Tennis · resolved market
ITF Mohammedia: Federica Sacco vs Martina Colmegna
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x31b78d7f3024b82e5a546f66057bc993e005f0afa8d1ddbbdab497dd72ef08b7
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Martina Colmegnaof Federica Sacco, Martina Colmegna
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Tennisevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $9,032
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $9,084
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $9,032 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 41 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Tennis is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Tennis | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Martina Colmegna | 57c | 6,298$3,588 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,710.04 | 11,435 | 43.4%4,959 W · 6,476 L | +17.8wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | -20.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xff34…694bbacked Federica Sacco | 46c | 3,388$1,547 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,547.45 | 2,761 | 53.9%1,487 W · 1,274 L | +73.8wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked Federica Sacco | 46c | 1,034$476 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$475.95 | 6,439 | 54.4%3,502 W · 2,937 L | +285.2wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | +26.3%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Federica Sacco | 27c | 511.62$136 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$135.69 | 8,217 | 45.5%3,737 W · 4,480 L | +166.6wins | +0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -16.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x14f3…0796backed Federica Sacco | 46c | 432.29$198 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$198.43 | 1,234 | 46.3%571 W · 663 L | +8.7wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf66e…14b7backed Federica Sacco | 47c | 428$203 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$203.01 | 727 | 55.6%404 W · 323 L | +27.9wins | +0.04per pick | 52cpaid | +4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6553…7a71backed Martina Colmegna | 51c | 284.44$144 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$140.59 | 1,125 | 51.1%575 W · 550 L | -11.2wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfe78…0319backed Federica Sacco | 38c | 248.83$94 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$93.95 | 8,828 | 36.1%3,190 W · 5,638 L | -193.3wins | -0.02per pick | 38cpaid | -27.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc4fe…601fbacked Federica Sacco | 45c | 226.85$103 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$102.76 | 6,449 | 46.3%2,987 W · 3,462 L | -42.9wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -13%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xddf5…aaa3backed Federica Sacco | 46c | 215.79$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 692 | 53.3%369 W · 323 L | -10.4wins | -0.02per pick | 55cpaid | -2.8%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc2be…af12backed Martina Colmegna | 63c | 202$127 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$74.74 | 2,032 | 46.9%952 W · 1,080 L | -12.4wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdd5f…c343backed Federica Sacco | 24c | 150$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36 | 54 | 14.8%8 W · 46 L | -2.2wins | -0.04per pick | 19cpaid | -18.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf01f…e8fbbacked Martina Colmegna | 76c | 150$114 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$36 | 264 | 26.9%71 W · 193 L | -2.6wins | -0.01per pick | 28cpaid | -10.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8f41…260ebacked Federica Sacco | 45c | 142.82$64 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$64.27 | 379 | 44.6%169 W · 210 L | -4.9wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -5.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2bf3…4f00backed Federica Sacco | 47c | 138.51$66 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$65.63 | 435 | 52.9%230 W · 205 L | +0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 53cpaid | -2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x775d…6bebbacked Martina Colmegna | 63c | 128.95$82 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$47.3 | 1,767 | 52.1%920 W · 847 L | -2.2wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -6.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc1b5…c8f8backed Martina Colmegna | 59c | 127.98$75 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$52.53 | 1,062 | 42%446 W · 616 L | -5.5wins | -0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdc89…095cbacked Federica Sacco | 48c | 121.97$59 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$59.1 | 32 | 68.8%22 W · 10 L | +4.7wins | +0.15per pick | 54cpaid | +24.8%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x349e…867bbacked Federica Sacco | 48c | 120.25$58 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$57.66 | 753 | 50.5%380 W · 373 L | +5.7wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xadfb…c2efbacked Martina Colmegna | 53c | 106.61$57 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$49.63 | 3,256 | 48.2%1,570 W · 1,686 L | -53.4wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -4.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcd96…11a3backed Martina Colmegna | 48c | 104.17$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$54.17 | 2,274 | 58%1,318 W · 956 L | -10.3wins | 0.00per pick | 58cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0d2d…7ff5backed Martina Colmegna | 52c | 96$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$46.04 | 8,505 | 42.6%3,619 W · 4,886 L | -166.3wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -21.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1cdd…e595backed Federica Sacco | 22c | 89.99$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.57 | 1,870 | 16%299 W · 1,571 L | -314.3wins | -0.17per pick | 33cpaid | -65.6%equal weight | 32-0.17 edge/pick |
| 0xc5ea…42e8backed Federica Sacco | 47c | 84.79$39 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39.45 | 898 | 59.7%536 W · 362 L | +2.3wins | 0.00per pick | 59cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd9c9…6686backed Federica Sacco | 46c | 64.97$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.05 | 1,337 | 46%615 W · 722 L | +23.1wins | +0.02per pick | 44cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x629d…756cbacked Martina Colmegna | 72c | 63$45 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.83 | 2,082 | 52.3%1,088 W · 994 L | +19.0wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -5.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2ad5…62ffbacked Federica Sacco | 39c | 62.69$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.75 | 1,228 | 23.1%284 W · 944 L | -164.0wins | -0.13per pick | 36cpaid | -47%equal weight | 35-0.13 edge/pick |
| 0x767e…98cabacked Federica Sacco | 46c | 50$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23 | 408 | 61.3%250 W · 158 L | -12.6wins | -0.03per pick | 64cpaid | -5.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6cd3…226ebacked Federica Sacco | 36c | 47.07$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.83 | 234 | 27.4%64 W · 170 L | -40.1wins | -0.17per pick | 44cpaid | -48.5%equal weight | 33-0.15 edge/pick |
| 0x4787…db20backed Federica Sacco | 44c | 42.01$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.62 | 282 | 64.2%181 W · 101 L | +14.5wins | +0.05per pick | 59cpaid | +8.3%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xddb6…b9b3backed Federica Sacco | 32c | 37.78$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.09 | 1,725 | 52.2%901 W · 824 L | -8.0wins | 0.00per pick | 53cpaid | -5.2%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8a38…d420backed Federica Sacco | 52c | 35.68$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.51 | 111 | 44.1%49 W · 62 L | -3.4wins | -0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -9.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc70b…d2f2backed Federica Sacco | 42c | 33.48$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14 | 139 | 66.2%92 W · 47 L | +17.0wins | +0.12per pick | 54cpaid | +22.3%equal weight | 62+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0xbd3a…91fdbacked Martina Colmegna | 77c | 30$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.9 | 1,018 | 46.8%476 W · 542 L | +1.1wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa578…6702backed Martina Colmegna | 54c | 30$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.8 | 1,588 | 47%746 W · 842 L | -24.2wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -3.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2488…ff0ebacked Federica Sacco | 46c | 26.09$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12 | 486 | 50.6%246 W · 240 L | +7.5wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9e20…5cf9backed Martina Colmegna | 55c | 25.26$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.26 | 355 | 55.5%197 W · 158 L | +4.5wins | +0.01per pick | 54cpaid | +4.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x26c2…0cdfbacked Federica Sacco | 40c | 25$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 743 | 46.3%344 W · 399 L | -28.9wins | -0.04per pick | 50cpaid | -9.5%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5210…bd53backed Martina Colmegna | 53c | 25$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.75 | 3,874 | 45.4%1,758 W · 2,116 L | -39.6wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcc75…af4dbacked Martina Colmegna | 55c | 20$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9 | 188 | 41.5%78 W · 110 L | +8.9wins | +0.05per pick | 37cpaid | +4.4%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb155…ca84backed Martina Colmegna | 66c | 16$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.44 | 920 | 46.6%429 W · 491 L | -14.2wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -9.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Tennis and say nothing about this market.
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.