TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Fifa International · resolved market

Will South Africa vs. Canada end in a draw?

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Noof Yes, No
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Fifa Internationalevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$4,146,907
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$3,908,854

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $4,146,907 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 1,455 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Fifa International is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Fifa International
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x2c33…0563backed Yes29c520,108$150,161 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$150,161.2274752.2%390 W · 357 L+2.4wins0.00per pick52cpaid-1.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x0346…52a5backed No66c287,046$189,399 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$97,646.342,40737.7%908 W · 1,499 L-48.7wins-0.02per pick40cpaid-25.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x3496…8fc4backed Yes33c278,476$91,897 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$91,897.0817034.7%59 W · 111 L-5.2wins-0.03per pick38cpaid-2.8%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x86d2…731dbacked No74c265,178$196,232 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$68,946.387343.8%32 W · 41 L-0.2wins0.00per pick44cpaid-0.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xfea3…d227backed Yes26c210,179$54,647 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$54,646.5420955.5%116 W · 93 L+12.8wins+0.06per pick49cpaid+9.2%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xfa5f…6bfebacked No73c200,000$146,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$54,00020844.7%93 W · 115 L-1.9wins-0.01per pick46cpaid+1.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x37e0…024ebacked No68c162,114$110,208 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$51,906.0210740.2%43 W · 64 L+2.6wins+0.02per pick38cpaid+5.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x6501…1220backed Yes36c142,463$51,020 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$51,0204667.4%31 W · 15 L+9.3wins+0.20per pick47cpaid+41.3%equal weight65+0.13 edge/pick
0xcf6c…7e66backed No74c124,997$92,498 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$32,499.314349.7%71 W · 72 L-0.4wins0.00per pick50cpaid-7.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x44a1…bd21backed Yes26c122,009$31,722 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$31,722.4232031.6%101 W · 219 L+2.4wins+0.01per pick31cpaid-17.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x32b4…8b21backed Yes27c104,798$27,870 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$27,870.0824441.8%102 W · 142 L-5.7wins-0.02per pick44cpaid-11.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x580d…eb6dbacked No72c100,000$72,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$28,0008063.8%51 W · 29 L+8.8wins+0.11per pick53cpaid+17%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0x204f…5e14backed No53c99,355$52,191 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$47,164.214,59540.3%1,850 W · 2,745 L-91.3wins-0.02per pick42cpaid-23.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x6185…2965backed No73c97,250$70,993 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$26,257.54858.3%28 W · 20 L+0.8wins+0.02per pick57cpaid+6.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x076d…8d4cbacked Yes29c91,521$26,837 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$26,837.52,27139.5%896 W · 1,375 L+10.1wins0.00per pick39cpaid+1.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x088b…21ccbacked Yes54c90,709$48,983 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$48,982.945040%20 W · 30 L-2.7wins-0.05per pick45cpaid-2.4%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xe907…cff6backed Yes30c77,988$23,140 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$23,140.158,61429.2%2,518 W · 6,096 L-166.6wins-0.02per pick31cpaid-32.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x84cf…2f63backed Yes39c74,194$29,199 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$29,198.912,43929%707 W · 1,732 L-65.3wins-0.03per pick32cpaid-21%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x7c1e…bab3backed Yes29c70,000$20,300 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20,30022348.4%108 W · 115 L+11.4wins+0.05per pick43cpaid+8.6%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x6550…8451backed No56c57,257$32,022 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$25,234.9521738.7%84 W · 133 L-8.9wins-0.04per pick43cpaid-35.7%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xce80…9a82backed Yes3c55,000$1,650 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,6503951.3%20 W · 19 L+5.0wins+0.13per pick38cpaid+10.9%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0x9ee8…89debacked No33c52,527$17,359 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$35,168.145942.4%25 W · 34 L+2.2wins+0.04per pick39cpaid+5%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x35f8…daa1backed No71c49,000$34,790 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$14,209.942556%14 W · 11 L+1.7wins+0.07per pick49cpaid-3.4%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x99c4…18e7backed No52c42,242$22,151 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$20,090.9313037.7%49 W · 81 L-10.7wins-0.08per pick46cpaid-41.5%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x10a6…4d8bbacked Yes33c38,242$12,761 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$12,760.8864446.4%299 W · 345 L-6.2wins-0.01per pick47cpaid+0.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xe72b…b0a0backed No71c38,114$27,138 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$10,976.3222139.8%88 W · 133 L-8.7wins-0.04per pick44cpaid-12.9%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x1b47…d814backed No59c37,005$21,684 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$15,321.4756541.1%232 W · 333 L-9.4wins-0.02per pick43cpaid-11.9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x9703…69c2backed No72c26,957$19,373 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$7,583.4329952.5%157 W · 142 L-2.5wins-0.01per pick53cpaid-1.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x4f29…7a7ebacked No62c26,819$16,563 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$10,255.841,22443.4%531 W · 693 L-7.1wins-0.01per pick44cpaid-13.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x5b63…11a4backed Yes36c26,589$9,462 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$9,462.3479231.1%246 W · 546 L-4.2wins-0.01per pick32cpaid-34.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xaa07…2125backed Yes69c22,911$15,808 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15,807.8414232.4%46 W · 96 L-12.8wins-0.09per pick41cpaid-28%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0x032e…2a9ebacked Yes27c22,671$6,120 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$6,119.792,60337.8%984 W · 1,619 L-40.7wins-0.02per pick39cpaid-9.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x1a7b…0d1cbacked Yes26c22,494$5,848 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5,848.39616.7%1 W · 5 L-0.4wins-0.06per pick23cpaid-34%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x99e4…e4c4backed No71c20,000$14,200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5,8007445.9%34 W · 40 L-2.7wins-0.04per pick50cpaid+10.3%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x8929…0196backed No71c20,000$14,200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5,799.97875%6 W · 2 L+1.7wins+0.22per pick53cpaid+70.4%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x45e4…3c69backed Yes26c19,231$5,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5,0009649%47 W · 49 L+1.7wins+0.02per pick47cpaid-2.8%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x969a…59ddbacked No72c18,000$12,960 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5,0409247.8%44 W · 48 L-2.9wins-0.03per pick51cpaid+1.4%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x222b…1a8dbacked No69c17,466$12,054 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5,412.2831945.5%145 W · 174 L-0.8wins0.00per pick46cpaid-28.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x8b9a…5f69backed Yes1c17,152$153 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$153.031468.2%12 W · 134 L+8.4wins+0.06per pick2cpaid+90.7%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0xadf8…71ebbacked Yes47c16,016$7,479 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$7,478.94333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.6wins-0.22per pick55cpaid-37.1%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xeebd…ba30backed No75c15,750$11,784 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,966.3916033.1%53 W · 107 L-4.0wins-0.03per pick36cpaid-2.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x1509…ca95backed No72c15,661$11,276 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4,385.0812255.7%68 W · 54 L+8.2wins+0.07per pick49cpaid+13.2%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0xc96e…f1f9backed No60c14,929$8,957 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5,971.448048.8%39 W · 41 L+5.2wins+0.07per pick42cpaid+27.7%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x5fd8…ce32backed Yes29c14,300$4,147 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4,14713330.1%40 W · 93 L-4.7wins-0.04per pick34cpaid-35.8%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x7cbe…c4b7backed Yes26c13,310$3,461 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,460.5888838.2%339 W · 549 L+37.2wins+0.04per pick34cpaid+9.9%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xc330…e776backed Yes4c12,500$500 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$50016732.3%54 W · 113 L+3.0wins+0.02per pick31cpaid-14.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x67bb…b6efbacked Yes70c12,000$8,390 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$8,390.137550.7%38 W · 37 L-2.3wins-0.03per pick54cpaid-10%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x4572…5e86backed No62c11,440$7,064 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4,375.8611642.2%49 W · 67 L+4.6wins+0.04per pick38cpaid+37.9%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x3dfb…abafbacked Yes36c11,111$4,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,999.9642345.6%193 W · 230 L+10.8wins+0.03per pick43cpaid+1.5%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x2128…da98backed No72c11,100$7,992 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,1087646.1%35 W · 41 L-2.2wins-0.03per pick49cpaid+4.9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x424d…3b7ebacked Yes27c10,939$2,907 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,906.8911421.1%24 W · 90 L+6.4wins+0.06per pick15cpaid+32.5%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x2a69…d2f7backed Yes7c10,782$770 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$769.923,99224.9%994 W · 2,998 L-47.0wins-0.01per pick26cpaid-19.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x0d2d…7ff5backed No67c10,407$6,958 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,449.392,30737.6%867 W · 1,440 L-16.7wins-0.01per pick38cpaid-27.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x3608…b13dbacked Yes26c10,200$2,652 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,6523036.7%11 W · 19 L+2.7wins+0.09per pick28cpaid+46.9%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x1418…6fefbacked No73c10,000$7,300 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,699.9547643.3%206 W · 270 L-10.9wins-0.02per pick46cpaid-11%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xb87b…3626backed Yes32c9,511$3,038 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,038.3624526.5%65 W · 180 L-2.5wins-0.01per pick28cpaid-13%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x8a26…937ebacked Yes58c9,410$5,500 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5,50016957.4%97 W · 72 L+6.0wins+0.04per pick54cpaid+4.2%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x9602…4d02backed No70c9,365$6,518 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,846.4231945.1%144 W · 175 L+1.0wins0.00per pick45cpaid-3.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x60ba…3c6cbacked No73c9,300$6,789 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,510.9547144.8%211 W · 260 L-4.7wins-0.01per pick46cpaid-8.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x6d3c…d294backed No72c9,134$6,598 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,535.451,26247.5%600 W · 662 L-15.8wins-0.01per pick49cpaid-2.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xe504…600ebacked Yes38c9,006$3,381 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,38114231.7%45 W · 97 L-13.4wins-0.09per pick41cpaid-28.2%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0xabb8…bba3backed Yes33c9,000$2,970 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,97013742.3%58 W · 79 L0.0wins0.00per pick42cpaid+3.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xc28d…1773backed Yes8c8,954$710 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$7103429.4%10 W · 24 L+1.6wins+0.05per pick25cpaid-24.3%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x2246…4a14backed No71c8,510$6,042 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,467.792373.9%17 W · 6 L+3.1wins+0.13per pick60cpaid+30.1%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0xa81b…4d36backed No38c8,451$3,200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5,250.756434.4%22 W · 42 L+3.2wins+0.05per pick29cpaid+2%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x160b…4296backed No73c8,389$6,124 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,265.031,04443.7%456 W · 588 L+20.7wins+0.02per pick42cpaid+14.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x7edb…7993backed No75c8,343$6,224 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,119.0542043.1%181 W · 239 L-7.9wins-0.02per pick45cpaid-32.9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x122c…fbedbacked No75c8,101$6,041 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,060.0431232.4%101 W · 211 L-2.0wins-0.01per pick33cpaid-25.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x7236…ea53backed No74c8,000$5,920 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,08036250.8%184 W · 178 L-6.7wins-0.02per pick53cpaid-1.8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x7ea5…de7bbacked Yes26c7,906$2,068 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,067.631,56043.8%684 W · 876 L-4.4wins0.00per pick44cpaid-3.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x5deb…ccddbacked Yes63c7,775$4,905 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4,904.535034.3%120 W · 230 L-24.0wins-0.07per pick41cpaid-33.1%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x56ac…d77ebacked No74c7,735$5,724 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,011.170244.6%313 W · 389 L+13.8wins+0.02per pick43cpaid+10.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x20e5…118dbacked No73c7,733$5,645 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,08833549%164 W · 171 L-5.1wins-0.02per pick50cpaid-7.4%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x27db…3824backed No73c7,600$5,548 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,0527353.4%39 W · 34 L+5.2wins+0.07per pick46cpaid+0.3%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xd471…edf8backed No21c7,596$1,595 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$6,000.846645.5%30 W · 36 L+0.6wins+0.01per pick45cpaid+24.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x26d6…caccbacked No74c7,570$5,579 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,990.9933337.8%126 W · 207 L-12.7wins-0.04per pick42cpaid-40.7%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x0520…e4e0backed Yes27c7,407$2,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,00025336.8%93 W · 160 L+0.9wins0.00per pick36cpaid-4.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xae94…6b17backed Yes61c7,378$4,502 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4,501.6310956%61 W · 48 L-1.3wins-0.01per pick57cpaid-7.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x97f9…0aebbacked No73c7,200$5,256 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,9445851.7%30 W · 28 L+1.8wins+0.03per pick49cpaid-18.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xa697…59d5backed No73c7,062$5,127 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,934.462,80555.1%1,546 W · 1,259 L+70.4wins+0.03per pick53cpaid+4.1%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x1361…3296backed Yes28c7,050$1,959 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,959.25540%2 W · 3 L-0.3wins-0.07per pick47cpaid-35.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x4f6f…d024backed Yes45c7,020$3,137 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,137.1577433.1%256 W · 518 L-0.9wins0.00per pick33cpaid-15%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xe275…f1eebacked Yes29c6,897$2,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,0004032.5%13 W · 27 L-3.1wins-0.08per pick40cpaid-30.6%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0xfc08…a137backed No33c6,873$2,265 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4,607.877045.7%32 W · 38 L+2.8wins+0.04per pick42cpaid+39.6%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x1ec6…50cdbacked No71c6,805$4,831 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,973.354544.4%20 W · 25 L+0.6wins+0.01per pick43cpaid-6.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xb9e7…0365backed No72c6,660$4,795 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,864.84075%30 W · 10 L+2.5wins+0.06per pick69cpaid+5.8%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x323a…876fbacked Yes27c6,325$1,700 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,70012035%42 W · 78 L+2.6wins+0.02per pick33cpaid+1.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x76aa…eff9backed No71c6,293$4,447 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,845.5225753.3%137 W · 120 L+23.5wins+0.09per pick44cpaid+17.5%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0xbdd1…0c4fbacked Yes48c6,293$3,019 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,019.355740.4%23 W · 34 L+1.4wins+0.02per pick38cpaid+27.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xdb83…1e50backed No69c6,282$4,323 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,959.832,81944.5%1,255 W · 1,564 L-36.2wins-0.01per pick46cpaid-9.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x03b8…b4aebacked Yes49c6,282$3,100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,10023353.2%124 W · 109 L-3.2wins-0.01per pick55cpaid-4.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x8bfe…2d74backed Yes26c5,964$1,551 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,550.676749.3%33 W · 34 L+2.0wins+0.03per pick46cpaid-5.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xa0a3…a25ebacked Yes1c5,565$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$303542.9%15 W · 20 L+1.9wins+0.05per pick37cpaid-8.2%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xb31e…c120backed No53c5,552$2,925 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,626.497269.4%50 W · 22 L+3.2wins+0.04per pick65cpaid+12.5%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xaa6f…1dfebacked Yes29c5,172$1,500 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,5008648.8%42 W · 44 L+10.1wins+0.12per pick37cpaid+77.2%equal weight60+0.09 edge/pick
0x1d16…212ebacked Yes31c5,106$1,583 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,582.7612248.4%59 W · 63 L+5.4wins+0.04per pick44cpaid+12.5%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xce0c…d839backed Yes43c5,098$2,192 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,192.344926.5%13 W · 36 L-2.2wins-0.05per pick31cpaid-22.8%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x999a…9a25backed No72c5,003$3,620 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,383.224443%105 W · 139 L-5.2wins-0.02per pick45cpaid-29.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xd344…6862backed Yes30c5,000$1,500 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,5003537.1%13 W · 22 L-0.5wins-0.02per pick39cpaid-8.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x6ede…4284backed Yes26c5,000$1,300 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,30018738%71 W · 116 L+0.6wins0.00per pick38cpaid-4.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Fifa International and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.