Dota2 · resolved market
Dota 2: Zero Tenacity vs Flame Team (BO3) - European Pro League Playoffs
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x673b73131cc97932aadc25a97fb592d393fa00a022ffa2ca2e2f0e07e33324a5
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Flame Teamof Zero Tenacity, Flame Team
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Dota2every record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $11,828
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $12,773
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $11,828 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 55 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Dota2 is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Dota2 | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x0249…5b4bbacked Flame Team | 21c | 1,200$252 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$948 | 7 | 57.1%4 W · 3 L | +1.5wins | +0.21per pick | 36cpaid | +89.6%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x824b…8386backed Zero Tenacity | 79c | 998.83$790 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$790 | 158 | 48.1%76 W · 82 L | -13.8wins | -0.09per pick | 57cpaid | -21.6%equal weight | 42-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x0c99…0c88backed Zero Tenacity | 25c | 757.18$187 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$187.08 | 1,164 | 47.2%549 W · 615 L | -29.1wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -9.2%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3ee4…ed67backed Flame Team | 23c | 586.41$134 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$452.83 | 35 | 34.3%12 W · 23 L | -2.3wins | -0.07per pick | 41cpaid | -24.7%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xbfd7…f0bfbacked Flame Team | 49c | 556.98$273 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$284.06 | 2,367 | 47.3%1,119 W · 1,248 L | +17.5wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -7.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x26f8…3452backed Zero Tenacity | 80c | 525$420 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$420 | 154 | 57.1%88 W · 66 L | -0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 57cpaid | -4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x57b2…9da2backed Flame Team | 22c | 503.64$110 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$393.64 | 139 | 41.7%58 W · 81 L | +1.3wins | +0.01per pick | 41cpaid | +5.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x51db…f9b3backed Flame Team | 40c | 500.19$198 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$302.02 | 2,828 | 43.6%1,234 W · 1,594 L | -39.5wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -20.9%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x80d8…b703backed Zero Tenacity | 42c | 499.75$208 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$208.4 | 745 | 49.3%367 W · 378 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8a90…7e68backed Zero Tenacity | 77c | 420$323 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$323.4 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.19per pick | 69cpaid | -16.7%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2b35…0bfebacked Zero Tenacity | 78c | 400$312 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$312 | 264 | 45.1%119 W · 145 L | -4.9wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -4.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8935…7daabacked Zero Tenacity | 54c | 397.2$214 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$214.06 | 1,151 | 47.8%550 W · 601 L | -12.0wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -12%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3116…b30dbacked Zero Tenacity | 79c | 308.5$244 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$243.52 | 13 | 61.5%8 W · 5 L | +1.6wins | +0.13per pick | 49cpaid | +37.5%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6e31…0e6ebacked Flame Team | 71c | 246.48$175 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$71.48 | 150 | 69.3%104 W · 46 L | -5.9wins | -0.04per pick | 73cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x904e…0becbacked Zero Tenacity | 54c | 244.85$132 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$132.16 | 1,443 | 48.7%703 W · 740 L | +29.5wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -14.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf7d6…cab5backed Zero Tenacity | 73c | 241.92$177 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$176.76 | 513 | 64.9%333 W · 180 L | +16.4wins | +0.03per pick | 62cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xddbd…bcb5backed Zero Tenacity | 50c | 214.2$108 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$107.84 | 140 | 30.7%43 W · 97 L | -5.2wins | -0.04per pick | 34cpaid | -21.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9a8e…9408backed Zero Tenacity | 50c | 200.8$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 962 | 45.5%438 W · 524 L | +22.1wins | +0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x07fa…f5cdbacked Flame Team | 20c | 200$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$160 | 459 | 40.5%186 W · 273 L | +14.4wins | +0.03per pick | 37cpaid | +9.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x76bb…4548backed Flame Team | 70c | 177.63$125 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$52.63 | 86 | 60.5%52 W · 34 L | -1.6wins | -0.02per pick | 62cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe1d3…b8debacked Flame Team | 59c | 149.99$88 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$61.5 | 695 | 52.2%363 W · 332 L | +45.3wins | +0.07per pick | 46cpaid | +12.7%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x2da3…f258backed Flame Team | 78c | 139.84$109 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30.37 | 435 | 60.5%263 W · 172 L | +43.7wins | +0.10per pick | 50cpaid | +14.2%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x5929…4684backed Zero Tenacity | 40c | 134.42$54 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$54.15 | 1,255 | 49.6%623 W · 632 L | +20.6wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5867…2e20backed Zero Tenacity | 44c | 113.64$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 252 | 38.9%98 W · 154 L | -3.3wins | -0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -11.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb6fc…b24ebacked Zero Tenacity | 41c | 110.2$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45.18 | 402 | 42.3%170 W · 232 L | -5.8wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -7%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xab96…989fbacked Zero Tenacity | 78c | 107.41$84 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$83.78 | 46 | 34.8%16 W · 30 L | -8.2wins | -0.18per pick | 53cpaid | -26.9%equal weight | 37-0.11 edge/pick |
| 0xa851…4dedbacked Flame Team | 50c | 106$53 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$53 | 28 | 35.7%10 W · 18 L | -1.6wins | -0.06per pick | 41cpaid | -9.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb877…4601backed Flame Team | 67c | 105.1$70 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$35.18 | 410 | 55.1%226 W · 184 L | +39.6wins | +0.10per pick | 45cpaid | +19.2%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x2e3c…08babacked Flame Team | 44c | 100.86$45 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$56.03 | 1,691 | 41.4%700 W · 991 L | -40.8wins | -0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -25.8%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5ec9…1873backed Zero Tenacity | 77c | 100$77 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$77 | 198 | 39.4%78 W · 120 L | -0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 40cpaid | -3.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc7d0…1f8abacked Flame Team | 24c | 100$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$76 | 665 | 45.6%303 W · 362 L | +13.5wins | +0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -14.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc29c…1e43backed Zero Tenacity | 52c | 96.15$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 42 | 50%21 W · 21 L | -0.4wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -11.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdf7c…4c16backed Flame Team | 66c | 89.28$59 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30.36 | 121 | 36.4%44 W · 77 L | -8.7wins | -0.07per pick | 44cpaid | -30.7%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x8811…627cbacked Zero Tenacity | 69c | 86.87$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60.22 | 79 | 64.6%51 W · 28 L | +3.4wins | +0.04per pick | 60cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x316f…795abacked Flame Team | 31c | 86$27 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$59.34 | 283 | 36.4%103 W · 180 L | +1.0wins | 0.00per pick | 36cpaid | -19.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x90bb…531fbacked Flame Team | 31c | 86$27 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$59.34 | 43 | 37.2%16 W · 27 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 37cpaid | -9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x00d4…4c46backed Flame Team | 31c | 86$27 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$59.34 | 217 | 48.8%106 W · 111 L | +15.1wins | +0.07per pick | 42cpaid | +12.4%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x99f7…1a59backed Flame Team | 31c | 86$27 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$59.34 | 253 | 51.4%130 W · 123 L | +23.3wins | +0.09per pick | 42cpaid | +17.6%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xcc75…af4dbacked Flame Team | 31c | 86$27 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$59.34 | 91 | 50.5%46 W · 45 L | +12.5wins | +0.14per pick | 37cpaid | +23.6%equal weight | 62+0.11 edge/pick |
| 0xdd5f…c343backed Flame Team | 22c | 75$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$58.5 | 7 | 14.3%1 W · 6 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 13cpaid | -35.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7df6…558bbacked Flame Team | 22c | 75$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$58.5 | 18 | 5.6%1 W · 17 L | -0.4wins | -0.02per pick | 8cpaid | -74.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x50dc…b61abacked Zero Tenacity | 78c | 75$59 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$58.5 | 19 | 26.3%5 W · 14 L | -2.2wins | -0.12per pick | 38cpaid | -41.2%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xf01f…e8fbbacked Zero Tenacity | 78c | 75$59 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$58.5 | 31 | 22.6%7 W · 24 L | -1.9wins | -0.06per pick | 29cpaid | -21.8%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5b63…11a4backed Flame Team | 48c | 72.48$35 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$37.69 | 711 | 42.6%303 W · 408 L | -8.0wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -13.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0a83…0be8backed Zero Tenacity | 57c | 71.35$41 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40.55 | 55 | 45.5%25 W · 30 L | +0.9wins | +0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -16.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfb77…1c78backed Flame Team | 50c | 64$32 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$32 | 74 | 45.9%34 W · 40 L | +3.9wins | +0.05per pick | 41cpaid | +5.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe907…cff6backed Flame Team | 39c | 53.54$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$32.92 | 928 | 46.2%429 W · 499 L | -16.6wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -15.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8ddc…9c0fbacked Zero Tenacity | 77c | 48$37 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36.96 | 87 | 39.1%34 W · 53 L | -8.5wins | -0.10per pick | 49cpaid | -22.4%equal weight | 42-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xb91c…ed66backed Flame Team | 24c | 41.67$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31.67 | 191 | 48.7%93 W · 98 L | +11.3wins | +0.06per pick | 43cpaid | +17.6%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x0593…9712backed Flame Team | 61c | 30.68$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.97 | 217 | 69.1%150 W · 67 L | +16.9wins | +0.08per pick | 61cpaid | +9%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x1052…441bbacked Flame Team | 56c | 29.4$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.94 | 37 | 54.1%20 W · 17 L | -1.5wins | -0.04per pick | 58cpaid | -12.6%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8526…72aabacked Zero Tenacity | 48c | 25.35$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.17 | 54 | 51.9%28 W · 26 L | +2.4wins | +0.04per pick | 47cpaid | +8.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9f2c…d0dfbacked Flame Team | 50c | 20$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10 | 19 | 68.4%13 W · 6 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 69cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x19bd…ae36backed Flame Team | 56c | 19.64$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.64 | 23 | 43.5%10 W · 13 L | -4.0wins | -0.17per pick | 61cpaid | -25.5%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x6b86…5552backed Zero Tenacity | 78c | 15.87$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.38 | 49 | 57.1%28 W · 21 L | -5.9wins | -0.12per pick | 69cpaid | -17.6%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Dota2 and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Dota 2: Zero Tenacity vs Flame Team (BO3) - European Pro League Playoffsthis page
- Dota 2: Zero Tenacity vs Flame Team - Game 1 WinnerFlame Team won
- Dota 2: Zero Tenacity vs Flame Team - Game 2 WinnerFlame Team won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.