Tennis · resolved market
ITF Klosters: Dominic Stephan Stricker vs Kai Wehnelt
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xbb5e5c371bfbd3712d4ade283a3ecdd5afaf7e8cecff955448166aefe6c75df3
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Kai Wehneltof Dominic Stephan Stricker, Kai Wehnelt
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Tennisevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $4,050
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $4,326
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $4,050 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 28 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Tennis is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Tennis | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xc26a…b715backed Dominic Stephan Stricker | 27c | 822.25$225 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$224.72 | 573 | 21.8%125 W · 448 L | -13.1wins | -0.02per pick | 24cpaid | -13.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf12f…b30fbacked Kai Wehnelt | 46c | 640.32$298 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$342.74 | 700 | 41.1%288 W · 412 L | +5.4wins | +0.01per pick | 40cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc4fe…601fbacked Dominic Stephan Stricker | 32c | 387.13$122 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$122.17 | 6,449 | 46.3%2,987 W · 3,462 L | -42.9wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -13%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7547…d158backed Kai Wehnelt | 20c | 258.75$52 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$207 | 7,049 | 39.7%2,795 W · 4,254 L | -20.5wins | 0.00per pick | 40cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x168c…f24bbacked Dominic Stephan Stricker | 80c | 250$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 624 | 57.7%360 W · 264 L | -17.8wins | -0.03per pick | 61cpaid | -4.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5a99…d29fbacked Kai Wehnelt | 53c | 178.02$95 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$83.02 | 306 | 42.2%129 W · 177 L | -9.0wins | -0.03per pick | 45cpaid | -8.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdd5f…c343backed Kai Wehnelt | 22c | 150$33 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$117 | 54 | 14.8%8 W · 46 L | -2.2wins | -0.04per pick | 19cpaid | -18.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7df6…558bbacked Kai Wehnelt | 21c | 150$32 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$118.5 | 48 | 10.4%5 W · 43 L | -2.2wins | -0.05per pick | 15cpaid | -42.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x50dc…b61abacked Dominic Stephan Stricker | 79c | 150$119 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$118.5 | 275 | 30.2%83 W · 192 L | +4.6wins | +0.02per pick | 29cpaid | +10%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf01f…e8fbbacked Dominic Stephan Stricker | 78c | 150$117 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$117 | 264 | 26.9%71 W · 193 L | -2.6wins | -0.01per pick | 28cpaid | -10.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xda77…683fbacked Dominic Stephan Stricker | 45c | 149.84$68 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$67.78 | 5,416 | 48.6%2,633 W · 2,783 L | +14.5wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -9.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1cdd…e595backed Dominic Stephan Stricker | 14c | 119.97$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.39 | 1,870 | 16%299 W · 1,571 L | -314.3wins | -0.17per pick | 33cpaid | -65.6%equal weight | 32-0.17 edge/pick |
| 0x2ea6…428abacked Dominic Stephan Stricker | 52c | 114.47$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60 | 283 | 48.1%136 W · 147 L | +4.5wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | +4.6%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb2fb…1c4abacked Dominic Stephan Stricker | 57c | 104.75$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60 | 6 | 16.7%1 W · 5 L | -1.8wins | -0.30per pick | 47cpaid | -77.2%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xa9f5…937fbacked Kai Wehnelt | 79c | 89.06$70 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.7 | 4,602 | 48.3%2,223 W · 2,379 L | +34.4wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -8.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7179…7d79backed Kai Wehnelt | 49c | 84.06$41 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$42.56 | 2,601 | 46.5%1,209 W · 1,392 L | +18.8wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8ad5…ccdebacked Kai Wehnelt | 22c | 81$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$63.18 | 550 | 32.7%180 W · 370 L | -6.7wins | -0.01per pick | 34cpaid | -8.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1ece…3b9bbacked Dominic Stephan Stricker | 78c | 75$59 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$58.5 | 159 | 66%105 W · 54 L | +1.4wins | +0.01per pick | 65cpaid | -3.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf5ec…23bdbacked Dominic Stephan Stricker | 79c | 75$59 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$59.25 | 167 | 69.5%116 W · 51 L | +5.1wins | +0.03per pick | 66cpaid | +27.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb309…06d4backed Kai Wehnelt | 22c | 75$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$58.5 | 39 | 17.9%7 W · 32 L | +0.3wins | +0.01per pick | 17cpaid | +23.4%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4741…6af1backed Kai Wehnelt | 21c | 75$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$59.25 | 69 | 8.7%6 W · 63 L | -3.8wins | -0.06per pick | 14cpaid | -29.8%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9aaf…8298backed Kai Wehnelt | 65c | 45$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.75 | 487 | 38.4%187 W · 300 L | +14.1wins | +0.03per pick | 36cpaid | -8.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa781…8745backed Kai Wehnelt | 65c | 33.34$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.67 | 119 | 42%50 W · 69 L | +5.8wins | +0.05per pick | 37cpaid | -2.8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x77de…e67abacked Dominic Stephan Stricker | 61c | 32.52$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 625 | 49.6%310 W · 315 L | -4.8wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -3.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked Kai Wehnelt | 79c | 29.8$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.29 | 6,439 | 54.4%3,502 W · 2,937 L | +285.2wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | +26.3%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3c1a…ba0bbacked Dominic Stephan Stricker | 58c | 22.26$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.91 | 54 | 44.4%24 W · 30 L | -0.7wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8711…d2d0backed Kai Wehnelt | 50c | 20$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10 | 433 | 58.4%253 W · 180 L | +6.4wins | +0.01per pick | 57cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x985d…33c9backed Dominic Stephan Stricker | 78c | 12.74$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 1,300 | 36.9%480 W · 820 L | -34.2wins | -0.03per pick | 40cpaid | -4.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Tennis and say nothing about this market.
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.