Will Netherlands vs. Japan end in a draw?

https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x6bb8b2483eccb8fcae84cd42fd7d8e5e394689e0a06f95b189a77b4819cf0173

Rebuilt 9 hours ago.

Winning outcome: Yesof Yes, No
Resolved: Jun 14, 2026, EDTUS/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in: Fifa Internationalevery record on this page is that Category’s

Volume Polymarket published: $2,875,361
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed: $3,349,237

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $2,875,361 — the venue’s figure.

Open this market on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 1,942 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Fifa International is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this market					This wallet’s whole record in Fifa International
Wallet	Entry	Position	Result	P/L held	Qualified picks	Win rate	vs expected	Realizable edge	Avg entry	ROI per pick	Tail Score
0x2c33…0563backed No	69c	324,675$222,507 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$222,506.74	747	52.2%390 W · 357 L	+2.4wins	0.00per pick	52cpaid	-1.8%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x0346…52a5backed No	74c	127,408$94,307 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$94,307.3	2,407	37.7%908 W · 1,499 L	-48.7wins	-0.02per pick	40cpaid	-25.7%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0xe549…2d54backed Yes	37c	100,000$37,000 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$63,000	155	52.3%81 W · 74 L	+11.0wins	+0.07per pick	45cpaid	+15.3%equal weight	57+0.06 edge/pick
0xe907…cff6backed Yes	39c	88,976$34,270 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$54,705.8	8,614	29.2%2,518 W · 6,096 L	-166.6wins	-0.02per pick	31cpaid	-32.3%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x204f…5e14backed No	74c	83,681$61,510 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$61,510.04	4,595	40.3%1,850 W · 2,745 L	-91.3wins	-0.02per pick	42cpaid	-23.4%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0xfe78…0319backed No	74c	53,707$39,620 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$39,620.44	1,144	39.2%448 W · 696 L	-8.4wins	-0.01per pick	40cpaid	-14.7%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x7d16…f032backed Yes	60c	52,096$31,233 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$20,863.15	56	39.3%22 W · 34 L	-0.2wins	0.00per pick	40cpaid	-26.9%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x3f3a…e8fdbacked Yes	18c	49,368$8,886 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$40,482.05	425	41.6%177 W · 248 L	+1.8wins	0.00per pick	41cpaid	-2.4%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x9703…69c2backed No	72c	47,528$34,170 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$34,170.06	299	52.5%157 W · 142 L	-2.5wins	-0.01per pick	53cpaid	-1.4%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x4337…8882backed No	72c	44,442$31,998 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$31,998.15	218	36.2%79 W · 139 L	-19.0wins	-0.09per pick	45cpaid	-14.4%equal weight	41-0.08 edge/pick
0x98c3…b28dbacked Yes	28c	35,714$10,000 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$25,714.29	30	53.3%16 W · 14 L	+0.9wins	+0.03per pick	50cpaid	+12.9%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x1eaf…9bf0backed No	71c	29,999$21,350 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$21,349.52	200	44.5%89 W · 111 L	-10.8wins	-0.05per pick	50cpaid	-11.1%equal weight	45-0.05 edge/pick
0x6149…b48cbacked Yes	18c	27,778$5,000 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$22,777.78	45	35.6%16 W · 29 L	+3.8wins	+0.08per pick	27cpaid	+34.2%equal weight	56+0.05 edge/pick
0xe872…819abacked Yes	27c	27,333$7,380 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$19,953.33	89	52.8%47 W · 42 L	+3.1wins	+0.03per pick	49cpaid	+9.8%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0x6e7a…28e3backed Yes	21c	27,193$5,717 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$21,476.43	31	25.8%8 W · 23 L	+2.5wins	+0.08per pick	18cpaid	+55.8%equal weight	55+0.04 edge/pick
0x0769…3690backed Yes	33c	25,863$8,461 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$17,401.67	23	60.9%14 W · 9 L	+2.3wins	+0.10per pick	51cpaid	+47.8%equal weight	55+0.05 edge/pick
0x84cf…2f63backed No	22c	25,132$5,576 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$5,575.54	2,439	29%707 W · 1,732 L	-65.3wins	-0.03per pick	32cpaid	-21%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0x32b4…8b21backed No	70c	23,218$16,212 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$16,212.27	244	41.8%102 W · 142 L	-5.7wins	-0.02per pick	44cpaid	-11.2%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x9ec6…eda9backed Yes	27c	20,084$5,340 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$14,744.32	27	25.9%7 W · 20 L	-1.4wins	-0.05per pick	31cpaid	-40.3%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0x7a88…41ccbacked No	72c	20,000$14,400 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$14,400	70	50%35 W · 35 L	-0.2wins	0.00per pick	50cpaid	+5.4%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xb31e…c120backed No	72c	19,999$14,449 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$14,449.01	72	69.4%50 W · 22 L	+3.2wins	+0.04per pick	65cpaid	+12.5%equal weight	54+0.03 edge/pick
0x6550…8451backed No	49c	19,313$9,521 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$9,520.58	217	38.7%84 W · 133 L	-8.9wins	-0.04per pick	43cpaid	-35.7%equal weight	46-0.04 edge/pick
0x3da4…367ebacked Yes	71c	19,178$13,550 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$5,628.26	69	43.5%30 W · 39 L	+0.7wins	+0.01per pick	42cpaid	-0.6%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x5b63…11a4backed Yes	62c	18,058$11,136 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$6,921.87	792	31.1%246 W · 546 L	-4.2wins	-0.01per pick	32cpaid	-34.1%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x9ac8…5518backed Yes	28c	17,810$4,987 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$12,823.15	44	50%22 W · 22 L	+0.2wins	+0.01per pick	49cpaid	+0.5%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x4c7c…0ec9backed Yes	19c	17,297$3,230 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$14,066.44	35	28.6%10 W · 25 L	-0.5wins	-0.02per pick	30cpaid	-36.9%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x7edb…7993backed Yes	68c	17,247$11,812 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$5,435.1	420	43.1%181 W · 239 L	-7.9wins	-0.02per pick	45cpaid	-32.9%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x3561…d87cbacked Yes	29c	17,241$5,000 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$12,241.38	25	32%8 W · 17 L	-1.5wins	-0.06per pick	38cpaid	+35.4%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0x2ec5…fd53backed No	20c	15,192$3,034 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$3,034.2	445	39.6%176 W · 269 L	-5.5wins	-0.01per pick	41cpaid	-14.1%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x3dfb…abafbacked Yes	38c	14,951$5,681 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$9,269.43	423	45.6%193 W · 230 L	+10.8wins	+0.03per pick	43cpaid	+1.5%equal weight	53+0.02 edge/pick
0x2005…75eabacked No	36c	14,773$5,320 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$5,319.51	3,696	36.9%1,364 W · 2,332 L	-44.0wins	-0.01per pick	38cpaid	-23.9%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x5375…aeeabacked No	41c	12,505$5,152 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$5,152.1	387	34.4%133 W · 254 L	-4.8wins	-0.01per pick	36cpaid	-29.7%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x9d94…017dbacked No	12c	12,117$1,512 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,511.98	301	17.9%54 W · 247 L	-11.2wins	-0.04per pick	22cpaid	-22.7%equal weight	46-0.03 edge/pick
0x99c5…ebc7backed Yes	27c	11,837$3,233 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$8,604.55	49	38.8%19 W · 30 L	-5.1wins	-0.10per pick	49cpaid	-18.1%equal weight	42-0.07 edge/pick
0xfb13…37cdbacked Yes	18c	11,111$2,000 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$9,111.11	47	21.3%10 W · 37 L	-3.0wins	-0.06per pick	28cpaid	-46.9%equal weight	45-0.04 edge/pick
0x4f29…7a7ebacked No	70c	10,760$7,519 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$7,518.64	1,224	43.4%531 W · 693 L	-7.1wins	-0.01per pick	44cpaid	-13.7%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x0380…073dbacked No	50c	10,652$5,286 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$5,286.39	656	51.7%339 W · 317 L	+7.7wins	+0.01per pick	51cpaid	+2.3%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x10a6…4d8bbacked Yes	37c	10,630$3,933 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$6,696.64	644	46.4%299 W · 345 L	-6.2wins	-0.01per pick	47cpaid	+0.6%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x447f…a05ebacked Yes	33c	10,000$3,300 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$6,700	35	62.9%22 W · 13 L	+5.0wins	+0.14per pick	49cpaid	+27.7%equal weight	59+0.08 edge/pick
0x8523…1c9fbacked Yes	37c	10,000$3,650 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$6,349.97	6	50%3 W · 3 L	+0.2wins	+0.04per pick	46cpaid	-1.3%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x8be4…b795backed Yes	27c	9,600$2,592 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$7,008	66	33.3%22 W · 44 L	-0.1wins	0.00per pick	33cpaid	-3.8%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x60ba…3c6cbacked No	73c	8,500$6,180 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$6,179.82	471	44.8%211 W · 260 L	-4.7wins	-0.01per pick	46cpaid	-8.5%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x1418…6fefbacked No	73c	8,500$6,180 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$6,179.73	476	43.3%206 W · 270 L	-10.9wins	-0.02per pick	46cpaid	-11%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x2f5b…e747backed No	73c	8,000$5,820 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$5,819.82	484	41.9%203 W · 281 L	-16.8wins	-0.03per pick	45cpaid	-15.4%equal weight	46-0.03 edge/pick
0x138f…657ebacked Yes	27c	7,520$2,062 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$5,458.31	6	33.3%2 W · 4 L	+0.9wins	+0.16per pick	18cpaid	+89%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0x0d2d…7ff5backed No	45c	7,420$3,355 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$3,355.36	2,307	37.6%867 W · 1,440 L	-16.7wins	-0.01per pick	38cpaid	-27.9%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x2824…4aacbacked Yes	29c	7,241$2,100 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$5,141.38	109	21.1%23 W · 86 L	-4.9wins	-0.04per pick	26cpaid	+3.5%equal weight	46-0.04 edge/pick
0x88f9…5c03backed Yes	37c	6,277$2,332 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$3,945.67	115	59.1%68 W · 47 L	+11.0wins	+0.10per pick	50cpaid	+21.8%equal weight	59+0.08 edge/pick
0xa5f6…a659backed Yes	27c	6,000$1,620 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$4,379.99	70	35.7%25 W · 45 L	+2.2wins	+0.03per pick	33cpaid	+17.6%equal weight	53+0.02 edge/pick
0xe4fc…8af7backed No	73c	6,000$4,380 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$4,379.89	502	43.4%218 W · 284 L	-9.0wins	-0.02per pick	45cpaid	-9.4%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x2568…ef92backed No	72c	6,000$4,320 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$4,319.87	307	51.1%157 W · 150 L	-9.0wins	-0.03per pick	54cpaid	-8.1%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0xbe7e…6d00backed Yes	17c	5,882$1,000 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$4,882.35	316	44.9%142 W · 174 L	+10.3wins	+0.03per pick	42cpaid	+7.1%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0x2a69…d2f7backed No	18c	5,859$1,052 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,052.2	3,992	24.9%994 W · 2,998 L	-47.0wins	-0.01per pick	26cpaid	-19.8%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xf393…9b65backed Yes	38c	5,624$2,152 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$3,472.17	106	24.5%26 W · 80 L	-3.5wins	-0.03per pick	28cpaid	-32.6%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0x2117…5c26backed Yes	27c	5,514$1,490 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$4,024.33	1,985	32.5%645 W · 1,340 L	-47.7wins	-0.02per pick	35cpaid	-13.4%equal weight	47-0.02 edge/pick
0xb442…bed7backed Yes	29c	5,362$1,555 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$3,807.06	34	41.2%14 W · 20 L	+3.1wins	+0.09per pick	32cpaid	+26.1%equal weight	56+0.05 edge/pick
0x9d30…fad8backed Yes	21c	5,329$1,100 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$4,228.68	31	38.7%12 W · 19 L	-0.1wins	0.00per pick	39cpaid	+26.7%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x5a21…9318backed No	52c	5,277$2,727 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$2,727.49	2,634	32.9%867 W · 1,767 L	+43.3wins	+0.02per pick	31cpaid	-19.1%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x7672…660dbacked Yes	25c	5,238$1,300 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$3,938.1	16	43.8%7 W · 9 L	+2.1wins	+0.13per pick	31cpaid	+27.7%equal weight	56+0.05 edge/pick
0xbddf…c684backed Yes	27c	5,227$1,411 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$3,815.46	25	52%13 W · 12 L	+2.4wins	+0.10per pick	42cpaid	+140%equal weight	55+0.05 edge/pick
0xf59c…a682backed Yes	20c	5,139$1,004 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$4,135.62	76	36.8%28 W · 48 L	-3.6wins	-0.05per pick	42cpaid	-22.1%equal weight	46-0.04 edge/pick
0xec98…afcdbacked No	72c	5,000$3,600 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$3,599.82	12	50%6 W · 6 L	-0.6wins	-0.05per pick	55cpaid	-11%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0xdaef…54e9backed No	72c	5,000$3,600 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$3,599.73	188	37.2%70 W · 118 L	-6.6wins	-0.04per pick	41cpaid	-15.3%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0xc23e…98a4backed Yes	32c	4,688$1,500 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$3,187.5	45	31.1%14 W · 31 L	+0.1wins	0.00per pick	31cpaid	-13.6%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x2e5a…0122backed Yes	28c	4,643$1,300 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$3,342.86	72	29.2%21 W · 51 L	+6.1wins	+0.09per pick	21cpaid	+62.6%equal weight	57+0.06 edge/pick
0x762e…4bf0backed Yes	45c	4,587$2,064 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$2,522.67	76	40.8%31 W · 45 L	-8.3wins	-0.11per pick	52cpaid	-20.5%equal weight	41-0.08 edge/pick
0xa2fc…b1b4backed Yes	34c	4,443$1,533 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$2,910.19	366	34.4%126 W · 240 L	-24.4wins	-0.07per pick	41cpaid	-38.6%equal weight	43-0.06 edge/pick
0xddaf…3de6backed Yes	28c	4,407$1,234 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$3,173.14	31	51.6%16 W · 15 L	+5.7wins	+0.18per pick	33cpaid	+24.5%equal weight	61+0.10 edge/pick
0x3c32…3f1cbacked No	63c	4,380$2,767 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$2,766.92	249	39%97 W · 152 L	-3.2wins	-0.01per pick	40cpaid	-10.7%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x7fcc…e083backed No	70c	4,268$2,994 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$2,993.67	67	32.8%22 W · 45 L	-4.2wins	-0.06per pick	39cpaid	-25.3%equal weight	45-0.05 edge/pick
0x7763…7830backed Yes	36c	4,218$1,500 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$2,717.85	62	33.9%21 W · 41 L	+2.7wins	+0.04per pick	30cpaid	+18.6%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0xe1a6…d584backed No	72c	4,200$3,024 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$3,024	383	51.4%197 W · 186 L	-1.7wins	0.00per pick	52cpaid	-0.1%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x551c…fe91backed No	63c	4,111$2,607 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$2,607.27	855	50.6%433 W · 422 L	+54.8wins	+0.06per pick	44cpaid	+6.9%equal weight	57+0.06 edge/pick
0x5d0c…bcebbacked Yes	26c	3,905$1,015 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$2,889.62	75	44%33 W · 42 L	+0.9wins	+0.01per pick	43cpaid	-4.9%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x26d6…caccbacked No	51c	3,889$1,980 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,980.1	333	37.8%126 W · 207 L	-12.7wins	-0.04per pick	42cpaid	-40.7%equal weight	46-0.04 edge/pick
0xec56…1816backed No	73c	3,748$2,748 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$2,747.87	847	38.8%329 W · 518 L	-9.9wins	-0.01per pick	40cpaid	-17.4%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xe3ff…805cbacked Yes	27c	3,704$1,000 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$2,703.7	82	14.6%12 W · 70 L	-3.8wins	-0.05per pick	19cpaid	-49.1%equal weight	46-0.04 edge/pick
0xbbfc…779abacked Yes	27c	3,658$988 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$2,670.2	9	11.1%1 W · 8 L	-0.8wins	-0.09per pick	20cpaid	-58.8%equal weight	47-0.02 edge/pick
0xad52…990fbacked Yes	28c	3,657$1,024 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$2,633.14	93	35.5%33 W · 60 L	+2.3wins	+0.02per pick	33cpaid	+10.4%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x158c…9164backed No	72c	3,631$2,621 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$2,620.83	35	57.1%20 W · 15 L	-0.2wins	-0.01per pick	58cpaid	+8.2%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x4133…e7a9backed No	73c	3,600$2,628 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$2,628	441	44%194 W · 247 L	-6.1wins	-0.01per pick	45cpaid	-7.1%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x35dc…b9efbacked Yes	28c	3,571$1,000 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$2,571.43	10	40%4 W · 6 L	-0.6wins	-0.06per pick	46cpaid	-17.3%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x8783…db0cbacked Yes	28c	3,571$1,000 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$2,571.43	193	42%81 W · 112 L	+7.2wins	+0.04per pick	38cpaid	+12.1%equal weight	54+0.03 edge/pick
0x5d68…9ff7backed Yes	28c	3,571$1,000 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$2,571.43	57	49.1%28 W · 29 L	+4.7wins	+0.08per pick	41cpaid	+9.6%equal weight	56+0.06 edge/pick
0x00bf…3a0ebacked Yes	28c	3,571$1,000 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$2,571.43	27	22.2%6 W · 21 L	+0.9wins	+0.04per pick	19cpaid	+7.1%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0xd5d8…e9a1backed Yes	28c	3,510$1,000 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$2,509.85	116	42.2%49 W · 67 L	+0.6wins	+0.01per pick	42cpaid	-5.2%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xc5fb…7a6fbacked Yes	29c	3,448$1,000 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$2,448.28	19	42.1%8 W · 11 L	-1.3wins	-0.07per pick	49cpaid	-0.6%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0xdc40…9c9dbacked Yes	44c	3,409$1,500 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$1,909.09	54	40.7%22 W · 32 L	-0.3wins	-0.01per pick	41cpaid	+8.1%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x0674…f212backed Yes	24c	3,343$816 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$2,526.86	42	28.6%12 W · 30 L	+1.3wins	+0.03per pick	25cpaid	+41.2%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0xc660…bd28backed No	71c	3,160$2,251 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$2,251.18	92	47.8%44 W · 48 L	-0.1wins	0.00per pick	48cpaid	+3.3%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xd218…b5c9backed No	54c	3,022$1,625 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,625.44	4,027	38.9%1,568 W · 2,459 L	-26.6wins	-0.01per pick	40cpaid	-23.8%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xe301…8654backed No	19c	3,005$560 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$559.81	441	30.8%136 W · 305 L	-11.6wins	-0.03per pick	33cpaid	-29.2%equal weight	47-0.02 edge/pick
0x182d…73e9backed Yes	18c	3,000$540 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$2,459.99	142	26.8%38 W · 104 L	-3.3wins	-0.02per pick	29cpaid	-10.7%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0xfd66…fb6dbacked Yes	16c	3,000$480 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$2,519.99	454	21.4%97 W · 357 L	-10.1wins	-0.02per pick	24cpaid	-17.9%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x4379…2e16backed No	71c	3,000$2,130 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$2,129.98	232	55.2%128 W · 104 L	+0.2wins	0.00per pick	55cpaid	+4.2%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x84ad…bfb7backed Yes	30c	2,856$854 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$2,002.53	935	42.2%395 W · 540 L	-27.8wins	-0.03per pick	45cpaid	-17.2%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0xeaf3…e802backed Yes	28c	2,800$784 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$2,016	43	48.8%21 W · 22 L	+4.5wins	+0.10per pick	38cpaid	+32%equal weight	57+0.07 edge/pick
0xf381…40c2backed Yes	28c	2,778$778 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$2,000.16	180	27.8%50 W · 130 L	+2.9wins	+0.02per pick	26cpaid	-20.8%equal weight	52+0.01 edge/pick
0x654a…cc32backed Yes	18c	2,778$500 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$2,277.78	44	29.5%13 W · 31 L	-1.1wins	-0.03per pick	32cpaid	+10%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x819b…d996backed Yes	18c	2,778$500 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$2,277.78	145	46.9%68 W · 77 L	+3.7wins	+0.03per pick	44cpaid	-6.7%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Fifa International and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Will Netherlands vs. Japan end in a draw?this page
Will Japan win on 2026-06-14?No won
Will Netherlands win on 2026-06-14?No won

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

The market traded at least $500.
The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.

Will Netherlands vs. Japan end in a draw?

What this market resolved to

Who was on this market

The rest of this event