Tennis · resolved market
ITF Tokyo: Hikaru Shiraishi vs Jangjun Kim
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xc24ff52ad1567243484d2bc7846b801fb4d0ec6db6d91add1162a7792f39f5a4
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Jangjun Kimof Hikaru Shiraishi, Jangjun Kim
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Tennisevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $28,182
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $31,454
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $28,182 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 63 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Tennis is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Tennis | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x6982…a165backed Hikaru Shiraishi | 47c | 4,379$2,045 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,045.22 | 629 | 56.9%358 W · 271 L | +0.8wins | 0.00per pick | 57cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x815f…1eefbacked Jangjun Kim | 65c | 1,565$1,017 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$548.15 | 521 | 52.2%272 W · 249 L | -5.3wins | -0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb4d2…ce99backed Hikaru Shiraishi | 26c | 1,340$348 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$347.97 | 4,921 | 38.7%1,905 W · 3,016 L | -20.0wins | 0.00per pick | 39cpaid | -7.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2903…9203backed Jangjun Kim | 69c | 1,208$834 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$373.92 | 1,076 | 60.4%650 W · 426 L | +24.2wins | +0.02per pick | 58cpaid | +4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd218…b5c9backed Hikaru Shiraishi | 27c | 1,141$303 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$303.27 | 6,720 | 36.9%2,479 W · 4,241 L | -95.8wins | -0.01per pick | 38cpaid | -20.5%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x287d…38febacked Hikaru Shiraishi | 40c | 1,028$411 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$411.43 | 374 | 21.9%82 W · 292 L | -7.0wins | -0.02per pick | 24cpaid | -10.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7462…3ac3backed Hikaru Shiraishi | 16c | 781.79$128 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$128.38 | 1,681 | 50%841 W · 840 L | +30.2wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +13%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb4e3…8c11backed Hikaru Shiraishi | 43c | 650$279 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$278.5 | 94 | 36.2%34 W · 60 L | -5.4wins | -0.06per pick | 42cpaid | -15.3%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x1b8c…20e4backed Jangjun Kim | 57c | 650$372 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$278.5 | 102 | 64.7%66 W · 36 L | +7.3wins | +0.07per pick | 58cpaid | +11.8%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xf01f…e8fbbacked Hikaru Shiraishi | 14c | 650$92 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$92 | 264 | 26.9%71 W · 193 L | -2.6wins | -0.01per pick | 28cpaid | -10.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7547…d158backed Hikaru Shiraishi | 39c | 600$234 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$234 | 7,049 | 39.7%2,795 W · 4,254 L | -20.5wins | 0.00per pick | 40cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x272d…bc2fbacked Jangjun Kim | 65c | 545.85$355 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$191.05 | 366 | 57.7%211 W · 155 L | +7.8wins | +0.02per pick | 56cpaid | +3.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd034…eecebacked Hikaru Shiraishi | 44c | 499.99$218 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$218.47 | 2,735 | 34%931 W · 1,804 L | -13.2wins | 0.00per pick | 35cpaid | -2.8%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb421…8856backed Jangjun Kim | 72c | 476.55$341 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$135.65 | 1,776 | 48.6%863 W · 913 L | +29.2wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | +4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbd3a…91fdbacked Jangjun Kim | 66c | 432.11$286 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$145.64 | 1,018 | 46.8%476 W · 542 L | +1.1wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc07d…b1dfbacked Jangjun Kim | 65c | 428.41$280 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$148.03 | 2,383 | 55.6%1,326 W · 1,057 L | +49.3wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -5.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1208…0160backed Hikaru Shiraishi | 8c | 402.41$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32.25 | 309 | 31.1%96 W · 213 L | +2.0wins | +0.01per pick | 30cpaid | -13.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x82b0…7c38backed Jangjun Kim | 65c | 384.62$250 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$134.62 | 359 | 55.7%200 W · 159 L | +20.3wins | +0.06per pick | 50cpaid | +8.8%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x99bc…4f35backed Hikaru Shiraishi | 8c | 366.55$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.46 | 1,379 | 16.4%226 W · 1,153 L | -108.5wins | -0.08per pick | 24cpaid | -49.2%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xef29…2f1ebacked Jangjun Kim | 71c | 361.98$258 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$104.45 | 1,111 | 45.3%503 W · 608 L | -35.7wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -12.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3054…055bbacked Jangjun Kim | 59c | 336.34$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$136.34 | 137 | 52.6%72 W · 65 L | +0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6e2f…9123backed Jangjun Kim | 65c | 307.69$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$107.69 | 316 | 56.3%178 W · 138 L | +19.8wins | +0.06per pick | 50cpaid | +15.1%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x50dc…b61abacked Hikaru Shiraishi | 19c | 300$58 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$57.75 | 275 | 30.2%83 W · 192 L | +4.6wins | +0.02per pick | 29cpaid | +10%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3f7a…0f82backed Jangjun Kim | 57c | 235$134 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$101.05 | 232 | 47%109 W · 123 L | +4.4wins | +0.02per pick | 45cpaid | +6.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x133a…504abacked Hikaru Shiraishi | 37c | 225.73$83 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$83 | 3,424 | 39.1%1,338 W · 2,086 L | -12.3wins | 0.00per pick | 39cpaid | -1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6318…46b1backed Hikaru Shiraishi | 39c | 215.07$84 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$83.53 | 5,261 | 28.8%1,514 W · 3,747 L | -19.4wins | 0.00per pick | 29cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x076d…8d4cbacked Hikaru Shiraishi | 15c | 214.53$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32.18 | 4,241 | 52.6%2,232 W · 2,009 L | +65.0wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa44a…88ecbacked Hikaru Shiraishi | 45c | 200.85$90 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$89.57 | 525 | 57%299 W · 226 L | +10.5wins | +0.02per pick | 55cpaid | +2.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3cad…92f0backed Hikaru Shiraishi | 36c | 200$72 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$72 | 3,220 | 40.5%1,305 W · 1,915 L | +28.3wins | +0.01per pick | 40cpaid | +2.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6770…5bdfbacked Hikaru Shiraishi | 41c | 191.6$78 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$78.29 | 969 | 45.9%445 W · 524 L | +7.7wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -3.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe24e…eecebacked Jangjun Kim | 54c | 172.22$93 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$79.22 | 878 | 54.7%480 W · 398 L | +8.5wins | +0.01per pick | 54cpaid | +2.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfb77…1c78backed Hikaru Shiraishi | 28c | 162.78$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45 | 2,151 | 37.3%802 W · 1,349 L | -27.2wins | -0.01per pick | 39cpaid | -5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1cdd…e595backed Hikaru Shiraishi | 27c | 141.26$38 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38.4 | 1,870 | 16%299 W · 1,571 L | -314.3wins | -0.17per pick | 33cpaid | -65.6%equal weight | 32-0.17 edge/pick |
| 0xb7e1…7950backed Jangjun Kim | 74c | 135.04$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$35.04 | 17 | 58.8%10 W · 7 L | -1.7wins | -0.10per pick | 69cpaid | -17.1%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0284…97f6backed Jangjun Kim | 62c | 113.37$70 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$43.37 | 84 | 61.9%52 W · 32 L | +0.9wins | +0.01per pick | 61cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8d74…f2abbacked Hikaru Shiraishi | 34c | 105$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35.71 | 433 | 34.9%151 W · 282 L | -8.3wins | -0.02per pick | 37cpaid | -7.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1f84…98f1backed Jangjun Kim | 63c | 95.24$60 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$35.24 | 32 | 50%16 W · 16 L | -0.7wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -5.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc4fe…601fbacked Hikaru Shiraishi | 31c | 86.34$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.52 | 6,449 | 46.3%2,987 W · 3,462 L | -42.9wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -13%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8e69…553abacked Jangjun Kim | 60c | 83.33$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$33.33 | 923 | 55.8%515 W · 408 L | +20.9wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | +4.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcd96…11a3backed Jangjun Kim | 63c | 79.34$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29.34 | 2,274 | 58%1,318 W · 956 L | -10.3wins | 0.00per pick | 58cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8e67…dad6backed Hikaru Shiraishi | 15c | 75$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.25 | 34 | 44.1%15 W · 19 L | +0.5wins | +0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -13.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x215b…5906backed Hikaru Shiraishi | 19c | 75$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.25 | 61 | 24.6%15 W · 46 L | -0.4wins | -0.01per pick | 25cpaid | -6.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xbc08…6b85backed Jangjun Kim | 57c | 68.32$39 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29.38 | 1,103 | 52.9%583 W · 520 L | +2.0wins | 0.00per pick | 53cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked Jangjun Kim | 60c | 55.04$33 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.21 | 6,439 | 54.4%3,502 W · 2,937 L | +285.2wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | +26.3%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x36d8…c7c7backed Hikaru Shiraishi | 37c | 55$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.35 | 1,228 | 41.1%505 W · 723 L | +1.8wins | 0.00per pick | 41cpaid | -7.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf006…bb6cbacked Hikaru Shiraishi | 42c | 55$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.1 | 46 | 41.3%19 W · 27 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 41cpaid | -6.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3bce…db46backed Jangjun Kim | 59c | 53.35$31 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.03 | 158 | 54.4%86 W · 72 L | +5.1wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +5.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xadf5…20f8backed Jangjun Kim | 62c | 52.78$32 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.28 | 43 | 37.2%16 W · 27 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 37cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9d5b…1578backed Hikaru Shiraishi | 38c | 52.64$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 255 | 50.6%129 W · 126 L | -0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe911…3d4ebacked Hikaru Shiraishi | 26c | 51.11$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.24 | 4,426 | 51.8%2,291 W · 2,135 L | +136.7wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2688…9197backed Jangjun Kim | 55c | 48.98$27 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.95 | 335 | 58.5%196 W · 139 L | +17.6wins | +0.05per pick | 53cpaid | +12%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xda77…683fbacked Hikaru Shiraishi | 33c | 45.75$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.1 | 5,416 | 48.6%2,633 W · 2,783 L | +14.5wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -9.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xbfd7…f0bfbacked Jangjun Kim | 65c | 43.37$28 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.25 | 7,816 | 50.6%3,958 W · 3,858 L | +95.4wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -4.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8c97…5c66backed Jangjun Kim | 71c | 42.25$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.25 | 483 | 55.1%266 W · 217 L | +7.4wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | +2.4%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x17ef…9a2cbacked Jangjun Kim | 66c | 38.15$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.81 | 788 | 57.1%450 W · 338 L | +13.0wins | +0.02per pick | 55cpaid | +3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x29a5…a3c4backed Hikaru Shiraishi | 36c | 30$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.8 | 830 | 47%390 W · 440 L | -16.0wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -9.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa578…6702backed Jangjun Kim | 57c | 30$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.9 | 1,588 | 47%746 W · 842 L | -24.2wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -3.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdfb4…da3cbacked Jangjun Kim | 67c | 29.85$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.85 | 10 | 50%5 W · 5 L | -1.0wins | -0.10per pick | 60cpaid | -22.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf0ad…34cebacked Jangjun Kim | 68c | 29.41$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.41 | 440 | 51.6%227 W · 213 L | -5.5wins | -0.01per pick | 53cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9ef1…5acabacked Jangjun Kim | 59c | 29.36$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.9 | 1,794 | 60.2%1,080 W · 714 L | +6.8wins | 0.00per pick | 60cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc5a9…3a77backed Hikaru Shiraishi | 43c | 28.13$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.1 | 115 | 51.3%59 W · 56 L | -5.8wins | -0.05per pick | 56cpaid | -9%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x26c2…0cdfbacked Hikaru Shiraishi | 38c | 26.32$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 743 | 46.3%344 W · 399 L | -28.9wins | -0.04per pick | 50cpaid | -9.5%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb7f3…d6dcbacked Hikaru Shiraishi | 47c | 24.66$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.51 | 870 | 60.2%524 W · 346 L | +28.4wins | +0.03per pick | 57cpaid | +5.1%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Tennis and say nothing about this market.
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.