CS2 · resolved market
Counter-Strike: Club 333 vs Iowa Stormboar (BO3) - NSTLGA League Playoffs
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x14ab77f809dc656b8e19dd698ccaf4a00faccfbe1ab46a18dde2fe89351e479c
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Iowa Stormboarof Club 333, Iowa Stormboar
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- CS2every record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $3,331
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $3,912
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $3,331 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 35 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in CS2 is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in CS2 | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x8e67…dad6backed Club 333 | 10c | 225$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.28 | 7 | 0%0 W · 7 L | -1.7wins | -0.25per pick | 25cpaid | -100%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xefa3…7585backed Iowa Stormboar | 45c | 218.36$98 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$120.73 | 773 | 51.2%396 W · 377 L | +24.2wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +4.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9e88…2605backed Club 333 | 65c | 184.41$120 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$119.94 | 24 | 45.8%11 W · 13 L | -1.6wins | -0.07per pick | 53cpaid | -18.3%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa573…3987backed Iowa Stormboar | 45c | 178.4$80 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$98.21 | 47 | 38.3%18 W · 29 L | -1.6wins | -0.03per pick | 42cpaid | -10.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd1c7…38e1backed Iowa Stormboar | 58c | 172.45$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$72.45 | 55 | 47.3%26 W · 29 L | +5.0wins | +0.09per pick | 38cpaid | +31%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xde04…fa37backed Club 333 | 27c | 159.33$42 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$42.45 | 380 | 37.4%142 W · 238 L | -14.8wins | -0.04per pick | 41cpaid | -26.7%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x50dc…b61abacked Club 333 | 9c | 150$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.75 | 72 | 29.2%21 W · 51 L | -1.3wins | -0.02per pick | 31cpaid | +14%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc4fe…601fbacked Club 333 | 42c | 117.79$49 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49.4 | 3,459 | 29.3%1,012 W · 2,447 L | -279.9wins | -0.08per pick | 37cpaid | -43.5%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x29b5…cc6cbacked Club 333 | 48c | 103.84$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 5,050 | 55.1%2,781 W · 2,269 L | +117.2wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | +5.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc29c…1e43backed Club 333 | 54c | 92.96$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 236 | 54.7%129 W · 107 L | +9.7wins | +0.04per pick | 51cpaid | +5.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x33ad…a123backed Club 333 | 31c | 65.74$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.7 | 129 | 46.5%60 W · 69 L | -1.6wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -14.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1508…0648backed Iowa Stormboar | 48c | 65.08$31 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$34.08 | 72 | 43.1%31 W · 41 L | -4.9wins | -0.07per pick | 50cpaid | -13.2%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x1cdd…e595backed Iowa Stormboar | 59c | 64.43$38 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.46 | 2,468 | 24.6%607 W · 1,861 L | -317.8wins | -0.13per pick | 37cpaid | -51.7%equal weight | 36-0.13 edge/pick |
| 0xde56…c2f9backed Club 333 | 53c | 60.09$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31.72 | 128 | 44.5%57 W · 71 L | -9.7wins | -0.08per pick | 52cpaid | -11.1%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xf1ee…519cbacked Club 333 | 21c | 60$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.6 | 3,202 | 45.6%1,459 W · 1,743 L | -79.3wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -16%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5135…7217backed Iowa Stormboar | 42c | 56.62$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$33.02 | 1,620 | 52.7%853 W · 767 L | +57.6wins | +0.04per pick | 49cpaid | +7.2%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xaf5f…2184backed Iowa Stormboar | 47c | 56.2$27 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29.66 | 85 | 49.4%42 W · 43 L | -2.1wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -5.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1fd6…d4a0backed Iowa Stormboar | 48c | 52$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.96 | 170 | 41.2%70 W · 100 L | -1.8wins | -0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xddb6…b9b3backed Club 333 | 50c | 51$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.66 | 2,508 | 41%1,029 W · 1,479 L | -115.5wins | -0.05per pick | 46cpaid | -22.9%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2ca8…7e67backed Club 333 | 41c | 50$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.5 | 123 | 43.9%54 W · 69 L | +3.3wins | +0.03per pick | 41cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdb25…eb12backed Club 333 | 51c | 49.18$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 500 | 51.4%257 W · 243 L | -6.1wins | -0.01per pick | 53cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb91c…ed66backed Iowa Stormboar | 34c | 49.12$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$32.42 | 700 | 42.3%296 W · 404 L | -16.6wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -7.6%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe728…9d87backed Iowa Stormboar | 68c | 44.11$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.12 | 231 | 50.6%117 W · 114 L | -7.0wins | -0.03per pick | 54cpaid | -10%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xda77…683fbacked Iowa Stormboar | 53c | 37.88$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.65 | 2,473 | 34.6%855 W · 1,618 L | -188.5wins | -0.08per pick | 42cpaid | -37.2%equal weight | 42-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x4e46…8c1cbacked Club 333 | 51c | 32.79$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.56 | 236 | 54.7%129 W · 107 L | +4.6wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | +4.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9444…048ebacked Club 333 | 51c | 31.47$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.19 | 147 | 51.7%76 W · 71 L | -4.2wins | -0.03per pick | 55cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x775d…6bebbacked Club 333 | 55c | 30.79$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.96 | 2,136 | 42.9%916 W · 1,220 L | -68.1wins | -0.03per pick | 46cpaid | -20%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa4d1…1ec3backed Club 333 | 51c | 26.61$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.65 | 41 | 58.5%24 W · 17 L | +1.8wins | +0.04per pick | 54cpaid | +7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc263…1e83backed Club 333 | 51c | 26.43$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.59 | 347 | 50.7%176 W · 171 L | -7.7wins | -0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -3.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x14e7…a32cbacked Club 333 | 49c | 24$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.79 | 1,302 | 41.2%536 W · 766 L | -50.1wins | -0.04per pick | 45cpaid | -24.1%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2b85…bf37backed Iowa Stormboar | 53c | 23.5$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.04 | 198 | 50.5%100 W · 98 L | -1.9wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -11.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xebff…70e5backed Iowa Stormboar | 75c | 23.21$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.73 | 2,774 | 24.5%681 W · 2,093 L | -295.8wins | -0.11per pick | 35cpaid | -50.7%equal weight | 38-0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x77de…e67abacked Iowa Stormboar | 50c | 22.14$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.13 | 526 | 45.1%237 W · 289 L | -20.2wins | -0.04per pick | 49cpaid | -12.4%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa5ac…e602backed Club 333 | 55c | 19.58$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.82 | 13 | 38.5%5 W · 8 L | -2.2wins | -0.17per pick | 55cpaid | -32.2%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xa9f5…937fbacked Iowa Stormboar | 77c | 16$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3.75 | 3,910 | 36.6%1,431 W · 2,479 L | -197.6wins | -0.05per pick | 42cpaid | -29.1%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in CS2 and say nothing about this market.
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.