TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Wallet 0xf59c…a682

Rebuilt .

Summary

Qualified picks
97
Categories scored
4
Categories below 50
3

Best Category: NBA, grading 51 out of 100 (+0.01 per pick).

Best Category NBA at 51 out of 100; worst Fifa International at 46.

What is a Tail Score?

A mark out of 100, per Category. 50 means no edge at all — this wallet did about what the prices it paid implied it would. Above 50 it beat those prices; below 50 it did worse than them.

The scale does not move. 100 is a wallet beating the prices it paid by 0.45 per pick and 0 is losing to them by the same, on every wallet, on every page, in every month. So a grade you screenshot today still means what it meant when you took it, and two wallets can be put side by side.

Nobody reaches either end. Across every wallet TailMyPicks has scored, the marks run from roughly 5 to 87 — which is what a fixed ruler costs, and what buys the sentence above.

It is not a win rate. A wallet can win four Picks in five and still grade below 50, if the market was already pricing those outcomes at 90c — it paid for the wins rather than finding them. The vs expected and Avg entry columns below are what separate the two.

The mark is deliberately pulled toward 50 when there is little evidence. Three lucky Picks do not produce a high grade; several hundred consistent ones do. So a modest grade on thousands of Picks means something a high grade on twelve does not.

Because it is shrunk this way, a Category grade is a conservative reading. The headline figure for a wallet is its best Category, so it always understates how badly the wallet does in its worst one — which is why the table below is per Category and not one blended number.

Record by Category

Ordered by how much this wallet actually traded in each Category, not by score — so the Categories it plays most appear first whether they went well or badly. Open any row to see the picks its numbers were computed from — all of them.

CategoryQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
Fifa International Inactivelast resolved Jul 19, 2026, EDT7636.8%28 W · 48 L-3.6wins-0.05per pick42cpaid-22.1%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
Fifa International — the 76 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Fifa International, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Argentina win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)42c$3,104Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$3,104.13
Will France win on 2026-07-18?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$4,000Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 18, 2026, EDT-100%-$4,000
Will Argentina win on 2026-07-15?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)32c$4,354Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 15, 2026, EDT+215%+$9,359.6
Will England win on 2026-07-15?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$970Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 15, 2026, EDT-100%-$970.3
France vs. Spain: Team to Advancebacked France · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$5,832Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$5,832.45
Argentina vs. Switzerland: Team to Advancebacked Argentina · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)71c$2,800Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 11, 2026, EDT+40.8%+$1,143.66
Norway vs. England: Team to Advancebacked England · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$2,800Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 11, 2026, EDT+54%+$1,511.69
Brazil vs. Norway: O/U 10.5 Total Cornersbacked Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)42c$1,079Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 5, 2026, EDT-100%-$1,079.35
Paraguay vs. France: O/U 9.5 Total Cornersbacked Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$538Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 4, 2026, EDT+104.1%+$559.55
Will Canada win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)0c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 4, 2026, EDT-100%-$100
Canada vs. Morocco: O/U 7.5 Total Cornersbacked Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$367Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 4, 2026, EDT+49.3%+$180.63
Canada vs. Morocco: Both Teams to Scorebacked Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$1,000Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 4, 2026, EDT-100%-$1,000
Will Colombia win on 2026-07-03?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)69c$500Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 3, 2026, EDT+44.9%+$224.64
Will Bosnia and Herzegovina win on 2026-07-01?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)11c$1,000Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$1,000
United States vs. Bosnia and Herzegovina: Both Teams to Scorebacked Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$2,000Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$2,000
Netherlands vs. Morocco: Team to Advancebacked Netherlands · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$57Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 30, 2026, EDT-100%-$57
Germany vs. Paraguay: Team to Advancebacked Paraguay · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)25c$35Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 29, 2026, EDT+300%+$105
Will Germany win on 2026-06-29?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)39c$2,601Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 29, 2026, EDT-100%-$2,600.94
Will Brazil win on 2026-06-29?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$363Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 29, 2026, EDT+72.4%+$262.83
Will South Africa vs. Canada end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$2,400Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 28, 2026, EDT-100%-$2,400
South Africa vs. Canada: Both Teams to Scorebacked Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$500Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 28, 2026, EDT-100%-$500
Egypt vs. IR Iran: Both Teams to Scorebacked Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)43c$600Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 27, 2026, EDT+132.6%+$795.35
Norway vs. France: Both Teams to Scorebacked Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$1,519Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 26, 2026, EDT+75.4%+$1,146.18
Czechia vs. Mexico: Both Teams to Scorebacked Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$502Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 24, 2026, EDT-100%-$501.76
Will Morocco vs. Haiti end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)24c$1,264Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 24, 2026, EDT-100%-$1,264.45
Showing 25 of 76 picks, newest first.
NBA Inactivelast resolved May 13, 2026, EDT1931.6%6 W · 13 L+0.4wins+0.02per pick29cpaid-1.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
NBA — the 19 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NBA, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Timberwolves vs. Spursbacked Timberwolves · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)22c$1,940Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 13, 2026, EDT-100%-$1,939.7
Thunder vs. Lakersbacked Lakers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)24c$3,014Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 10, 2026, EDT-100%-$3,013.88
Pistons vs. Cavaliersbacked Pistons · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)39c$1,346Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 9, 2026, EDT-100%-$1,345.51
Raptors vs. Cavaliersbacked Raptors · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)29c$1,995Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 3, 2026, EDT-100%-$1,995.31
Magic vs. Pistonsbacked Magic · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)27c$1,700Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 3, 2026, EDT-100%-$1,700
Cavaliers vs. Raptorsbacked Raptors · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)38c$1,600Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 1, 2026, EDT+163.2%+$2,610.53
Nuggets vs. Timberwolvesbacked Timberwolves · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)28c$2,579Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 1, 2026, EDT+257.1%+$6,630.84
Raptors vs. Cavaliersbacked Raptors · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)23c$1,000Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 29, 2026, EDT-100%-$1,000
Magic vs. Pistonsbacked Magic · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)23c$2,185Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 29, 2026, EDT-100%-$2,185.13
Trail Blazers vs. Spursbacked Trail Blazers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)18c$1,318Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 29, 2026, EDT-100%-$1,318.39
76ers vs. Celticsbacked 76ers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)20c$930Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 28, 2026, EDT+400%+$3,720.56
Timberwolves vs. Nuggetsbacked Timberwolves · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)19c$2,379Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 28, 2026, EDT-100%-$2,378.5
Lakers vs. Rocketsbacked Lakers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)42c$1,879Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 27, 2026, EDT-100%-$1,878.78
Celtics vs. 76ersbacked 76ers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)27c$956Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 26, 2026, EDT-100%-$956.2
Cavaliers vs. Raptorsbacked Raptors · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)40c$1,157Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 26, 2026, EDT+150%+$1,735.2
Nuggets vs. Timberwolvesbacked Timberwolves · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$621Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 26, 2026, EDT+100%+$620.8
Knicks vs. Hawksbacked Hawks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)31c$336Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 25, 2026, EDT-100%-$335.51
Thunder vs. Sunsbacked Suns · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)23c$620Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 25, 2026, EDT-100%-$619.97
Lakers vs. Rocketsbacked Lakers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)33c$2,927Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 25, 2026, EDT+203%+$5,943.49
All 19 picks, newest first.
Tennis Inactivelast resolved Apr 28, 2026, EDT10%0 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.04per pick4cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
Tennis — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Tennis, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Madrid Open: Jannik Sinner vs Cameron Norriebacked Cameron Norrie · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)4c$60Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 28, 2026, EDT-100%-$59.73
All 1 picks, newest first.
Ligue 1 Inactivelast resolved May 2, 2026, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.12per pick12cpaid-100%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
Ligue 1 — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Ligue 1, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will FC Metz win on 2026-05-02?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)12c$219Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 2, 2026, EDT-100%-$219.17
All 1 picks, newest first.

vs expected is how many more (or fewer) Picks this wallet won than the prices it paid implied it would. It is the column that tells a real edge apart from a record bought by backing favourites. Realizable edge is what that comes to per Pick for somebody copying the wallet, after the cost of getting in behind it. Avg entry is the average price it paid, so a strong record built on heavy favourites shows as one. ROI per pick counts every Pick equally rather than by size, which is how a record earned across many Picks is told apart from one carried by a few large ones. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in — an American night game settles after midnight UTC, so any other zone would name the day after the one it was played on. Inactive means nothing has resolved in that Category recently. The score is kept and the wallet stays reachable here; it only leaves the default leaderboard.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.