MLB · resolved market
Miami Marlins vs. Los Angeles Dodgers: O/U 8.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x9c24eeb9390b4e99445c0b47309709daab8c56d42f58eac743482471b868b553
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Overof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- MLBevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $146,410
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $141,886
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $146,410 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 100 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in MLB is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in MLB | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xb45a…192cbacked Under | 51c | 120,952$61,685 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$61,685.47 | 411 | 49.1%202 W · 209 L | +3.3wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfe78…0319backed Over | 49c | 88,572$43,409 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$45,163.04 | 10,846 | 51.6%5,594 W · 5,252 L | +137.6wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x84cf…2f63backed Over | 49c | 17,762$8,702 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9,059.51 | 4,553 | 49.2%2,238 W · 2,315 L | -9.6wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5268…135dbacked Over | 49c | 12,293$6,045 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6,247.75 | 11,357 | 52.9%6,003 W · 5,354 L | +209.9wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x762e…4bf0backed Under | 46c | 3,801$1,749 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,748.5 | 245 | 51.8%127 W · 118 L | -7.2wins | -0.03per pick | 55cpaid | -5.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xbfd7…f0bfbacked Under | 29c | 3,651$1,046 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,045.98 | 1,912 | 53%1,014 W · 898 L | +42.5wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd1ed…d7cbbacked Over | 49c | 3,287$1,618 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,668.77 | 4,381 | 44.9%1,966 W · 2,415 L | +77.8wins | +0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -6.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x085e…9aeabacked Under | 58c | 2,344$1,368 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,367.66 | 83 | 53%44 W · 39 L | +0.5wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +2.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x76e4…febcbacked Over | 49c | 1,978$969 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,008.97 | 90 | 45.6%41 W · 49 L | -1.0wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -3.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x55d8…b384backed Under | 52c | 1,552$807 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$807.28 | 577 | 44.7%258 W · 319 L | -6.9wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9c76…c926backed Over | 49c | 1,454$713 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$741.59 | 1,292 | 50.2%648 W · 644 L | +18.2wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa697…59d5backed Under | 51c | 1,400$714 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$713.99 | 6,899 | 50.4%3,478 W · 3,421 L | -7.1wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6d3c…d294backed Over | 48c | 1,000$480 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$520 | 5,401 | 50.5%2,726 W · 2,675 L | +17.6wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5e4a…eee7backed Under | 51c | 980.31$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$499.96 | 308 | 44.2%136 W · 172 L | -10.4wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -7.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6814…a9e7backed Over | 55c | 814.03$444 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$369.96 | 2,389 | 43.4%1,037 W · 1,352 L | -25.4wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -11.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x27f7…44b0backed Over | 49c | 599.09$294 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$305.54 | 920 | 54%497 W · 423 L | +23.1wins | +0.03per pick | 52cpaid | +5.7%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x32ed…f960backed Under | 35c | 582.57$205 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$204.88 | 6,116 | 55.3%3,385 W · 2,731 L | +344.6wins | +0.06per pick | 50cpaid | +8.6%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xadfb…c2efbacked Over | 48c | 570.37$274 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$296.59 | 2,407 | 48.5%1,167 W · 1,240 L | -62.3wins | -0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -4.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xbde7…cf8abacked Under | 6c | 420.38$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.41 | 160 | 19.4%31 W · 129 L | +5.3wins | +0.03per pick | 16cpaid | +8.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x424e…263bbacked Under | 51c | 400$204 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$204 | 1,769 | 51.6%912 W · 857 L | +16.9wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +2.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc7e5…2d3abacked Over | 49c | 395.67$194 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$201.79 | 940 | 34.3%322 W · 618 L | -2.8wins | 0.00per pick | 35cpaid | -5.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0520…3efdbacked Over | 60c | 352.37$213 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$139.86 | 532 | 61.8%329 W · 203 L | +20.6wins | +0.04per pick | 58cpaid | +4.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0f8e…3082backed Under | 26c | 322.8$84 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$84.41 | 781 | 46.4%362 W · 419 L | +11.8wins | +0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa467…587dbacked Under | 53c | 322.76$170 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$170.03 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.53per pick | 53cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4f2d…318bbacked Under | 5c | 300$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 83 | 4.8%4 W · 79 L | +0.4wins | +0.01per pick | 4cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe401…7b88backed Under | 37c | 298.87$110 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$109.69 | 9,728 | 46.3%4,506 W · 5,222 L | +32.8wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -8.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc546…058ebacked Over | 50c | 278.18$140 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$137.79 | 5,127 | 54.7%2,805 W · 2,322 L | +232.0wins | +0.05per pick | 50cpaid | +7.8%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x9aff…45fbbacked Under | 54c | 267.55$144 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$144.04 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -1.1wins | -0.22per pick | 62cpaid | -39.1%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x39fc…e2f2backed Over | 73c | 265.58$194 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$71.39 | 3,208 | 51.2%1,642 W · 1,566 L | +146.6wins | +0.05per pick | 47cpaid | +8.6%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x9819…e5cebacked Over | 47c | 255.16$120 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$135.5 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +1.0wins | +0.34per pick | 33cpaid | +72.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd96a…d8cebacked Over | 20c | 217.12$43 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$174.56 | 335 | 15.5%52 W · 283 L | -12.7wins | -0.04per pick | 19cpaid | -32.3%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0656…4d9bbacked Under | 5c | 213.73$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.69 | 136 | 5.9%8 W · 128 L | +0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 5cpaid | -64.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5628…abbcbacked Over | 47c | 208.64$99 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$109.94 | 1,435 | 50%717 W · 718 L | -15.8wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf898…e720backed Under | 49c | 204.6$101 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$101.2 | 6,303 | 48.2%3,041 W · 3,262 L | +181.4wins | +0.03per pick | 45cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x904e…0becbacked Under | 55c | 200.37$109 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$109.47 | 515 | 55%283 W · 232 L | +6.5wins | +0.01per pick | 54cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe8c4…0d90backed Under | 60c | 195.2$117 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$117.12 | 54 | 29.6%16 W · 38 L | -5.9wins | -0.11per pick | 40cpaid | -23.8%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x5821…7c51backed Under | 56c | 182.21$102 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$101.65 | 2,995 | 50.8%1,521 W · 1,474 L | -36.0wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x52d9…fb1abacked Under | 23c | 175$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40.25 | 996 | 24.6%245 W · 751 L | -70.1wins | -0.07per pick | 32cpaid | -24.3%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xc0c2…b14dbacked Under | 50c | 169.8$85 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$85.42 | 1,149 | 48.9%562 W · 587 L | -6.5wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -6.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x938e…9b66backed Over | 49c | 148.38$73 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$75.67 | 481 | 50.7%244 W · 237 L | -19.3wins | -0.04per pick | 55cpaid | -7.7%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x982e…add6backed Over | 41c | 141.34$58 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$83.09 | 332 | 28.3%94 W · 238 L | -6.9wins | -0.02per pick | 30cpaid | -26.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xae45…96b9backed Under | 47c | 123.21$58 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$57.78 | 83 | 51.8%43 W · 40 L | +0.9wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x45dd…7b56backed Under | 44c | 110.25$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48.31 | 162 | 42.6%69 W · 93 L | -0.8wins | -0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0979…fc8abacked Under | 10c | 108$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.8 | 102 | 15.7%16 W · 86 L | -1.1wins | -0.01per pick | 17cpaid | -5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3c41…6275backed Under | 28c | 106.86$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.51 | 63 | 14.3%9 W · 54 L | -0.4wins | -0.01per pick | 15cpaid | +58.7%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0a2d…4f43backed Under | 51c | 99.99$51 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$51 | 36 | 41.7%15 W · 21 L | -1.7wins | -0.05per pick | 46cpaid | -8.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc26a…76a1backed Over | 49c | 98.92$48 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$50.45 | 67 | 43.3%29 W · 38 L | -1.7wins | -0.03per pick | 46cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa21b…9e94backed Over | 49c | 98.92$48 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$50.45 | 486 | 51%248 W · 238 L | -18.0wins | -0.04per pick | 55cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6bb7…dd4bbacked Under | 33c | 96.47$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31.84 | 14 | 21.4%3 W · 11 L | -3.5wins | -0.25per pick | 47cpaid | -63.3%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xe6f7…43fdbacked Under | 55c | 95.42$52 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$52.09 | 29 | 69%20 W · 9 L | +3.3wins | +0.11per pick | 58cpaid | +18%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xeda0…7dffbacked Under | 49c | 92.6$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45.37 | 97 | 25.8%25 W · 72 L | -11.2wins | -0.12per pick | 37cpaid | -39.2%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xeca1…57e4backed Under | 50c | 92.15$46 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$46.08 | 54 | 48.1%26 W · 28 L | -2.0wins | -0.04per pick | 52cpaid | -7.5%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc81a…c368backed Over | 47c | 80$38 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$42.4 | 404 | 46.5%188 W · 216 L | +4.5wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | +3.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3043…c086backed Over | 49c | 79.13$39 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$40.36 | 13 | 76.9%10 W · 3 L | +2.7wins | +0.21per pick | 56cpaid | +37.8%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xca20…7b68backed Under | 45c | 77.64$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34.96 | 371 | 43.9%163 W · 208 L | -21.4wins | -0.06per pick | 50cpaid | -20.8%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x70fc…ab12backed Over | 53c | 77.01$41 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$36.44 | 1,367 | 54.3%742 W · 625 L | +16.5wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2f26…0d8fbacked Under | 61c | 75.09$46 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$46.06 | 1,843 | 43.6%804 W · 1,039 L | -15.8wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -7.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcb0b…62cdbacked Under | 52c | 74.33$39 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38.65 | 795 | 43%342 W · 453 L | -3.3wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd81f…6b75backed Under | 51c | 72.25$37 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36.85 | 1,010 | 48.1%486 W · 524 L | -13.2wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -2.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8969…2cabbacked Under | 51c | 66.7$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33.97 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.1wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | +13.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2d87…4e0dbacked Under | 52c | 64.1$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33.33 | 283 | 50.2%142 W · 141 L | -6.0wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -5.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb675…779fbacked Under | 30c | 61.31$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.34 | 24 | 29.2%7 W · 17 L | -1.4wins | -0.06per pick | 35cpaid | -19.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0514…def7backed Over | 68c | 57.69$39 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.46 | 58 | 44.8%26 W · 32 L | -4.8wins | -0.08per pick | 53cpaid | -17.8%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x161a…4103backed Under | 54c | 56.41$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.64 | 4,035 | 57.7%2,330 W · 1,705 L | +72.2wins | +0.02per pick | 56cpaid | +3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0ffe…9150backed Under | 22c | 54.69$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.92 | 150 | 37.3%56 W · 94 L | -15.3wins | -0.10per pick | 48cpaid | -33.6%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xa807…cc2ebacked Under | 40c | 53.14$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.23 | 14 | 50%7 W · 7 L | +0.8wins | +0.05per pick | 45cpaid | +9.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe33d…9512backed Under | 37c | 50.94$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.85 | 172 | 44.2%76 W · 96 L | -7.2wins | -0.04per pick | 48cpaid | -12.4%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd5f5…bb11backed Over | 48c | 49.99$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26 | 559 | 53.1%297 W · 262 L | +10.5wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +4.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0448…5a75backed Over | 49c | 49.46$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.22 | 304 | 46.4%141 W · 163 L | -25.6wins | -0.08per pick | 55cpaid | -15.1%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x96c1…2c59backed Over | 49c | 49.46$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.22 | 1,498 | 45.3%678 W · 820 L | -8.7wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1036…6c9fbacked Over | 63c | 46.23$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.89 | 48 | 62.5%30 W · 18 L | +3.5wins | +0.07per pick | 55cpaid | +11.8%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xcde4…aa62backed Under | 80c | 45.45$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36.36 | 18 | 44.4%8 W · 10 L | -0.4wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -27.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7e0b…4dd5backed Over | 43c | 44.43$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.32 | 140 | 34.3%48 W · 92 L | -13.7wins | -0.10per pick | 44cpaid | -26.9%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xa34d…b57fbacked Under | 55c | 40.37$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.4 | 24 | 62.5%15 W · 9 L | +2.5wins | +0.10per pick | 52cpaid | +11.6%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xdd4e…1483backed Over | 49c | 39.57$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.18 | 71 | 59.2%42 W · 29 L | +4.3wins | +0.06per pick | 53cpaid | +12%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x3bfc…8eb3backed Over | 49c | 39.57$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.18 | 49 | 26.5%13 W · 36 L | -10.5wins | -0.21per pick | 48cpaid | -45.8%equal weight | 34-0.14 edge/pick |
| 0x87b8…9c13backed Over | 49c | 39.57$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.18 | 47 | 53.2%25 W · 22 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 53cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xaf23…dcb7backed Under | 52c | 37.88$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.7 | 57 | 38.6%22 W · 35 L | -5.9wins | -0.10per pick | 49cpaid | -10.7%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xb684…343cbacked Under | 52c | 37.72$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.62 | 143 | 53.1%76 W · 67 L | -4.7wins | -0.03per pick | 56cpaid | -6.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa434…e508backed Under | 52c | 37.35$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.42 | 10 | 60%6 W · 4 L | +1.3wins | +0.13per pick | 47cpaid | +17.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2148…3da9backed Under | 52c | 37.35$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.42 | 53 | 41.5%22 W · 31 L | -3.7wins | -0.07per pick | 49cpaid | -16.3%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x066f…b576backed Over | 49c | 37.21$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.98 | 3,832 | 42.2%1,619 W · 2,213 L | +0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 42cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4259…77c1backed Under | 56c | 36.78$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.67 | 2,243 | 57.6%1,293 W · 950 L | +37.1wins | +0.02per pick | 56cpaid | +2.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf458…f266backed Under | 52c | 35.48$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.45 | 15 | 33.3%5 W · 10 L | -2.4wins | -0.16per pick | 49cpaid | -29.6%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x9825…9ffcbacked Over | 43c | 33.69$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.2 | 184 | 44%81 W · 103 L | -2.2wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0199…4e86backed Over | 49c | 33.06$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.86 | 174 | 60.3%105 W · 69 L | +7.4wins | +0.04per pick | 56cpaid | +7.8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x669d…f27abacked Under | 74c | 31.51$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.47 | 20 | 50%10 W · 10 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -21.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6efb…01afbacked Over | 49c | 29.68$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.13 | 45 | 53.3%24 W · 21 L | -1.8wins | -0.04per pick | 57cpaid | -9.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc96b…438abacked Over | 49c | 29.68$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.13 | 274 | 52.6%144 W · 130 L | -4.2wins | -0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -4%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe9cd…1e2bbacked Under | 38c | 27.39$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.41 | 1,057 | 50.2%531 W · 526 L | +23.4wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +5.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2d6a…8addbacked Over | 48c | 25$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13 | 113 | 46.9%53 W · 60 L | -5.5wins | -0.05per pick | 52cpaid | -11.2%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xcf73…0215backed Over | 48c | 23.76$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.36 | 297 | 52.5%156 W · 141 L | +6.3wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +4.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8a0c…3d4dbacked Over | 49c | 23.74$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.11 | 174 | 50.6%88 W · 86 L | -9.0wins | -0.05per pick | 56cpaid | -8.6%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xa578…6702backed Under | 52c | 23.31$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.12 | 1,053 | 47.3%498 W · 555 L | -14.7wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -3.4%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x55a3…fd93backed Under | 48c | 23.25$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.21 | 36 | 58.3%21 W · 15 L | +2.8wins | +0.08per pick | 51cpaid | +20.2%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x01bc…6c9fbacked Under | 63c | 23.23$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.64 | 12 | 66.7%8 W · 4 L | +0.7wins | +0.06per pick | 61cpaid | +12.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xde6b…7178backed Over | 48c | 22.28$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.59 | 9 | 44.4%4 W · 5 L | -0.2wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -9.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9b55…1167backed Under | 52c | 19.42$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.1 | 108 | 60.2%65 W · 43 L | -7.0wins | -0.06per pick | 67cpaid | -8.7%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x56b3…2c42backed Under | 52c | 19.42$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.1 | 18 | 44.4%8 W · 10 L | -1.7wins | -0.10per pick | 54cpaid | -17.6%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x93ac…2761backed Over | 74c | 13.95$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3.63 | 2,583 | 61.4%1,587 W · 996 L | +70.9wins | +0.03per pick | 59cpaid | +4.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in MLB and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 7 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Miami Marlins vs. Los Angeles Dodgers: O/U 8.5this page
- Miami Marlins vs. Los Angeles DodgersLos Angeles Dodgers won
- Miami Marlins vs. Los Angeles Dodgers: O/U 7.5Over won
- Miami Marlins vs. Los Angeles Dodgers: O/U 9.5Under won
- Spread: Los Angeles Dodgers (-1.5)Miami Marlins won
- Spread: Los Angeles Dodgers (-2.5)Miami Marlins won
- Will there be a run scored in the first inning?: Miami Marlins vs. Los Angeles DodgersYes won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.