TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Wallet 0x018b…5372

Rebuilt .

Summary

Qualified picks
92
Categories scored
10
Categories below 50
5

Best Category: Tennis, grading 54 out of 100 (+0.04 per pick).

Best Category Tennis at 54 out of 100; worst Bundesliga at 47.

What is a Tail Score?

A mark out of 100, per Category. 50 means no edge at all — this wallet did about what the prices it paid implied it would. Above 50 it beat those prices; below 50 it did worse than them.

The scale does not move. 100 is a wallet beating the prices it paid by 0.45 per pick and 0 is losing to them by the same, on every wallet, on every page, in every month. So a grade you screenshot today still means what it meant when you took it, and two wallets can be put side by side.

Nobody reaches either end. Across every wallet TailMyPicks has scored, the marks run from roughly 5 to 87 — which is what a fixed ruler costs, and what buys the sentence above.

It is not a win rate. A wallet can win four Picks in five and still grade below 50, if the market was already pricing those outcomes at 90c — it paid for the wins rather than finding them. The vs expected and Avg entry columns below are what separate the two.

The mark is deliberately pulled toward 50 when there is little evidence. Three lucky Picks do not produce a high grade; several hundred consistent ones do. So a modest grade on thousands of Picks means something a high grade on twelve does not.

Because it is shrunk this way, a Category grade is a conservative reading. The headline figure for a wallet is its best Category, so it always understates how badly the wallet does in its worst one — which is why the table below is per Category and not one blended number.

Record by Category

Ordered by how much this wallet actually traded in each Category, not by score — so the Categories it plays most appear first whether they went well or badly. Open any row to see the picks its numbers were computed from — all of them.

CategoryQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
Tennis Inactivelast resolved Aug 8, 2026, EDT6662.1%41 W · 25 L+3.7wins+0.06per pick57cpaid+7.1%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
Tennis — the 66 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Tennis, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
National Bank Open: Nuno Borges vs Luciano Darderibacked Nuno Borges · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$60Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 8, 2026, EDT-100%-$60
National Bank Open: Taylor Townsend vs Belinda Bencicbacked Belinda Bencic · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)78c$400Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 7, 2026, EDT+28.8%+$115.15
National Bank Open: Mariano Navone vs Arthur Filsbacked Arthur Fils · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)78c$500Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 6, 2026, EDT+28.2%+$141.03
Grodzisk Mazowiecki: Damir Dzumhur vs Mathys Erhardbacked Mathys Erhard · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)78c$500Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 6, 2026, EDT+28.2%+$141.03
National Bank Open: Learner Tien vs Gael Monfilsbacked Learner Tien · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$200Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 5, 2026, EDT+66.7%+$133.33
National Bank Open: Juncheng Shang vs Andrey Rublevbacked Andrey Rublev · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)77c$400Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 4, 2026, EDT-100%-$400
National Bank Open: Martin Damm vs Stefanos Tsitsipasbacked Stefanos Tsitsipas · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$80Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 4, 2026, EDT+56.3%+$45
Mubadala Citi DC Open: Ugo Humbert vs Ben Sheltonbacked Ben Shelton · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$50Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 30, 2026, EDT+58.9%+$29.46
Los Cabos Open: Bernard Tomic vs Karen Khachanovbacked Bernard Tomic · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$2,000Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 30, 2026, EDT+47.1%+$941.69
Wimbledon WTA: Marta Kostyuk vs Linda Noskovabacked Linda Noskova · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)73c$300Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 9, 2026, EDT+37%+$110.96
Wimbledon WTA: Ekaterina Alexandrova vs Iva Jovicbacked Ekaterina Alexandrova · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)36c$76Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 3, 2026, EDT-100%-$76
Wimbledon WTA: Lanlana Tararudee vs Lilli Taggerbacked Lanlana Tararudee · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$30Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 29, 2026, EDT+104.1%+$31.22
Wimbledon WTA: Mananchaya Sawangkaew vs Maja Chwalinskabacked Maja Chwalinska · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$200Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 29, 2026, EDT-100%-$200
Wimbledon, Qualification ATP: Francesco Maestrelli vs Max Basingbacked Francesco Maestrelli · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$180Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 22, 2026, EDT-100%-$180
HSBC Championships: Tommy Paul vs Alejandro Davidovich Fokinabacked Tommy Paul · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)77c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 19, 2026, EDT+29.9%+$29.87
Halle Open: Daniel Altmaier vs Daniil Medvedevbacked Daniel Altmaier · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 19, 2026, EDT+63.9%+$63.93
Grass Court Championships, Qualification: Diane Parry vs Ella Seidelbacked Ella Seidel · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)38c$29Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 15, 2026, EDT-100%-$29
Grass Court Championships, Qualification: Lulu Sun vs Anhelina Kalininabacked Lulu Sun · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)40c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 15, 2026, EDT-100%-$100
Libema Open: Kamil Majchrzak vs Alex de Minaurbacked Alex de Minaur · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)73c$200Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$200
Bratislava: Alexander Shevchenko vs Taro Danielbacked Taro Daniel · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$1,000Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 14, 2026, EDT+58.7%+$587.3
Stuttgart Open: Ben Shelton vs Sho Shimabukurobacked Ben Shelton · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$800Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 13, 2026, EDT+42.9%+$342.86
Libema Open: Felix Auger-Aliassime vs Kamil Majchrzakbacked Kamil Majchrzak · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$500Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 12, 2026, EDT+53.8%+$269.23
Ilkley: Arthur Gea vs Mark Lajalbacked Arthur Gea · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$598Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 12, 2026, EDT-100%-$598.48
Libema Open: Ajla Tomljanovic vs Dayana Yastremskabacked Dayana Yastremska · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)78c$82Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 12, 2026, EDT-100%-$82.17
HSBC Championships: Elena Rybakina vs Tatjana Mariabacked Tatjana Maria · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)19c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 12, 2026, EDT-100%-$50
Showing 25 of 66 picks, newest first.
Fifa International Inactivelast resolved Jul 11, 2026, EDT1656.3%9 W · 7 L0.0wins0.00per pick56cpaid+18.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
Fifa International — the 16 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Fifa International, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Argentina win on 2026-07-11?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)78c$180Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 11, 2026, EDT-100%-$180
Will Spain win on 2026-07-10?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$50Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 10, 2026, EDT+67.4%+$33.68
Will England win on 2026-07-05?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)40c$50Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 5, 2026, EDT+150%+$75
Will Morocco win on 2026-07-04?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$60Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 4, 2026, EDT+81.8%+$49.09
Will Egypt win on 2026-07-03?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)41c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 3, 2026, EDT-100%-$50
Spread: Spain (-1.5)backed Austria · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$40Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 2, 2026, EDT-100%-$40
Will England win on 2026-07-01?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)29c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 1, 2026, EDT+244.8%+$244.83
Will France win on 2026-06-30?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)77c$400Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 30, 2026, EDT+29.9%+$119.48
Will Netherlands win on 2026-06-29?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 30, 2026, EDT-100%-$50
Will Spain win on 2026-06-26?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)80c$500Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 26, 2026, EDT+25%+$125
Will Japan win on 2026-06-25?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 25, 2026, EDT-100%-$50
Will Germany win on 2026-06-25?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$150Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 25, 2026, EDT-100%-$150
Will Argentina win on 2026-06-22?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$180Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 22, 2026, EDT+51.5%+$92.73
Will Netherlands win on 2026-06-20?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$50Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 20, 2026, EDT+69.5%+$34.75
Will Portugal win on 2026-06-17?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)77c$1,624Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 17, 2026, EDT-100%-$1,624.24
Will Netherlands vs. Japan end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)27c$50Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 14, 2026, EDT+270.4%+$135.19
All 16 picks, newest first.
Weatherlast resolved Aug 22, 2026, EDT366.7%2 W · 1 L-0.2wins-0.07per pick73cpaid-9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Weather — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Weather, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Middle East Inactivelast resolved Apr 27, 2026, EDT1100%1 W · 0 L+0.2wins+0.24per pick76cpaid+31.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
Middle East — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Middle East, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
US x Iran diplomatic meeting by April 26, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)76c$163Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 27, 2026, EDT+31.9%+$52.1
All 1 picks, newest first.
NBA Inactivelast resolved Apr 29, 2026, EDT1100%1 W · 0 L+0.2wins+0.24per pick76cpaid+31.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
NBA — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NBA, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Raptors vs. Cavaliersbacked Cavaliers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)76c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 29, 2026, EDT+31.6%+$31.58
All 1 picks, newest first.
Commodities Inactivelast resolved Apr 23, 2026, EDT1100%1 W · 0 L+0.2wins+0.21per pick79cpaid+26.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
Commodities — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Commodities, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
WTI Crude Oil (WTI) Up or Down on April 23?backed Up · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)79c$49Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 23, 2026, EDT+26.3%+$12.94
All 1 picks, newest first.
Premier League Inactivelast resolved May 4, 2026, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.2wins-0.21per pick21cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Premier League — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Premier League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Chelsea FC win on 2026-05-04?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)21c$17Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 4, 2026, EDT-100%-$16.8
All 1 picks, newest first.
Champions League Inactivelast resolved May 30, 2026, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.4wins-0.40per pick40cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
Champions League — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Champions League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Paris Saint-Germain FC win on 2026-05-30?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)40c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 30, 2026, EDT-100%-$100
All 1 picks, newest first.
UFC Inactivelast resolved May 2, 2026, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.49per pick49cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
UFC — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in UFC, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
UFC Fight Night: Carlos Prates vs. Jack Della Maddalena (Welterweight, Main Card)backed Jack Della Maddalena · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 2, 2026, EDT-100%-$20
All 1 picks, newest first.
Bundesliga Inactivelast resolved May 2, 2026, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.8wins-0.79per pick79cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
Bundesliga — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Bundesliga, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will FC Bayern München win on 2026-05-02?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)79c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 2, 2026, EDT-100%-$50
All 1 picks, newest first.

vs expected is how many more (or fewer) Picks this wallet won than the prices it paid implied it would. It is the column that tells a real edge apart from a record bought by backing favourites. Realizable edge is what that comes to per Pick for somebody copying the wallet, after the cost of getting in behind it. Avg entry is the average price it paid, so a strong record built on heavy favourites shows as one. ROI per pick counts every Pick equally rather than by size, which is how a record earned across many Picks is told apart from one carried by a few large ones. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in — an American night game settles after midnight UTC, so any other zone would name the day after the one it was played on. Inactive means nothing has resolved in that Category recently. The score is kept and the wallet stays reachable here; it only leaves the default leaderboard.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.