TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

MLB · resolved market

Miami Marlins vs. Los Angeles Dodgers: O/U 8.5

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Overof Over, Under
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
MLBevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$146,410
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$141,886

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $146,410 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

All 100 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in MLB is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in MLB
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0xb45a…192cbacked Under51c120,952$61,685 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$61,685.4741149.1%202 W · 209 L+3.3wins+0.01per pick48cpaid+2.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xfe78…0319backed Over49c88,572$43,409 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$45,163.0410,84651.6%5,594 W · 5,252 L+137.6wins+0.01per pick50cpaid-0.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x84cf…2f63backed Over49c17,762$8,702 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$9,059.514,55349.2%2,238 W · 2,315 L-9.6wins0.00per pick49cpaid-2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x5268…135dbacked Over49c12,293$6,045 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$6,247.7511,35752.9%6,003 W · 5,354 L+209.9wins+0.02per pick51cpaid-0.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x762e…4bf0backed Under46c3,801$1,749 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,748.524551.8%127 W · 118 L-7.2wins-0.03per pick55cpaid-5.9%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xbfd7…f0bfbacked Under29c3,651$1,046 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,045.981,91253%1,014 W · 898 L+42.5wins+0.02per pick51cpaid+1.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xd1ed…d7cbbacked Over49c3,287$1,618 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,668.774,38144.9%1,966 W · 2,415 L+77.8wins+0.02per pick43cpaid-6.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x085e…9aeabacked Under58c2,344$1,368 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,367.668353%44 W · 39 L+0.5wins+0.01per pick52cpaid+2.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x76e4…febcbacked Over49c1,978$969 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,008.979045.6%41 W · 49 L-1.0wins-0.01per pick47cpaid-3.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x55d8…b384backed Under52c1,552$807 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$807.2857744.7%258 W · 319 L-6.9wins-0.01per pick46cpaid-7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x9c76…c926backed Over49c1,454$713 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$741.591,29250.2%648 W · 644 L+18.2wins+0.01per pick49cpaid+3.5%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0xa697…59d5backed Under51c1,400$714 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$713.996,89950.4%3,478 W · 3,421 L-7.1wins0.00per pick51cpaid-0.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x6d3c…d294backed Over48c1,000$480 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5205,40150.5%2,726 W · 2,675 L+17.6wins0.00per pick50cpaid+0.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x5e4a…eee7backed Under51c980.31$500 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$499.9630844.2%136 W · 172 L-10.4wins-0.03per pick48cpaid-7.7%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x6814…a9e7backed Over55c814.03$444 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$369.962,38943.4%1,037 W · 1,352 L-25.4wins-0.01per pick44cpaid-11.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x27f7…44b0backed Over49c599.09$294 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$305.5492054%497 W · 423 L+23.1wins+0.03per pick52cpaid+5.7%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x32ed…f960backed Under35c582.57$205 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$204.886,11655.3%3,385 W · 2,731 L+344.6wins+0.06per pick50cpaid+8.6%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0xadfb…c2efbacked Over48c570.37$274 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$296.592,40748.5%1,167 W · 1,240 L-62.3wins-0.03per pick51cpaid-4.6%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xbde7…cf8abacked Under6c420.38$26 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$26.4116019.4%31 W · 129 L+5.3wins+0.03per pick16cpaid+8.3%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x424e…263bbacked Under51c400$204 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2041,76951.6%912 W · 857 L+16.9wins+0.01per pick51cpaid+2.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xc7e5…2d3abacked Over49c395.67$194 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$201.7994034.3%322 W · 618 L-2.8wins0.00per pick35cpaid-5.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x0520…3efdbacked Over60c352.37$213 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$139.8653261.8%329 W · 203 L+20.6wins+0.04per pick58cpaid+4.4%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x0f8e…3082backed Under26c322.8$84 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$84.4178146.4%362 W · 419 L+11.8wins+0.02per pick45cpaid-1.1%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0xa467…587dbacked Under53c322.76$170 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$170.0310%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.53per pick53cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x4f2d…318bbacked Under5c300$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15834.8%4 W · 79 L+0.4wins+0.01per pick4cpaid-5.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xe401…7b88backed Under37c298.87$110 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$109.699,72846.3%4,506 W · 5,222 L+32.8wins0.00per pick46cpaid-8.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xc546…058ebacked Over50c278.18$140 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$137.795,12754.7%2,805 W · 2,322 L+232.0wins+0.05per pick50cpaid+7.8%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x9aff…45fbbacked Under54c267.55$144 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$144.04540%2 W · 3 L-1.1wins-0.22per pick62cpaid-39.1%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x39fc…e2f2backed Over73c265.58$194 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$71.393,20851.2%1,642 W · 1,566 L+146.6wins+0.05per pick47cpaid+8.6%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x9819…e5cebacked Over47c255.16$120 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$135.5366.7%2 W · 1 L+1.0wins+0.34per pick33cpaid+72.3%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xd96a…d8cebacked Over20c217.12$43 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$174.5633515.5%52 W · 283 L-12.7wins-0.04per pick19cpaid-32.3%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x0656…4d9bbacked Under5c213.73$11 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10.691365.9%8 W · 128 L+0.6wins0.00per pick5cpaid-64.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x5628…abbcbacked Over47c208.64$99 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$109.941,43550%717 W · 718 L-15.8wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-1.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xf898…e720backed Under49c204.6$101 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$101.26,30348.2%3,041 W · 3,262 L+181.4wins+0.03per pick45cpaid+0.8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x904e…0becbacked Under55c200.37$109 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$109.4751555%283 W · 232 L+6.5wins+0.01per pick54cpaid-0.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xe8c4…0d90backed Under60c195.2$117 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$117.125429.6%16 W · 38 L-5.9wins-0.11per pick40cpaid-23.8%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x5821…7c51backed Under56c182.21$102 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$101.652,99550.8%1,521 W · 1,474 L-36.0wins-0.01per pick52cpaid-4.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x52d9…fb1abacked Under23c175$40 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$40.2599624.6%245 W · 751 L-70.1wins-0.07per pick32cpaid-24.3%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0xc0c2…b14dbacked Under50c169.8$85 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$85.421,14948.9%562 W · 587 L-6.5wins-0.01per pick49cpaid-6.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x938e…9b66backed Over49c148.38$73 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$75.6748150.7%244 W · 237 L-19.3wins-0.04per pick55cpaid-7.7%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x982e…add6backed Over41c141.34$58 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$83.0933228.3%94 W · 238 L-6.9wins-0.02per pick30cpaid-26.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xae45…96b9backed Under47c123.21$58 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$57.788351.8%43 W · 40 L+0.9wins+0.01per pick51cpaid-0.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x45dd…7b56backed Under44c110.25$48 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$48.3116242.6%69 W · 93 L-0.8wins-0.01per pick43cpaid-2.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x0979…fc8abacked Under10c108$11 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10.810215.7%16 W · 86 L-1.1wins-0.01per pick17cpaid-5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x3c41…6275backed Under28c106.86$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$29.516314.3%9 W · 54 L-0.4wins-0.01per pick15cpaid+58.7%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0x0a2d…4f43backed Under51c99.99$51 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$513641.7%15 W · 21 L-1.7wins-0.05per pick46cpaid-8.5%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xc26a…76a1backed Over49c98.92$48 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$50.456743.3%29 W · 38 L-1.7wins-0.03per pick46cpaid-3.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xa21b…9e94backed Over49c98.92$48 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$50.4548651%248 W · 238 L-18.0wins-0.04per pick55cpaid-7.2%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x6bb7…dd4bbacked Under33c96.47$32 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$31.841421.4%3 W · 11 L-3.5wins-0.25per pick47cpaid-63.3%equal weight40-0.09 edge/pick
0xe6f7…43fdbacked Under55c95.42$52 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$52.092969%20 W · 9 L+3.3wins+0.11per pick58cpaid+18%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0xeda0…7dffbacked Under49c92.6$45 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$45.379725.8%25 W · 72 L-11.2wins-0.12per pick37cpaid-39.2%equal weight40-0.09 edge/pick
0xeca1…57e4backed Under50c92.15$46 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$46.085448.1%26 W · 28 L-2.0wins-0.04per pick52cpaid-7.5%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xc81a…c368backed Over47c80$38 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$42.440446.5%188 W · 216 L+4.5wins+0.01per pick45cpaid+3.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x3043…c086backed Over49c79.13$39 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$40.361376.9%10 W · 3 L+2.7wins+0.21per pick56cpaid+37.8%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0xca20…7b68backed Under45c77.64$35 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$34.9637143.9%163 W · 208 L-21.4wins-0.06per pick50cpaid-20.8%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x70fc…ab12backed Over53c77.01$41 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$36.441,36754.3%742 W · 625 L+16.5wins+0.01per pick53cpaid+1.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x2f26…0d8fbacked Under61c75.09$46 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$46.061,84343.6%804 W · 1,039 L-15.8wins-0.01per pick44cpaid-7.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xcb0b…62cdbacked Under52c74.33$39 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$38.6579543%342 W · 453 L-3.3wins0.00per pick43cpaid+0.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xd81f…6b75backed Under51c72.25$37 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$36.851,01048.1%486 W · 524 L-13.2wins-0.01per pick49cpaid-2.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x8969…2cabbacked Under51c66.7$34 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$33.97250%1 W · 1 L+0.1wins+0.03per pick47cpaid+13.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x2d87…4e0dbacked Under52c64.1$33 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$33.3328350.2%142 W · 141 L-6.0wins-0.02per pick52cpaid-5.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xb675…779fbacked Under30c61.31$18 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$18.342429.2%7 W · 17 L-1.4wins-0.06per pick35cpaid-19.7%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x0514…def7backed Over68c57.69$39 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$18.465844.8%26 W · 32 L-4.8wins-0.08per pick53cpaid-17.8%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0x161a…4103backed Under54c56.41$31 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$30.644,03557.7%2,330 W · 1,705 L+72.2wins+0.02per pick56cpaid+3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x0ffe…9150backed Under22c54.69$12 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11.9215037.3%56 W · 94 L-15.3wins-0.10per pick48cpaid-33.6%equal weight40-0.09 edge/pick
0xa807…cc2ebacked Under40c53.14$21 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$21.231450%7 W · 7 L+0.8wins+0.05per pick45cpaid+9.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xe33d…9512backed Under37c50.94$19 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$18.8517244.2%76 W · 96 L-7.2wins-0.04per pick48cpaid-12.4%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xd5f5…bb11backed Over48c49.99$24 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2655953.1%297 W · 262 L+10.5wins+0.02per pick51cpaid+4.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x0448…5a75backed Over49c49.46$24 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$25.2230446.4%141 W · 163 L-25.6wins-0.08per pick55cpaid-15.1%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0x96c1…2c59backed Over49c49.46$24 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$25.221,49845.3%678 W · 820 L-8.7wins-0.01per pick46cpaid-0.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x1036…6c9fbacked Over63c46.23$29 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$16.894862.5%30 W · 18 L+3.5wins+0.07per pick55cpaid+11.8%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0xcde4…aa62backed Under80c45.45$36 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$36.361844.4%8 W · 10 L-0.4wins-0.02per pick47cpaid-27.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x7e0b…4dd5backed Over43c44.43$19 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$25.3214034.3%48 W · 92 L-13.7wins-0.10per pick44cpaid-26.9%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0xa34d…b57fbacked Under55c40.37$22 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$22.42462.5%15 W · 9 L+2.5wins+0.10per pick52cpaid+11.6%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xdd4e…1483backed Over49c39.57$19 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$20.187159.2%42 W · 29 L+4.3wins+0.06per pick53cpaid+12%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x3bfc…8eb3backed Over49c39.57$19 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$20.184926.5%13 W · 36 L-10.5wins-0.21per pick48cpaid-45.8%equal weight34-0.14 edge/pick
0x87b8…9c13backed Over49c39.57$19 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$20.184753.2%25 W · 22 L+0.1wins0.00per pick53cpaid+0.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xaf23…dcb7backed Under52c37.88$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$19.75738.6%22 W · 35 L-5.9wins-0.10per pick49cpaid-10.7%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0xb684…343cbacked Under52c37.72$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$19.6214353.1%76 W · 67 L-4.7wins-0.03per pick56cpaid-6.3%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xa434…e508backed Under52c37.35$19 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$19.421060%6 W · 4 L+1.3wins+0.13per pick47cpaid+17.2%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x2148…3da9backed Under52c37.35$19 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$19.425341.5%22 W · 31 L-3.7wins-0.07per pick49cpaid-16.3%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x066f…b576backed Over49c37.21$18 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$18.983,83242.2%1,619 W · 2,213 L+0.5wins0.00per pick42cpaid+0.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x4259…77c1backed Under56c36.78$21 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20.672,24357.6%1,293 W · 950 L+37.1wins+0.02per pick56cpaid+2.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xf458…f266backed Under52c35.48$18 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$18.451533.3%5 W · 10 L-2.4wins-0.16per pick49cpaid-29.6%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x9825…9ffcbacked Over43c33.69$14 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$19.218444%81 W · 103 L-2.2wins-0.01per pick45cpaid-3.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x0199…4e86backed Over49c33.06$16 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$16.8617460.3%105 W · 69 L+7.4wins+0.04per pick56cpaid+7.8%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x669d…f27abacked Under74c31.51$23 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$23.472050%10 W · 10 L-0.1wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-21.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x6efb…01afbacked Over49c29.68$15 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$15.134553.3%24 W · 21 L-1.8wins-0.04per pick57cpaid-9.2%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xc96b…438abacked Over49c29.68$15 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$15.1327452.6%144 W · 130 L-4.2wins-0.02per pick54cpaid-4%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0xe9cd…1e2bbacked Under38c27.39$10 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10.411,05750.2%531 W · 526 L+23.4wins+0.02per pick48cpaid+5.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x2d6a…8addbacked Over48c25$12 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1311346.9%53 W · 60 L-5.5wins-0.05per pick52cpaid-11.2%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xcf73…0215backed Over48c23.76$11 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$12.3629752.5%156 W · 141 L+6.3wins+0.02per pick50cpaid+4.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x8a0c…3d4dbacked Over49c23.74$12 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$12.1117450.6%88 W · 86 L-9.0wins-0.05per pick56cpaid-8.6%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0xa578…6702backed Under52c23.31$12 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$12.121,05347.3%498 W · 555 L-14.7wins-0.01per pick49cpaid-3.4%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x55a3…fd93backed Under48c23.25$11 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11.213658.3%21 W · 15 L+2.8wins+0.08per pick51cpaid+20.2%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x01bc…6c9fbacked Under63c23.23$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$14.641266.7%8 W · 4 L+0.7wins+0.06per pick61cpaid+12.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xde6b…7178backed Over48c22.28$11 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$11.59944.4%4 W · 5 L-0.2wins-0.02per pick47cpaid-9.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x9b55…1167backed Under52c19.42$10 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10.110860.2%65 W · 43 L-7.0wins-0.06per pick67cpaid-8.7%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x56b3…2c42backed Under52c19.42$10 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10.11844.4%8 W · 10 L-1.7wins-0.10per pick54cpaid-17.6%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x93ac…2761backed Over74c13.95$10 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3.632,58361.4%1,587 W · 996 L+70.9wins+0.03per pick59cpaid+4.3%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in MLB and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 7 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.