Tennis · resolved market
ITF Tokyo: Tai Leonard Sach vs Masamichi Imamura
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x9bb9945123db4ce796c34e3e43a1de4ff9347a6ffd087951494d8589b65c82f5
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Masamichi Imamuraof Tai Leonard Sach, Masamichi Imamura
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Tennisevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $4,080
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $4,508
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $4,080 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 35 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Tennis is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Tennis | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x0e3a…55babacked Tai Leonard Sach | 29c | 1,408$409 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$409.05 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.29per pick | 29cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x775d…6bebbacked Masamichi Imamura | 65c | 540$353 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$187.24 | 1,767 | 52.1%920 W · 847 L | -2.2wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -6.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xda77…683fbacked Masamichi Imamura | 48c | 303.72$146 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$157.35 | 5,416 | 48.6%2,633 W · 2,783 L | +14.5wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -9.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x14e7…a32cbacked Masamichi Imamura | 65c | 238.58$155 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$83.2 | 1,349 | 49.8%672 W · 677 L | -6.5wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xca09…511bbacked Tai Leonard Sach | 55c | 178.48$98 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$98.45 | 33 | 42.4%14 W · 19 L | -3.3wins | -0.10per pick | 53cpaid | -15.7%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x0d2d…7ff5backed Masamichi Imamura | 78c | 177.64$138 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$39.6 | 8,505 | 42.6%3,619 W · 4,886 L | -166.3wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -21.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xddb6…b9b3backed Masamichi Imamura | 65c | 176$115 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$61.02 | 1,725 | 52.2%901 W · 824 L | -8.0wins | 0.00per pick | 53cpaid | -5.2%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3556…af4fbacked Tai Leonard Sach | 64c | 150.7$96 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$96.45 | 277 | 24.9%69 W · 208 L | -2.5wins | -0.01per pick | 26cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdd5f…c343backed Tai Leonard Sach | 28c | 150$42 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$41.9 | 54 | 14.8%8 W · 46 L | -2.2wins | -0.04per pick | 19cpaid | -18.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf01f…e8fbbacked Masamichi Imamura | 76c | 150$114 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$36 | 264 | 26.9%71 W · 193 L | -2.6wins | -0.01per pick | 28cpaid | -10.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xddf5…aaa3backed Masamichi Imamura | 75c | 135$101 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$33.75 | 692 | 53.3%369 W · 323 L | -10.4wins | -0.02per pick | 55cpaid | -2.8%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0813…41e1backed Masamichi Imamura | 76c | 114$87 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27.36 | 371 | 58.8%218 W · 153 L | -8.9wins | -0.02per pick | 61cpaid | -3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc33d…0d40backed Masamichi Imamura | 77c | 112$86 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.76 | 653 | 46.4%303 W · 350 L | +7.0wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -11.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc4fe…601fbacked Tai Leonard Sach | 26c | 106.2$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.89 | 6,449 | 46.3%2,987 W · 3,462 L | -42.9wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -13%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8ad5…ccdebacked Tai Leonard Sach | 25c | 103.84$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26 | 550 | 32.7%180 W · 370 L | -6.7wins | -0.01per pick | 34cpaid | -8.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb71e…641abacked Masamichi Imamura | 34c | 87.64$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$57.95 | 337 | 51.9%175 W · 162 L | +11.6wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +7.1%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfb96…1f59backed Tai Leonard Sach | 29c | 86.21$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 11 | 36.4%4 W · 7 L | -0.5wins | -0.05per pick | 41cpaid | -11.6%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe911…3d4ebacked Masamichi Imamura | 77c | 81.8$63 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.47 | 4,426 | 51.8%2,291 W · 2,135 L | +136.7wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x10dd…4831backed Tai Leonard Sach | 27c | 75.41$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 118 | 58.5%69 W · 49 L | +0.8wins | +0.01per pick | 58cpaid | +13.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1ece…3b9bbacked Masamichi Imamura | 78c | 75$59 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.5 | 159 | 66%105 W · 54 L | +1.4wins | +0.01per pick | 65cpaid | -3.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb309…06d4backed Tai Leonard Sach | 22c | 75$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.5 | 39 | 17.9%7 W · 32 L | +0.3wins | +0.01per pick | 17cpaid | +23.4%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd93d…27a0backed Tai Leonard Sach | 24c | 63.52$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.24 | 516 | 44.8%231 W · 285 L | -1.2wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | +0.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdef0…664ebacked Tai Leonard Sach | 71c | 59.15$42 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$42 | 115 | 62.6%72 W · 43 L | -4.3wins | -0.04per pick | 66cpaid | -5.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa81c…3d28backed Tai Leonard Sach | 33c | 54.41$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.5wins | -0.16per pick | 16cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Masamichi Imamura | 73c | 50.52$37 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.64 | 8,217 | 45.5%3,737 W · 4,480 L | +166.6wins | +0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -16.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8e67…dad6backed Masamichi Imamura | 78c | 50$39 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11 | 34 | 44.1%15 W · 19 L | +0.5wins | +0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -13.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x25af…9433backed Tai Leonard Sach | 22c | 50$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11 | 25 | 8%2 W · 23 L | -2.8wins | -0.11per pick | 19cpaid | -65.2%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x5d92…48e4backed Masamichi Imamura | 73c | 47.95$35 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.95 | 75 | 68%51 W · 24 L | +5.2wins | +0.07per pick | 61cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x9d3e…986cbacked Masamichi Imamura | 66c | 47$31 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.98 | 636 | 48%305 W · 331 L | -10.3wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc5ea…42e8backed Masamichi Imamura | 77c | 44.03$34 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.34 | 898 | 59.7%536 W · 362 L | +2.3wins | 0.00per pick | 59cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4241…ad76backed Tai Leonard Sach | 25c | 40.4$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 166 | 47%78 W · 88 L | +5.0wins | +0.03per pick | 44cpaid | +14.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa578…6702backed Masamichi Imamura | 74c | 30$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.8 | 1,588 | 47%746 W · 842 L | -24.2wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -3.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x99a0…bc97backed Masamichi Imamura | 67c | 29.85$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.85 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.4wins | +0.12per pick | 55cpaid | +29.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x629d…756cbacked Masamichi Imamura | 73c | 26$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.02 | 2,082 | 52.3%1,088 W · 994 L | +19.0wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -5.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked Masamichi Imamura | 65c | 16.16$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.66 | 6,439 | 54.4%3,502 W · 2,937 L | +285.2wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | +26.3%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Tennis and say nothing about this market.
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.