 58 L | +4.0wins | +0.03per pick | 55cpaid | 0%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf01f…e8fbbacked Betclic Apogee Esports | 23c | 100$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.5 | 82 | 30.5%25 W · 57 L | +1.3wins | +0.02per pick | 29cpaid | +8.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8389…a8aabacked Betclic Apogee Esports | 16c | 75$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | +0.4wins | +0.11per pick | 14cpaid | +4.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9fe2…ccffbacked Betclic Apogee Esports | 18c | 75$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.5 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.3wins | -0.15per pick | 15cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdb25…eb12backed Betclic Apogee Esports | 20c | 74.04$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 500 | 51.4%257 W · 243 L | -6.1wins | -0.01per pick | 53cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x94d2…cfbdbacked Betclic Apogee Esports | 19c | 72.95$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.08 | 2,110 | 47.2%995 W · 1,115 L | -62.2wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -18.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5fa6…03ebbacked Betclic Apogee Esports | 17c | 72$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.24 | 956 | 42.6%407 W · 549 L | -7.3wins | -0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa6d4…2f1ebacked Betclic Apogee Esports | 22c | 71.67$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16 | 291 | 56.7%165 W · 126 L | +9.5wins | +0.03per pick | 53cpaid | +6.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xde56…c2f9backed Betclic Apogee Esports | 20c | 51.8$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.36 | 128 | 44.5%57 W · 71 L | -9.7wins | -0.08per pick | 52cpaid | -11.1%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x8741…5b0abacked Betclic Apogee Esports | 25c | 50$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.3 | 14 | 57.1%8 W · 6 L | +0.3wins | +0.02per pick | 55cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x72aa…90e0backed 100 Thieves | 73c | 46.65$34 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.6 | 4,228 | 49.2%2,080 W · 2,148 L | +59.9wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -10.7%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4db1…528cbacked 100 Thieves | 79c | 31.13$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.43 | 71 | 50.7%36 W · 35 L | -1.5wins | -0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x36d8…c7c7backed 100 Thieves | 79c | 24.58$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.16 | 576 | 41.5%239 W · 337 L | -8.3wins | -0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -9%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x635d…7047backed 100 Thieves | 80c | 21.04$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.21 | 57 | 47.4%27 W · 30 L | +1.3wins | +0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -14.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7d70…ae13backed 100 Thieves | 80c | 20$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4 | 40 | 45%18 W · 22 L | -2.6wins | -0.06per pick | 51cpaid | -12.6%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in CS2 and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 4 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Counter-Strike: 100 Thieves vs Betclic Apogee Esports (BO3) - NODWIN Clutch Series Playoffsthis page
- Counter-Strike: 100 Thieves vs Betclic Apogee Esports - Map 1 Winner100 Thieves won
- Counter-Strike: 100 Thieves vs Betclic Apogee Esports - Map 2 Winner100 Thieves won
- Map Handicap: 100T (-1.5) vs Betclic Apogee Esports (+1.5)100 Thieves won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.