TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Wallet 0x8e67…dad6

Rebuilt .

Summary

Qualified picks
49
Categories scored
7
Categories below 50
4

Best Category: MLB, grading 51 out of 100 (+0.01 per pick).

Best Category MLB at 51 out of 100; worst CS2 at 44.

What is a Tail Score?

A mark out of 100, per Category. 50 means no edge at all — this wallet did about what the prices it paid implied it would. Above 50 it beat those prices; below 50 it did worse than them.

The scale does not move. 100 is a wallet beating the prices it paid by 0.45 per pick and 0 is losing to them by the same, on every wallet, on every page, in every month. So a grade you screenshot today still means what it meant when you took it, and two wallets can be put side by side.

Nobody reaches either end. Across every wallet TailMyPicks has scored, the marks run from roughly 5 to 87 — which is what a fixed ruler costs, and what buys the sentence above.

It is not a win rate. A wallet can win four Picks in five and still grade below 50, if the market was already pricing those outcomes at 90c — it paid for the wins rather than finding them. The vs expected and Avg entry columns below are what separate the two.

The mark is deliberately pulled toward 50 when there is little evidence. Three lucky Picks do not produce a high grade; several hundred consistent ones do. So a modest grade on thousands of Picks means something a high grade on twelve does not.

Because it is shrunk this way, a Category grade is a conservative reading. The headline figure for a wallet is its best Category, so it always understates how badly the wallet does in its worst one — which is why the table below is per Category and not one blended number.

Record by Category

Ordered by how much this wallet actually traded in each Category, not by score — so the Categories it plays most appear first whether they went well or badly. Open any row to see the picks its numbers were computed from — all of them.

CategoryQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
Tennis Inactivelast resolved Jun 19, 2026, EDT3444.1%15 W · 19 L+0.5wins+0.01per pick43cpaid-13.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
Tennis — the 34 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Tennis, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
ITF Bucharest: Iulia Maria Buculei vs Lavinia Tanasiebacked Lavinia Tanasie · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)80c$40Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 19, 2026, EDT+25%+$10
ITF Ystad: Valentina Ivanov vs Madison Siegbacked Madison Sieg · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)78c$39Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 19, 2026, EDT+28.2%+$11
ITF Samobor: Andrej Nedic vs Sebastian Sorgerbacked Andrej Nedic · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)75c$38Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 19, 2026, EDT+33.3%+$12.5
ITF Kayseri: Adelina Lachinova vs Ada Kumrubacked Adelina Lachinova · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)77c$77Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 19, 2026, EDT+29.9%+$23
ITF Tokyo: Tai Leonard Sach vs Masamichi Imamurabacked Masamichi Imamura · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)78c$39Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 19, 2026, EDT+28.2%+$11
ITF Tauste: Tiphanie Lemaitre vs Anna Kubarevabacked Anna Kubareva · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)80c$200Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 18, 2026, EDT+25.3%+$50.5
ITF Haskovo: Valeriia Artemeva vs Zhibek Kulambayevabacked Zhibek Kulambayeva · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)76c$76Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 18, 2026, EDT+31.6%+$24
ITF Tokyo: Jake Delaney vs Yusuke Kusuharabacked Jake Delaney · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)76c$380Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 18, 2026, EDT+31.6%+$120
ITF Dinard: Laetitia Sarrazin vs Monika Wojcikbacked Laetitia Sarrazin · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)80c$40Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 17, 2026, EDT+25%+$10
ITF Tokyo: Kosuke Ogura vs Keisuke Saitohbacked Keisuke Saitoh · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)77c$77Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 17, 2026, EDT+30.7%+$23.5
Royan: Leo Raquillet vs Manoj Dhamne Manasbacked Manoj Dhamne Manas · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)78c$156Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 16, 2026, EDT-100%-$156
ITF Bourg-En-Bresse: Andrea M'chich vs Hugo Carbacked Hugo Car · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)80c$120Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 16, 2026, EDT+25.5%+$30.5
ITF Sapporo: Gaeul Jang vs Sera Nishimotobacked Gaeul Jang · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)79c$237Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 16, 2026, EDT+26.6%+$63
ITF Taipei: Kayo Nishimura vs Sara Saitobacked Sara Saito · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)76c$114Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 16, 2026, EDT-100%-$114
Nottingham 2: Jaime Faria vs Moez Echarguibacked Moez Echargui · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)18c$14Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 15, 2026, EDT-100%-$13.5
Grass Court Championships, Qualification: Diane Parry vs Ella Seidelbacked Ella Seidel · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)16c$24Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 15, 2026, EDT-100%-$24
ITF Kursumlijska Banja: Sean Cuenin vs Stefano D'agostinobacked Stefano D'agostino · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)17c$51Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$51
ITF Curtea de Arges: Radu Mihai Papoe vs Anas Mazdrashkibacked Anas Mazdrashki · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)17c$51Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$51
ITF Tokyo: Naoya Honda vs Jangjun Kimbacked Naoya Honda · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)18c$14Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$13.5
ITF Maanshan: Matthew Dellavedova vs Chan-Yeong Ohbacked Chan-Yeong Oh · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)7c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 13, 2026, EDT-100%-$10.5
ITF Tokyo: Hikaru Shiraishi vs Jangjun Kimbacked Hikaru Shiraishi · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)15c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 13, 2026, EDT-100%-$11.25
Tucuman: Carlos Maria Zarate vs Luciano Emanuel Ambrogibacked Carlos Maria Zarate · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)14c$22Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 12, 2026, EDT-100%-$21.75
ITF Zagreb: Kajsa Rinaldo Persson vs Laura Mairbacked Laura Mair · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)15c$23Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 12, 2026, EDT-100%-$22.5
ITF Maanshan: Dong Ju Kim vs Matthew Dellavedovabacked Dong Ju Kim · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)21c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 12, 2026, EDT-100%-$14.6
ITF Wichita: William Manning vs Enzo Aguiardbacked William Manning · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)14c$14Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 11, 2026, EDT-100%-$13.7
Showing 25 of 34 picks, newest first.
CS2 Inactivelast resolved Jun 18, 2026, EDT70%0 W · 7 L-1.7wins-0.25per pick25cpaid-100%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
CS2 — the 7 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in CS2, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Counter-Strike: Ground Zero vs Rooster (BO3) - Dfrag Open Series #5 Playoffsbacked Ground Zero · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)77c$270Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 18, 2026, EDT-100%-$269.5
Counter-Strike: 100 Thieves vs Betclic Apogee Esports (BO3) - NODWIN Clutch Series Playoffsbacked Betclic Apogee Esports · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)18c$41Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 15, 2026, EDT-100%-$40.5
Counter-Strike: BASEMENT BOYS vs Alliance (BO3) - ROG Journey Playoffsbacked BASEMENT BOYS · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)16c$60Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$60
Counter-Strike: Club 333 vs Iowa Stormboar (BO3) - NSTLGA League Playoffsbacked Club 333 · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)10c$23Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 13, 2026, EDT-100%-$23.28
Counter-Strike: Minkens finest vs Nexus (BO1) - ROG Journey Group Bbacked Minkens finest · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)18c$41Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 12, 2026, EDT-100%-$40.5
Counter-Strike: Noir Verse vs Saab (BO1) - ROG Journey Group Abacked Saab · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)14c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 12, 2026, EDT-100%-$10.5
Counter-Strike: Gatorian vs XCLAN (BO1) - ROG Journey Group Bbacked XCLAN · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)19c$43Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 12, 2026, EDT-100%-$42.75
All 7 picks, newest first.
Dota2 Inactivelast resolved Jun 18, 2026, EDT40%0 W · 4 L-0.7wins-0.16per pick16cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
Dota2 — the 4 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Dota2, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MLB Inactivelast resolved Apr 28, 2026, EDT1100%1 W · 0 L+0.2wins+0.23per pick77cpaid+29.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
MLB — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in MLB, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Miami Marlins vs. Los Angeles Dodgersbacked Los Angeles Dodgers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)77c$77Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 28, 2026, EDT+29.9%+$23
All 1 picks, newest first.
NBA Inactivelast resolved Apr 28, 2026, EDT1100%1 W · 0 L+0.2wins+0.20per pick80cpaid+25%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
NBA — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NBA, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Timberwolves vs. Nuggetsbacked Nuggets · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)80c$80Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 28, 2026, EDT+25%+$20
All 1 picks, newest first.
Lol Inactivelast resolved Jun 15, 2026, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.2wins-0.21per pick21cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Lol — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Lol, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
LoL: Saigon Warriors vs Top Esports Challenger (BO3) - Asia Masters Last Chance Qualifierbacked Saigon Warriors · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)21c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 15, 2026, EDT-100%-$15.46
All 1 picks, newest first.
Tweets Inactivelast resolved May 8, 2026, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.7wins-0.74per pick74cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
Tweets — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Tweets, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Donald Trump post 140-159 Truth Social posts from May 1 to May 8, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)74c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 8, 2026, EDT-100%-$14.8
All 1 picks, newest first.

vs expected is how many more (or fewer) Picks this wallet won than the prices it paid implied it would. It is the column that tells a real edge apart from a record bought by backing favourites. Realizable edge is what that comes to per Pick for somebody copying the wallet, after the cost of getting in behind it. Avg entry is the average price it paid, so a strong record built on heavy favourites shows as one. ROI per pick counts every Pick equally rather than by size, which is how a record earned across many Picks is told apart from one carried by a few large ones. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in — an American night game settles after midnight UTC, so any other zone would name the day after the one it was played on. Inactive means nothing has resolved in that Category recently. The score is kept and the wallet stays reachable here; it only leaves the default leaderboard.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.