Tennis · resolved market
ITF Blois: Francesca Curmi vs Ipek Oz
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xe59487b1e919d9a39306730d288457aae7e31ad9bb156868217b6e41256c17c0
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Francesca Curmiof Francesca Curmi, Ipek Oz
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Tennisevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $11,952
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $12,135
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $11,952 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 47 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Tennis is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Tennis | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xe911…3d4ebacked Francesca Curmi | 59c | 1,973$1,171 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$801.76 | 4,474 | 51.7%2,311 W · 2,163 L | +133.7wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xff34…694bbacked Francesca Curmi | 63c | 1,232$772 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$459.74 | 2,776 | 53.7%1,491 W · 1,285 L | +69.8wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb4d2…ce99backed Ipek Oz | 3c | 1,155$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34.65 | 4,975 | 38.6%1,922 W · 3,053 L | -19.9wins | 0.00per pick | 39cpaid | -7.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x09c4…2378backed Francesca Curmi | 38c | 999.98$378 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$622.39 | 6 | 66.7%4 W · 2 L | +1.2wins | +0.21per pick | 46cpaid | +38.8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x03f4…7e44backed Ipek Oz | 79c | 996.44$792 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$791.93 | 368 | 38.3%141 W · 227 L | +7.0wins | +0.02per pick | 36cpaid | +3.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0009…5497backed Francesca Curmi | 29c | 745.37$215 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$530.36 | 1,880 | 48.5%912 W · 968 L | +8.8wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -4.6%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd218…b5c9backed Ipek Oz | 66c | 627.05$411 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$411.01 | 6,792 | 36.9%2,505 W · 4,287 L | -98.2wins | -0.01per pick | 38cpaid | -20.3%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd9c9…6686backed Francesca Curmi | 22c | 571.12$124 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$446.74 | 1,337 | 46%615 W · 722 L | +23.1wins | +0.02per pick | 44cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x99f7…1a59backed Ipek Oz | 36c | 497$181 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$180.65 | 694 | 38%264 W · 430 L | +21.0wins | +0.03per pick | 35cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x90bb…531fbacked Ipek Oz | 39c | 459$181 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$180.75 | 199 | 41.7%83 W · 116 L | +12.3wins | +0.06per pick | 36cpaid | +5.6%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xcc75…af4dbacked Ipek Oz | 37c | 411$151 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$150.55 | 188 | 41.5%78 W · 110 L | +8.9wins | +0.05per pick | 37cpaid | +4.4%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc4fe…601fbacked Ipek Oz | 63c | 391.49$246 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$245.54 | 6,574 | 46.2%3,037 W · 3,537 L | -45.5wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -12.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4f9b…cdeebacked Ipek Oz | 37c | 380$141 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$141 | 83 | 41%34 W · 49 L | +5.0wins | +0.06per pick | 35cpaid | +8.6%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x91e0…26a0backed Ipek Oz | 40c | 373$151 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$150.65 | 257 | 37%95 W · 162 L | -3.1wins | -0.01per pick | 38cpaid | -13.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x316f…795abacked Ipek Oz | 35c | 344$120 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$120.4 | 300 | 40%120 W · 180 L | +12.6wins | +0.04per pick | 36cpaid | -4.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xdd5f…c343backed Francesca Curmi | 26c | 300$77 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$223.5 | 54 | 14.8%8 W · 46 L | -2.2wins | -0.04per pick | 19cpaid | -18.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf01f…e8fbbacked Ipek Oz | 75c | 300$224 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$224.25 | 264 | 26.9%71 W · 193 L | -2.6wins | -0.01per pick | 28cpaid | -10.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9aaf…8298backed Ipek Oz | 42c | 278$117 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$117.1 | 487 | 38.4%187 W · 300 L | +14.1wins | +0.03per pick | 36cpaid | -8.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x00d4…4c46backed Ipek Oz | 35c | 258$90 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$90.3 | 482 | 35.9%173 W · 309 L | +7.0wins | +0.01per pick | 34cpaid | -8.8%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x629d…756cbacked Ipek Oz | 79c | 250$197 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$197.43 | 2,089 | 52.2%1,090 W · 999 L | +17.1wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9ca2…088ebacked Ipek Oz | 38c | 239$90 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$90.35 | 197 | 44.7%88 W · 109 L | +17.8wins | +0.09per pick | 36cpaid | +18.1%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x9888…e6febacked Francesca Curmi | 34c | 227.35$77 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$150.76 | 2,447 | 45.9%1,123 W · 1,324 L | -12.9wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3c41…6275backed Ipek Oz | 45c | 160$72 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$72 | 77 | 32.5%25 W · 52 L | +4.3wins | +0.06per pick | 27cpaid | +6.5%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x775d…6bebbacked Ipek Oz | 74c | 158.67$118 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$118.13 | 1,772 | 52.1%923 W · 849 L | -1.9wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf5ec…23bdbacked Ipek Oz | 75c | 150$112 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$112.33 | 167 | 69.5%116 W · 51 L | +5.1wins | +0.03per pick | 66cpaid | +27.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4741…6af1backed Francesca Curmi | 27c | 150$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$110.25 | 69 | 8.7%6 W · 63 L | -3.8wins | -0.06per pick | 14cpaid | -29.8%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4869…b7abbacked Francesca Curmi | 14c | 150$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$128.25 | 20 | 5%1 W · 19 L | -1.4wins | -0.07per pick | 12cpaid | -65.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xda77…683fbacked Ipek Oz | 73c | 137.55$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100.06 | 5,498 | 48.5%2,667 W · 2,831 L | +10.5wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -9.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa509…ae46backed Francesca Curmi | 37c | 134.89$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$84.45 | 6,840 | 48.8%3,341 W · 3,499 L | +58.3wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -15.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2ad5…62ffbacked Francesca Curmi | 36c | 108.11$39 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$69.53 | 1,228 | 23.1%284 W · 944 L | -164.0wins | -0.13per pick | 36cpaid | -47%equal weight | 35-0.13 edge/pick |
| 0xfd82…6a10backed Ipek Oz | 62c | 80.65$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 316 | 57.3%181 W · 135 L | +5.5wins | +0.02per pick | 56cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1cdd…e595backed Ipek Oz | 13c | 79.98$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.59 | 1,870 | 16%299 W · 1,571 L | -314.3wins | -0.17per pick | 33cpaid | -65.6%equal weight | 32-0.17 edge/pick |
| 0x98db…dd17backed Francesca Curmi | 36c | 69.76$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$44.52 | 5,422 | 56.3%3,054 W · 2,368 L | +231.5wins | +0.04per pick | 52cpaid | -6.4%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb91c…ed66backed Ipek Oz | 33c | 59.83$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 580 | 45.5%264 W · 316 L | +9.6wins | +0.02per pick | 44cpaid | +5.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Ipek Oz | 39c | 52.63$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.51 | 11,666 | 43.4%5,059 W · 6,607 L | +22.2wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | -20%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe34c…ca55backed Francesca Curmi | 65c | 50$33 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.5 | 102 | 52%53 W · 49 L | -1.0wins | -0.01per pick | 53cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Francesca Curmi | 28c | 49.71$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$35.56 | 8,241 | 45.5%3,746 W · 4,495 L | +166.2wins | +0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -16.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb9dd…13a2backed Ipek Oz | 62c | 48.39$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 245 | 57.6%141 W · 104 L | +1.8wins | +0.01per pick | 57cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc2be…af12backed Francesca Curmi | 55c | 46.51$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.12 | 2,032 | 46.9%952 W · 1,080 L | -12.4wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa781…8745backed Francesca Curmi | 44c | 40.91$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.91 | 119 | 42%50 W · 69 L | +5.8wins | +0.05per pick | 37cpaid | -2.8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x023d…23acbacked Ipek Oz | 38c | 39.47$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 618 | 55.8%345 W · 273 L | +18.5wins | +0.03per pick | 53cpaid | +2.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb155…ca84backed Ipek Oz | 72c | 39.01$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.03 | 920 | 46.6%429 W · 491 L | -14.2wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -9.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfd3e…5a7abacked Francesca Curmi | 62c | 34.34$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.94 | 911 | 63.9%582 W · 329 L | +66.0wins | +0.07per pick | 57cpaid | +12.9%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x0d2d…7ff5backed Ipek Oz | 57c | 30.75$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.66 | 8,702 | 42.6%3,708 W · 4,994 L | -165.1wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -21.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x86ff…1d98backed Ipek Oz | 42c | 25$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.37 | 51 | 35.3%18 W · 33 L | -5.0wins | -0.10per pick | 45cpaid | -15.4%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xbbc8…4f5bbacked Ipek Oz | 68c | 18.15$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.4 | 225 | 52%117 W · 108 L | +10.1wins | +0.04per pick | 48cpaid | +7.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2488…ff0ebacked Ipek Oz | 64c | 17$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.96 | 486 | 50.6%246 W · 240 L | +7.5wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Tennis and say nothing about this market.
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.