Tennis · resolved market
Nottingham 2: Jaime Faria vs Moez Echargui
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xd18435467b950a287d7483f4506347efc0dc2767fedcb63b6d22ac2c3a8a6cd5
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Jaime Fariaof Jaime Faria, Moez Echargui
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Tennisevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $11,926
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $10,931
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $11,926 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 17 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Tennis is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Tennis | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xccd8…f4debacked Moez Echargui | 19c | 1,586$298 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$297.95 | 1,475 | 35.2%519 W · 956 L | -14.1wins | -0.01per pick | 36cpaid | -4.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd546…657bbacked Moez Echargui | 8c | 1,073$87 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$87 | 194 | 10.3%20 W · 174 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 10cpaid | -21.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd034…eecebacked Moez Echargui | 16c | 1,000$164 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$164.31 | 2,735 | 34%931 W · 1,804 L | -13.2wins | 0.00per pick | 35cpaid | -2.8%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5268…135dbacked Moez Echargui | 5c | 701.43$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35.07 | 4,185 | 44.7%1,871 W · 2,314 L | +14.9wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | -17.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc4db…7e0cbacked Moez Echargui | 20c | 499.99$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 3,871 | 35%1,353 W · 2,518 L | +92.5wins | +0.02per pick | 33cpaid | +8.2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd6d2…4a24backed Moez Echargui | 16c | 484.7$78 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$78.25 | 529 | 10%53 W · 476 L | -3.9wins | -0.01per pick | 11cpaid | -11.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5375…aeeabacked Moez Echargui | 18c | 256$46 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$46.08 | 457 | 37.9%173 W · 284 L | -9.6wins | -0.02per pick | 40cpaid | -28.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xadfb…c2efbacked Moez Echargui | 15c | 251.27$39 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38.69 | 3,256 | 48.2%1,570 W · 1,686 L | -53.4wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -4.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc9c3…079fbacked Jaime Faria | 80c | 210$168 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$42 | 893 | 64.4%575 W · 318 L | +12.5wins | +0.01per pick | 63cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbd95…08b8backed Moez Echargui | 12c | 200$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24 | 82 | 8.5%7 W · 75 L | -6.5wins | -0.08per pick | 16cpaid | -65.8%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xeb74…997cbacked Jaime Faria | 80c | 155$124 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31 | 17 | 58.8%10 W · 7 L | +1.1wins | +0.06per pick | 52cpaid | -6.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1cdd…e595backed Moez Echargui | 12c | 140.9$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.34 | 1,870 | 16%299 W · 1,571 L | -314.3wins | -0.17per pick | 33cpaid | -65.6%equal weight | 32-0.17 edge/pick |
| 0xf970…f7f6backed Moez Echargui | 18c | 110.63$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.81 | 2,485 | 35.9%893 W · 1,592 L | -28.5wins | -0.01per pick | 37cpaid | -5.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x64e8…7819backed Moez Echargui | 16c | 109.99$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.6 | 1,882 | 35.5%669 W · 1,213 L | +26.8wins | +0.01per pick | 34cpaid | +4.8%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc5ea…42e8backed Jaime Faria | 80c | 103.04$82 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.61 | 898 | 59.7%536 W · 362 L | +2.3wins | 0.00per pick | 59cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x985d…33c9backed Moez Echargui | 16c | 78.12$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.5 | 1,300 | 36.9%480 W · 820 L | -34.2wins | -0.03per pick | 40cpaid | -4.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8e67…dad6backed Moez Echargui | 18c | 75$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.5 | 34 | 44.1%15 W · 19 L | +0.5wins | +0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -13.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Tennis and say nothing about this market.
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.