CS2 · resolved market
Counter-Strike: Gatorian vs XCLAN (BO1) - ROG Journey Group B
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x5d90aef9b81f6a99e093e028bc597aa546d8efe1b234e502bcba99e978952bca
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Gatorianof Gatorian, XCLAN
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- CS2every record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $21,098
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $30,733
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $21,098 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 27 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in CS2 is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in CS2 | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x6200…7d23backed XCLAN | 18c | 3,715$686 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$685.56 | 160 | 36.3%58 W · 102 L | +3.7wins | +0.02per pick | 34cpaid | -11.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc5ac…2a18backed XCLAN | 24c | 2,980$720 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$719.87 | 251 | 47.8%120 W · 131 L | +9.5wins | +0.04per pick | 44cpaid | +10%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xddf1…d4aebacked Gatorian | 71c | 694.34$491 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$203.3 | 59 | 66.1%39 W · 20 L | +7.5wins | +0.13per pick | 53cpaid | +31.1%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xab2a…30edbacked XCLAN | 22c | 638.18$142 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$142.48 | 140 | 57.9%81 W · 59 L | +1.6wins | +0.01per pick | 57cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x50e8…0105backed XCLAN | 31c | 447.17$138 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$138.18 | 63 | 50.8%32 W · 31 L | +0.6wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +9.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc0f1…8680backed XCLAN | 23c | 330$76 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$75.9 | 2,522 | 43%1,085 W · 1,437 L | +42.7wins | +0.02per pick | 41cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7004…a778backed Gatorian | 76c | 300$228 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$72 | 301 | 55.8%168 W · 133 L | +6.0wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | +8.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf20b…e27dbacked XCLAN | 21c | 300$63 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$63 | 333 | 40.2%134 W · 199 L | +13.6wins | +0.04per pick | 36cpaid | +11.8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x64d4…f056backed XCLAN | 10c | 269.46$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.29 | 664 | 36.6%243 W · 421 L | -35.9wins | -0.05per pick | 42cpaid | -29.2%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2133…7903backed XCLAN | 29c | 258$75 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$74.82 | 388 | 35.8%139 W · 249 L | -6.8wins | -0.02per pick | 38cpaid | -10.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5de7…5417backed XCLAN | 19c | 250$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$47.5 | 1,146 | 43.5%499 W · 647 L | -17.5wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -2.6%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc4fe…601fbacked XCLAN | 22c | 246.8$54 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$54.3 | 3,459 | 29.3%1,012 W · 2,447 L | -279.9wins | -0.08per pick | 37cpaid | -43.5%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x8e67…dad6backed XCLAN | 19c | 225$43 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$42.75 | 7 | 0%0 W · 7 L | -1.7wins | -0.25per pick | 25cpaid | -100%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xb569…021ebacked XCLAN | 10c | 225$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.5 | 43 | 32.6%14 W · 29 L | +3.0wins | +0.07per pick | 26cpaid | +212.2%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2e3c…08babacked XCLAN | 15c | 197$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.75 | 4,691 | 43.6%2,043 W · 2,648 L | -83.2wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -21.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xec8c…3bcdbacked XCLAN | 22c | 136$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.92 | 351 | 31.1%109 W · 242 L | -4.8wins | -0.01per pick | 32cpaid | -12.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe44c…32a5backed XCLAN | 8c | 125$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 12 | 0%0 W · 12 L | -1.0wins | -0.09per pick | 9cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6498…0debbacked XCLAN | 20c | 123.6$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.72 | 26 | 50%13 W · 13 L | -0.2wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -6.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x94d2…cfbdbacked Gatorian | 79c | 100$79 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.8 | 2,110 | 47.2%995 W · 1,115 L | -62.2wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -18.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb155…ca84backed XCLAN | 11c | 98$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.54 | 321 | 39.9%128 W · 193 L | -13.1wins | -0.04per pick | 44cpaid | -21.6%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x629d…756cbacked XCLAN | 11c | 97$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.86 | 2,349 | 42.5%998 W · 1,351 L | -72.7wins | -0.03per pick | 46cpaid | -20.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6efa…a0a7backed Gatorian | 78c | 79.99$62 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.7 | 302 | 47%142 W · 160 L | -11.2wins | -0.04per pick | 51cpaid | -6%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6c3c…4169backed Gatorian | 71c | 70.42$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.42 | 32 | 75%24 W · 8 L | +4.4wins | +0.14per pick | 61cpaid | +18.3%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xad2c…4eecbacked XCLAN | 23c | 63.98$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 512 | 52.1%267 W · 245 L | +10.0wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1242…9077backed XCLAN | 22c | 58.7$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13 | 117 | 45.3%53 W · 64 L | +5.7wins | +0.05per pick | 40cpaid | +9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9d5b…1578backed Gatorian | 51c | 35.28$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.29 | 272 | 48.9%133 W · 139 L | +2.6wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…ba2cbacked Gatorian | 72c | 15$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.2 | 445 | 63.8%284 W · 161 L | +19.5wins | +0.04per pick | 59cpaid | +8.6%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in CS2 and say nothing about this market.
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.