CS2 · resolved market
Counter-Strike: NAVI Junior vs WeClear (BO3) - ESEA European Finals Playoffs
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x51ed112d29f8756a15c7121a9e51300ae5623f6f12fa3cdf6d2b0f03c0e3524e
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- NAVI Juniorof NAVI Junior, WeClear
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- CS2every record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $3,998
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $4,376
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $3,998 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a prediction-market account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 18 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in CS2 is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in CS2 | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xf5ec…23bdbacked NAVI Junior | 76c | 1,650$1,254 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$396 | 49 | 55.1%27 W · 22 L | -1.0wins | -0.02per pick | 57cpaid | -12%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4741…6af1backed WeClear | 24c | 1,650$396 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$396 | 10 | 10%1 W · 9 L | -0.6wins | -0.06per pick | 16cpaid | -52.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x904e…0becbacked NAVI Junior | 79c | 273.89$217 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$57.25 | 5,113 | 37.1%1,899 W · 3,214 L | -268.1wins | -0.05per pick | 42cpaid | -32.8%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xdd5f…c343backed WeClear | 24c | 225$54 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$54 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | -0.1wins | -0.02per pick | 22cpaid | -15.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf01f…e8fbbacked NAVI Junior | 76c | 225$171 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$54 | 82 | 30.5%25 W · 57 L | +1.3wins | +0.02per pick | 29cpaid | +8.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc4fe…601fbacked WeClear | 14c | 152.74$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.46 | 3,624 | 29.4%1,065 W · 2,559 L | -291.8wins | -0.08per pick | 37cpaid | -43.5%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xda77…683fbacked WeClear | 20c | 149.88$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 2,585 | 34.6%894 W · 1,691 L | -200.3wins | -0.08per pick | 42cpaid | -37.4%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xa9f5…937fbacked WeClear | 17c | 128.86$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.08 | 3,994 | 36.5%1,456 W · 2,538 L | -207.0wins | -0.05per pick | 42cpaid | -29.4%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x1cdd…e595backed WeClear | 21c | 120$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.5 | 2,484 | 24.7%613 W · 1,871 L | -318.7wins | -0.13per pick | 38cpaid | -51.6%equal weight | 36-0.13 edge/pick |
| 0x4713…4d21backed WeClear | 18c | 120$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.19 | 5,400 | 31.5%1,699 W · 3,701 L | -393.3wins | -0.07per pick | 39cpaid | -37.1%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x420b…8d66backed NAVI Junior | 78c | 91.85$71 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.53 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.25per pick | 75cpaid | -35.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc0f1…8680backed WeClear | 22c | 65.94$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.51 | 2,536 | 43.1%1,094 W · 1,442 L | +44.3wins | +0.02per pick | 41cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1cb5…2d03backed NAVI Junior | 70c | 65$46 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.43 | 83 | 41%34 W · 49 L | -7.2wins | -0.09per pick | 50cpaid | -21.1%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x94d2…cfbdbacked WeClear | 18c | 57.01$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.39 | 2,192 | 47.4%1,040 W · 1,152 L | -59.5wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -18%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf1d5…54d5backed NAVI Junior | 76c | 40$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.6 | 416 | 51%212 W · 204 L | +11.4wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3556…3fb4backed NAVI Junior | 76c | 25$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6 | 21 | 38.1%8 W · 13 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 38cpaid | -6.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6b86…5552backed NAVI Junior | 77c | 15.6$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3.59 | 163 | 63.2%103 W · 60 L | -1.3wins | -0.01per pick | 64cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xab96…8d69backed NAVI Junior | 78c | 14$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3.08 | 21 | 81%17 W · 4 L | +1.9wins | +0.09per pick | 72cpaid | +11.1%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in CS2 and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Counter-Strike: NAVI Junior vs WeClear (BO3) - ESEA European Finals Playoffsthis page
- Counter-Strike: NAVI Junior vs WeClear - Map 1 WinnerNAVI Junior won
- Counter-Strike: NAVI Junior vs WeClear - Map 2 WinnerNAVI Junior won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.