Tennis · resolved market
ITF Tokyo: Jake Delaney vs Max Purcell
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x2111c1d48c0add426f7dac435c80ba34d13ec890640730645ec288539e4c5c18
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Jake Delaneyof Jake Delaney, Max Purcell
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Tennisevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $17,569
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $22,629
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $17,569 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 32 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Tennis is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Tennis | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xff36…e757backed Jake Delaney | 43c | 5,500$2,380 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,119.53 | 17 | 64.7%11 W · 6 L | +2.8wins | +0.17per pick | 48cpaid | +25.3%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xbfd7…f0bfbacked Max Purcell | 56c | 2,155$1,214 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,213.53 | 7,968 | 50.7%4,038 W · 3,930 L | +92.5wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked Max Purcell | 57c | 1,494$852 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$851.7 | 6,512 | 54.5%3,546 W · 2,966 L | +289.8wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | +26.1%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6318…46b1backed Jake Delaney | 15c | 1,187$180 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,007.11 | 5,325 | 28.8%1,533 W · 3,792 L | -21.8wins | 0.00per pick | 29cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb602…1ab1backed Jake Delaney | 46c | 689.91$317 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$373.31 | 38 | 50%19 W · 19 L | +3.0wins | +0.08per pick | 42cpaid | +19.6%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xda77…683fbacked Max Purcell | 50c | 593.36$297 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$297.25 | 5,498 | 48.5%2,667 W · 2,831 L | +10.5wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -9.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x14f3…0796backed Max Purcell | 66c | 515.96$341 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$341.04 | 1,234 | 46.3%571 W · 663 L | +8.7wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfbe0…9162backed Max Purcell | 77c | 479.45$367 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$366.9 | 10 | 70%7 W · 3 L | -0.4wins | -0.04per pick | 74cpaid | -4.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8ad5…ccdebacked Jake Delaney | 15c | 286$43 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$243.1 | 550 | 32.7%180 W · 370 L | -6.7wins | -0.01per pick | 34cpaid | -8.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc4fe…601fbacked Max Purcell | 20c | 281.47$55 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$55.21 | 6,574 | 46.2%3,037 W · 3,537 L | -45.5wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -12.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd034…eecebacked Jake Delaney | 16c | 251.94$39 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$212.79 | 2,735 | 34%931 W · 1,804 L | -13.2wins | 0.00per pick | 35cpaid | -2.8%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb6fc…b24ebacked Max Purcell | 56c | 250$140 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$140 | 1,456 | 45.1%656 W · 800 L | +42.6wins | +0.03per pick | 42cpaid | +7.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfd3e…5a7abacked Max Purcell | 57c | 227.58$130 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$129.72 | 911 | 63.9%582 W · 329 L | +66.0wins | +0.07per pick | 57cpaid | +12.9%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xb309…06d4backed Jake Delaney | 18c | 225$41 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$184.5 | 39 | 17.9%7 W · 32 L | +0.3wins | +0.01per pick | 17cpaid | +23.4%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9fe2…ccffbacked Jake Delaney | 18c | 225$41 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$184.5 | 10 | 10%1 W · 9 L | -0.4wins | -0.04per pick | 14cpaid | -44.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa9f5…937fbacked Max Purcell | 55c | 196.25$107 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$107.2 | 4,650 | 48.2%2,242 W · 2,408 L | +31.8wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -8.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf66e…14b7backed Max Purcell | 57c | 151$86 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$86.07 | 727 | 55.6%404 W · 323 L | +27.9wins | +0.04per pick | 52cpaid | +4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8389…a8aabacked Jake Delaney | 18c | 150$27 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$123 | 19 | 21.1%4 W · 15 L | +1.8wins | +0.10per pick | 12cpaid | +140.7%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc7cb…fbe2backed Jake Delaney | 18c | 150$27 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$123 | 40 | 2.5%1 W · 39 L | -3.4wins | -0.09per pick | 11cpaid | -86.1%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xd6d2…4a24backed Jake Delaney | 19c | 149.61$28 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$121.24 | 529 | 10%53 W · 476 L | -3.9wins | -0.01per pick | 11cpaid | -11.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x349e…867bbacked Max Purcell | 57c | 109.65$62 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$62.5 | 753 | 50.5%380 W · 373 L | +5.7wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7d70…ae13backed Max Purcell | 57c | 100$57 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$57 | 76 | 57.9%44 W · 32 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 58cpaid | -3.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdd5f…c343backed Jake Delaney | 19c | 75$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$60.75 | 54 | 14.8%8 W · 46 L | -2.2wins | -0.04per pick | 19cpaid | -18.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7df6…558bbacked Jake Delaney | 18c | 75$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$61.5 | 48 | 10.4%5 W · 43 L | -2.2wins | -0.05per pick | 15cpaid | -42.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x133a…504abacked Max Purcell | 57c | 66.67$38 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38 | 3,457 | 38.9%1,345 W · 2,112 L | -15.1wins | 0.00per pick | 39cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6023…7141backed Max Purcell | 27c | 40$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.65 | 12 | 41.7%5 W · 7 L | +0.4wins | +0.04per pick | 38cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x37c1…8de1backed Max Purcell | 57c | 38.71$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.06 | 1,144 | 47.2%540 W · 604 L | +64.7wins | +0.06per pick | 42cpaid | +12.1%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xb4a5…80d4backed Jake Delaney | 31c | 37.74$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.04 | 318 | 53.5%170 W · 148 L | +0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 53cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdc89…095cbacked Max Purcell | 57c | 34$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.38 | 32 | 68.8%22 W · 10 L | +4.7wins | +0.15per pick | 54cpaid | +24.8%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x8a38…d420backed Max Purcell | 59c | 22.66$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.37 | 111 | 44.1%49 W · 62 L | -3.4wins | -0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -9.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7e95…b303backed Max Purcell | 56c | 22$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.32 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | -1.2wins | -0.20per pick | 53cpaid | -21.7%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4787…db20backed Max Purcell | 75c | 15.2$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.4 | 282 | 64.2%181 W · 101 L | +14.5wins | +0.05per pick | 59cpaid | +8.3%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Tennis and say nothing about this market.
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.