TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Tennis · resolved market

Grass Court Championships, Qualification: Diane Parry vs Ella Seidel

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Diane Parryof Diane Parry, Ella Seidel
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Tennisevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$203,339
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$199,047

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $203,339 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 140 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Tennis is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Tennis
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0xfe78…0319backed Ella Seidel17c16,595$2,903 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,902.799,03836.1%3,266 W · 5,772 L-196.3wins-0.02per pick38cpaid-27%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x594d…059dbacked Ella Seidel9c10,924$964 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$964.042343.5%10 W · 13 L-1.4wins-0.06per pick50cpaid-5.5%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xccc8…e61cbacked Ella Seidel13c9,637$1,300 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,3002213.6%3 W · 19 L-3.8wins-0.17per pick31cpaid-73.1%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0x10e0…c736backed Diane Parry61c6,265$3,850 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,415.217550.7%38 W · 37 L+0.3wins0.00per pick50cpaid+3.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x5b63…11a4backed Diane Parry65c5,690$3,688 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,002.15,00941.4%2,075 W · 2,934 L-82.9wins-0.02per pick43cpaid-15.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x32b4…8b21backed Ella Seidel5c4,032$202 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$202.453,72642.4%1,580 W · 2,146 L-48.6wins-0.01per pick44cpaid-16.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x4f29…7a7ebacked Ella Seidel38c3,741$1,410 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,410.1894140.6%382 W · 559 L-31.1wins-0.03per pick44cpaid-23.8%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xa82a…a759backed Ella Seidel39c3,400$1,342 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,342.4633955.2%187 W · 152 L+18.2wins+0.05per pick50cpaid+12.1%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x66b1…340fbacked Ella Seidel7c3,386$237 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$237.041,16144.3%514 W · 647 L+1.0wins0.00per pick44cpaid-5.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x5268…135dbacked Ella Seidel17c3,269$550 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$549.624,25345%1,912 W · 2,341 L+20.1wins0.00per pick44cpaid-17%equal weight510.00 edge/pick
0xde9f…d43cbacked Ella Seidel13c2,703$359 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$358.536,65250.7%3,373 W · 3,279 L+263.6wins+0.04per pick47cpaid-4.9%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x6485…a265backed Ella Seidel12c2,324$277 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$276.82,32652.1%1,213 W · 1,113 L+85.3wins+0.04per pick48cpaid+4%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x31c1…7047backed Diane Parry59c1,660$978 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$681.6679855.9%446 W · 352 L-7.8wins-0.01per pick57cpaid-1.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xc927…a3c2backed Ella Seidel9c1,653$144 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$143.874617.4%8 W · 38 L-3.1wins-0.07per pick24cpaid-44.7%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xaf05…5efcbacked Ella Seidel8c1,587$128 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$128.237017.1%12 W · 58 L-3.9wins-0.06per pick23cpaid-48.8%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xe432…a4a4backed Ella Seidel3c1,458$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$502623.1%6 W · 20 L-2.7wins-0.10per pick33cpaid-33.2%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x98db…dd17backed Diane Parry77c1,328$1,028 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$299.835,42256.3%3,054 W · 2,368 L+231.5wins+0.04per pick52cpaid-6.4%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x71f5…4ccebacked Diane Parry57c1,157$663 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$493.5823451.7%121 W · 113 L+8.2wins+0.04per pick48cpaid+17.4%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x4d29…0206backed Ella Seidel10c1,114$109 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$109.23450%2 W · 2 L+0.3wins+0.07per pick43cpaid+7.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x8d07…b9febacked Ella Seidel5c1,100$55 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$553208.8%28 W · 292 L-15.3wins-0.05per pick14cpaid-64.3%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xd034…eecebacked Ella Seidel39c999.99$392 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$391.732,73534%931 W · 1,804 L-13.2wins0.00per pick35cpaid-2.8%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0x8f14…ca5abacked Ella Seidel10c964.03$94 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$93.6430544.3%135 W · 170 L-2.7wins-0.01per pick45cpaid-11.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xeaac…d71dbacked Diane Parry62c887.08$550 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$337.091,88145.7%860 W · 1,021 L+51.8wins+0.03per pick43cpaid+6.4%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x160b…4296backed Diane Parry61c857.65$523 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$334.481,68350.6%851 W · 832 L+14.9wins+0.01per pick50cpaid+1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x5fc3…0670backed Ella Seidel18c809.4$149 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$14948144.5%214 W · 267 L+14.6wins+0.03per pick41cpaid+3.3%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x5213…6a35backed Diane Parry62c770.11$477 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$292.641,88344.8%843 W · 1,040 L+36.9wins+0.02per pick43cpaid+3.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xd6d2…4a24backed Ella Seidel10c726.2$75 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$75.0852910%53 W · 476 L-3.9wins-0.01per pick11cpaid-11.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x908a…ad16backed Diane Parry63c720$454 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$265.751,65550.1%829 W · 826 L+30.2wins+0.02per pick48cpaid-7.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x7547…d158backed Ella Seidel37c599.97$224 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$223.877,10739.7%2,820 W · 4,287 L-17.5wins0.00per pick40cpaid+0.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xb01d…46f0backed Diane Parry63c555.56$350 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$205.5632246.9%151 W · 171 L+12.0wins+0.04per pick43cpaid+7%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x9dfe…a5d6backed Ella Seidel39c512.82$200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20050458.9%297 W · 207 L+9.6wins+0.02per pick57cpaid+7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xfc4b…c865backed Ella Seidel38c484.21$184 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$18421651.4%111 W · 105 L+5.3wins+0.02per pick49cpaid+5.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xd546…657bbacked Ella Seidel11c467.75$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5019410.3%20 W · 174 L+0.1wins0.00per pick10cpaid-21.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x4e1f…da75backed Ella Seidel18c462.25$82 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$82.081225%3 W · 9 L-0.4wins-0.04per pick29cpaid-37%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x8dae…125cbacked Ella Seidel8c399.95$31 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3122846.5%106 W · 122 L+14.7wins+0.06per pick40cpaid+8.7%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0x7736…6f6abacked Ella Seidel9c370.67$34 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$34.367716.9%13 W · 64 L-7.6wins-0.10per pick27cpaid-54.7%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0xc925…6d24backed Ella Seidel14c357.65$51 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$50.911337.2%42 W · 71 L-10.3wins-0.09per pick46cpaid-35%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x4be6…b010backed Diane Parry63c319.97$201 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$118.971,42848.2%689 W · 739 L+4.0wins0.00per pick48cpaid-2.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x128e…56f6backed Ella Seidel10c318.18$32 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$31.822240.9%9 W · 13 L-0.9wins-0.04per pick45cpaid-2.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x22da…2866backed Ella Seidel18c317.43$57 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$57.395050.1%476 W · 474 L-10.1wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-12.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x0009…5497backed Ella Seidel17c317.25$55 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$55.061,88048.5%912 W · 968 L+8.8wins0.00per pick48cpaid-4.6%equal weight510.00 edge/pick
0xe907…cff6backed Diane Parry67c316.83$213 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$104.232,88739.5%1,141 W · 1,746 L-84.0wins-0.03per pick42cpaid-22.7%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x1ba2…d212backed Diane Parry61c316.46$193 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$123.31,96043.8%858 W · 1,102 L-20.6wins-0.01per pick45cpaid-14.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x9ec2…bd08backed Ella Seidel26c293.69$76 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$76.361,37138.3%525 W · 846 L+8.6wins+0.01per pick38cpaid+0.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xa44a…88ecbacked Ella Seidel37c280$104 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$103.652557%299 W · 226 L+10.5wins+0.02per pick55cpaid+2.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x4093…5749backed Ella Seidel13c274.56$34 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$34.462,86849.5%1,419 W · 1,449 L+23.3wins+0.01per pick49cpaid-5.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x7a24…a0fdbacked Ella Seidel39c250$98 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$97.513838.4%53 W · 85 L-6.1wins-0.04per pick43cpaid-9.1%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x46f8…68ccbacked Ella Seidel18c240.17$43 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$42.9374438.7%288 W · 456 L+9.2wins+0.01per pick37cpaid+2.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xf182…112bbacked Diane Parry59c235.42$140 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$95.5830649.7%152 W · 154 L-16.9wins-0.06per pick55cpaid-11.5%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0xc4db…7e0cbacked Ella Seidel38c232.75$88 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$88.453,88435%1,358 W · 2,526 L+92.8wins+0.02per pick33cpaid+8.2%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x3eb3…4d75backed Diane Parry68c230$156 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$73.65653.6%30 W · 26 L-1.8wins-0.03per pick57cpaid-4.9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x49c4…db5bbacked Ella Seidel9c222.22$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$204526.7%12 W · 33 L-5.1wins-0.11per pick38cpaid-43.9%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0xa509…ae46backed Diane Parry74c222.15$164 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$58.026,84048.8%3,341 W · 3,499 L+58.3wins+0.01per pick48cpaid-15.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x660c…7f7abacked Ella Seidel9c220$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$19.813449.3%66 W · 68 L-10.4wins-0.08per pick57cpaid-14.5%equal weight43-0.07 edge/pick
0xbca6…6d74backed Ella Seidel9c214.2$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$207129.6%21 W · 50 L-0.3wins0.00per pick30cpaid-12.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x3308…f04bbacked Ella Seidel9c212$19 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$18.5363144.1%278 W · 353 L-0.3wins0.00per pick44cpaid-12.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x07cd…fbebbacked Ella Seidel39c205.13$80 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$8013243.9%58 W · 74 L0.0wins0.00per pick44cpaid-0.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x7906…be5dbacked Diane Parry63c200$126 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$749058.9%53 W · 37 L-0.5wins-0.01per pick59cpaid+7.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x56ae…9badbacked Ella Seidel8c200$16 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1648637.7%183 W · 303 L-12.0wins-0.02per pick40cpaid-9.2%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x8956…81b1backed Ella Seidel8c200$16 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$16520%1 W · 4 L-0.2wins-0.05per pick25cpaid+5.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x1646…2f81backed Diane Parry63c189.95$120 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$70.0531849.7%158 W · 160 L-8.2wins-0.03per pick52cpaid+18%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x6318…46b1backed Ella Seidel38c184.19$70 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$69.995,32528.8%1,533 W · 3,792 L-21.8wins0.00per pick29cpaid-2.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x03ba…bebabacked Ella Seidel9c183.99$16 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$16.441,02843.3%445 W · 583 L-24.5wins-0.02per pick46cpaid-21.5%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x2005…75eabacked Ella Seidel12c183.66$23 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$22.6711,66643.4%5,059 W · 6,607 L+22.2wins0.00per pick43cpaid-20%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x85c3…700cbacked Ella Seidel32c178.41$57 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$57.091,68845.4%766 W · 922 L-10.5wins-0.01per pick46cpaid-1.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xc17d…2134backed Diane Parry64c177.21$113 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$63.984165.9%27 W · 14 L+0.9wins+0.02per pick64cpaid+3.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x07cc…2488backed Ella Seidel18c171.34$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$302839.3%11 W · 17 L-1.5wins-0.05per pick45cpaid-1.3%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xf5a6…08bfbacked Ella Seidel8c166.69$13 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$13.085633.9%19 W · 37 L+1.3wins+0.02per pick32cpaid-17.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x8287…059ebacked Diane Parry63c162.17$102 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$601540%6 W · 9 L-2.6wins-0.18per pick58cpaid-26%equal weight43-0.07 edge/pick
0x67ee…3b01backed Ella Seidel11c155.46$17 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$17.11442.9%6 W · 8 L+0.2wins+0.01per pick41cpaid+7.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x1e3b…e232backed Ella Seidel40c150.68$60 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$60.433,90150.1%1,953 W · 1,948 L-13.2wins0.00per pick50cpaid-2.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x8e67…dad6backed Ella Seidel16c150$24 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$243444.1%15 W · 19 L+0.5wins+0.01per pick43cpaid-13.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x2015…9678backed Ella Seidel10c149.99$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15650%3 W · 3 L-0.1wins-0.01per pick51cpaid+1.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xdc86…7e77backed Ella Seidel18c148.85$26 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$26.3185742.8%367 W · 490 L-23.4wins-0.03per pick46cpaid-17.6%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x90c3…3709backed Ella Seidel9c142.67$13 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$12.8410%0 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.09per pick9cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x70f9…f25bbacked Diane Parry60c131$79 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$52.599255.9%555 W · 437 L+32.4wins+0.03per pick53cpaid+7.2%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x1cdd…e595backed Ella Seidel16c130.79$21 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20.951,87016%299 W · 1,571 L-314.3wins-0.17per pick33cpaid-65.6%equal weight32-0.17 edge/pick
0x815b…a1c7backed Ella Seidel39c128.21$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$507338.4%28 W · 45 L-0.1wins0.00per pick39cpaid-4.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x8f1d…2fb6backed Diane Parry62c126.66$78 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$48.51,58042.3%668 W · 912 L+18.6wins+0.01per pick41cpaid+2.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xe00d…4251backed Diane Parry64c126.56$81 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$45.5619761.4%121 W · 76 L-5.3wins-0.03per pick64cpaid-5.9%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xd891…7341backed Diane Parry61c122.1$75 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$47.112161.2%74 W · 47 L-2.0wins-0.02per pick63cpaid-6.5%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x626d…e570backed Ella Seidel39c121.43$47 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$47.2752135.1%183 W · 338 L-3.3wins-0.01per pick36cpaid-4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x3cad…92f0backed Ella Seidel32c109.38$35 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$353,26240.3%1,314 W · 1,948 L+22.6wins+0.01per pick40cpaid+1.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x133a…504abacked Ella Seidel32c109.38$35 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$353,45738.9%1,345 W · 2,112 L-15.1wins0.00per pick39cpaid-1.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x8ce7…3150backed Ella Seidel38c107.76$41 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$40.9539149.1%192 W · 199 L+14.0wins+0.04per pick46cpaid+9.7%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x9cb4…8285backed Diane Parry78c100.01$78 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$22.451,42555.1%785 W · 640 L+23.9wins+0.02per pick53cpaid+3.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xc060…8956backed Ella Seidel10c100$10 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$107353.4%39 W · 34 L-8.9wins-0.12per pick66cpaid-22.8%equal weight40-0.09 edge/pick
0x17fb…2f88backed Diane Parry62c98.38$61 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$37.431968.4%13 W · 6 L+0.8wins+0.04per pick64cpaid+1.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xfb77…1c78backed Ella Seidel32c93.75$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$302,17937%807 W · 1,372 L-32.2wins-0.01per pick39cpaid-5.5%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x6f2e…7c7bbacked Diane Parry59c91.68$54 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$37.481,06857.4%613 W · 455 L+21.2wins+0.02per pick55cpaid+2.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x8706…008cbacked Diane Parry69c89.25$62 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$27.395072%36 W · 14 L+1.8wins+0.04per pick68cpaid+3.9%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x22c7…d814backed Diane Parry63c79.37$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$29.3740554.1%219 W · 186 L+9.3wins+0.02per pick52cpaid+2.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xadfb…c2efbacked Ella Seidel37c79.37$29 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$29.373,31948.4%1,605 W · 1,714 L-52.0wins-0.02per pick50cpaid-4.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x90bb…531fbacked Diane Parry77c78$60 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$17.619941.7%83 W · 116 L+12.3wins+0.06per pick36cpaid+5.6%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0x9ca2…088ebacked Diane Parry77c78$60 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$17.619744.7%88 W · 109 L+17.8wins+0.09per pick36cpaid+18.1%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0x018b…5372backed Ella Seidel38c76.32$29 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$296662.1%41 W · 25 L+3.7wins+0.06per pick57cpaid+7.1%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x1486…cef3backed Ella Seidel22c73.61$16 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$16.316045%27 W · 33 L+0.3wins0.00per pick45cpaid+2.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x26e7…cc6cbacked Ella Seidel37c68.77$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$25.4439238.8%152 W · 240 L+11.1wins+0.03per pick36cpaid-2.4%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x362c…67e6backed Diane Parry74c68.32$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$17.8237255.6%207 W · 165 L+4.4wins+0.01per pick54cpaid-4.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x54d1…3abfbacked Ella Seidel39c66.67$26 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2626734.1%91 W · 176 L-4.4wins-0.02per pick36cpaid-5.8%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Tennis and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 4 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.