Dota2 · resolved market
Dota 2: Zero Tenacity vs Flame Team - Game 2 Winner
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x6241e5d312588dd36d20cdbc842872ef3e3d94e8febb622fba3d1650d63fbf6b
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Flame Teamof Zero Tenacity, Flame Team
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Dota2every record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $40,193
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $52,923
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $40,193 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 58 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Dota2 is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Dota2 | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xdb55…51ddbacked Zero Tenacity | 57c | 4,590$2,608 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,607.59 | 359 | 60.4%217 W · 142 L | -1.3wins | 0.00per pick | 61cpaid | -5.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xbfab…f067backed Flame Team | 59c | 3,611$2,132 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,478.66 | 480 | 57.1%274 W · 206 L | +8.3wins | +0.02per pick | 55cpaid | -3.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0c99…0c88backed Zero Tenacity | 63c | 3,000$1,892 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,892.27 | 1,164 | 47.2%549 W · 615 L | -29.1wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -9.2%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf3ce…a57abacked Flame Team | 34c | 2,779$958 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,820.58 | 1,202 | 59.3%713 W · 489 L | +64.6wins | +0.05per pick | 54cpaid | +10.4%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x6e44…21bcbacked Flame Team | 57c | 2,600$1,475 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,125 | 798 | 59%471 W · 327 L | +16.1wins | +0.02per pick | 57cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x824b…8386backed Flame Team | 27c | 2,107$564 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,542.86 | 158 | 48.1%76 W · 82 L | -13.8wins | -0.09per pick | 57cpaid | -21.6%equal weight | 42-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xfe3f…0fcfbacked Zero Tenacity | 67c | 2,000$1,335 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,335.32 | 866 | 59.6%516 W · 350 L | -8.6wins | -0.01per pick | 61cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x26f8…3452backed Zero Tenacity | 78c | 969$752 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$751.97 | 154 | 57.1%88 W · 66 L | -0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 57cpaid | -4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf3ef…ca6bbacked Zero Tenacity | 50c | 919.95$461 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$460.5 | 1,066 | 57%608 W · 458 L | +52.7wins | +0.05per pick | 52cpaid | +1.9%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x84ad…bfb7backed Zero Tenacity | 68c | 735.62$498 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$498.35 | 457 | 50.8%232 W · 225 L | +14.3wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -5.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0c67…d062backed Flame Team | 34c | 578.86$196 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$382.66 | 1,137 | 42.3%481 W · 656 L | -27.5wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -9.6%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd7d3…698bbacked Flame Team | 47c | 535.19$250 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$285.19 | 480 | 53.1%255 W · 225 L | +25.4wins | +0.05per pick | 48cpaid | +4.2%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x703b…e371backed Flame Team | 29c | 499.99$147 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$352.99 | 515 | 44.9%231 W · 284 L | +40.9wins | +0.08per pick | 37cpaid | +3.9%equal weight | 58+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xf743…1811backed Flame Team | 40c | 485.26$194 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$291.35 | 318 | 35.8%114 W · 204 L | -18.4wins | -0.06per pick | 42cpaid | -28.1%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xbfda…5504backed Flame Team | 22c | 480$106 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$374.4 | 88 | 47.7%42 W · 46 L | +3.5wins | +0.04per pick | 44cpaid | +7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8811…627cbacked Zero Tenacity | 56c | 473.06$263 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$262.73 | 79 | 64.6%51 W · 28 L | +3.4wins | +0.04per pick | 60cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x51db…f9b3backed Flame Team | 31c | 399.99$125 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$275.48 | 2,828 | 43.6%1,234 W · 1,594 L | -39.5wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -20.9%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x80d8…b703backed Zero Tenacity | 51c | 322.17$163 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$163.44 | 745 | 49.3%367 W · 378 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf34b…bcb3backed Zero Tenacity | 65c | 313.7$204 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$203.91 | 583 | 56.8%331 W · 252 L | +28.7wins | +0.05per pick | 52cpaid | +9.3%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x880d…39bcbacked Zero Tenacity | 74c | 299.99$222 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$221.99 | 327 | 56.9%186 W · 141 L | +8.9wins | +0.03per pick | 54cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf0f0…26edbacked Zero Tenacity | 66c | 281.8$186 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$185.99 | 338 | 67.8%229 W · 109 L | +16.0wins | +0.05per pick | 63cpaid | +6.7%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6d28…ad7cbacked Zero Tenacity | 18c | 262.02$46 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$46 | 39 | 20.5%8 W · 31 L | -2.0wins | -0.05per pick | 26cpaid | -32.1%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5799…db25backed Flame Team | 41c | 242.91$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$142.91 | 460 | 49.8%229 W · 231 L | +2.3wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0xff34…694bbacked Flame Team | 73c | 213.3$155 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$58.53 | 772 | 56.5%436 W · 336 L | +30.3wins | +0.04per pick | 53cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x505f…645ebacked Flame Team | 28c | 200$56 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$144 | 1,280 | 45%576 W · 704 L | -12.7wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -15%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9a8e…9408backed Zero Tenacity | 50c | 199.99$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$99.99 | 962 | 45.5%438 W · 524 L | +22.1wins | +0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8935…7daabacked Zero Tenacity | 63c | 144.78$91 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$90.81 | 1,154 | 47.7%550 W · 604 L | -12.7wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -12.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x93ed…a4cbbacked Flame Team | 45c | 142.67$64 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$78.66 | 68 | 41.2%28 W · 40 L | -6.2wins | -0.09per pick | 50cpaid | -21.7%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x3066…693abacked Zero Tenacity | 51c | 137.23$70 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$69.99 | 546 | 48.5%265 W · 281 L | -0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2e3c…08babacked Flame Team | 24c | 127$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$96.79 | 1,702 | 41.2%701 W · 1,001 L | -44.0wins | -0.03per pick | 44cpaid | -26.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked Flame Team | 64c | 100.71$64 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$36.26 | 1,901 | 47.6%905 W · 996 L | +4.6wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x58f1…7032backed Flame Team | 39c | 100$39 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$61 | 295 | 50.2%148 W · 147 L | +8.4wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | +6.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc7d0…1f8abacked Zero Tenacity | 46c | 100$46 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$46.25 | 665 | 45.6%303 W · 362 L | +13.5wins | +0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -14.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x133a…504abacked Flame Team | 28c | 92.86$26 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$66.86 | 59 | 40.7%24 W · 35 L | +1.4wins | +0.02per pick | 38cpaid | +4.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7f40…c8ffbacked Flame Team | 40c | 90$36 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$53.66 | 310 | 52.6%163 W · 147 L | +15.3wins | +0.05per pick | 48cpaid | -2%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x83c8…3b6cbacked Flame Team | 54c | 89.85$49 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$41.06 | 913 | 56.1%512 W · 401 L | +16.2wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x08fa…f1e0backed Zero Tenacity | 53c | 82.56$44 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$44.16 | 813 | 45.1%367 W · 446 L | -26.7wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -20%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7029…1136backed Flame Team | 23c | 80$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$61.6 | 80 | 46.3%37 W · 43 L | -0.6wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +4.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdc7d…8895backed Flame Team | 33c | 75.76$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$50.76 | 282 | 52.5%148 W · 134 L | +1.4wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -3.8%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0xeef9…8731backed Zero Tenacity | 70c | 70$49 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49 | 259 | 56.8%147 W · 112 L | +3.9wins | +0.02per pick | 55cpaid | +4.8%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4e99…2229backed Flame Team | 30c | 65.63$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$45.94 | 87 | 36.8%32 W · 55 L | -6.5wins | -0.07per pick | 44cpaid | -14.2%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xdaee…8559backed Flame Team | 35c | 60$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$39 | 183 | 56.8%104 W · 79 L | +0.9wins | 0.00per pick | 56cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc37d…e586backed Flame Team | 36c | 51.94$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$33.44 | 387 | 59.4%230 W · 157 L | +26.6wins | +0.07per pick | 53cpaid | +11.3%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xbfd7…f0bfbacked Flame Team | 24c | 50$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$38 | 2,378 | 47.2%1,123 W · 1,255 L | +15.8wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x245d…3b90backed Flame Team | 79c | 50$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.5 | 57 | 35.1%20 W · 37 L | +1.9wins | +0.03per pick | 32cpaid | -23.5%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1dcb…9f08backed Flame Team | 30c | 50$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$35 | 14 | 14.3%2 W · 12 L | -1.3wins | -0.09per pick | 24cpaid | -50.7%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0a83…0be8backed Flame Team | 35c | 48.19$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31.19 | 55 | 45.5%25 W · 30 L | +0.9wins | +0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -16.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1cdd…e595backed Zero Tenacity | 52c | 45.72$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.56 | 785 | 16.6%130 W · 655 L | -135.4wins | -0.17per pick | 34cpaid | -66.7%equal weight | 31-0.17 edge/pick |
| 0x14f3…0796backed Flame Team | 67c | 39.41$26 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.17 | 340 | 41.2%140 W · 200 L | -10.3wins | -0.03per pick | 44cpaid | -15%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf66e…14b7backed Flame Team | 70c | 39$27 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.7 | 174 | 43.1%75 W · 99 L | -8.2wins | -0.05per pick | 48cpaid | -19.3%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9a53…71a3backed Flame Team | 49c | 37.17$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.86 | 185 | 62.7%116 W · 69 L | +2.1wins | +0.01per pick | 62cpaid | +4.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x74d7…57b9backed Flame Team | 44c | 34.09$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.09 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | -0.1wins | -0.02per pick | 62cpaid | +4.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8885…7712backed Zero Tenacity | 71c | 29.99$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.29 | 8 | 50%4 W · 4 L | 0.0wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +20%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdc89…095cbacked Flame Team | 71c | 28$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.12 | 38 | 52.6%20 W · 18 L | +3.0wins | +0.08per pick | 45cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x91ac…5ff3backed Zero Tenacity | 43c | 27.59$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.89 | 213 | 44.1%94 W · 119 L | +5.0wins | +0.02per pick | 42cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1d2a…7682backed Zero Tenacity | 71c | 22.13$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.8 | 49 | 55.1%27 W · 22 L | +3.2wins | +0.06per pick | 49cpaid | +22.6%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x26c2…0cdfbacked Zero Tenacity | 65c | 18.05$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.64 | 186 | 52.2%97 W · 89 L | +9.1wins | +0.05per pick | 47cpaid | +6.7%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x34c6…be53backed Zero Tenacity | 70c | 16$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.24 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -2.0wins | -0.68per pick | 68cpaid | -100%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Dota2 and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Dota 2: Zero Tenacity vs Flame Team - Game 2 Winnerthis page
- Dota 2: Zero Tenacity vs Flame Team (BO3) - European Pro League PlayoffsFlame Team won
- Dota 2: Zero Tenacity vs Flame Team - Game 1 WinnerFlame Team won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.