Tennis · resolved market
ITF Ystad: Valentina Ivanov vs Madison Sieg
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x6788a1ee94f7481c11866de16fe00fcb749d6baf952217cfb6a1a09fcbb23d6a
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Madison Siegof Valentina Ivanov, Madison Sieg
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Tennisevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $2,041
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $2,058
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $2,041 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 23 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Tennis is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Tennis | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x6318…46b1backed Valentina Ivanov | 38c | 469.4$180 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$179.97 | 5,261 | 28.8%1,514 W · 3,747 L | -19.4wins | 0.00per pick | 29cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xaf3b…9035backed Madison Sieg | 62c | 242.1$150 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$92.1 | 307 | 55%169 W · 138 L | +5.5wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | +8.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa9f5…937fbacked Madison Sieg | 74c | 225.31$167 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$58.52 | 4,602 | 48.3%2,223 W · 2,379 L | +34.4wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -8.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcd96…11a3backed Valentina Ivanov | 26c | 192.31$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 2,274 | 58%1,318 W · 956 L | -10.3wins | 0.00per pick | 58cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2ad5…62ffbacked Valentina Ivanov | 26c | 133.61$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34.45 | 1,228 | 23.1%284 W · 944 L | -164.0wins | -0.13per pick | 36cpaid | -47%equal weight | 35-0.13 edge/pick |
| 0xd9c9…6686backed Madison Sieg | 63c | 120.05$76 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$44.01 | 1,337 | 46%615 W · 722 L | +23.1wins | +0.02per pick | 44cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1cdd…e595backed Valentina Ivanov | 17c | 119.98$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.39 | 1,870 | 16%299 W · 1,571 L | -314.3wins | -0.17per pick | 33cpaid | -65.6%equal weight | 32-0.17 edge/pick |
| 0x9f15…bdb3backed Valentina Ivanov | 36c | 116.67$42 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$42 | 1,149 | 41.3%474 W · 675 L | +23.6wins | +0.02per pick | 39cpaid | +6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x82aa…fe2fbacked Valentina Ivanov | 21c | 110.99$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.31 | 627 | 27.3%171 W · 456 L | -15.7wins | -0.03per pick | 30cpaid | -7.9%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Madison Sieg | 74c | 100$74 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.98 | 8,217 | 45.5%3,737 W · 4,480 L | +166.6wins | +0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -16.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0009…5497backed Valentina Ivanov | 24c | 89.22$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.41 | 1,880 | 48.5%912 W · 968 L | +8.8wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -4.6%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb4d2…ce99backed Valentina Ivanov | 13c | 85.82$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.16 | 4,921 | 38.7%1,905 W · 3,016 L | -20.0wins | 0.00per pick | 39cpaid | -7.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4e48…828fbacked Madison Sieg | 60c | 83.33$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$33.33 | 73 | 52.1%38 W · 35 L | -4.0wins | -0.05per pick | 58cpaid | -15.7%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Madison Sieg | 76c | 78.56$60 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.74 | 11,435 | 43.4%4,959 W · 6,476 L | +17.8wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | -20.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8e69…553abacked Madison Sieg | 79c | 63.29$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.29 | 923 | 55.8%515 W · 408 L | +20.9wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | +4.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8e67…dad6backed Madison Sieg | 78c | 50$39 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11 | 34 | 44.1%15 W · 19 L | +0.5wins | +0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -13.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x25af…9433backed Valentina Ivanov | 22c | 50$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11 | 25 | 8%2 W · 23 L | -2.8wins | -0.11per pick | 19cpaid | -65.2%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x7d70…ae13backed Madison Sieg | 62c | 50$31 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19 | 76 | 57.9%44 W · 32 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 58cpaid | -3.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb9dd…13a2backed Madison Sieg | 79c | 37.97$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.97 | 245 | 57.6%141 W · 104 L | +1.8wins | +0.01per pick | 57cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfd3e…5a7abacked Madison Sieg | 75c | 33.82$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.61 | 896 | 63.7%571 W · 325 L | +63.2wins | +0.07per pick | 57cpaid | +12.5%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xe911…3d4ebacked Madison Sieg | 74c | 20.43$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.27 | 4,426 | 51.8%2,291 W · 2,135 L | +136.7wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2965…0dedbacked Madison Sieg | 64c | 15.92$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.73 | 585 | 39.5%231 W · 354 L | -4.5wins | -0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -9.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1bce…c696backed Madison Sieg | 78c | 15$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3.3 | 180 | 72.8%131 W · 49 L | +2.6wins | +0.01per pick | 71cpaid | +1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Tennis and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 2 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- ITF Ystad: Valentina Ivanov vs Madison Siegthis page
- Set 1 Winner: Ivanov vs SiegSieg won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.