Tennis · resolved market
ITF Tokyo: Jake Delaney vs Yusuke Kusuhara
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x90cc2d67c86b6739cfc578505dc61b09b9f4389d542eaf849b2e7fba8fdc62fb
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Jake Delaneyof Jake Delaney, Yusuke Kusuhara
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Tennisevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $1,877
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $1,889
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $1,877 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 15 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Tennis is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Tennis | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x8e67…dad6backed Jake Delaney | 76c | 500$380 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$120 | 34 | 44.1%15 W · 19 L | +0.5wins | +0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -13.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x25af…9433backed Yusuke Kusuhara | 24c | 500$120 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$120 | 25 | 8%2 W · 23 L | -2.8wins | -0.11per pick | 19cpaid | -65.2%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xec28…8d7abacked Yusuke Kusuhara | 29c | 477.3$137 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$136.82 | 112 | 30.4%34 W · 78 L | -7.7wins | -0.07per pick | 37cpaid | -26.4%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xda77…683fbacked Jake Delaney | 74c | 305.91$227 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$79.16 | 5,416 | 48.6%2,633 W · 2,783 L | +14.5wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -9.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf5ec…23bdbacked Jake Delaney | 76c | 225$171 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$54 | 167 | 69.5%116 W · 51 L | +5.1wins | +0.03per pick | 66cpaid | +27.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4741…6af1backed Yusuke Kusuhara | 24c | 225$54 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$54 | 69 | 8.7%6 W · 63 L | -3.8wins | -0.06per pick | 14cpaid | -29.8%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa9f5…937fbacked Jake Delaney | 71c | 211.5$150 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$61.33 | 4,602 | 48.3%2,223 W · 2,379 L | +34.4wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -8.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x52be…801ebacked Yusuke Kusuhara | 22c | 179.91$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 307 | 49.8%153 W · 154 L | -6.3wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -5.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdd5f…c343backed Yusuke Kusuhara | 24c | 150$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36 | 54 | 14.8%8 W · 46 L | -2.2wins | -0.04per pick | 19cpaid | -18.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf01f…e8fbbacked Jake Delaney | 76c | 150$114 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$36 | 264 | 26.9%71 W · 193 L | -2.6wins | -0.01per pick | 28cpaid | -10.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0d2d…7ff5backed Jake Delaney | 74c | 135.8$101 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$35.11 | 8,505 | 42.6%3,619 W · 4,886 L | -166.3wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -21.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6318…46b1backed Yusuke Kusuhara | 23c | 79.65$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.32 | 5,261 | 28.8%1,514 W · 3,747 L | -19.4wins | 0.00per pick | 29cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xfe99…506bbacked Jake Delaney | 77c | 64.94$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.94 | 678 | 52.1%353 W · 325 L | -2.7wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6553…7a71backed Jake Delaney | 75c | 15$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3.75 | 1,125 | 51.1%575 W · 550 L | -11.2wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x076d…8d4cbacked Jake Delaney | 77c | 13.3$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3.06 | 4,241 | 52.6%2,232 W · 2,009 L | +65.0wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Tennis and say nothing about this market.
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.