TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Wallet 0xdd5f…c343

Rebuilt .

Summary

Qualified picks
69
Categories scored
5
Categories below 50
4

Best Category: Dota2, grading 50 out of 100 (0.00 per pick).

Best Category Dota2 at 50 out of 100; worst Tennis at 47.

What is a Tail Score?

A mark out of 100, per Category. 50 means no edge at all — this wallet did about what the prices it paid implied it would. Above 50 it beat those prices; below 50 it did worse than them.

The scale does not move. 100 is a wallet beating the prices it paid by 0.45 per pick and 0 is losing to them by the same, on every wallet, on every page, in every month. So a grade you screenshot today still means what it meant when you took it, and two wallets can be put side by side.

Nobody reaches either end. Across every wallet TailMyPicks has scored, the marks run from roughly 5 to 87 — which is what a fixed ruler costs, and what buys the sentence above.

It is not a win rate. A wallet can win four Picks in five and still grade below 50, if the market was already pricing those outcomes at 90c — it paid for the wins rather than finding them. The vs expected and Avg entry columns below are what separate the two.

The mark is deliberately pulled toward 50 when there is little evidence. Three lucky Picks do not produce a high grade; several hundred consistent ones do. So a modest grade on thousands of Picks means something a high grade on twelve does not.

Because it is shrunk this way, a Category grade is a conservative reading. The headline figure for a wallet is its best Category, so it always understates how badly the wallet does in its worst one — which is why the table below is per Category and not one blended number.

Record by Category

Ordered by how much this wallet actually traded in each Category, not by score — so the Categories it plays most appear first whether they went well or badly. Open any row to see the picks its numbers were computed from — all of them.

CategoryQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
Tennislast resolved Aug 14, 2026, EDT5414.8%8 W · 46 L-2.2wins-0.04per pick19cpaid-18.4%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
Tennis — the 54 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Tennis, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
ITF W15 Astana 5 Women: Completed Match: Asylzhan Arystanbekova vs Anna Pushkarevabacked No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)5c$16Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$15.5
ITF Bacau: Radu Mihai Papoe vs Liam Delicatabacked Liam Delicata · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)10c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 23, 2026, EDT-100%-$11
ITF Nogent-Sur-Marne: Daphnee Mpetshi Perricard vs Hanna Bougouffabacked Hanna Bougouffa · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)8c$13Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 22, 2026, EDT-100%-$12.8
ITF Kursumlijska Banja: Federica Sacco vs Kristina Kovganbacked Kristina Kovgan · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)10c$16Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 21, 2026, EDT-100%-$16
Set 1 Winner: Osorio vs Tomljanovicbacked Osorio · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)4c$12Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 20, 2026, EDT-100%-$12.45
ITF Kayseri: Nicolas Tepmahc vs Ammar Faleh Alhogbanibacked Ammar Faleh Alhogbani · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)20c$60Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 20, 2026, EDT-100%-$60
ITF Milano: Georgii Kravchenko vs Giuseppe La Velabacked Giuseppe La Vela · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)20c$96Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$96.48
ITF Dinard: Antonia Stoyanov vs Franziska Sziedatbacked Franziska Sziedat · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)15c$23Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$22.5
Grass Court Championships (Doubles): Eikeri/Gleason vs Mertens/Zhangbacked Eikeri/Gleason · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)22c$66Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 19, 2026, EDT+354.5%+$234
ITF Monastir: Dominika Podhajecka vs Mariia Nozdrachovabacked Mariia Nozdrachova · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)12c$18Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 19, 2026, EDT+733.3%+$132
ITF Blois: Francesca Curmi vs Ipek Ozbacked Francesca Curmi · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)26c$77Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 19, 2026, EDT+292.2%+$223.5
Poznan: Michele Ribecai vs Facundo Acostabacked Michele Ribecai · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)24c$18Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$18
ITF Mohammedia: Federica Sacco vs Martina Colmegnabacked Federica Sacco · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)24c$36Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$36
ITF Ystad: Lea Nilsson vs Linea Bajraliubacked Linea Bajraliu · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)21c$21Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$20.94
ITF Kursumlijska Banja: Ana Giraldi Requena vs Marianne Argyrokastritibacked Ana Giraldi Requena · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)15c$68Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$67.5
ITF Kursumlijska Banja: Oscar Brown vs George Lazarovbacked Oscar Brown · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)14c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$10.5
ITF Bucharest: Iulia Maria Buculei vs Lavinia Tanasiebacked Iulia Maria Buculei · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)21c$16Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$15.75
ITF Kayseri: Adelina Lachinova vs Ada Kumrubacked Ada Kumru · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)23c$35Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$34.5
ITF Klosters: Dominic Stephan Stricker vs Kai Wehneltbacked Kai Wehnelt · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)22c$33Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 19, 2026, EDT+354.5%+$117
ITF Samobor: Nikita Mashtakov vs Nicolas Jadounbacked Nicolas Jadoun · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)24c$144Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$144
ITF Tokyo: Tai Leonard Sach vs Masamichi Imamurabacked Tai Leonard Sach · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)28c$42Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$41.9
ITF Tokyo: Jake Delaney vs Max Purcellbacked Jake Delaney · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)19c$14Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 19, 2026, EDT+426.3%+$60.75
ITF Taipei: Dayeon Back vs Naho Satobacked Naho Sato · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)18c$26Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$26.25
ITF Irvine: Alexis Nguyen vs Sophia Websterbacked Sophia Webster · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)14c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 18, 2026, EDT-100%-$20.25
ITF Tulsa: Maximus Dussault vs Ozan Barisbacked Maximus Dussault · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)15c$101Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 18, 2026, EDT+566.7%+$573.75
Showing 25 of 54 picks, newest first.
Dota2 Inactivelast resolved Aug 6, 2026, EDT714.3%1 W · 6 L+0.1wins+0.01per pick13cpaid-35.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
Dota2 — the 7 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Dota2, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

CS2 Inactivelast resolved Jun 18, 2026, EDT520%1 W · 4 L-0.1wins-0.02per pick22cpaid-15.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
CS2 — the 5 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in CS2, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MLB Inactivelast resolved Jun 21, 2026, EDT20%0 W · 2 L0.0wins-0.02per pick2cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
MLB — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in MLB, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Mickey Gasper: Home Runs O/U 0.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)3c$52Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 21, 2026, EDT-100%-$52.2
Vaughn Grissom: Home Runs O/U 0.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)2c$30Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 20, 2026, EDT-100%-$30
All 2 picks, newest first.
Fifa International Inactivelast resolved Jun 21, 2026, EDT10%0 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.03per pick3cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
Fifa International — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Fifa International, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Hamza Abdelkarim: 5+ shotsbacked Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)3c$49Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 21, 2026, EDT-100%-$49.3
All 1 picks, newest first.

vs expected is how many more (or fewer) Picks this wallet won than the prices it paid implied it would. It is the column that tells a real edge apart from a record bought by backing favourites. Realizable edge is what that comes to per Pick for somebody copying the wallet, after the cost of getting in behind it. Avg entry is the average price it paid, so a strong record built on heavy favourites shows as one. ROI per pick counts every Pick equally rather than by size, which is how a record earned across many Picks is told apart from one carried by a few large ones. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in — an American night game settles after midnight UTC, so any other zone would name the day after the one it was played on. Inactive means nothing has resolved in that Category recently. The score is kept and the wallet stays reachable here; it only leaves the default leaderboard.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.