MLB · resolved market
Miami Marlins vs. Los Angeles Dodgers
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x06cac344fd790e408b712958080071c7b5e57c27b13b75542a35b5f33f421d1e
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Los Angeles Dodgersof Miami Marlins, Los Angeles Dodgers
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- MLBevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $713,244
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $805,131
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $713,244 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 421 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in MLB is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in MLB | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xce36…2b99backed Los Angeles Dodgers | 17c | 70,017$11,690 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$58,327.04 | 73 | 31.5%23 W · 50 L | +3.0wins | +0.04per pick | 27cpaid | +7.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfe78…0319backed Miami Marlins | 75c | 50,338$37,515 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$37,514.54 | 10,979 | 51.6%5,660 W · 5,319 L | +139.8wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5375…aeeabacked Los Angeles Dodgers | 40c | 39,370$15,747 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23,622.36 | 1,381 | 48.1%664 W · 717 L | -13.2wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -13.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcd36…a8acbacked Los Angeles Dodgers | 73c | 33,947$24,718 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9,228.72 | 127 | 54.3%69 W · 58 L | +3.0wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +5.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5b63…11a4backed Los Angeles Dodgers | 31c | 30,954$9,595 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21,359.22 | 2,044 | 39.5%808 W · 1,236 L | -24.6wins | -0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -13.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5fea…78b1backed Los Angeles Dodgers | 60c | 15,713$9,383 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6,329.82 | 94 | 31.9%30 W · 64 L | -4.3wins | -0.05per pick | 37cpaid | -33.9%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6814…a9e7backed Miami Marlins | 45c | 13,016$5,882 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,882.28 | 2,389 | 43.4%1,037 W · 1,352 L | -25.4wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -11.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd3df…82fabacked Miami Marlins | 65c | 12,092$7,914 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$7,913.88 | 488 | 50.2%245 W · 243 L | +5.9wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -6.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x32ed…f960backed Miami Marlins | 48c | 11,385$5,422 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,422.47 | 6,123 | 55.4%3,390 W · 2,733 L | +346.0wins | +0.06per pick | 50cpaid | +8.6%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xd48a…6e90backed Los Angeles Dodgers | 75c | 11,055$8,249 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,806.33 | 1,681 | 50.1%842 W · 839 L | -22.7wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -2.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5f28…707dbacked Miami Marlins | 27c | 10,000$2,700 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,699.98 | 16 | 56.3%9 W · 7 L | +1.9wins | +0.12per pick | 45cpaid | +25.8%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x1a93…c3eabacked Los Angeles Dodgers | 28c | 9,786$2,749 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7,036.96 | 265 | 45.7%121 W · 144 L | -1.0wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8fba…d08abacked Miami Marlins | 28c | 9,568$2,679 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,679.04 | 540 | 51.1%276 W · 264 L | +23.4wins | +0.04per pick | 47cpaid | +8.7%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Los Angeles Dodgers | 40c | 8,941$3,574 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,367.32 | 8,192 | 46.2%3,787 W · 4,405 L | +38.0wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -6.9%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc33a…3da3backed Miami Marlins | 26c | 8,491$2,239 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,238.66 | 169 | 47.9%81 W · 88 L | -0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x27f7…44b0backed Los Angeles Dodgers | 73c | 7,744$5,653 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,091.01 | 925 | 54.1%500 W · 425 L | +23.5wins | +0.03per pick | 52cpaid | +5.8%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6815…9edbbacked Miami Marlins | 78c | 7,481$5,843 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,843.05 | 447 | 44.1%197 W · 250 L | -6.5wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -6.8%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5268…135dbacked Miami Marlins | 59c | 7,337$4,337 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,337.34 | 11,519 | 52.9%6,092 W · 5,427 L | +213.9wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd1ed…d7cbbacked Los Angeles Dodgers | 43c | 7,129$3,080 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,049.34 | 4,405 | 44.9%1,978 W · 2,427 L | +80.0wins | +0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -6.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7a88…41ccbacked Miami Marlins | 28c | 6,698$1,875 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,875.33 | 381 | 48.6%185 W · 196 L | -2.7wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x67b6…00bcbacked Miami Marlins | 27c | 5,000$1,350 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,350 | 48 | 35.4%17 W · 31 L | -2.2wins | -0.05per pick | 40cpaid | -10.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked Los Angeles Dodgers | 75c | 4,963$3,714 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,249.62 | 1,874 | 52%975 W · 899 L | +51.6wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +9.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x84ad…bfb7backed Miami Marlins | 65c | 4,962$3,242 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,242.17 | 1,520 | 59.1%899 W · 621 L | +78.6wins | +0.05per pick | 54cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x6498…8910backed Los Angeles Dodgers | 59c | 4,877$2,877 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,999.57 | 517 | 56.5%292 W · 225 L | +5.2wins | +0.01per pick | 55cpaid | +3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4b03…71babacked Los Angeles Dodgers | 59c | 4,525$2,684 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,841.21 | 33 | 42.4%14 W · 19 L | -2.3wins | -0.07per pick | 49cpaid | -14.6%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xff34…694bbacked Miami Marlins | 68c | 4,515$3,076 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,076.01 | 5,234 | 56.8%2,971 W · 2,263 L | +130.4wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | +2.3%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9d94…017dbacked Miami Marlins | 68c | 4,500$3,046 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,045.69 | 1,456 | 42.7%622 W · 834 L | -39.7wins | -0.03per pick | 45cpaid | -24.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa1e4…4f8abacked Los Angeles Dodgers | 27c | 4,378$1,171 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,207.41 | 122 | 27.9%34 W · 88 L | +7.4wins | +0.06per pick | 22cpaid | +6.1%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xa5ea…d96abacked Miami Marlins | 27c | 4,169$1,126 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,125.52 | 210 | 40%84 W · 126 L | -4.8wins | -0.02per pick | 42cpaid | -5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7760…21f0backed Miami Marlins | 28c | 3,791$1,052 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,052.12 | 2,375 | 47.3%1,123 W · 1,252 L | -13.4wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe401…7b88backed Los Angeles Dodgers | 46c | 3,592$1,664 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,927.63 | 9,819 | 46.4%4,557 W · 5,262 L | +39.8wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xed6b…8b3cbacked Miami Marlins | 66c | 3,518$2,322 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,321.96 | 15 | 60%9 W · 6 L | +0.4wins | +0.02per pick | 58cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa697…59d5backed Miami Marlins | 27c | 2,821$759 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$759.33 | 6,999 | 50.6%3,538 W · 3,461 L | +2.7wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | +0.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9ddc…e874backed Miami Marlins | 8c | 2,727$210 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$209.61 | 194 | 42.3%82 W · 112 L | -2.1wins | -0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -20.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x84cf…2f63backed Miami Marlins | 22c | 2,497$540 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$539.83 | 4,553 | 49.2%2,238 W · 2,315 L | -9.6wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9482…36b4backed Miami Marlins | 67c | 2,322$1,552 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,552.28 | 52 | 61.5%32 W · 20 L | +2.0wins | +0.04per pick | 58cpaid | +5.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6076…f8fdbacked Los Angeles Dodgers | 46c | 2,039$946 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,093.35 | 142 | 43%61 W · 81 L | +5.8wins | +0.04per pick | 39cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe911…3d4ebacked Los Angeles Dodgers | 42c | 2,014$849 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,164.34 | 1,728 | 50.4%871 W · 857 L | +57.0wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1a47…235bbacked Miami Marlins | 12c | 1,973$237 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$236.8 | 42 | 9.5%4 W · 38 L | -2.9wins | -0.07per pick | 16cpaid | -80.1%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc463…9a2fbacked Los Angeles Dodgers | 72c | 1,884$1,356 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$527.38 | 338 | 52.7%178 W · 160 L | +6.0wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +4.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1250…8f99backed Los Angeles Dodgers | 30c | 1,791$537 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,253.51 | 159 | 49.7%79 W · 80 L | -2.1wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -8.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9712…0c47backed Los Angeles Dodgers | 54c | 1,658$898 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$760.51 | 102 | 40.2%41 W · 61 L | -2.7wins | -0.03per pick | 43cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x255a…3435backed Los Angeles Dodgers | 21c | 1,654$345 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,308.94 | 1,522 | 34.7%528 W · 994 L | +27.1wins | +0.02per pick | 33cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xaa66…e95bbacked Los Angeles Dodgers | 69c | 1,559$1,071 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$488.27 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | -0.2wins | -0.04per pick | 64cpaid | -13.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8e79…3d6abacked Los Angeles Dodgers | 59c | 1,500$890 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$609.98 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.2wins | +0.12per pick | 38cpaid | -15.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7d9a…05e6backed Miami Marlins | 60c | 1,466$874 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$874.11 | 396 | 40.9%162 W · 234 L | -25.4wins | -0.06per pick | 47cpaid | -31.6%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xf0ac…4ec7backed Los Angeles Dodgers | 15c | 1,409$216 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,192.82 | 1,194 | 29%346 W · 848 L | -0.9wins | 0.00per pick | 29cpaid | -6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x54d0…8e20backed Los Angeles Dodgers | 73c | 1,340$979 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$361.91 | 326 | 56.7%185 W · 141 L | +2.1wins | +0.01per pick | 56cpaid | +2.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x986c…3180backed Miami Marlins | 27c | 1,308$353 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$353.12 | 523 | 47.2%247 W · 276 L | +3.1wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +1.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x32bf…ec60backed Miami Marlins | 15c | 1,265$190 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$189.8 | 141 | 34%48 W · 93 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 34cpaid | -16.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xcdfb…980cbacked Miami Marlins | 40c | 1,217$482 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$481.88 | 16 | 43.8%7 W · 9 L | -1.6wins | -0.10per pick | 54cpaid | -32.1%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x424e…263bbacked Miami Marlins | 27c | 1,197$323 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$323.21 | 1,769 | 51.6%912 W · 857 L | +16.9wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +2.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9ff5…f136backed Los Angeles Dodgers | 73c | 1,099$802 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$296.73 | 50 | 54%27 W · 23 L | -0.4wins | -0.01per pick | 55cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x009b…e769backed Los Angeles Dodgers | 73c | 1,053$768 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$284.22 | 122 | 62.3%76 W · 46 L | +8.4wins | +0.07per pick | 55cpaid | +14.9%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x7fea…8f74backed Miami Marlins | 50c | 1,046$527 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$526.54 | 880 | 46.4%408 W · 472 L | -22.6wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -19.6%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x949e…20afbacked Los Angeles Dodgers | 36c | 1,004$357 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$647.12 | 228 | 31.6%72 W · 156 L | -0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 32cpaid | +9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9b97…6084backed Los Angeles Dodgers | 58c | 1,004$582 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$421.7 | 591 | 50.3%297 W · 294 L | +9.0wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +2.1%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x066e…ceb2backed Miami Marlins | 22c | 1,001$225 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$225.1 | 252 | 40.1%101 W · 151 L | +0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 40cpaid | -8.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb4d2…ce99backed Los Angeles Dodgers | 59c | 1,001$590 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$410.88 | 755 | 44.2%334 W · 421 L | -9.0wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -8.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x695d…60d5backed Los Angeles Dodgers | 57c | 1,000$570 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$430 | 31 | 67.7%21 W · 10 L | +5.6wins | +0.18per pick | 50cpaid | +33.6%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x25d8…a71fbacked Miami Marlins | 71c | 993.33$705 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$705.27 | 180 | 67.8%122 W · 58 L | +7.5wins | +0.04per pick | 64cpaid | +3.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd81f…6b75backed Miami Marlins | 27c | 975.54$263 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$263.4 | 1,010 | 48.1%486 W · 524 L | -13.2wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -2.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3ff9…bb89backed Los Angeles Dodgers | 52c | 969.78$505 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$464.47 | 124 | 50%62 W · 62 L | +0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -7.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xeb4e…c3c3backed Miami Marlins | 27c | 929.99$251 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$251.1 | 11 | 27.3%3 W · 8 L | -0.7wins | -0.07per pick | 34cpaid | -20.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8180…208bbacked Los Angeles Dodgers | 31c | 927.68$288 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$640.1 | 181 | 51.4%93 W · 88 L | +5.3wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +8.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2c55…97d4backed Los Angeles Dodgers | 23c | 920.83$212 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$709.09 | 136 | 55.1%75 W · 61 L | +2.2wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | +2.7%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe8c4…0d90backed Los Angeles Dodgers | 61c | 899.99$550 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$350.17 | 54 | 29.6%16 W · 38 L | -5.9wins | -0.11per pick | 40cpaid | -23.8%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Los Angeles Dodgers | 38c | 822.68$316 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$506.67 | 12,328 | 46.4%5,726 W · 6,602 L | -66.0wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -9.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x12b4…a662backed Miami Marlins | 48c | 805.3$387 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$387.41 | 1,133 | 57.2%648 W · 485 L | +35.9wins | +0.03per pick | 54cpaid | +4.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xca20…7b68backed Miami Marlins | 42c | 792.79$332 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$332.3 | 371 | 43.9%163 W · 208 L | -21.4wins | -0.06per pick | 50cpaid | -20.8%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x0570…5200backed Miami Marlins | 45c | 788.53$356 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$355.9 | 91 | 52.7%48 W · 43 L | -2.7wins | -0.03per pick | 56cpaid | -7.8%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x76f1…f655backed Los Angeles Dodgers | 42c | 754.48$318 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$436.71 | 229 | 48.5%111 W · 118 L | +4.6wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -6.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdcad…df78backed Los Angeles Dodgers | 39c | 751.45$293 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$458.39 | 109 | 30.3%33 W · 76 L | -1.6wins | -0.01per pick | 32cpaid | -15.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x17be…a73abacked Miami Marlins | 28c | 727.85$204 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$203.8 | 50 | 38%19 W · 31 L | +2.9wins | +0.06per pick | 32cpaid | +33.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3c41…6275backed Miami Marlins | 15c | 725$110 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$109.5 | 63 | 14.3%9 W · 54 L | -0.4wins | -0.01per pick | 15cpaid | +58.7%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x840d…3708backed Los Angeles Dodgers | 25c | 723.73$182 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$541.33 | 7 | 57.1%4 W · 3 L | +1.9wins | +0.27per pick | 30cpaid | +267.5%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x1816…2ee6backed Miami Marlins | 67c | 701.87$470 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$470.25 | 5 | 0%0 W · 5 L | -2.1wins | -0.43per pick | 43cpaid | -100%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x18a4…3a31backed Miami Marlins | 78c | 698.73$545 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$545.25 | 2,149 | 50.2%1,079 W · 1,070 L | +28.3wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -7.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc70d…a6f9backed Miami Marlins | 70c | 697.85$491 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$491.11 | 6 | 66.7%4 W · 2 L | -0.5wins | -0.09per pick | 76cpaid | -12.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9916…bcb2backed Miami Marlins | 40c | 674.8$270 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$269.92 | 57 | 56.1%32 W · 25 L | +4.2wins | +0.07per pick | 49cpaid | +12.6%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x08c4…e6a5backed Los Angeles Dodgers | 73c | 673.84$492 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$181.94 | 42 | 59.5%25 W · 17 L | +1.7wins | +0.04per pick | 55cpaid | +7.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2849…3d49backed Miami Marlins | 30c | 672.9$205 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$205.2 | 268 | 57.8%155 W · 113 L | +26.3wins | +0.10per pick | 48cpaid | +18.4%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x26d6…caccbacked Miami Marlins | 59c | 667.61$395 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$395.36 | 1,153 | 42.8%494 W · 659 L | -37.8wins | -0.03per pick | 46cpaid | -25.6%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0b45…ac9fbacked Los Angeles Dodgers | 41c | 664.02$275 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$389.5 | 152 | 43.4%66 W · 86 L | -2.2wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -16.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa9f5…937fbacked Los Angeles Dodgers | 42c | 636.71$264 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$372.24 | 2,546 | 45.9%1,168 W · 1,378 L | -74.1wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -15%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1df2…89a0backed Los Angeles Dodgers | 59c | 636.27$375 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$261.73 | 1,113 | 49%545 W · 568 L | +22.1wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -11%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xadf3…101fbacked Miami Marlins | 27c | 627.74$169 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$169.49 | 332 | 41.3%137 W · 195 L | +1.0wins | 0.00per pick | 41cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x78bc…5616backed Miami Marlins | 80c | 617.5$494 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$494 | 205 | 39.5%81 W · 124 L | -9.8wins | -0.05per pick | 44cpaid | -12.9%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x161a…4103backed Los Angeles Dodgers | 74c | 607.37$449 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$157.92 | 4,087 | 57.6%2,354 W · 1,733 L | +66.3wins | +0.02per pick | 56cpaid | +2.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc1b5…c8f8backed Los Angeles Dodgers | 73c | 606.45$443 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$163.74 | 1,708 | 49.9%852 W · 856 L | -17.8wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -4.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe9f6…55aabacked Miami Marlins | 10c | 600$62 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$62 | 64 | 21.9%14 W · 50 L | +6.8wins | +0.11per pick | 11cpaid | +74.3%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x2f4c…39c0backed Miami Marlins | 8c | 600$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48 | 17 | 5.9%1 W · 16 L | -0.2wins | -0.01per pick | 7cpaid | -41.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xeda0…7dffbacked Miami Marlins | 20c | 575.82$114 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$114.23 | 97 | 25.8%25 W · 72 L | -11.2wins | -0.12per pick | 37cpaid | -39.2%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x0f8e…3082backed Miami Marlins | 47c | 560.17$261 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$260.53 | 781 | 46.4%362 W · 419 L | +11.8wins | +0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1e60…536bbacked Los Angeles Dodgers | 28c | 547.33$152 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$394.88 | 145 | 35.9%52 W · 93 L | +5.1wins | +0.04per pick | 32cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4bf2…d280backed Los Angeles Dodgers | 74c | 532.11$394 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$138.35 | 53 | 52.8%28 W · 25 L | +2.1wins | +0.04per pick | 49cpaid | +9.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdc64…8d0fbacked Los Angeles Dodgers | 13c | 527.18$66 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$460.81 | 10 | 30%3 W · 7 L | +2.0wins | +0.20per pick | 10cpaid | +253.8%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xc7e5…2d3abacked Los Angeles Dodgers | 9c | 525.22$47 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$477.95 | 947 | 34.4%326 W · 621 L | -0.7wins | 0.00per pick | 35cpaid | -4.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xee96…0634backed Los Angeles Dodgers | 41c | 506.75$208 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$298.38 | 75 | 48%36 W · 39 L | +5.6wins | +0.07per pick | 41cpaid | +16.3%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xccd0…2222backed Los Angeles Dodgers | 69c | 499.58$344 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$156.03 | 113 | 46.9%53 W · 60 L | -2.2wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in MLB and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 7 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Miami Marlins vs. Los Angeles Dodgersthis page
- Miami Marlins vs. Los Angeles Dodgers: O/U 7.5Over won
- Miami Marlins vs. Los Angeles Dodgers: O/U 8.5Over won
- Miami Marlins vs. Los Angeles Dodgers: O/U 9.5Under won
- Spread: Los Angeles Dodgers (-1.5)Miami Marlins won
- Spread: Los Angeles Dodgers (-2.5)Miami Marlins won
- Will there be a run scored in the first inning?: Miami Marlins vs. Los Angeles DodgersYes won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.